Uncertainty
CHIMLE: Conditional Hierarchical IMLE for Multimodal Conditional Image Synthesis APEX Lab Google School of Computing Science Simon Fraser University
A persistent challenge in conditional image synthesis has been to generate diverse output images from the same input image despite only one output image being observed per input image. GAN-based methods are prone to mode collapse, which leads to low diversity. To get around this, we leverage Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation (IMLE) which can overcome mode collapse fundamentally. IMLE uses the same generator as GANs but trains it with a different, non-adversarial objective which ensures each observed image has a generated sample nearby. Unfortunately, to generate high-fidelity images, prior IMLE-based methods require a large number of samples, which is expensive. In this paper, we propose a new method to get around this limitation, which we dub Conditional Hierarchical IMLE (CHIMLE), which can generate high-fidelity images without requiring many samples. We show CHIMLE significantly outperforms the prior best IMLE, GAN and diffusion-based methods in terms of image fidelity and mode coverage across four tasks, namely night-to-day, 16 single image super-resolution, image colourization and image decompression. Quantitatively, our method improves Frรฉchet Inception Distance (FID) by 36.9% on average compared to the prior best IMLE-based method, and by 27.5% on average compared to the best non-IMLE-based generalpurpose methods. More results and code are available on the project website at https://niopeng.github.io/CHIMLE/.
Fast Bayesian Coresets via Subsampling and Quasi-Newton Refinement
Any inference procedure that is too computationally expensive to be run on the full posterior can instead be run inexpensively on the coreset, with results that approximate those on the full data. However, current approaches are limited by either a significant run-time or the need for the user to specify a low-cost approximation to the full posterior. We propose a Bayesian coreset construction algorithm that first selects a uniformly random subset of data, and then optimizes the weights using a novel quasi-Newton method. Our algorithm is a simple to implement, black-box method, that does not require the user to specify a low-cost posterior approximation. It is the first to come with a general high-probability bound on the KL divergence of the output coreset posterior. Experiments demonstrate that our method provides significant improvements in coreset quality against alternatives with comparable construction times, with far less storage cost and user input required.
Monte Carlo with kernel-based Gibbs measures: Guarantees for probabilistic herding
Rouault, Martin, Bardenet, Rรฉmi, Maรฏda, Mylรจne
Kernel herding belongs to a family of deterministic quadratures that seek to minimize the worst-case integration error over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). In spite of strong experimental support, it has revealed difficult to prove that this worst-case error decreases at a faster rate than the standard square root of the number of quadrature nodes, at least in the usual case where the RKHS is infinite-dimensional. In this theoretical paper, we study a joint probability distribution over quadrature nodes, whose support tends to minimize the same worst-case error as kernel herding. We prove that it does outperform i.i.d. Monte Carlo, in the sense of coming with a tighter concentration inequality on the worst-case integration error. While not improving the rate yet, this demonstrates that the mathematical tools of the study of Gibbs measures can help understand to what extent kernel herding and its variants improve on computationally cheaper methods. Moreover, we provide early experimental evidence that a faster rate of convergence, though not worst-case, is likely.
Empirical Density Estimation based on Spline Quasi-Interpolation with applications to Copulas clustering modeling
Tamborrino, Cristiano, Falini, Antonella, Mazzia, Francesca
Density estimation is a fundamental technique employed in various fields to model and to understand the underlying distribution of data. The primary objective of density estimation is to estimate the probability density function of a random variable. This process is particularly valuable when dealing with univariate or multivariate data and is essential for tasks such as clustering, anomaly detection, and generative modeling. In this paper we propose the mono-variate approximation of the density using spline quasi interpolation and we applied it in the context of clustering modeling. The clustering technique used is based on the construction of suitable multivariate distributions which rely on the estimation of the monovariate empirical densities (marginals). Such an approximation is achieved by using the proposed spline quasi-interpolation, while the joint distributions to model the sought clustering partition is constructed with the use of copulas functions. In particular, since copulas can capture the dependence between the features of the data independently from the marginal distributions, a finite mixture copula model is proposed. The presented algorithm is validated on artificial and real datasets.
Compositionality, MDL Priors, and Object Recognition
Images are ambiguous at each of many levels of a contextual hi(cid:173) erarchy. Nevertheless, the high-level interpretation of most scenes is unambiguous, as evidenced by the superior performance of hu(cid:173) mans. This observation argues for global vision models, such as de(cid:173) formable templates. Unfortunately, such models are computation(cid:173) ally intractable for unconstrained problems. We propose a composi(cid:173) tional model in which primitives are recursively composed, subject to syntactic restrictions, to form tree-structured objects and object groupings.
Bayesian Modeling of Facial Similarity
In previous work [6, 9, 10], we advanced a new technique for direct visual matching of images for the purposes of face recognition and image retrieval, using a probabilistic measure of similarity based primarily on a Bayesian (MAP) analysis of image differ(cid:173) ences, leading to a "dual" basis similar to eigenfaces [13]. The performance advantage of this probabilistic matching technique over standard Euclidean nearest-neighbor eigenface matching was recently demonstrated using results from DARPA's 1996 "FERET" face recognition competition, in which this probabilistic matching algorithm was found to be the top performer. We have further developed a simple method of replacing the costly com put ion of nonlinear (online) Bayesian similarity measures by the relatively inexpensive computation of linear (offline) subspace projections and simple (online) Euclidean norms, thus resulting in a significant computational speed-up for implementation with very large image databases as typically encountered in real-world applications.
Maximum-Likelihood Continuity Mapping (MALCOM): An Alternative to HMMs
We describe Maximum-Likelihood Continuity Mapping (MALCOM), an alternative to hidden Markov models (HMMs) for processing sequence data such as speech. While HMMs have a discrete "hidden" space con(cid:173) strained by a fixed finite-automaton architecture, MALCOM has a con(cid:173) tinuous hidden space-a continuity map-that is constrained only by a smoothness requirement on paths through the space. MALCOM fits into the same probabilistic framework for speech recognition as HMMs, but it represents a more realistic model of the speech production process. To evaluate the extent to which MALCOM captures speech production information, we generated continuous speech continuity maps for three speakers and used the paths through them to predict measured speech articulator data. The median correlation between the MALCOM paths obtained from only the speech acoustics and articulator measurements was 0.77 on an independent test set not used to train MALCOM or the predictor.
Data-Driven Stochastic AC-OPF using Gaussian Processes
The thesis focuses on developing a data-driven algorithm, based on machine learning, to solve the stochastic alternating current (AC) chance-constrained (CC) Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem. Although the AC CC-OPF problem has been successful in academic circles, it is highly nonlinear and computationally demanding, which limits its practical impact. The proposed approach aims to address this limitation and demonstrate its empirical efficiency through applications to multiple IEEE test cases. To solve the non-convex and computationally challenging CC AC-OPF problem, the proposed approach relies on a machine learning Gaussian process regression (GPR) model. The full Gaussian process (GP) approach is capable of learning a simple yet non-convex data-driven approximation to the AC power flow equations that can incorporate uncertain inputs. The proposed approach uses various approximations for GP-uncertainty propagation. The full GP CC-OPF approach exhibits highly competitive and promising results, outperforming the state-of-the-art sample-based chance constraint approaches. To further improve the robustness and complexity/accuracy trade-off of the full GP CC-OPF, a fast data-driven setup is proposed. This setup relies on the sparse and hybrid Gaussian processes (GP) framework to model the power flow equations with input uncertainty.