Time series forecasting is one of the challenging problems for humankind. Traditional forecasting methods using mean regression models have severe shortcomings in reflecting real-world fluctuations. While new probabilistic methods rush to rescue, they fight with technical difficulties like quantile crossing or selecting a prior distribution. To meld the different strengths of these fields while avoiding their weaknesses as well as to push the boundary of the state-of-the-art, we introduce ForGAN - one step ahead probabilistic forecasting with generative adversarial networks. ForGAN utilizes the power of the conditional generative adversarial network to learn the data generating distribution and compute probabilistic forecasts from it. We argue how to evaluate ForGAN in opposition to regression methods. To investigate probabilistic forecasting of ForGAN, we create a new dataset and demonstrate our method abilities on it. This dataset will be made publicly available for comparison. Furthermore, we test ForGAN on two publicly available datasets, namely Mackey-Glass dataset and Internet traffic dataset (A5M) where the impressive performance of ForGAN demonstrate its high capability in forecasting future values.

To perform high speed tasks, sensors of autonomous cars have to provide as much information in as few time steps as possible. However, radars, one of the sensor modalities autonomous cars heavily rely on, often only provide sparse, noisy detections. These have to be accumulated over time to reach a high enough confidence about the static parts of the environment. For radars, the state is typically estimated by accumulating inverse detection models (IDMs). We employ the recently proposed evidential convolutional neural networks which, in contrast to IDMs, compute dense, spatially coherent inference of the environment state. Moreover, these networks are able to incorporate sensor noise in a principled way which we further extend to also incorporate model uncertainty. We present experimental results that show This makes it possible to obtain a denser environment perception in fewer time steps.

Speech produced by human vocal apparatus conveys substantial non-semantic information including the gender of the speaker, voice quality, affective state, abnormalities in the vocal apparatus etc. Such information is attributed to the properties of the voice source signal, which is usually estimated from the speech signal. However, most of the source estimation techniques depend heavily on the goodness of the model assumptions and are prone to noise. A popular alternative is to indirectly obtain the source information through the Electroglottographic (EGG) signal that measures the electrical admittance around the vocal folds using a dedicated hardware. In this paper, we address the problem of estimating the EGG signal directly from the speech signal, devoid of any hardware. Sampling from the intractable conditional distribution of the EGG signal given the speech signal is accomplished through optimization of an evidence lower bound. This is constructed via minimization of the KL-divergence between the true and the approximated posteriors of a latent variable learned using a deep neural auto-encoder that serves an informative prior which reconstructs the EGG signal. We demonstrate the efficacy of the method to generate EGG signal by conducting several experiments on datasets comprising multiple speakers, voice qualities, noise settings and speech pathologies. The proposed method is evaluated on many benchmark metrics and is found to agree with the gold standards while being better than the state-of-the-art algorithms on a few tasks such as epoch extraction.

In multiple attribute decision analysis (MADA) problems, one often needs to deal with assessment information with uncertainty. The evidential reasoning approach is one of the most effective methods to deal with such MADA problems. As kernel of the evidential reasoning approach, an original evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm was firstly proposed by Yang et al, and later they modified the ER algorithm in order to satisfy the proposed four synthesis axioms with which a rational aggregation process needs to satisfy. However, up to present, the essential difference of the two ER algorithms as well as the rationality of the synthesis axioms are still unclear. In this paper, we analyze the ER algorithms in Dempster-Shafer theory (DST) framework and prove that the original ER algorithm follows the reliability discounting and combination scheme, while the modified one follows the importance discounting and combination scheme. Based on these new findings, an extended ER (E R) algorithm is proposed to take into account both the reliability and importance of different attributes, which provides a more general attribute aggregation scheme for MADA with uncertainty. A motorcycle performance assessment problem is examined to illustrate the proposed algorithm. Index Terms Multiple attribute decision analysis (MADA), Dempster-Shafer theory (DST), evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm, reliability, importance.

