Ecosystem Informatics brings together mathematical and computational tools to address scientific and policy challenges in the ecosystem sciences. These challenges include novel sensors for collecting data, algorithms for automated data cleaning, learning methods for building statistical models from data and for fitting mechanistic models to data, and algorithms for designing optimal policies for biosphere management. This presentation discusses these challenges and then describes recent work on the first two of these--new methods for automated arthropod population counting and linear Gaussian DBNs for automated cleaning of sensor network data.

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are promising Bayesian methods for classification and regression problems. They have also been used for semi-supervised learning tasks. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for solving semi-supervised binary classification problem using sparse GP regression (GPR) models. It is closely related to semi-supervised learning based on support vector regression (SVR) and maximum margin clustering. The proposed algorithm is simple and easy to implement. It gives a sparse solution directly unlike the SVR based algorithm. Also, the hyperparameters are estimated easily without resorting to expensive cross-validation technique. Use of sparse GPR model helps in making the proposed algorithm scalable. Preliminary results on synthetic and real-world data sets demonstrate the efficacy of the new algorithm.

Extreme Components Analysis (XCA) is a statistical method based on a single eigenvalue decomposition to recover the optimal combination of principal and minor components in the data. Unfortunately, minor components are notoriously sensitive to overfitting when the number of data items is small relative to the number of attributes. We present a Bayesian extension of XCA by introducing a conjugate prior for the parameters of the XCA model. This Bayesian-XCA is shown to outperform plain vanilla XCA as well as Bayesian-PCA and XCA based on a frequentist correction to the sample spectrum. Moreover, we show that minor components are only picked when they represent genuine constraints in the data, even for very small sample sizes. An extension to mixtures of Bayesian XCA models is also explored.

In social choice, a preference function (PF) takes a set of votes (linear orders over a set of alternatives) as input, and produces one or more rankings (also linear orders over the alternatives) as output. Such functions have many applications, for example, aggregating the preferences of multiple agents, or merging rankings (of, say, webpages) into a single ranking. The key issue is choosing a PF to use. One natural and previously studied approach is to assume that there is an unobserved "correct" ranking, and the votes are noisy estimates of this. Then, we can use the PF that always chooses the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the correct ranking. In this paper, we define simple ranking scoring functions (SRSFs) and show that the class of neutral SRSFs is exactly the class of neutral PFs that are MLEs for some noise model. We also define composite ranking scoring functions (CRSFs) and show a condition under which these coincide with SRSFs. We study key properties such as consistency and continuity, and consider some example PFs. In particular, we study Single Transferable Vote (STV), a commonly used PF, showing that it is a CRSF but not an SRSF, thereby clarifying the extent to which it is an MLE function. This also gives a new perspective on how ties should be broken under STV. We leave some open questions.

iMatch is a probabilistic scheme for ontology matching based on Markov networks, which has several advantages over other probabilistic schemes. First, it uses undirected networks, which better supports the non-causal nature of the dependencies. Second, it handles the high computational complexity involved by approximate reasoning, rather then by ad-hoc pruning. Third, the probabilities that it uses are learned from matched data. Finally, iMatch naturally supports interactive semi-automatic matches. Experiments using the standard benchmark tests that compare our approach with the most promising existing systems show that iMatch is one of the top performers.

Robots operating in home environments must be able to interact with articulated objects such as doors or drawers.  Ideally, robots are able to autonomously infer articulation models by observation.  In this paper, we present an approach to learn kinematic models by inferring the connectivity of rigid parts and the articulation models for the corresponding links.  Our method uses a mixture of parameterized and parameter-free (Gaussian process) representations and finds low-dimensional manifolds that provide the best explanation of the given observations.  Our approach has been implemented and evaluated using real data obtained in various realistic home environment settings.

Sensors provide computer systems with a window to the outside world. Activity recognition "sees" what is in the window to predict the locations, trajectories, actions, goals and plans of humans and objects. Building an activity recognition system requires a full range of interaction from statistical inference on lower level sensor data to symbolic AI at higher levels, where prediction results and acquired knowledge are passed up each level to form a knowledge food chain. In this article, I will give an overview of some of the current activity recognition research works and explore a life-cycle of learning and inference that allows the lowest-level radio-frequency signals to be transformed into symbolic logical representations for AI planning, which in turn controls the robots or guides human users through a sensor network, thus completing a full life-cycle of knowledge.

Interactive dynamic influence diagrams (I-DIDs) are graphical models for  sequential  decision making  in  partially observable  settings shared  by other  agents.  Algorithms  for solving  I-DIDs  face the challenge  of an  exponentially  growing space  of candidate  models ascribed to  other agents, over time. Previous  approach for exactly   solving I-DIDs groups together  models having similar solutions into behaviorally  equivalent  classes  and  updates these  classes.   We present a  new method that, in addition  to aggregating behaviorally equivalent  models, further groups  models that  prescribe identical actions at a single time step. We show how to update these augmented classes  and prove  that  our  method is  exact.   The new  approach   enables us to bound the aggregated model space by the cardinality of   other  agents'  actions. We  evaluate  its  performance and  provide   empirical results in support.

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are promising Bayesian methods for classification and regression problems. They have also been used for semi-supervised learning tasks. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for solving semi-supervised binary classification problem using sparse GP regression (GPR) models. It is closely related to semi-supervised learning based on support vector regression (SVR) and maximum margin clustering. The proposed algorithm is simple and easy to implement. It gives a sparse solution directly unlike the SVR based algorithm. Also, the hyperparameters are estimated easily without resorting to expensive cross-validation technique. Use of sparse GPR model helps in making the proposed algorithm scalable. Preliminary results on synthetic and real-world data sets demonstrate the efficacy of the new algorithm.

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are promising Bayesian methods for classification and regression problems. They have also been used for semi-supervised learning tasks. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for solving semi-supervised binary classification problem using sparse GP regression (GPR) models. It is closely related to semi-supervised learning based on support vector regression (SVR) and maximum margin clustering. The proposed algorithm is simple and easy to implement. It gives a sparse solution directly unlike the SVR based algorithm. Also, the hyperparameters are estimated easily without resorting to expensive cross-validation technique. Use of sparse GPR model helps in making the proposed algorithm scalable. Preliminary results on synthetic and real-world data sets demonstrate the efficacy of the new algorithm.