This paper introduces EVINCE (Entropy and Variation IN Conditional Exchanges), a dialogue framework advancing Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by enhancing versatility, adaptivity, and reasoning in large language models (LLMs). Leveraging adversarial debate and a novel dual entropy theory, EVINCE improves prediction accuracy, robustness, and stability in LLMs by integrating statistical modeling, information theory, and machine learning to balance diverse perspective exploration with strong prior exploitation. The framework's effectiveness is demonstrated through consistent convergence of information-theoretic metrics, particularly improved mutual information, fostering productive LLM collaboration. We apply EVINCE to healthcare, showing improved disease diagnosis, and discuss its broader implications for decision-making across domains. This work provides theoretical foundations and empirical validation for EVINCE, paving the way for advancements in LLM collaboration and AGI development.

Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or emitting warnings when an error is likely to be inbound. This is particularly crucial in safety-critical areas like medical image classification or self-driving cars. Despite the plethora of proposed uncertainty quantification methods achieving increasingly higher scores on performance benchmarks, uncertainty estimates are often shied away from in practice. Many machine learning projects start from pretrained latent representations that come without uncertainty estimates. Uncertainties would need to be trained by practitioners on their own, which is notoriously difficult and resource-intense. This thesis makes uncertainty estimates easily accessible by adding them to the latent representation vectors of pretrained computer vision models. Besides proposing approaches rooted in probability and decision theory, such as Monte-Carlo InfoNCE (MCInfoNCE) and loss prediction, we delve into both theoretical and empirical questions. We show that these unobservable uncertainties about unobservable latent representations are indeed provably correct. We also provide an uncertainty-aware representation learning (URL) benchmark to compare these unobservables against observable ground-truths. Finally, we compile our findings to pretrain lightweight representation uncertainties on large-scale computer vision models that transfer to unseen datasets in a zero-shot manner. Our findings do not only advance the current theoretical understanding of uncertainties over latent variables, but also facilitate the access to uncertainty quantification for future researchers inside and outside the field, enabling straightforward but trustworthy machine learning.

The worldwide impact of the recent COVID-19 pandemic has been substantial, necessitating the development of accurate forecasting models to predict the spread and course of a pandemic. Previous methods for outbreak forecasting have faced limitations by not utilizing multiple sources of input and yielding suboptimal performance due to the limited availability of data. In this study, we propose a novel approach to address the challenges of infectious disease forecasting. We introduce a Multilateral Attention-enhanced GRU model that leverages information from multiple sources, thus enabling a comprehensive analysis of factors influencing the spread of a pandemic. By incorporating attention mechanisms within a GRU framework, our model can effectively capture complex relationships and temporal dependencies in the data, leading to improved forecasting performance. Further, we have curated a well-structured multi-source dataset for the recent COVID-19 pandemic that the research community can utilize as a great resource to conduct experiments and analysis on time-series forecasting. We evaluated the proposed model on our COVID-19 dataset and reported the output in terms of RMSE and MAE. The experimental results provide evidence that our proposed model surpasses existing techniques in terms of performance. We also performed performance gain and qualitative analysis on our dataset to evaluate the impact of the attention mechanism and show that the proposed model closely follows the trajectory of the pandemic.

Real-time dynamic path planning in complex traffic environments presents challenges, such as varying traffic volumes and signal wait times. Traditional static routing algorithms like Dijkstra and A* compute shortest paths but often fail under dynamic conditions. Recent Reinforcement Learning (RL) approaches offer improvements but tend to focus on local optima, risking dead-ends or boundary issues. This paper proposes a novel approach based on causal inference for real-time dynamic path planning, balancing global and local optimality. We first use the static Dijkstra algorithm to compute a globally optimal baseline path. A distributed control strategy then guides vehicles along this path. At intersections, DynamicRouteGPT performs real-time decision-making for local path selection, considering real-time traffic, driving preferences, and unexpected events. DynamicRouteGPT integrates Markov chains, Bayesian inference, and large-scale pretrained language models like Llama3 8B to provide an efficient path planning solution. It dynamically adjusts to traffic scenarios and driver preferences and requires no pre-training, offering broad applicability across road networks. A key innovation is the construction of causal graphs for counterfactual reasoning, optimizing path decisions. Experimental results show that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance in real-time dynamic path planning for multiple vehicles while providing explainable path selections, offering a novel and efficient solution for complex traffic environments.

Dynamic pricing is a promising strategy to address the challenges of smart charging, as traditional time-of-use (ToU) rates and stationary pricing (SP) do not dynamically react to changes in operating conditions, reducing revenue for charging station (CS) vendors and affecting grid stability. Previous studies evaluated single objectives or linear combinations of objectives for EV CS pricing solutions, simplifying trade-offs and preferences among objectives. We develop a novel formulation for the dynamic pricing problem by addressing multiple conflicting objectives efficiently instead of solely focusing on one objective or metric, as in earlier works. We find optimal trade-offs or Pareto solutions efficiently using Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithms (NSGA) II and NSGA III. A dynamic pricing model quantifies the relationship between demand and price while simultaneously solving multiple conflicting objectives, such as revenue, quality of service (QoS), and peak-to-average ratios (PAR). A single method can only address some of the above aspects of dynamic pricing comprehensively. We present a three-part dynamic pricing approach using a Bayesian model, multi-objective optimization, and multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) using pseudo-weight vectors. To address the research gap in CS pricing, our method selects solutions using revenue, QoS, and PAR metrics simultaneously. Two California charging sites' real-world data validates our approach.

