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 Uncertainty


Near-Uniform Sampling of Combinatorial Spaces Using XOR Constraints

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a new technique for sampling the solutions of combinatorial problems in a near-uniform manner. We focus on problems specified as a Boolean formula, i.e., on SAT instances. Sampling for SAT problems has been shown to have interesting connections with probabilistic reasoning, making practical sampling algorithms for SAT highly desirable. The best current approaches are based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, which have some practical limitations.


An EM Algorithm for Localizing Multiple Sound Sources in Reverberant Environments

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a method for localizing and separating sound sources in stereo recordings that is robust to reverberation and does not make any assumptions about the source statistics. The method consists of a probabilistic model of binaural multisource recordings and an expectation maximization algorithm for finding the maximum likelihood parameters of that model. These parameters include distributions over delays and assignments of time-frequency regions to sources. We evaluate this method against two comparable algorithms on simulations of simultaneous speech from two or three sources. Our method outperforms the others in anechoic conditions and performs as well as the better of the two in the presence of reverberation.


Non-rigid point set registration: Coherent Point Drift

Neural Information Processing Systems

We introduce Coherent Point Drift (CPD), a novel probabilistic method for nonrigid registrationof point sets. The registration is treated as a Maximum Likelihood (ML)estimation problem with motion coherence constraint over the velocity field such that one point set moves coherently to align with the second set. We formulate the motion coherence constraint and derive a solution of regularized ML estimation through the variational approach, which leads to an elegant kernel form. We also derive the EM algorithm for the penalized ML optimization with deterministic annealing. The CPD method simultaneously finds both the nonrigid transformation and the correspondence between two point sets without making any prior assumption of the transformation model except that of motion coherence. Thismethod can estimate complex nonlinear nonrigid transformations, and is shown to be accurate on 2D and 3D examples and robust in the presence of outliers and missing points.


Approximate inference using planar graph decomposition

Neural Information Processing Systems

A number of exact and approximate methods are available for inference calculations ingraphical models. Many recent approximate methods for graphs with cycles are based on tractable algorithms for tree structured graphs. Here we base the approximation on a different tractable model, planar graphs with binary variables andpure interaction potentials (no external field). The partition function for such models can be calculated exactly using an algorithm introduced by Fisher and Kasteleyn in the 1960s. We show how such tractable planar models can be used in a decomposition to derive upper bounds on the partition function of non-planar models.


Stratification Learning: Detecting Mixed Density and Dimensionality in High Dimensional Point Clouds

Neural Information Processing Systems

The study of point cloud data sampled from a stratification, a collection of manifolds withpossible different dimensions, is pursued in this paper. We present a technique for simultaneously soft clustering and estimating the mixed dimensionality anddensity of such structures. The framework is based on a maximum likelihood estimationof a Poisson mixture model. The presentation of the approach is completed with artificial and real examples demonstrating the importance of extending manifold learning to stratification learning.


Relational Learning with Gaussian Processes

Neural Information Processing Systems

Correlation between instances is often modelled via a kernel function using input attributesof the instances. Relational knowledge can further reveal additional pairwise correlations between variables of interest. In this paper, we develop a class of models which incorporates both reciprocal relational information and input attributesusing Gaussian process techniques. This approach provides a novel nonparametric Bayesian framework with a data-dependent covariance function for supervised learning tasks. We also apply this framework to semi-supervised learning. Experimental results on several real world data sets verify the usefulness of this algorithm.


Causal inference in sensorimotor integration

Neural Information Processing Systems

Many recent studies analyze how data from different modalities can be combined. Often this is modeled as a system that optimally combines several sources of information aboutthe same variable. However, it has long been realized that this information combining depends on the interpretation of the data. Two cues that are perceived by different modalities can have different causal relationships: (1) They can both have the same cause, in this case we should fully integrate both cues into a joint estimate.


An EM Algorithm for Localizing Multiple Sound Sources in Reverberant Environments

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a method for localizing and separating sound sources in stereo recordings thatis robust to reverberation and does not make any assumptions about the source statistics. The method consists of a probabilistic model of binaural multisource recordingsand an expectation maximization algorithm for finding the maximum likelihood parameters of that model. These parameters include distributions over delays and assignments of time-frequency regions to sources. We evaluate this method against two comparable algorithms on simulations of simultaneous speech from two or three sources. Our method outperforms the others in anechoic conditionsand performs as well as the better of the two in the presence of reverberation.


Inferring Network Structure from Co-Occurrences

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider the problem of inferring the structure of a network from cooccurrence data:observations that indicate which nodes occur in a signaling pathway but do not directly reveal node order within the pathway. This problem is motivated by network inference problems arising in computational biology and communication systems, in which it is difficult or impossible to obtain precise time ordering information. Without order information, every permutation of the activated nodes leads to a different feasible solution, resulting in combinatorial explosion of the feasible set. However, physical principles underlying most networked systemssuggest that not all feasible solutions are equally likely. Intuitively, nodes that cooccur more frequently are probably more closely connected. Building on this intuition, we model path co-occurrences as randomly shuffled samples of a random walk on the network. We derive a computationally efficient network inference algorithm and, via novel concentration inequalities for importance samplingestimators, prove that a polynomial complexity Monte Carlo version of the algorithm converges with high probability.


Bayesian Detection of Infrequent Differences in Sets of Time Series with Shared Structure

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a hierarchical Bayesian model for sets of related, but different, classes of time series data. Our model performs alignment simultaneously across all classes, while detecting and characterizing class-specific differences. During inference themodel produces, for each class, a distribution over a canonical representation ofthe class. These class-specific canonical representations are automatically aligned to one another -- preserving common substructures, and highlighting differences.