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 Uncertainty


Learning with Multiple Labels

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we study a special kind of learning problem in which each training instance is given a set of (or distribution over) candidate class labels and only one of the candidate labels is the correct one. Such a problem can occur, e.g., in an information retrieval setting where a set of words is associated with an image, or if classes labels are organized hierarchically. We propose a novel discriminative approach for handling the ambiguity of class labels in the training examples. The experiments with the proposed approach over five different UCI datasets show that our approach is able to find the correct label among the set of candidate labels and actually achieve performance close to the case when each training instance is given a single correct label. In contrast, naIve methods degrade rapidly as more ambiguity is introduced into the labels. 1 Introduction Supervised and unsupervised learning problems have been extensively studied in the machine learning literature. In supervised classification each training instance is associated with a single class label, while in unsupervised classification (i.e.


Optimality of Reinforcement Learning Algorithms with Linear Function Approximation

Neural Information Processing Systems

There are several reinforcement learning algorithms that yield approximate solutionsfor the problem of policy evaluation when the value function is represented with a linear function approximator. In this paper we show that each of the solutions is optimal with respect to a specific objective function.


Conditional Models on the Ranking Poset

Neural Information Processing Systems

A distance-based conditional model on the ranking poset is presented for use in classification and ranking. The model is an extension of the Mallows model, and generalizes the classifier combination methods used by several ensemble learning algorithms, including error correcting output codes, discrete AdaBoost, logistic regression and cranking. The algebraic structure of the ranking poset leads to a simple Bayesian interpretation ofthe conditional model and its special cases. In addition to a unifying view, the framework suggests a probabilistic interpretation for error correcting output codes and an extension beyond the binary coding scheme.


Data-Dependent Bounds for Bayesian Mixture Methods

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider Bayesian mixture approaches, where a predictor is constructed by forming a weighted average of hypotheses from some space of functions. While such procedures are known to lead to optimal predictors in several cases, where sufficiently accurate prior information is available, it has not been clear how they perform when some of the prior assumptions are violated. In this paper we establish data-dependent bounds for such procedures, extending previous randomized approaches such as the Gibbs algorithm to a fully Bayesian setting. The finite-sample guarantees established in this work enable the utilization of Bayesian mixture approaches in agnostic settings, where the usual assumptions of the Bayesian paradigm fail to hold. Moreover, the bounds derived can be directly applied to non-Bayesian mixture approaches such as Bagging and Boosting.


"Name That Song!" A Probabilistic Approach to Querying on Music and Text

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a novel, flexible statistical approach for modelling music and text jointly. The approach is based on multi-modal mixture models and maximum a posteriori estimation using EM. The learned models can be used to browse databases with documents containing music and text, to search for music using queries consisting of music and text (lyrics and other contextual information), to annotate text documents with music, and to automatically recommend or identify similar songs.


Independent Components Analysis through Product Density Estimation

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a simple direct approach for solving the ICA problem, using density estimation and maximum likelihood. Given a candidate orthogonalframe, we model each of the coordinates using a semi-parametric density estimate based on cubic splines. Since our estimates have two continuous derivatives, we can easily run a second ordersearch for the frame parameters. Our method performs very favorably when compared to state-of-the-art techniques. 1 Introduction Independent component analysis (ICA) is a popular enhancement over principal component analysis (PCA) and factor analysis. IRP which is assumed to arise from a linear mixing of a latent random source vector S E IRP, (1) X AS; the components Sj, j 1, ...,p of S are assumed to be independently distributed.


A Note on the Representational Incompatibility of Function Approximation and Factored Dynamics

Neural Information Processing Systems

We establish a new hardness result that shows that the difficulty of planning infactored Markov decision processes is representational rather than just computational. More precisely, we give a fixed family of factored MDPswith linear rewards whose optimal policies and value functions simply cannot be represented succinctly in any standard parametric form. Previous hardness results indicated that computing good policies from the MDP parameters was difficult, but left open the possibility of succinct function approximation for any fixed factored MDP. Our result applies even to policies which yield a polynomially poor approximation to the optimal value, and highlights interesting connections with the complexity classof Arthur-Merlin games.


A Hierarchical Bayesian Markovian Model for Motifs in Biopolymer Sequences

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a dynamic Bayesian model for motifs in biopolymer sequences whichcaptures rich biological prior knowledge and positional dependencies in motif structure in a principled way. Our model posits that the position-specific multinomial parameters for monomer distribution aredistributed as a latent Dirichlet-mixture random variable, and the position-specific Dirichlet component is determined by a hidden Markov process. Model parameters can be fit on training motifs using a variational EMalgorithm within an empirical Bayesian framework. Variational inference is also used for detecting hidden motifs. Our model improves overprevious models that ignore biological priors and positional dependence. It has much higher sensitivity to motifs during detection and a notable ability to distinguish genuine motifs from false recurring patterns.


A Model for Learning Variance Components of Natural Images

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a hierarchical Bayesian model for learning efficient codes of higher-order structure in natural images. The model, a nonlinear generalization ofindependent component analysis, replaces the standard assumption of independence for the joint distribution of coefficients with a distribution that is adapted to the variance structure of the coefficients of an efficient image basis. This offers a novel description of higherorder imagestructure and provides a way to learn coarse-coded, sparsedistributed representationsof abstract image properties such as object location, scale, and texture.


A Probabilistic Model for Learning Concatenative Morphology

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper describes a system for the unsupervised learning of morphological suffixesand stems from word lists. The system is composed of a generative probability model and hill-climbing and directed search algorithms. Byextracting and examining morphologically rich subsets of an input lexicon, the directed search identifies highly productive paradigms.