Uncertainty
Multimodal Input Aids a Bayesian Model of Phonetic Learning
Zhi, Sophia, Levy, Roger P., Meylan, Stephan C.
One of the many tasks facing the typically-developing child language learner is learning to discriminate between the distinctive sounds that make up words in their native language. Here we investigate whether multimodal information--specifically adult speech coupled with video frames of speakers' faces--benefits a computational model of phonetic learning. We introduce a method for creating high-quality synthetic videos of speakers' faces for an existing audio corpus. Our learning model, when both trained and tested on audiovisual inputs, achieves up to a 8.1% relative improvement on a phoneme discrimination battery compared to a model trained and tested on audio-only input. It also outperforms the audio model by up to 3.9% when both are tested on audio-only data, suggesting that visual information facilitates the acquisition of acoustic distinctions. Visual information is especially beneficial in noisy audio environments, where an audiovisual model closes 67% of the loss in discrimination performance of the audio model in noise relative to a non-noisy environment. These results demonstrate that visual information benefits an ideal learner and illustrate some of the ways that children might be able to leverage visual cues when learning to discriminate speech sounds.
Building Machines that Learn and Think with People
Collins, Katherine M., Sucholutsky, Ilia, Bhatt, Umang, Chandra, Kartik, Wong, Lionel, Lee, Mina, Zhang, Cedegao E., Zhi-Xuan, Tan, Ho, Mark, Mansinghka, Vikash, Weller, Adrian, Tenenbaum, Joshua B., Griffiths, Thomas L.
What do we want from machine intelligence? We envision machines that are not just tools for thought, but partners in thought: reasonable, insightful, knowledgeable, reliable, and trustworthy systems that think with us. Current artificial intelligence (AI) systems satisfy some of these criteria, some of the time. In this Perspective, we show how the science of collaborative cognition can be put to work to engineer systems that really can be called ``thought partners,'' systems built to meet our expectations and complement our limitations. We lay out several modes of collaborative thought in which humans and AI thought partners can engage and propose desiderata for human-compatible thought partnerships. Drawing on motifs from computational cognitive science, we motivate an alternative scaling path for the design of thought partners and ecosystems around their use through a Bayesian lens, whereby the partners we construct actively build and reason over models of the human and world.
FFHFlow: A Flow-based Variational Approach for Multi-fingered Grasp Synthesis in Real Time
Feng, Qian, Feng, Jianxiang, Chen, Zhaopeng, Triebel, Rudolph, Knoll, Alois
Synthesizing diverse and accurate grasps with multi-fingered hands is an important yet challenging task in robotics. Previous efforts focusing on generative modeling have fallen short of precisely capturing the multi-modal, high-dimensional grasp distribution. To address this, we propose exploiting a special kind of Deep Generative Model (DGM) based on Normalizing Flows (NFs), an expressive model for learning complex probability distributions. Specifically, we first observed an encouraging improvement in diversity by directly applying a single conditional NFs (cNFs), dubbed FFHFlow-cnf, to learn a grasp distribution conditioned on the incomplete point cloud. However, we also recognized limited performance gains due to restricted expressivity in the latent space. This motivated us to develop a novel flow-based d Deep Latent Variable Model (DLVM), namely FFHFlow-lvm, which facilitates more reasonable latent features, leading to both diverse and accurate grasp synthesis for unseen objects. Unlike Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), the proposed DLVM counteracts typical pitfalls such as mode collapse and mis-specified priors by leveraging two cNFs for the prior and likelihood distributions, which are usually restricted to being isotropic Gaussian. Comprehensive experiments in simulation and real-robot scenarios demonstrate that our method generates more accurate and diverse grasps than the VAE baselines. Additionally, a run-time comparison is conducted to reveal its high potential for real-time applications.
