Aleatoric uncertainty is an intrinsic property of ill-posed inverse and imaging problems. Its quantification is vital for assessing the reliability of relevant point estimates. In this paper, we propose an efficient framework for quantifying aleatoric uncertainty for deep residual learning and showcase its significant potential on image restoration. In the framework, we divide the conditional probability modeling for the residual variable into a deterministic homo-dimensional level, a stochastic low-dimensional level and a merging level. The low-dimensionality is especially suitable for sparse correlation between image pixels, enables efficient sampling for high dimensional problems and acts as a regularizer for the distribution. Preliminary numerical experiments show that the proposed method can give not only state-of-the-art point estimates of image restoration but also useful associated uncertainty information.

Takagi-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) fuzzy systems are flexible and interpretable machine learning models; however, they may not be easily applicable to big data problems, especially when the size and the dimensionality of the data are both large. This paper proposes a mini-batch gradient descent (MBGD) based algorithm to efficiently and effectively train TSK fuzzy systems for big data classification problems. It integrates three novel techniques: 1) uniform regularization (UR), which is a regularization term added to the loss function to make sure the rules have similar average firing levels, and hence better generalization performance; 2) random percentile initialization (RPI), which initializes the membership function parameters efficiently and reliably; and, 3) batch normalization (BN), which extends BN from deep neural networks to TSK fuzzy systems to speedup the convergence and improve generalization. Experiments on nine datasets from various application domains, with varying size and feature dimensionality, demonstrated that each of UR, RPI and BN has its own unique advantages, and integrating all three together can achieve the best classification performance.

Conditional independence testing is a key problem required by many machine learning and statistics tools. In particular, it is one way of evaluating the usefulness of some features on a supervised prediction problem. We propose a novel conditional independence test in a predictive setting, and show that it achieves better power than competing approaches in several settings. Our approach consists in deriving a p-value using a permutation test where the predictive power using the unpermuted dataset is compared with the predictive power of using dataset where the feature(s) of interest are permuted. We conclude that the method achives sensible results on simulated and real datasets.

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here we introduce methods to characterise different components of uncertainty in such problems and demonstrate the ideas using diffusion MRI super-resolution. Specifically, we propose to account for $intrinsic$ uncertainty through a heteroscedastic noise model and for $parameter$ uncertainty through approximate Bayesian inference, and integrate the two to quantify $predictive$ uncertainty over the output image. Moreover, we introduce a method to propagate the predictive uncertainty on a multi-channelled image to derived scalar parameters, and separately quantify the effects of intrinsic and parameter uncertainty therein. The methods are evaluated for super-resolution of two different signal representations of diffusion MR images---DTIs and Mean Apparent Propagator MRI---and their derived quantities such as MD and FA, on multiple datasets of both healthy and pathological human brains. Results highlight three key benefits of uncertainty modelling for improving the safety of DL-based image enhancement systems. Firstly, incorporating uncertainty improves the predictive performance even when test data departs from training data. Secondly, the predictive uncertainty highly correlates with errors, and is therefore capable of detecting predictive "failures". Results demonstrate that such an uncertainty measure enables subject-specific and voxel-wise risk assessment of the output images. Thirdly, we show that the method for decomposing predictive uncertainty into its independent sources provides high-level "explanations" for the performance by quantifying how much uncertainty arises from the inherent difficulty of the task or the limited training examples.

Matrix completion aims to predict missing elements in a partially observed data matrix which in typical applications, such as collaborative filtering, is large and extremely sparsely observed. A standard solution is matrix factorization, which predicts unobserved entries as linear combinations of latent variables. We generalize to nonlinear combinations in massive-scale matrices. Bayesian approaches have been proven beneficial in linear matrix completion, but not applied in the more general nonlinear case, due to limited scalability. We introduce a Bayesian nonlinear matrix completion algorithm, which is based on a recent Bayesian formulation of Gaussian process latent variable models. To solve the challenges regarding scalability and computation, we propose a data-parallel distributed computational approach with a restricted communication scheme. We evaluate our method on challenging out-of-matrix prediction tasks using both simulated and real-world data. 1 Introduction In matrix completion--one of the most widely used approaches for collaborative filtering--the objective is to predict missing elements of a partially observed data matrix.

In much of the literature on function approximation by deep networks, the function is assumed to be defined on some known domain, such as a cube or sphere. In practice, the data might not be dense on these domains, and therefore, the approximation theory results are observed to be too conservative. In manifold learning, one assumes instead that the data is sampled from an unknown manifold; i.e., the manifold is defined by the data itself. Function approximation on this unknown manifold is then a two stage procedure: first, one approximates the Laplace-Beltrami operator (and its eigen-decomposition) on this manifold using a graph Laplacian, and next, approximates the target function using the eigen-functions. In this paper, we propose a more direct approach to function approximation on unknown, data defined manifolds without computing the eigen-decomposition of some operator, and estimate the degree of approximation in terms of the manifold dimension. This leads to similar results in function approximation using deep networks where each channel evaluates a Gaussian network on a possibly unknown manifold.

