Researchers often summarize their work in the form of posters. Posters provide a coherent and efficient way to convey core ideas from scientific papers. Generating a good scientific poster, however, is a complex and time consuming cognitive task, since such posters need to be readable, informative, and visually aesthetic. In this paper, for the first time, we study the challenging problem of learning to generate posters from scientific papers. To this end, a data-driven framework, that utilizes graphical models, is proposed. Specifically, given content to display, the key elements of a good poster, including panel layout and attributes of each panel, are learned and inferred from data. Then, given inferred layout and attributes, composition of graphical elements within each panel is synthesized. To learn and validate our model, we collect and make public a Poster-Paper dataset, which consists of scientific papers and corresponding posters with exhaustively labelled panels and attributes. Qualitative and quantitative results indicate the effectiveness of our approach.

I wrote a series of blog posts on Bayesian modeling with R and Stan. Stan is a growing platform for MC(MC) computing implemented with C . Compared to WinBUGS or OpenBUGS, it is very fast and programmable intuitively. This series of the posts show how to install Stan on R, how to run it, and how to apply it to actual datasets. I hope you'll find it to practice Bayesian modeling easier than ever.

So you know the Bayes rule. How does it relate to machine learning? It can be quite difficult to grasp how the puzzle pieces fit together – we know it took us a while. This article is an introduction we wish we had back then. While we have some grasp on the matter, we're not experts, so the following might contain inaccuracies or even outright errors.

We propose here a simple, robust and scalable technique to perform supervised clustering on numerical data. It can also be used for density estimation, and even to define a concept of variance that is scale-invariant. This is part of our general statistical framework for data science. Here we discuss clustering and density estimation on the grid. The grid can be seen as an 2-dimensional or 3-dimensional array.

We study the robustness of active learning (AL) algorithms against prior misspecification: whether an algorithm achieves similar performance using a perturbed prior as compared to using the true prior. In both the average and worst cases of the maximum coverage setting, we prove that all $\alpha$-approximate algorithms are robust (i.e., near $\alpha$-approximate) if the utility is Lipschitz continuous in the prior. We further show that robustness may not be achieved if the utility is non-Lipschitz. This suggests we should use a Lipschitz utility for AL if robustness is required. For the minimum cost setting, we can also obtain a robustness result for approximate AL algorithms. Our results imply that many commonly used AL algorithms are robust against perturbed priors. We then propose the use of a mixture prior to alleviate the problem of prior misspecification. We analyze the robustness of the uniform mixture prior and show experimentally that it performs reasonably well in practice.

You know that you want to build a predictive model. You've framed your problem in terms of classification or regression. You've prepared some training data (which took an age). You've heard or experienced first hand that Random Forests, Elastic Net Regression or Deep Belief Networks are "the business" and so you're going to use one of these (you've probably already verified that these algorithms are appropriate to your problem based on their general capabilities: whether it be their ability to deal with real valued data, "big" streaming data, multiple classes and so on). However, no two algorithms are the same (if they were we'd simply have fewer to choose from). As such there are a host of questions that you may not have even thought to ask which could make or break your choice.

What are some recent advances in non-convex optimization research? Non-convex optimization is now ubiquitous in machine learning. While previously, the focus was on convex relaxation methods, now the emphasis is on being able to solve non-convex problems directly. It is not possible to find the global optimum of every non-convex problem due to NP-hardness barrier. An alternate approach is: when can it be solved efficiently (preferably in low order polynomial time).

Joint state and parameter estimation is a core problem for dynamic Bayesian networks. Although modern probabilistic inference toolkits make it relatively easy to specify large and practically relevant probabilistic models, the silver bullet---an efficient and general online inference algorithm for such problems---remains elusive, forcing users to write special-purpose code for each application. We propose a novel blackbox algorithm -- a hybrid of particle filtering for state variables and assumed density filtering for parameter variables. It has following advantages: (a) it is efficient due to its online nature, and (b) it is applicable to both discrete and continuous parameter spaces . On a variety of toy and real models, our system is able to generate more accurate results within a fixed computation budget. This preliminary evidence indicates that the proposed approach is likely to be of practical use.

So you know the Bayes rule. How does it relate to machine learning? It can be quite difficult to grasp how the puzzle pieces fit together - we know it took us a while. This article is an introduction we wish we had back then. While we have some grasp on the matter, we're not experts, so the following might contain inaccuracies or even outright errors.

We represent knowledge as integrity constraints in a formalization of probabilistic spatio-temporal knowledge bases. We start by defining the syntax and semantics of a formalization called PST knowledge bases. This definition generalizes an earlier version, called SPOT, which is a declarative framework for the representation and processing of probabilistic spatio-temporal data where probability is represented as an interval because the exact value is unknown. We augment the previous definition by adding a type of non-atomic formula that expresses integrity constraints. The result is a highly expressive formalism for knowledge representation dealing with probabilistic spatio-temporal data. We obtain complexity results both for checking the consistency of PST knowledge bases and for answering queries in PST knowledge bases, and also specify tractable cases. All the domains in the PST framework are finite, but we extend our results also to arbitrarily large finite domains.