Arguably one of the most important types of information processing is the capacity for probabilistic reasoning. The properties of undirectedproDabilistic models represented as symmetric networks have been studied extensively using methods from statistical mechanics (Hertz et aI, 1991). Detailed analyses of these models are possible by exploiting averaging phenomena that occur in the thermodynamic limit of large networks. In this paper, we analyze the limit of large, multilayer networks for probabilistic models represented as directed acyclic graphs. These models are known as Bayesian networks (Pearl, 1988; Neal, 1992), and they have different probabilistic semantics than symmetric neural networks (such as Hopfield models or Boltzmann machines). We show that the intractability of exact inference in multilayer Bayesian networks Inference in Multilayer Networks via Large Deviation Bounds 261 does not preclude their effective use. Our work builds on earlier studies of variational methods (Jordan et aI, 1997).

We explore in this study the statistical properties of this normalization in the presence of noise. Using simulations, we show that divisive normalization is a close approximation to a maximum likelihood estimator, which, in the context of population coding, is the same as an ideal observer. We also demonstrate analytically that this is a general property of a large class of nonlinear recurrent networks with line attractors. Our work suggests that divisive normalization plays a critical role in noise filtering, and that every cortical layer may be an ideal observer of the activity in the preceding layer. Information processing in the cortex is often formalized as a sequence of a linear stages followed by a nonlinearity.

In supervised learning, we have a set of explicative variables x from which we wish to predict a response variable y.

On the other hand, applications to continuous state/action problems (Werbos, 1990; Doya, 1996; Sofge & White, 1992) are much more difficult than the finite state/action cases. Good function approximation methods and fast learning algorithms are crucial for successful applications. In this article, we propose a new RL method that has the above-mentioned two features. This method is based on an actor-critic architecture (Barto et al., 1983), although the detailed implementations of the actor and the critic are quite differ- Reinforcement Learning Based on On-Line EM Algorithm 1053 ent from those in the original actor-critic model. The actor and the critic in our method estimate a policy and a Q-function, respectively, and are approximated by Normalized Gaussian Networks (NGnet) (l'doody & Darken, 1989).

In previous work [6, 9, 10], we advanced a new technique for direct visual matching of images for the purposes of face recognition and image retrieval, using a probabilistic measure of similarity based primarily on a Bayesian (MAP) analysis of image differences, leading to a "dual" basis similar to eigenfaces [13]. The performance advantage of this probabilistic matching technique over standard Euclidean nearest-neighbor eigenface matching was recently demonstrated using results from DARPA's 1996 "FERET" face recognition competition, in which this probabilistic matching algorithm was found to be the top performer. We have further developed a simple method of replacing the costly com put ion of nonlinear (online) Bayesian similarity measures by the relatively inexpensive computation of linear (offline) subspace projections and simple (online) Euclidean norms, thus resulting in a significant computational speedup for implementation with very large image databases as typically encountered in real-world applications.

This paper presents probabilistic modeling methods to solve the problem of discriminating between five facial orientations with very little labeled data.

We present a probabilistic method for fusion of images produced by multiple sensors. The approach is based on an image formation model in which the sensor images are noisy, locally linear functions of an underlying, true scene. A Bayesian framework then provides for maximum likelihood or maximum a posteriori estimates of the true scene from the sensor images. Maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters of the image formation model involve (local) second order image statistics, and thus are related to local principal component analysis. We demonstrate the efficacy of the method on images from visible-band and infrared sensors. 1 Introduction Advances in sensing devices have fueled the deployment of multiple sensors in several computational vision systems [1, for example]. Using multiple sensors can increase reliability with respect to single sensor systems.

We seek the scene interpretation that best explains image data. For example, we may want to infer the projected velocities (scene) which best explain two consecutive image frames (image).

There has been much recent work on measuring image statistics and on learning probability distributions on images. We observe that the mapping from images to statistics is many-to-one and show it can be quantified by a phase space factor. This phase space approach throws light on the Minimax Entropy technique for learning Gibbs distributions on images with potentials derived from image statistics and elucidates the ambiguities that are inherent to determining the potentials. In addition, it shows that if the phase factor can be approximated by an analytic distribution then this approximation yields a swift "Minutemax" algorithm that vastly reduces the computation time for Minimax entropy learning. An illustration of this concept, using a Gaussian to approximate the phase factor, gives a good approximation to the results of Zhu and Mumford (1997) in just seconds of CPU time. The phase space approach also gives insight into the multi-scale potentials found by Zhu and Mumford (1997) and suggests that the forms of the potentials are influenced greatly by phase space considerations. Finally, we prove that probability distributions learned in feature space alone are equivalent to Minimax Entropy learning with a multinomial approximation of the phase factor. 1 Introduction Bayesian probability theory gives a powerful framework for visual perception (Knill and Richards 1996). This approach, however, requires specifying prior probabilities and likelihood functions. Learning these probabilities is difficult because it requires estimating distributions on random variables of very high dimensions (for example, images with 200 x 200 pixels, or shape curves of length 400 pixels).

We describe Maximum-Likelihood Continuity Mapping (MALCOM), an alternative to hidden Markov models (HMMs) for processing sequence data such as speech. While HMMs have a discrete "hidden" space constrained by a fixed finite-automaton architecture, MALCOM has a continuous hidden space-a continuity map-that is constrained only by a smoothness requirement on paths through the space. MALCOM fits into the same probabilistic framework for speech recognition as HMMs, but it represents a more realistic model of the speech production process. To evaluate the extent to which MALCOM captures speech production information, we generated continuous speech continuity maps for three speakers and used the paths through them to predict measured speech articulator data. The median correlation between the MALCOM paths obtained from only the speech acoustics and articulator measurements was 0.77 on an independent test set not used to train MALCOM or the predictor.