Excellent variational approximations to Gaussian process posteriors have been developed which avoid the $\mathcal{O}\left(N^3\right)$ scaling with dataset size $N$. They reduce the computational cost to $\mathcal{O}\left(NM^2\right)$, with $M\ll N$ being the number of inducing variables, which summarise the process. While the computational cost seems to be linear in $N$, the true complexity of the algorithm depends on how $M$ must increase to ensure a certain quality of approximation. We address this by characterising the behavior of an upper bound on the KL divergence to the posterior. We show that with high probability the KL divergence can be made arbitrarily small by growing $M$ more slowly than $N$. A particular case of interest is that for regression with normally distributed inputs in D-dimensions with the popular Squared Exponential kernel, $M=\mathcal{O}(\log^D N)$ is sufficient. Our results show that as datasets grow, Gaussian process posteriors can truly be approximated cheaply, and provide a concrete rule for how to increase $M$ in continual learning scenarios.

The Era of Big Data has forced researchers to explore new distributed solutions for building fuzzy classifiers, which often introduce approximation errors or make strong assumptions to reduce computational and memory requirements. As a result, Big Data classifiers might be expected to be inferior to those designed for standard classification tasks (Small Data) in terms of accuracy and model complexity. To our knowledge, however, there is no empirical evidence to confirm such a conjecture yet. Here, we investigate the extent to which state-of-the-art fuzzy classifiers for Big Data sacrifice performance in favor of scalability. To this end, we carry out an empirical study that compares these classifiers with some of the best performing algorithms for Small Data. Assuming the latter were generally designed for maximizing performance without considering scalability issues, the results of this study provide some intuition around the tradeoff between performance and scalability achieved by current Big Data solutions. Our findings show that, although slightly inferior, Big Data classifiers are gradually catching up with state-of-the-art classifiers for Small data, suggesting that a unified learning algorithm for Big and Small Data might be possible.

This paper develops a path planner that minimizes risk (e.g. motion execution) while maximizing accumulated reward (e.g., quality of sensor viewpoint) motivated by visual assistance or tracking scenarios in unstructured or confined environments. In these scenarios, the robot should maintain the best viewpoint as it moves to the goal. However, in unstructured or confined environments, some paths may increase the risk of collision; therefore there is a tradeoff between risk and reward. Conventional state-dependent risk or probabilistic uncertainty modeling do not consider path-level risk or is difficult to acquire. This risk-reward planner explicitly represents risk as a function of motion plans, i.e., paths. Without manual assignment of the negative impact to the planner caused by risk, this planner takes in a pre-established viewpoint quality map and plans target location and path leading to it simultaneously, in order to maximize overall reward along the entire path while minimizing risk. Exact and approximate algorithms are presented, whose solution is further demonstrated on a physical tethered aerial vehicle. Other than the visual assistance problem, the proposed framework also provides a new planning paradigm to address minimum-risk planning under dynamical risk and absence of substructure optimality and to balance the trade-off between reward and risk.

Three-way decision theory, which trisects the universe with less risks or costs, is considered as a powerful mathematical tool for handling uncertainty in incomplete and imprecise information tables, and provides an effective tool for conflict analysis decision making in real-time situations. In this paper, we propose the concepts of the agreement, disagreement and neutral subsets of a strategy with two evaluation functions, which establish the three-way decisions-based conflict analysis models(TWDCAMs) for trisecting the universe of agents, and employ a pair of two-way decisions models to interpret the mechanism of the three-way decision rules for an agent. Subsequently, we develop the concepts of the agreement, disagreement and neutral strategies of an agent group with two evaluation functions, which build the TWDCAMs for trisecting the universe of issues, and take a couple of two-way decisions models to explain the mechanism of the three-way decision rules for an issue. Finally, we reconstruct Fan, Qi and Wei's conflict analysis models(FQWCAMs) and Sun, Ma and Zhao's conflict analysis models(SMZCAMs) with two evaluation functions, and interpret FQWCAMs and SMZCAMs with a pair of two-day decisions models, which illustrates that FQWCAMs and SMZCAMs are special cases of TWDCAMs.

