We address the problem of learning to benchmark the best achievable classifier performance. In this problem the objective is to establish statistically consistent estimates of the Bayes misclassification error rate without having to learn a Bayes-optimal classifier. Our learning to benchmark framework improves on previous work on learning bounds on Bayes misclassification rate since it learns the {\it exact} Bayes error rate instead of a bound on error rate. We propose a benchmark learner based on an ensemble of $\epsilon$-ball estimators and Chebyshev approximation. Under a smoothness assumption on the class densities we show that our estimator achieves an optimal (parametric) mean squared error (MSE) rate of $O(N^{-1})$, where $N$ is the number of samples. Experiments on both simulated and real datasets establish that our proposed benchmark learning algorithm produces estimates of the Bayes error that are more accurate than previous approaches for learning bounds on Bayes error probability.

Given two distinct datasets, an important question is if they have arisen from the the same data generating function or alternatively how their data generating functions diverge from one another. In this paper, we introduce an approach for measuring the distance between two datasets with high dimensionality using variational autoencoders. This approach is augmented by a permutation hypothesis test in order to check the hypothesis that the data generating distributions are the same within a significance level. We evaluate both the distance measurement and hypothesis testing approaches on generated and on public datasets. According to the results the proposed approach can be used for data exploration (e.g. by quantifying the discrepancy/separability between categories of images), which can be particularly useful in the early phases of the pipeline of most machine learning projects.

Classical probability theory[2] is formulated using sets. Unfortuna tely, the language of sets lacks expressiveness and is, in a sense, a low-level'assembly language' of the probability theory. In this paper, we develop a'high -level approach' to classical probability theory with propositional compu tability logic[1] (CoL). Unlike other formalisms such as sets, logic and linear log ic, computability logic is built on the notion of events/games, which is cent ral to probability theory. Therefore, CoL is a perfect place to begin th e study of automating probability theory. To be specific, CoL is well-suited to describing complex (sequential/parallel) experiments and events, and more expressive than set operation s. In contrast, classical probability theory - based on,, etc - is designed to represent mainly the simple/additive events - the events that occur under a single experiment. Naturally, we need to talk about composite/multiplicative events - events that occur under two different experiments. Developing probability along this line requires a new, powerful language.

Uncertainty involves making decisions with incomplete information, and this is the way we generally operate in the world. Handling uncertainty is typically described using everyday words like chance, luck, and risk. Probability is a field of mathematics that gives us the language and tools to quantify the uncertainty of events and reason in a principled manner. In this post, you will discover a gentle introduction to probability. Photo by Emma Jane Hogbin Westby, some rights reserved.

In many scientific and engineering applications, we are tasked with the maximisation of an expensive to evaluate black box function f. Traditional settings for this problem assume just the availability of this single function. However, in many cases, cheap approximations to f may be obtainable. For example, the expensive real world behaviour of a robot can be approximated by a cheap computer simulation. We can use these approximations to eliminate low function value regions cheaply and use the expensive evaluations of f in a small but promising region and speedily identify the optimum. We formalise this task as a multi-fidelity bandit problem where the target function and its approximations are sampled from a Gaussian process. We develop MF-GP-UCB, a novel method based on upper confidence bound techniques. In our theoretical analysis we demonstrate that it exhibits precisely the above behaviour and achieves better bounds on the regret than strategies which ignore multi-fidelity information. Empirically, MF-GP-UCB outperforms such naive strategies and other multi-fidelity methods on several synthetic and real experiments.

In many real-world scenarios where data is high dimensional, test time acquisition of features is a non-trivial task due to costs associated with feature acquisition and evaluating feature value. The need for highly confident models with an extremely frugal acquisition of features can be addressed by allowing a feature selection method to become target aware. We introduce an approach to feature selection that is based on Bayesian learning, allowing us to report target-specific levels of uncertainty, false positive, and false negative rates. In addition, measuring uncertainty lifts the restriction on feature selection being target agnostic, allowing for feature acquisition based on a single target of focus out of many. We show that acquiring features for a specific target is at least as good as common linear feature selection approaches for small non-sparse datasets, and surpasses these when faced with real-world healthcare data that is larger in scale and in sparseness.