The development history of landscape architecture (LA) reflects the human pursuit of environmental beautification and ecological balance. With the advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies that simulate and extend human intelligence, immense opportunities have been provided for LA, offering scientific and technological support throughout the entire workflow. In this article, we comprehensively review the applications of AI technology in the field of LA. First, we introduce the many potential benefits that AI brings to the design, planning, and management aspects of LA. Secondly, we discuss how AI can assist the LA field in solving its current development problems, including urbanization, environmental degradation and ecological decline, irrational planning, insufficient management and maintenance, and lack of public participation. Furthermore, we summarize the key technologies and practical cases of applying AI in the LA domain, from design assistance to intelligent management, all of which provide innovative solutions for the planning, design, and maintenance of LA. Finally, we look ahead to the problems and opportunities in LA, emphasizing the need to combine human expertise and judgment for rational decision-making. This article provides both theoretical and practical guidance for LA designers, researchers, and technology developers. The successful integration of AI technology into LA holds great promise for enhancing the field's capabilities and achieving more sustainable, efficient, and user-friendly outcomes.

Recently, reinforcement learning (RL) has proved a promising alternative for conventional local heuristics in score-based approaches to learning directed acyclic causal graphs (DAGs) from observational data. However, the intricate acyclicity constraint still challenges the efficient exploration of the vast space of DAGs in existing methods. In this study, we introduce ALIAS (reinforced dAg Learning wIthout Acyclicity conStraints), a novel approach to causal discovery powered by the RL machinery. Our method features an efficient policy for generating DAGs in just a single step with an optimal quadratic complexity, fueled by a novel parametrization of DAGs that directly translates a continuous space to the space of all DAGs, bypassing the need for explicitly enforcing acyclicity constraints. This approach enables us to navigate the search space more effectively by utilizing policy gradient methods and established scoring functions. In addition, we provide compelling empirical evidence for the strong performance of ALIAS in comparison with state-of-the-arts in causal discovery over increasingly difficult experiment conditions on both synthetic and real datasets.

Density deconvolution addresses the estimation of the unknown (probability) density function $f$ of a random signal from data that are observed with an independent additive random noise. This is a classical problem in statistics, for which frequentist and Bayesian nonparametric approaches are available to deal with static or batch data. In this paper, we consider the problem of density deconvolution in a streaming or online setting where noisy data arrive progressively, with no predetermined sample size, and we develop a sequential nonparametric approach to estimate $f$. By relying on a quasi-Bayesian sequential approach, often referred to as Newton's algorithm, we obtain estimates of $f$ that are of easy evaluation, computationally efficient, and with a computational cost that remains constant as the amount of data increases, which is critical in the streaming setting. Large sample asymptotic properties of the proposed estimates are studied, yielding provable guarantees with respect to the estimation of $f$ at a point (local) and on an interval (uniform). In particular, we establish local and uniform central limit theorems, providing corresponding asymptotic credible intervals and bands. We validate empirically our methods on synthetic and real data, by considering the common setting of Laplace and Gaussian noise distributions, and make a comparison with respect to the kernel-based approach and a Bayesian nonparametric approach with a Dirichlet process mixture prior.

Interpretability research aims to provide a human-understandable explanation for model outputs and behaviors based on the input and model's internal structure [Doshi-Velez and Kim, 2017]. The field's goal is to generate mechanistic explanations of how neural networks perform computations and produce behaviors [Nanda et al., 2023, Olsson et al., 2022], which could help predict the behavior of such networks across a wide range of scenarios and possibly solve notable problems of AI systems, such as hallucination and toxic output [Ji et al., 2023]. Being able to interpret AI systems is therefore a key capability to be able to understand whether models are appropriately fair, reliable, robust, and worthy of user trust [Doshi-Velez and Kim, 2017]. However, understanding the computations of frontier AI systems with hundreds of billions of parameters presents many technical challenges, from the curse of dimensionality [Zhao et al., 2024, Altman and Krzywinski, 2018] to finding a suitable unit of analysis [Olah et al., 2020, Zou et al., 2023]. These challenges are par for the course when studying complex systems. In particular, many challenges around artificial neural networks (ANN) interpretability are intimately familiar to another group of researchers: neuroscientists. Neuroscience (often in partnership with cognitive science and psychology) investigates how neurons, their connections, and their activity patterns give rise to cognition and behavior. Similar to how deep learning researchers have recognized, neuroscientists have realized that simply examining activity profiles of individual neurons in response to a particular input is often insufficient for understanding how the system performs computation. Instead, complex neural systems are best understood across multiple levels of analysis - considering behavior alongside the brain's connectome, population codes, and codes of single neurons to gain a holistic understanding of the inner workings of the brain

Computational complexity of Bayesian learning is impeding its adoption in practical, large-scale tasks. Despite demonstrations of significant merits such as improved robustness and resilience to unseen or out-of-distribution inputs over their non- Bayesian counterparts, their practical use has faded to near insignificance. In this study, we introduce an innovative framework to mitigate the computational burden of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). Our approach follows the principle of Bayesian techniques based on deep ensembles, but significantly reduces their cost via multiple low-rank perturbations of parameters arising from a pre-trained neural network. Both vanilla version of ensembles as well as more sophisticated schemes such as Bayesian learning with Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD), previously deemed impractical for large models, can be seamlessly implemented within the proposed framework, called Bayesian Low-Rank LeArning (Bella). In a nutshell, i) Bella achieves a dramatic reduction in the number of trainable parameters required to approximate a Bayesian posterior; and ii) it not only maintains, but in some instances, surpasses the performance of conventional Bayesian learning methods and non-Bayesian baselines. Our results with large-scale tasks such as ImageNet, CAMELYON17, DomainNet, VQA with CLIP, LLaVA demonstrate the effectiveness and versatility of Bella in building highly scalable and practical Bayesian deep models for real-world applications.