Generative models, either by simple clustering algorithms or deep neural network architecture, have been developed as a probabilistic estimation method for dimension reduction or to model the underlying properties of data structures. Although their apparent use has largely been limited to image recognition and classification, generative machine learning algorithms can be a powerful tool for travel behaviour research. In this paper, we examine the generative machine learning approach for analyzing multiple discrete-continuous (MDC) travel behaviour data to understand the underlying heterogeneity and correlation, increasing the representational power of such travel behaviour models. We show that generative models are conceptually similar to choice selection behaviour process through information entropy and variational Bayesian inference. Specifically, we consider a restricted Boltzmann machine (RBM) based algorithm with multiple discrete-continuous layer, formulated as a variational Bayesian inference optimization problem. We systematically describe the proposed machine learning algorithm and develop a process of analyzing travel behaviour data from a generative learning perspective. We show parameter stability from model analysis and simulation tests on an open dataset with multiple discrete-continuous dimensions and a size of 293,330 observations. For interpretability, we derive analytical methods for conditional probabilities as well as elasticities. Our results indicate that latent variables in generative models can accurately represent joint distribution consistently w.r.t multiple discrete-continuous variables. Lastly, we show that our model can generate statistically similar data distributions for travel forecasting and prediction.

Bayesian networks in their Factor Graph Reduced Normal Form (FGrn) are a powerful paradigm for implementing inference graphs. Unfortunately, the computational and memory costs of these networks may be considerable, even for relatively small networks, and this is one of the main reasons why these structures have often been underused in practice. In this work, through a detailed algorithmic and structural analysis, various solutions for cost reduction are proposed. An online version of the classic batch learning algorithm is also analyzed, showing very similar results (in an unsupervised context); which is essential even if multilevel structures are to be built. The solutions proposed, together with the possible online learning algorithm, are included in a C++ library that is quite efficient, especially if compared to the direct use of the well-known sum-product and Maximum Likelihood (ML) algorithms. The results are discussed with particular reference to a Latent Variable Model (LVM) structure.

Germany Market Analysis Table 35: German Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Artificial Intelligence Analyzed with Annual Revenue Figures in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2024 (includes corresponding Graph/Chart) 9.4.3 Italy Market Analysis Table 36: Italian Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Artificial Intelligence Analyzed with Annual Revenue Figures in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2024 (includes corresponding Graph/Chart) 9.4.4

Germany Market Analysis Table 35: German Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Artificial Intelligence Analyzed with Annual Revenue Figures in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2024 (includes corresponding Graph/Chart) 9.4.3 Italy Market Analysis Table 36: Italian Recent Past, Current & Future Analysis for Artificial Intelligence Analyzed with Annual Revenue Figures in US$ Million for Years 2015 through 2024 (includes corresponding Graph/Chart) 9.4.4

A regression-based BNN model is proposed to predict spatiotemporal quantities like hourly rider demand with calibrated uncertainties. The main contributions of this paper are (i) A feed-forward deterministic neural network (DetNN) architecture that predicts cyclical time series data with sensitivity to anomalous forecasting events; (ii) A Bayesian framework applying SVGD to train large neural networks for such tasks, capable of producing time series predictions as well as measures of uncertainty surrounding the predictions. Experiments show that the proposed BNN reduces average estimation error by 10% across 8 U.S. cities compared to a fine-tuned multilayer perceptron (MLP), and 4% better than the same network architecture trained without SVGD.

Large-scale probabilistic representations, including statistical knowledge bases and graphical models, are increasingly in demand. They are built by mining massive sources of structured and unstructured data, the latter often derived from natural language processing techniques. The very nature of the enterprise makes the extracted representations probabilistic. In particular, inducing relations and facts from noisy and incomplete sources via statistical machine learning models means that the labels are either already probabilistic, or that probabilities approximate confidence. While the progress is impressive, extracted representations essentially enforce the closed-world assumption, which means that all facts in the database are accorded the corresponding probability, but all other facts have probability zero. The CWA is deeply problematic in most machine learning contexts. A principled solution is needed for representing incomplete and indeterminate knowledge in such models, imprecise probability models such as credal networks being an example. In this work, we are interested in the foundational problem of learning such open-world probabilistic models. However, since exact inference in probabilistic graphical models is intractable, the paradigm of tractable learning has emerged to learn data structures (such as arithmetic circuits) that support efficient probabilistic querying. We show here how the computational machinery underlying tractable learning has to be generalized for imprecise probabilities. Our empirical evaluations demonstrate that our regime is also effective.

