Uncertainty
Bayesian neural networks increasingly sparsify their units with depth
Vladimirova, Mariia, Arbel, Julyan, Mesejo, Pablo
We investigate deep Bayesian neural networks with Gaussian priors on the weights and ReLU-like nonlinearities, shedding light on novel sparsity-inducing mechanisms at the level of the units of the network, both pre- and post-nonlinearities. The main thrust of the paper is to establish that the units prior distribution becomes increasingly heavy-tailed with depth. We show that first layer units are Gaussian, second layer units are sub-Exponential, and we introduce sub-Weibull distributions to characterize the deeper layers units. Bayesian neural networks with Gaussian priors are well known to induce the weight decay penalty on the weights. In contrast, our result indicates a more elaborate regularisation scheme at the level of the units, ranging from convex penalties for the first two layers - weight decay for the first and Lasso for the second - to non convex penalties for deeper layers. Thus, despite weight decay does not allow for the weights to be set exactly to zero, sparse solutions tend to be selected for the units from the second layer onward. This result provides new theoretical insight on deep Bayesian neural networks, underpinning their natural shrinkage properties and practical potential.
Panda: AdaPtive Noisy Data Augmentation for Regularization of Undirected Graphical Models
Li, Yinan, Liu, Xiao, Liu, Fang
We propose PANDA, an AdaPtive Noise Augmentation technique to regularize estimating and constructing undirected graphical models (UGMs). PANDA iteratively solves MLEs given noise augmented data in the regression-based framework until convergence to achieve the designed regularization effects. The augmented noises can be designed to achieve various regularization effects on graph estimation, including the bridge, elastic net, adaptive lasso, and SCAD penalization; it can also offer group lasso and fused ridge when some nodes belong to the same group. We establish theoretically that the noise-augmented loss functions and its minimizer converge almost surely to the expected penalized loss function and its minimizer, respectively. We derive the asymptotic distributions for the regularized regression coefficients through PANDA in GLMs, based on which, the inferences for the parameters can be obtained simultaneously with variable selection. Our empirical results suggest the inferences achieve nominal or near-nominal coverage and are far more efficient compared to some existing post-selection procedures. On the algorithm level, PANDA can be easily programmed in any standard software without resorting to complicated optimization techniques. We show the non-inferior performance of PANDA in constructing graphs of different types in simulation studies and also apply PANDA to the autism spectrum disorder data to construct a mixed-node graph.
The Viterbi process, decay-convexity and parallelized maximum a-posteriori estimation
The Viterbi process is the limiting maximum a-posteriori estimate of the unobserved path in a hidden Markov model as the length of the time horizon grows. The existence of such a process suggests that approximate estimation using optimization algorithms which process data segments in parallel may be accurate. For models on state-space $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ satisfying a new "decay-convexity" condition, we approach the existence of the Viterbi process through fixed points of ordinary differential equations in a certain infinite dimensional Hilbert space. Quantitative bounds on the distance to the Viterbi process show that approximate estimation via parallelization can indeed be accurate and scaleable to high-dimensional problems because the rate of convergence to the Viterbi process does not necessarily depend on $d$.
Learning under Misspecified Objective Spaces
Bobu, Andreea, Bajcsy, Andrea, Fisac, Jaime F., Dragan, Anca D.
Learning robot objective functions from human input has become increasingly important, but state-of-the-art techniques assume that the human's desired objective lies within the robot's hypothesis space. When this is not true, even methods that keep track of uncertainty over the objective fail because they reason about which hypothesis might be correct, and not whether any of the hypotheses are correct. We focus specifically on learning from physical human corrections during the robot's task execution, where not having a rich enough hypothesis space leads to the robot updating its objective in ways that the person did not actually intend. We observe that such corrections appear irrelevant to the robot, because they are not the best way of achieving any of the candidate objectives. Instead of naively trusting and learning from every human interaction, we propose robots learn conservatively by reasoning in real time about how relevant the human's correction is for the robot's hypothesis space. We test our inference method in an experiment with human interaction data, and demonstrate that this alleviates unintended learning in an in-person user study with a 7DoF robot manipulator.
MOANOFS: Multi-Objective Automated Negotiation based Online Feature Selection System for Big Data Classification
Said, Fatma Ben, Alimi, Adel M.
Abstract-- Feature Selection (FS) plays an important role in learning and classification tasks. The object of FS is to select the relevant and non-redundant features. Considering the huge amount number of features in real-world applications, FS methods using batch learning technique can't resolve big data problem especially when data arrive sequentially. In this paper, we propose an online feature selection system which resolves this problem. More specifically, we treat the problem of online supervised feature selection for binary classification as a decision-making problem. A philosophical vision to this problem leads to a hybridization between two important domains: feature selection using online learning technique (OFS) and automated negotiation (AN). The proposed OFS system called MOANOFS (Multi-Objective Automated Negotiation based Online Feature Selection) uses two levels of decision. In the first level, from n learners (or OFS methods), we decide which are the k trustful ones (with high confidence or trust value). These elected k learners will participate in the second level. In this level, we integrate our proposed Multilateral Automated Negotiation based OFS (MANOFS) method to decide finally which is the best solution or which are relevant features. We show that MOANOFS system is applicable to different domains successfully and achieves high accuracy with several real-world applications. Index Terms-- Feature selection, online learning, multi-objective automated negotiation, trust, classification, big data. URING the last three decades, Feature Selection (FS) has been extensively studied in Data Mining [1], [2], Pattern Classification [3], [4] and Machine Learning [5], [6]. FS is defined as the process of selecting a subset of relevant features and removing the redundant ones from a dataset for building effective prediction models. In recent years, an enormous increase in data (news, medical imaging) has been observed which allows an increase in redundant information. Even worse, the redundancy of irrelevant data has a negative impact on the performance of classification methods associated. With the rapid development of the Internet, current tremendous amounts of data up to millions or billions, can be collected for training machine learning models.