We propose two neural network based mixture models in this article. The proposed mixture models are explicit in nature. The explicit models have analytical forms with the advantages of computing likelihood and efficiency of generating samples. Computation of likelihood is an important aspect of our models. Expectation-maximization based algorithms are developed for learning parameters of the proposed models. We provide sufficient conditions to realize the expectation-maximization based learning. The main requirements are invertibility of neural networks that are used as generators and Jacobian computation of functional form of the neural networks. The requirements are practically realized using a flow-based neural network. In our first mixture model, we use multiple flow-based neural networks as generators. Naturally the model is complex. A single latent variable is used as the common input to all the neural networks. The second mixture model uses a single flow-based neural network as a generator to reduce complexity. The single generator has a latent variable input that follows a Gaussian mixture distribution. We demonstrate efficiency of proposed mixture models through extensive experiments for generating samples and maximum likelihood based classification.

--General fuzzy min-max (GFMM) neural network is a generalization of fuzzy neural networks formed by hyperbox fuzzy sets for classification and clustering problems. Two principle algorithms are deployed to train this type of neural network, i.e., incremental learning and agglomerative learning. This paper presents a comprehensive empirical study of performance influencing factors, advantages, and drawbacks of the general fuzzy min-max neural network on pattern classification problems. The subjects of this study include (1) the impact of maximum hyperbox size, (2) the influence of the similarity threshold and measures on the agglomerative learning algorithm, (3) the effect of data presentation order, (4) comparative performance evaluation of the GFMM with other types of fuzzy min-max neural networks and prevalent machine learning algorithms. The experimental results on benchmark datasets widely used in machine learning showed overall strong and weak points of the GFMM classifier . These outcomes also informed potential research directions for this class of machine learning algorithms in the future. Pattern classification, which belongs to the class of supervised learning, aims to discover information and knowledge under data through taking advantage of the power of learning algorithms [1]. It plays a crucial role in many real-world applications ranging from medical diagnostic [2], electronic devices [3] to tourism [4] and energy [5]. Multidimensional hyperbox fuzzy sets can be used to deal with the pattern classification problems effectively by partitioning the pattern space and assigning a class label associated with a degree of certainty for each region. Each fuzzy min-max hyperbox is represented by minimum and maximum points along with a fuzzy membership function. The membership function is employed to compute the degree-of-fit of each input sample to a given hyperbox. Meanwhile, the hyperbox is continuously adjusted during the training process to cover the input patterns. Simpson was the first one who formulated a fuzzy min-max neural network (FMNN) using hyperbox representations and proposed the training algorithms for classification [6] and clustering [7] problems. Since then, many researchers have paid attention to enhancing the performance of the FMNN and addressing some of its major drawbacks. Recent surveys [8], [9] on the FMNN have divided modified variants into two groups, i.e., fuzzy min-max networks with and without contraction process. Representatives of improved models removing the contraction procedure from the training algorithms and replacing it with particular neurons for overlapping regions among hyperboxes comprise the inclusion/exclusion fuzzy hyperbox classifier [10], the fuzzy min-max neural network with compensatory neuron [11], the data-core-based FMM neural network [12], and the multilevel FMM neural network [13].

This paper introduces the concept of kernels on fuzzy sets as a similarity measure for $[0,1]$-valued functions, a.k.a. \emph{membership functions of fuzzy sets}. We defined the following classes of kernels: the cross product, the intersection, the non-singleton and the distance-based kernels on fuzzy sets. Applicability of those kernels are on machine learning and data science tasks where uncertainty in data has an ontic or epistemistic interpretation.

The focus of this paper is a Bayesian framework for solving a class of problems termed multi-agent inverse reinforcement learning (MIRL). Compared to the well-known inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) problem, MIRL is formalized in the context of stochastic games, which generalize Markov decision processes to game theoretic scenarios. We establish a theoretical foundation for competitive two-agent zero-sum MIRL problems and propose a Bayesian solution approach in which the generative model is based on an assumption that the two agents follow a minimax bi-policy. Numerical results are presented comparing the Bayesian MIRL method with two existing methods in the context of an abstract soccer game. Investigation centers on relationships between the extent of prior information and the quality of learned rewards. Results suggest that covariance structure is more important than mean value in reward priors.