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 Uncertainty


Tree-wise Distribution Sensitive hashing: Efficient Maximum likelihood Classification by joint dimensionality reduction in known probabilistic settings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the problem of maximum likelihood classification of a high dimensional data point y to billions of classes $x_1,...,x_N$, where the conditional probability p(y|x) is known. In the most general case, the complexity of the brute-force method for this classification grows linearly, O(N), with the number of classes N. Efficient multiclass classification methods have been introduced to solve this problem with logarithmic complexity. However, these methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality, i.e., in large dimensions their complexity approaches $O(N)$ per query data point. In the special case where the conditional probability distribution $p(y|x)$ is a Gaussian centered at x, i.e., $p(y|x) \propto N (x,\sigma)$, the maximum likelihood classification reduces to the nearest neighbor search with the Euclidean norm. Sublinear methods based on locality sensitive hashing (LSH) have been introduced to solve an approximate version of the nearest neighbor search for high dimensional data. Inspired by these advances, here we introduce distribution sensitive hashing (DSH) to solve an approximate version of the maximum likelihood classification problem through joint dimensionality reduction. In the case of discrete probability distributions, we design TreeDSH, a universal family of distribution sensitive hashes based on the decision trees, and show that their complexity grow sub-linearly. Theory and simulation presented in this paper demonstrate that TreeDSH is more efficient than LSH-hamming and Min-Hashing schemes. Finally, we apply TreeDSH to the problem of peptide identification from mass spectrometry data.


Descriptive evaluation of students using fuzzy approximate reasoning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, descriptive evaluation has been introduced as a new model for educational evaluation of Iranian students. The current descriptive evaluation method is based on four-valued logic. Assessing all students with only four values is led to a lack of relative justice and the creation of unrealistic equality. Also, the complexity of the evaluation process in the current method increases teacher errors likelihood. As a suitable solution, in this paper, a fuzzy descriptive evaluation system has been proposed. The proposed method is based on fuzzy logic, which is an infinite-valued logic and it can perform approximate reasoning on natural language propositions. By the proposed fuzzy system, student assessment is performed over the school year with infinite values instead of four values. But to eliminate the diversity of assigned values to students, at the end of the school year, the calculated values for each student will be rounded to the nearest value of the four standard values of the current descriptive evaluation system. It can be implemented easily in an appropriate smartphone app, which makes it much easier for the teachers to evaluate the evaluation process. In this paper, the evaluation process of the elementary third-grade mathematics course in Iran during the period from the beginning of the MEHR (The Seventh month of Iran) to the end of BAHMAN (The Eleventh Month of Iran) is examined by the proposed system. To evaluate the validity of this system, the proposed method has been simulated in MATLAB software.


A Probabilistic Framework for Location Inference from Social Media

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study the extent to which we can infer users' geographical locations from social media. Location inference from social media can benefit many applications, such as disaster management, targeted advertising, and news content tailoring. The challenges, however, lie in the limited amount of labeled data and the large scale of social networks. In this paper, we formalize the problem of inferring location from social media into a semi-supervised factor graph model (SSFGM). The model provides a probabilistic framework in which various sources of information (e.g., content and social network) can be combined together. We design a two-layer neural network to learn feature representations, and incorporate the learned latent features into SSFGM. To deal with the large-scale problem, we propose a Two-Chain Sampling (TCS) algorithm to learn SSFGM. The algorithm achieves a good trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. Experiments on Twitter and Weibo show that the proposed TCS algorithm for SSFGM can substantially improve the inference accuracy over several state-of-the-art methods. More importantly, TCS achieves over 100x speedup comparing with traditional propagation-based methods (e.g., loopy belief propagation).


A New Anchor Word Selection Method for the Separable Topic Discovery

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Separable Non-negative Matrix Factorization (SNMF) is an important method for topic modeling, where "separable" assumes every topic contains at least one anchor word, defined as a word that has non-zero probability only on that topic. SNMF focuses on the word co-occurrence patterns to reveal topics by two steps: anchor word selection and topic recovery. The quality of the anchor words strongly influences the quality of the extracted topics. Existing anchor word selection algorithm is to greedily find an approximate convex hull in a high-dimensional word co-occurrence space. In this work, we propose a new method for the anchor word selection by associating the word co-occurrence probability with the words similarity and assuming that the most different words on semantic are potential candidates for the anchor words. Therefore, if the similarity of a word-pair is very low, then the two words are very likely to be the anchor words. According to the statistical information of text corpora, we can get the similarity of all word-pairs. We build the word similarity graph where the nodes correspond to words and weights on edges stand for the word-pair similarity. Following this way, we design a greedy method to find a minimum edge-weight anchor clique of a given size in the graph for the anchor word selection. Extensive experiments on real-world corpus demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed anchor word selection method that outperforms the common convex hull-based methods on the revealed topic quality. Meanwhile, our method is much faster than typical SNMF based method.


A Novel Adaptive Kernel for the RBF Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Abstract--In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive kernel for the radial basis function (RBF) neural networks. In [12] a novel RBF network with the multi-kernel is proposed to obtain an optimized and I. INTRODUCTION The unknown centres of the multikernels The RBF neural networks have shown excellent performance are determined by an improved k-means clustering in a number of problems of practical interest. An orthogonal least squares (OLS) algorithm is reservoirs of brine are analyzed for physicochemical properties used to determine the remaining parameters. The convergence of the ACA is analyzed by the [3] the RBF kernel is used to predict the pressure gradient Lyapunov criterion. In the context of nuclear physics, RBF Cognitive Radial Basis Function network (McRBFN) and its has been effectively used to model the stopping power data Projection based Learning (PBL) referred to as PBL-McRBFN of materials as in [4].