Learning Tensor Latent Features
Chang, Sung-En, Zheng, Xun, Yen, Ian E. H., Ravikumar, Pradeep, Yu, Rose
Compared to the classic latent factor models [14], latent feature models have two main benefits: (1) interpretablity: the binary codes directly reveal whether certain features exist in the data, thus provide more interpretable latent profiles [25]; (2) scalability: compared with real-valued codes, binary codes require fewer bits to store, thereby cutting down the memory footprint, making it easier to deploy into memory constrained environments such as mobile devices. Tensor latent feature models generalize traditional matrix latent feature models to represent high-order correlation structures in the data. For example, in spatiotemporal recommender systems, the observations are user activities over different locations and time. We want to learn the latent features and codes that correspond to user, space and time simultaneously without assuming conditional independence of these three dimensions. In this case, we can first represent such data as a high-order tensor and assign binary codes encoding presence or absence of rows for individual modes of the tensor. These codes can then help us answer the "when" and "where" questions regarding the learned user preferences. Besides the non-convex formulation of the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) objective, learning latent feature models is further complicated by the combinatorial nature of the codes.
Towards Differentially Private Truth Discovery for Crowd Sensing Systems
Li, Yaliang, Xiao, Houping, Qin, Zhan, Miao, Chenglin, Su, Lu, Gao, Jing, Ren, Kui, Ding, Bolin
Nowadays, crowd sensing becomes increasingly more popular due to the ubiquitous usage of mobile devices. However, the quality of such human-generated sensory data varies significantly among different users. To better utilize sensory data, the problem of truth discovery, whose goal is to estimate user quality and infer reliable aggregated results through quality-aware data aggregation, has emerged as a hot topic. Although the existing truth discovery approaches can provide reliable aggregated results, they fail to protect the private information of individual users. Moreover, crowd sensing systems typically involve a large number of participants, making encryption or secure multi-party computation based solutions difficult to deploy. To address these challenges, in this paper, we propose an efficient privacy-preserving truth discovery mechanism with theoretical guarantees of both utility and privacy. The key idea of the proposed mechanism is to perturb data from each user independently and then conduct weighted aggregation among users' perturbed data. The proposed approach is able to assign user weights based on information quality, and thus the aggregated results will not deviate much from the true results even when large noise is added. We adapt local differential privacy definition to this privacy-preserving task and demonstrate the proposed mechanism can satisfy local differential privacy while preserving high aggregation accuracy. We formally quantify utility and privacy trade-off and further verify the claim by experiments on both synthetic data and a real-world crowd sensing system.
Fixing Variational Bayes: Deterministic Variational Inference for Bayesian Neural Networks
Wu, Anqi, Nowozin, Sebastian, Meeds, Edward, Turner, Richard E., Hernรกndez-Lobato, Josรฉ Miguel, Gaunt, Alexander L.
Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes (VB) is theoretically grounded, generally applicable, and computationally efficient. With wide recognition of potential advantages, why is it that variational Bayes has seen very limited practical use for BNNs in real applications? We argue that variational inference in neural networks is fragile: successful implementations require careful initialization and tuning of prior variances, as well as controlling the variance of Monte Carlo gradient estimates. We fix VB and turn it into a robust inference tool for Bayesian neural networks. We achieve this with two innovations: first, we introduce a novel deterministic method to approximate moments in neural networks, eliminating gradient variance; second, we introduce a hierarchical prior for parameters and a novel empirical Bayes procedure for automatically selecting prior variances. Combining these two innovations, the resulting method is highly efficient and robust. On the application of heteroscedastic regression we demonstrate strong predictive performance over alternative approaches.
A Tale of Three Probabilistic Families: Discriminative, Descriptive and Generative Models
Wu, Ying Nian, Gao, Ruiqi, Han, Tian, Zhu, Song-Chun
The pattern theory of Grenander is a mathematical framework where the patterns are represented by probability models on random variables of algebraic structures. In this paper, we review three families of probability models, namely, the discriminative models, the descriptive models, and the generative models. A discriminative model is in the form of a classifier. It specifies the conditional probability of the class label given the input signal. The descriptive model specifies the probability distribution of the signal, based on an energy function defined on the signal. A generative model assumes that the signal is generated by some latent variables via a transformation. We shall review these models within a common framework and explore their connections. We shall also review the recent developments that take advantage of the high approximation capacities of deep neural networks.
Data-dependent compression of random features for large-scale kernel approximation
Agrawal, Raj, Campbell, Trevor, Huggins, Jonathan H., Broderick, Tamara
Kernel methods offer the flexibility to learn complex relationships in modern, large data sets while enjoying strong theoretical guarantees on quality. Unfortunately, these methods typically require cubic running time in the data set size, a prohibitive cost in the large-data setting. Random feature maps (RFMs) and the Nystrom method both consider low-rank approximations to the kernel matrix as a potential solution. But, in order to achieve desirable theoretical guarantees, the former may require a prohibitively large number of features J+, and the latter may be prohibitively expensive for high-dimensional problems. We propose to combine the simplicity and generality of RFMs with a data-dependent feature selection scheme to achieve desirable theoretical approximation properties of Nystrom with just O(log J+) features. Our key insight is to begin with a large set of random features, then reduce them to a small number of weighted features in a data-dependent, computationally efficient way, while preserving the statistical guarantees of using the original large set of features. We demonstrate the efficacy of our method with theory and experiments--including on a data set with over 50 million observations. In particular, we show that our method achieves small kernel matrix approximation error and better test set accuracy with provably fewer random features than state- of-the-art methods.