We propose an input design method for a general class of parametric probabilistic models, including nonlinear dynamical systems with process noise. The goal of the procedure is to select inputs such that the parameter posterior distribution concentrates about the true value of the parameters; however, exact computation of the posterior is intractable. By representing (samples from) the posterior as trajectories from a certain Hamiltonian system, we transform the input design task into an optimal control problem. The method is illustrated via numerical examples, including MRI pulse sequence design.

Difficult image segmentation problems, for instance left atrium MRI, can be addressed by incorporating shape priors to find solutions that are consistent with known objects. Nonetheless, a single multivariate Gaussian is not an adequate model in cases with significant nonlinear shape variation or where the prior distribution is multimodal. Nonparametric density estimation is more general, but has a ravenous appetite for training samples and poses serious challenges in optimization, especially in high dimensional spaces. Here, we propose a maximum-a-posteriori formulation that relies on a generative image model by incorporating both local intensity and global shape priors. We use deep autoencoders to capture the complex intensity distribution while avoiding the careful selection of hand-crafted features. We formulate the shape prior as a mixture of Gaussians and learn the corresponding parameters in a high-dimensional shape space rather than pre-projecting onto a low-dimensional subspace. In segmentation, we treat the identity of the mixture component as a latent variable and marginalize it within a generalized expectation-maximization framework. We present a conditional maximization-based scheme that alternates between a closed-form solution for component-specific shape parameters that provides a global update-based optimization strategy, and an intensity-based energy minimization that translates the global notion of a nonlinear shape prior into a set of local penalties. We demonstrate our approach on the left atrial segmentation from gadolinium-enhanced MRI, which is useful in quantifying the atrial geometry in patients with atrial fibrillation.

We develop a new Low-level, First-order Probabilistic Programming Language (LF-PPL) suited for models containing a mix of continuous, discrete, and/or piecewise-continuous variables. The key success of this language and its compilation scheme is in its ability to automatically distinguish parameters the density function is discontinuous with respect to, while further providing runtime checks for boundary crossings. This enables the introduction of new inference engines that are able to exploit gradient information, while remaining efficient for models which are not everywhere differentiable. We demonstrate this ability by incorporating a discontinuous Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (DHMC) inference engine that is able to deliver automated and efficient inference for non-differentiable models. Our system is backed up by a mathematical formalism that ensures that any model expressed in this language has a density with measure zero discontinuities to maintain the validity of the inference engine.

In recent years, we have been faced with a series of natural disasters causing a tremendous amount of financial, environmental, and human losses. The unpredictable nature of natural disasters' behavior makes it hard to have a comprehensive situational awareness (SA) to support disaster management. Using opinion surveys is a traditional approach to analyze public concerns during natural disasters; however, this approach is limited, expensive, and time-consuming. Luckily the advent of social media has provided scholars with an alternative means of analyzing public concerns. Social media enable users (people) to freely communicate their opinions and disperse information regarding current events including natural disasters. This research emphasizes the value of social media analysis and proposes an analytical framework: Twitter Situational Awareness (TwiSA). This framework uses text mining methods including sentiment analysis and topic modeling to create a better SA for disaster preparedness, response, and recovery. TwiSA has also effectively deployed on a large number of tweets and tracks the negative concerns of people during the 2015 South Carolina flood.

Bayes' theorem, named after 18th-century British mathematician Thomas Bayes, is a mathematical formula for determining conditional probabilities. This theorem has enormous importance in the field of data science. For example one of many applications of Bayes' theorem is the Bayesian inference, a particular approach to statistical inference. Bayesian inference is a method in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available. Bayesian inference has found application in a wide range of activities, including science, engineering, philosophy, medicine, sport, and law.

Bayes theorem in basis for many machine learning algorithm, P(c/x) P(x/c)*P(c)/P(x) Popularly used #Naive #Bayes Machine Learning algorithm is used for Text classification. One of the common question is "What is Bayes Theorem?" watch this video to understand this question and how to explain in the interview. If you are looking for Course Details please visit: https://datamites.com/ You can learn business statistics, tableau, deep learning, data mining etc,..