Best-scored Random Forest Density Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper presents a brand new nonparametric density estimation strategy named the best-scored random forest density estimation whose effectiveness is supported by both solid theoretical analysis and significant experimental performance. The terminology best-scored stands for selecting one density tree with the best estimation performance out of a certain number of purely random density tree candidates and we then name the selected one the best-scored random density tree. In this manner, the ensemble of these selected trees that is the best-scored random density forest can achieve even better estimation results than simply integrating trees without selection. From the theoretical perspective, by decomposing the error term into two, we are able to carry out the following analysis: First of all, we establish the consistency of the best-scored random density trees under $L_1$-norm. Secondly, we provide the convergence rates of them under $L_1$-norm concerning with three different tail assumptions, respectively. Thirdly, the convergence rates under $L_{\infty}$-norm is presented. Last but not least, we also achieve the above convergence rates analysis for the best-scored random density forest. When conducting comparative experiments with other state-of-the-art density estimation approaches on both synthetic and real data sets, it turns out that our algorithm has not only significant advantages in terms of estimation accuracy over other methods, but also stronger resistance to the curse of dimensionality.


A Bayesian Finite Mixture Model with Variable Selection for Data with Mixed-type Variables

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Finite mixture model is an important branch of clustering methods and can be applied on data sets with mixed types of variables. However, challenges exist in its applications. First, it typically relies on the EM algorithm which could be sensitive to the choice of initial values. Second, biomarkers subject to limits of detection (LOD) are common to encounter in clinical data, which brings censored variables into finite mixture model. Additionally, researchers are recently getting more interest in variable importance due to the increasing number of variables that become available for clustering. To address these challenges, we propose a Bayesian finite mixture model to simultaneously conduct variable selection, account for biomarker LOD and obtain clustering results. We took a Bayesian approach to obtain parameter estimates and the cluster membership to bypass the limitation of the EM algorithm. To account for LOD, we added one more step in Gibbs sampling to iteratively fill in biomarker values below or above LODs. In addition, we put a spike-and-slab type of prior on each variable to obtain variable importance. Simulations across various scenarios were conducted to examine the performance of this method. Real data application on electronic health records was also conducted.


Stein Point Markov Chain Monte Carlo

arXiv.org Machine Learning

An important task in machine learning and statistics is the approximation of a probability measure by an empirical measure supported on a discrete point set. Stein Points are a class of algorithms for this task, which proceed by sequentially minimising a Stein discrepancy between the empirical measure and the target and, hence, require the solution of a non-convex optimisation problem to obtain each new point. This paper removes the need to solve this optimisation problem by, instead, selecting each new point based on a Markov chain sample path. This significantly reduces the computational cost of Stein Points and leads to a suite of algorithms that are straightforward to implement. The new algorithms are illustrated on a set of challenging Bayesian inference problems, and rigorous theoretical guarantees of consistency are established.


Differentiable Approximation Bridges For Training Networks Containing Non-Differentiable Functions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Modern neural network training relies on piece-wise (sub-)differentiable functions in order to use backpropation for efficient calculation of gradients. In this work, we introduce a novel method to allow for non-differentiable functions at intermediary layers of deep neural networks. We do so through the introduction of a differentiable approximation bridge (DAB) neural network which provides smooth approximations to the gradient of the non-differentiable function. We present strong empirical results (performing over 600 experiments) in three different domains: unsupervised (image) representation learning, image classification, and sequence sorting to demonstrate that our proposed method improves state of the art performance. We demonstrate that utilizing non-differentiable functions in unsupervised (image) representation learning improves reconstruction quality and posterior linear separability by 10%. We also observe an accuracy improvement of 77% in neural sequence sorting and a 25% improvement against the straight-through estimator [3] in an image classification setting with the sort non-linearity. This work enables the usage of functions that were previously not usable in neural networks.


Multi-fidelity classification using Gaussian processes: accelerating the prediction of large-scale computational models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning techniques typically rely on large datasets to create accurate classifiers. However, there are situations when data is scarce and expensive to acquire. This is the case of studies that rely on state-of-the-art computational models which typically take days to run, thus hindering the potential of machine learning tools. In this work, we present a novel classifier that takes advantage of lower fidelity models and inexpensive approximations to predict the binary output of expensive computer simulations. We postulate an autoregressive model between the different levels of fidelity with Gaussian process priors. We adopt a fully Bayesian treatment for the hyper-parameters and use Markov Chain Mont Carlo samplers. We take advantage of the probabilistic nature of the classifier to implement active learning strategies. We also introduce a sparse approximation to enhance the ability of themulti-fidelity classifier to handle large datasets. We test these multi-fidelity classifiers against their single-fidelity counterpart with synthetic data, showing a median computational cost reduction of 23% for a target accuracy of 90%. In an application to cardiac electrophysiology, the multi-fidelity classifier achieves an F1 score, the harmonic mean of precision and recall, of 99.6% compared to 74.1% of a single-fidelity classifier when both are trained with 50 samples. In general, our results show that the multi-fidelity classifiers outperform their single-fidelity counterpart in terms of accuracy in all cases. We envision that this new tool will enable researchers to study classification problems that would otherwise be prohibitively expensive. Source code is available at https://github.com/fsahli/MFclass.