The study presents a general framework for discovering underlying Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) using measured spatiotemporal data. The method, called Sparse Spatiotemporal System Discovery ($\text{S}^3\text{d}$), decides which physical terms are necessary and which can be removed (because they are physically negligible in the sense that they do not affect the dynamics too much) from a pool of candidate functions. The method is built on the recent development of Sparse Bayesian Learning; which enforces the sparsity in the to-be-identified PDEs, and therefore can balance the model complexity and fitting error with theoretical guarantees. Without leveraging prior knowledge or assumptions in the discovery process, we use an automated approach to discover ten types of PDEs, including the famous Navier-Stokes and sine-Gordon equations, from simulation data alone. Moreover, we demonstrate our data-driven discovery process with the Complex Ginzburg-Landau Equation (CGLE) using data measured from a traveling-wave convection experiment. Our machine discovery approach presents solutions that has the potential to inspire, support and assist physicists for the establishment of physical laws from measured spatiotemporal data, especially in notorious fields that are often too complex to allow a straightforward establishment of physical law, such as biophysics, fluid dynamics, neuroscience or nonlinear optics.

Gaussian process classification (GPC) provides a flexible and powerful statistical framework describing joint distributions over function space. Conventional GPCs however suffer from (i) poor scalability for big data due to the full kernel matrix, and (ii) intractable inference due to the non-Gaussian likelihoods. Hence, various scalable GPCs have been proposed through (i) the sparse approximation built upon a small inducing set to reduce the time complexity; and (ii) the approximate inference to derive analytical evidence lower bound (ELBO). However, these scalable GPCs equipped with analytical ELBO are limited to specific likelihoods or additional assumptions. In this work, we present a unifying framework which accommodates scalable GPCs using various likelihoods. Analogous to GP regression (GPR), we introduce additive noises to augment the probability space for (i) the GPCs with step, (multinomial) probit and logit likelihoods via the internal variables; and particularly, (ii) the GPC using softmax likelihood via the noise variables themselves. This leads to unified scalable GPCs with analytical ELBO by using variational inference. Empirically, our GPCs showcase better results than state-of-the-art scalable GPCs for extensive binary/multi-class classification tasks with up to two million data points.

In this paper, we introduce an extension of our presented cognitive-based emotion model [27][28]and [30], where we enhance our knowledge-based emotion unit of the architecture by embedding a fuzzy rule-based system to it. The model utilizes the cognitive parameters dependency and their corresponding weights to regulate the robot's behavior and fuse their behavior data to achieve the final decision in their interaction with the environment. Using this fuzzy system, our previous model can simulate linguistic parameters for better controlling and generating understandable and flexible behaviors in the robots. We implement our model on an assistive healthcare robot, named Robot Nurse Assistant (RNA) and test it with human subjects. Our model records all the emotion states and essential information based on its predefined rules and learning system. Our results show that our robot interacts with patients in a reasonable, faithful way in special conditions which are defined by rules. This work has the potential to provide better on-demand service for clinical experts to monitor the patients' emotion states and help them make better decisions accordingly.

Many biological learning systems such as the mushroom body, hippocampus, and cerebellum are built from sparsely connected networks of neurons. For a new understanding of such networks, we study the function spaces induced by sparse random features and characterize what functions may and may not be learned. A network with $d$ inputs per neuron is found to be equivalent to an additive model of order $d$, whereas with a degree distribution the network combines additive terms of different orders. We identify three specific advantages of sparsity: additive function approximation is a powerful inductive bias that limits the curse of dimensionality, sparse networks are stable to outlier noise in the inputs, and sparse random features are scalable. Thus, even simple brain architectures can be powerful function approximators. Finally, we hope that this work helps popularize kernel theories of networks among computational neuroscientists.