In this work, we study value function approximation in reinforcement learning (RL) problems with high dimensional state or action spaces via a generalized version of representation policy iteration (RPI). We consider the limitations of proto-value functions (PVFs) at accurately approximating the value function in low dimensions and we highlight the importance of features learning for an improved low-dimensional value function approximation. Then, we adopt different representation learning algorithm on graphs to learn the basis functions that best represent the value function. We empirically show that node2vec, an algorithm for scalable feature learning in networks, and the Variational Graph Auto-Encoder constantly outperform the commonly used smooth proto-value functions in low-dimensional feature space.

Human social behavior is structured by relationships. We form teams, groups, tribes, and alliances at all scales of human life. These structures guide multi-agent cooperation and competition, but when we observe others these underlying relationships are typically unobservable and hence must be inferred. Humans make these inferences intuitively and flexibly, often making rapid generalizations about the latent relationships that underlie behavior from just sparse and noisy observations. Rapid and accurate inferences are important for determining who to cooperate with, who to compete with, and how to cooperate in order to compete. Towards the goal of building machine-learning algorithms with human-like social intelligence, we develop a generative model of multi-agent action understanding based on a novel representation for these latent relationships called Composable Team Hierarchies (CTH). This representation is grounded in the formalism of stochastic games and multi-agent reinforcement learning. We use CTH as a target for Bayesian inference yielding a new algorithm for understanding behavior in groups that can both infer hidden relationships as well as predict future actions for multiple agents interacting together. Our algorithm rapidly recovers an underlying causal model of how agents relate in spatial stochastic games from just a few observations. The patterns of inference made by this algorithm closely correspond with human judgments and the algorithm makes the same rapid generalizations that people do.

In electroencephalogram (EEG) signal processing, finding the appropriate information from a dataset has been a big challenge for successful signal classification. The feature selection methods make it possible to solve this problem; however, the method selection is still under investigation to find out which feature can perform the best to extract the most proper features of the signal to improve the classification performance. In this study, we use the genetic algorithm (GA), a heuristic searching algorithm, to find the optimum combination of the feature extraction methods and the classifiers, in the brain-computer interface (BCI) applications. A BCI system can be practical if and only if it performs with high accuracy and high speed alongside each other. In the proposed method, GA performs as a searching engine to find the best combination of the features and classifications. The features used here are Katz, Higuchi, Petrosian, Sevcik, and box-counting dimension (BCD) feature extraction methods. These features are applied to the wavelet subbands and are classified with four classifiers such as adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), fuzzy k-nearest neighbors (FKNN), support vector machine (SVM) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA). Due to the huge number of features, the GA optimization is used to find the features with the optimum fitness value (FV). Results reveal that Katz fractal feature estimation method with LDA classification has the best FV. Consequently, due to the low computation time of the first Daubechies wavelet transformation in comparison to the original signal, the final selected methods contain the fractal features of the first coefficient of the detail subbands.

We develop a likelihood free inference procedure for conditioning a probabilistic model on a predicate. A predicate is a Boolean valued function which expresses a yes/no question about a domain. Our contribution, which we call predicate exchange, constructs a softened predicate which takes value in the unit interval [0, 1] as opposed to a simply true or false. Intuitively, 1 corresponds to true, and a high value (such as 0.999) corresponds to "nearly true" as determined by a distance metric. We define Boolean algebra for soft predicates, such that they can be negated, conjoined and disjoined arbitrarily. A softened predicate can serve as a tractable proxy to a likelihood function for approximate posterior inference. However, to target exact inference, we temper the relaxation by a temperature parameter, and add a accept/reject phase use to replica exchange Markov Chain Mont Carlo, which exchanges states between a sequence of models conditioned on predicates at varying temperatures. We describe a lightweight implementation of predicate exchange that it provides a language independent layer that can be implemented on top of existingn modeling formalisms.