Optical scatterometry is a method to measure the size and shape of periodic micro- or nanostructures on surfaces. For this purpose the geometry parameters of the structures are obtained by reproducing experimental measurement results through numerical simulations. We compare the performance of Bayesian optimization to different local minimization algorithms for this numerical optimization problem. Bayesian optimization uses Gaussian-process regression to find promising parameter values. We examine how pre-computed simulation results can be used to train the Gaussian process and to accelerate the optimization.

In this work, we utilize Machine Learning for early recognition of patients at high risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), which is critical for successful prevention strategies for this devastating syndrome. The difficulty in early ARDS recognition stems from its complex and heterogenous nature. In this study, we integrate knowledge of the heterogeneity of ARDS patients into predictive model building. Using MIMIC-III data, we first apply latent class analysis (LCA) to identify homogeneous sub-groups in the ARDS population, and then build predictive models on the partitioned data. The results indicate that significantly improved performances of prediction can be obtained for two of the three identified sub-phenotypes of ARDS. Experiments suggests that identifying sub-phenotypes is beneficial for building predictive model for ARDS.

The intelligent Processing technique is more and more attractive to researchers due to its ability to deal with key problems in Vehicular Ad hoc networks. However, several problems in applying intelligent processing technologies in VANETs remain open. The existing applications are comprehensively reviewed and discussed, and classified into different categories in this paper. Their strategies, advantages/disadvantages, and performances are elaborated. By generalizing different tactics in various applications related to different scenarios of VANETs and evaluating their performances, several promising directions for future research have been suggested.

Motivation: Radiomics refers to the high-throughput mining of quantitative features from radiographic images. It is a promising field in that it may provide a non-invasive solution for screening and classification. Standard machine learning classification and feature selection techniques, however, tend to display inferior performance in terms of (the stability of) predictive performance. This is due to the heavy multicollinearity present in radiomic data. We set out to provide an easy-to-use approach that deals with this problem. Results: We developed a four-step approach that projects the original high-dimensional feature space onto a lower-dimensional latent-feature space, while retaining most of the covariation in the data. It consists of (i) penalized maximum likelihood estimation of a redundancy filtered correlation matrix. The resulting matrix (ii) is the input for a maximum likelihood factor analysis procedure. This two-stage maximum-likelihood approach can be used to (iii) produce a compact set of stable features that (iv) can be directly used in any (regression-based) classifier or predictor. It outperforms other classification (and feature selection) techniques in both external and internal validation settings regarding survival in squamous cell cancers.

The Semantic Web Rule Language (SWRL) is a direct extension of OWL 2 DL with a subset of RuleML, and it is designed to be the rule language of the Semantic Web. This paper explores the state-of-the-art of SWRL's expressiveness extensions proposed over time. As a motivation, the effectiveness of the SWRL/OWL combination in modeling domain facts is discussed while some of the common expressive limitations of the combination are also highlighted. The paper then classifies and presents the relevant language extensions of the SWRL and their added expressive powers to the original SWRL definition. Furthermore, it provides a comparative analysis of the syntax and semantics of the proposed extensions. In conclusion, the decidability requirement and usability of each expressiveness extension are evaluated towards an efficient inclusion into the OWL ontologies.

Takagi-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) fuzzy systems are very useful machine learning models for regression problems. However, to our knowledge, there has not existed an efficient and effective training algorithm that enables them to deal with big data. Inspired by the connections between TSK fuzzy systems and neural networks, we extend three powerful neural network optimization techniques, i.e., mini-batch gradient descent, regularization, and AdaBound, to TSK fuzzy systems, and also propose a novel DropRule technique specifically for training TSK fuzzy systems. Our final algorithm, mini-batch gradient descent with regularization, DropRule and AdaBound (MBGD-RDA), can achieve fast convergence in training TSK fuzzy systems, and also superior generalization performance in testing. It can be used for training TSK fuzzy systems on datasets of any size; however, it is particularly useful for big datasets, on which currently no other efficient training algorithms exist.