FMDNN: A Fuzzy-guided Multi-granular Deep Neural Network for Histopathological Image Classification
Ding, Weiping, Zhou, Tianyi, Huang, Jiashuang, Jiang, Shu, Hou, Tao, Lin, Chin-Teng
Histopathological image classification constitutes a pivotal task in computer-aided diagnostics. The precise identification and categorization of histopathological images are of paramount significance for early disease detection and treatment. In the diagnostic process of pathologists, a multi-tiered approach is typically employed to assess abnormalities in cell regions at different magnifications. However, feature extraction is often performed at a single granularity, overlooking the multi-granular characteristics of cells. To address this issue, we propose the Fuzzy-guided Multi-granularity Deep Neural Network (FMDNN). Inspired by the multi-granular diagnostic approach of pathologists, we perform feature extraction on cell structures at coarse, medium, and fine granularity, enabling the model to fully harness the information in histopathological images. We incorporate the theory of fuzzy logic to address the challenge of redundant key information arising during multi-granular feature extraction. Cell features are described from different perspectives using multiple fuzzy membership functions, which are fused to create universal fuzzy features. A fuzzy-guided cross-attention module guides universal fuzzy features toward multi-granular features. We propagate these features through an encoder to all patch tokens, aiming to achieve enhanced classification accuracy and robustness. In experiments on multiple public datasets, our model exhibits a significant improvement in accuracy over commonly used classification methods for histopathological image classification and shows commendable interpretability.
Cascaded two-stage feature clustering and selection via separability and consistency in fuzzy decision systems
Chen, Yuepeng, Ding, Weiping, Ju, Hengrong, Huang, Jiashuang, Yin, Tao
--Feature selection is a vital technique in machine learning, as it can reduce computational complexity, improve model performance, and mitigate the risk of overfitting. However, the increasing complexity and dimensionality of datasets pose significant challenges in the selection of features. Focusing on these challenges, this paper proposes a cascaded two-stage feature clustering and selection algorithm for fuzzy decision systems. In the first stage, we reduce the search space by clustering relevant features and addressing inter-feature redundancy. In the second stage, a clustering-based sequentially forward selection method that explores the global and local structure of data is presented. We propose a novel metric for assessing the significance of features, which considers both global separability and local consistency. Global separability measures the degree of intra-class cohesion and inter-class separation based on fuzzy membership, providing a comprehensive understanding of data separability. Meanwhile, local consistency leverages the fuzzy neighborhood rough set model to capture uncertainty and fuzziness in the data. The effectiveness of our proposed algorithm is evaluated through experiments conducted on 18 public datasets and a real-world schizophrenia dataset. The experiment results demonstrate our algorithm's superiority over benchmarking algorithms in both classification accuracy and the number of selected features. Index T erms--Feature selection, fuzzy neighborhood rough set, fuzzy decision systems, granular computing. ITH the advent of the digital era, there has been an unprecedented surge in data from various sources such as sensors, social media, financial systems, and healthcare resources. However, traditional methods struggle to handle big data due to its high dimensionality, noise, and redundant information, significantly impacting the accuracy and efficiency of both data analysis and decision-making processes.
Variational Potential Flow: A Novel Probabilistic Framework for Energy-Based Generative Modelling
Loo, Junn Yong, Adeline, Michelle, Pal, Arghya, Baskaran, Vishnu Monn, Ting, Chee-Ming, Phan, Raphael C. -W.
Energy based models (EBMs) are appealing for their generality and simplicity in data likelihood modeling, but have conventionally been difficult to train due to the unstable and time-consuming implicit MCMC sampling during contrastive divergence training. In this paper, we present a novel energy-based generative framework, Variational Potential Flow (VAPO), that entirely dispenses with implicit MCMC sampling and does not rely on complementary latent models or cooperative training. The VAPO framework aims to learn a potential energy function whose gradient (flow) guides the prior samples, so that their density evolution closely follows an approximate data likelihood homotopy. An energy loss function is then formulated to minimize the Kullback-Leibler divergence between density evolution of the flow-driven prior and the data likelihood homotopy. Images can be generated after training the potential energy, by initializing the samples from Gaussian prior and solving the ODE governing the potential flow on a fixed time interval using generic ODE solvers. Experiment results show that the proposed VAPO framework is capable of generating realistic images on various image datasets. In particular, our proposed framework achieves competitive FID scores for unconditional image generation on the CIFAR-10 and CelebA datasets.
Practical multi-fidelity machine learning: fusion of deterministic and Bayesian models
Yi, Jiaxiang, Cheng, Ji, Bessa, Miguel A.
Multi-fidelity machine learning methods address the accuracy-efficiency trade-off by integrating scarce, resource-intensive high-fidelity data with abundant but less accurate low-fidelity data. We propose a practical multi-fidelity strategy for problems spanning low- and high-dimensional domains, integrating a non-probabilistic regression model for the low-fidelity with a Bayesian model for the high-fidelity. The models are trained in a staggered scheme, where the low-fidelity model is transfer-learned to the high-fidelity data and a Bayesian model is trained for the residual. This three-model strategy -- deterministic low-fidelity, transfer learning, and Bayesian residual -- leads to a prediction that includes uncertainty quantification both for noisy and noiseless multi-fidelity data. The strategy is general and unifies the topic, highlighting the expressivity trade-off between the transfer-learning and Bayesian models (a complex transfer-learning model leads to a simpler Bayesian model, and vice versa). We propose modeling choices for two scenarios, and argue in favor of using a linear transfer-learning model that fuses 1) kernel ridge regression for low-fidelity with Gaussian processes for high-fidelity; or 2) deep neural network for low-fidelity with a Bayesian neural network for high-fidelity. We demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed strategies and contrast them with the state-of-the-art based on various numerical examples. The simplicity of these formulations makes them practical for a broad scope of future engineering applications.
Is Behavior Cloning All You Need? Understanding Horizon in Imitation Learning
Foster, Dylan J., Block, Adam, Misra, Dipendra
Imitation learning (IL) aims to mimic the behavior of an expert in a sequential decision making task by learning from demonstrations, and has been widely applied to robotics, autonomous driving, and autoregressive text generation. The simplest approach to IL, behavior cloning (BC), is thought to incur sample complexity with unfavorable quadratic dependence on the problem horizon, motivating a variety of different online algorithms that attain improved linear horizon dependence under stronger assumptions on the data and the learner's access to the expert. We revisit the apparent gap between offline and online IL from a learning-theoretic perspective, with a focus on general policy classes up to and including deep neural networks. Through a new analysis of behavior cloning with the logarithmic loss, we show that it is possible to achieve horizon-independent sample complexity in offline IL whenever (i) the range of the cumulative payoffs is controlled, and (ii) an appropriate notion of supervised learning complexity for the policy class is controlled. Specializing our results to deterministic, stationary policies, we show that the gap between offline and online IL is not fundamental: (i) it is possible to achieve linear dependence on horizon in offline IL under dense rewards (matching what was previously only known to be achievable in online IL); and (ii) without further assumptions on the policy class, online IL cannot improve over offline IL with the logarithmic loss, even in benign MDPs. We complement our theoretical results with experiments on standard RL tasks and autoregressive language generation to validate the practical relevance of our findings.
Hyperspectral Unmixing Under Endmember Variability: A Variational Inference Framework
Li, Yuening, Fu, Xiao, Liu, Junbin, Ma, Wing-Kin
This work proposes a variational inference (VI) framework for hyperspectral unmixing in the presence of endmember variability (HU-EV). An EV-accounted noisy linear mixture model (LMM) is considered, and the presence of outliers is also incorporated into the model. Following the marginalized maximum likelihood (MML) principle, a VI algorithmic structure is designed for probabilistic inference for HU-EV. Specifically, a patch-wise static endmember assumption is employed to exploit spatial smoothness and to try to overcome the ill-posed nature of the HU-EV problem. The design facilitates lightweight, continuous optimization-based updates under a variety of endmember priors. Some of the priors, such as the Beta prior, were previously used under computationally heavy, sampling-based probabilistic HU-EV methods. The effectiveness of the proposed framework is demonstrated through synthetic, semi-real, and real-data experiments.
Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey
Wang, Yingrong, Li, Haoxuan, Zhu, Minqin, Wu, Anpeng, Xiong, Ruoxuan, Wu, Fei, Kuang, Kun
Causal inference plays an important role in explanatory analysis and decision making across various fields like statistics, marketing, health care, and education. Its main task is to estimate treatment effects and make intervention policies. Traditionally, most of the previous works typically focus on the binary treatment setting that there is only one treatment for a unit to adopt or not. However, in practice, the treatment can be much more complex, encompassing multi-valued, continuous, or bundle options. In this paper, we refer to these as complex treatments and systematically and comprehensively review the causal inference methods for addressing them. First, we formally revisit the problem definition, the basic assumptions, and their possible variations under specific conditions. Second, we sequentially review the related methods for multi-valued, continuous, and bundled treatment settings. In each situation, we tentatively divide the methods into two categories: those conforming to the unconfoundedness assumption and those violating it. Subsequently, we discuss the available datasets and open-source codes. Finally, we provide a brief summary of these works and suggest potential directions for future research.