The fuzzy integral is a powerful parametric nonlin-ear function with utility in a wide range of applications, from information fusion to classification, regression, decision making,interpolation, metrics, morphology, and beyond. While the fuzzy integral is in general a nonlinear operator, herein we show that it can be represented by a set of contextual linear order statistics(LOS). These operators can be obtained via sampling the fuzzy measure and clustering is used to produce a partitioning of the underlying space of linear convex sums. Benefits of our approach include scalability, improved integral/measure acquisition, generalizability, and explainable/interpretable models. Our methods are both demonstrated on controlled synthetic experiments, and also analyzed and validated with real-world benchmark data sets.

This research is about the development a fuzzy decision support system for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease based on evidence. The coronary artery disease data sets taken from University California Irvine (UCI) are used. The knowledge base of fuzzy decision support system is taken by using rules extraction method based on Rough Set Theory. The rules then are selected and fuzzified based on information from discretization of numerical attributes. Fuzzy rules weight is proposed using the information from support of extracted rules. UCI heart disease data sets collected from U.S., Switzerland and Hungary, data from Ipoh Specialist Hospital Malaysia are used to verify the proposed system. The results show that the system is able to give the percentage of coronary artery blocking better than cardiologists and angiography. The results of the proposed system were verified and validated by three expert cardiologists and are considered to be more efficient and useful.

This dissertation investigates integer linear programming (ILP) formulation of Bayesian Network structure learning problem. We review the definition and key properties of Bayesian network and explain score metrics used to measure how well certain Bayesian network structure fits the dataset. We outline the integer linear programming formulation based on the decomposability of score metrics. In order to ensure acyclicity of the structure, we add ``cluster constraints'' developed specifically for Bayesian network, in addition to cycle constraints applicable to directed acyclic graphs in general. Since there would be exponential number of these constraints if we specify them fully, we explain the methods to add them as cutting planes without declaring them all in the initial model. Also, we develop a heuristic algorithm that finds a feasible solution based on the idea of sink node on directed acyclic graphs. We implemented the ILP formulation and cutting planes as a \textsf{Python} package, and present the results of experiments with different settings on reference datasets.

In this paper, we elaborate on the use of the Sugeno integral in the context of machine learning. More specifically, we propose a method for binary classification, in which the Sugeno integral is used as an aggregation function that combines several local evaluations of an instance, pertaining to different features or measurements, into a single global evaluation. Due to the specific nature of the Sugeno integral, this approach is especially suitable for learning from ordinal data, that is, when measurements are taken from ordinal scales. This is a topic that has not received much attention in machine learning so far. The core of the learning problem itself consists of identifying the capacity underlying the Sugeno integral. To tackle this problem, we develop an algorithm based on linear programming. The algorithm also includes a suitable technique for transforming the original feature values into local evaluations (local utility scores), as well as a method for tuning a threshold on the global evaluation. To control the flexibility of the classifier and mitigate the problem of overfitting the training data, we generalize our approach toward $k$-maxitive capacities, where $k$ plays the role of a hyper-parameter of the learner. We present experimental studies, in which we compare our method with competing approaches on several benchmark data sets.

This study presents a semi-nonparametric Latent Class Choice Model (LCCM) with a flexible class membership component. The proposed model formulates the latent classes using mixture models as an alternative approach to the traditional random utility specification with the aim of comparing the two approaches on various measures including prediction accuracy and representation of heterogeneity in the choice process. Mixture models are parametric model-based clustering techniques that have been widely used in areas such as machine learning, data mining and patter recognition for clustering and classification problems. An Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is derived for the estimation of the proposed model. Using two different case studies on travel mode choice behavior, the proposed model is compared to traditional discrete choice models on the basis of parameter estimates' signs, value of time, statistical goodness-of-fit measures, and cross-validation tests. Results show that mixture models improve the overall performance of latent class choice models by providing better out-of-sample prediction accuracy in addition to better representations of heterogeneity without weakening the behavioral and economic interpretability of the choice models.

Variational inference (VI) plays an essential role in approximate Bayesian inference due to its computational efficiency and broad applicability. Crucial to the performance of VI is the selection of the associated divergence measure, as VI approximates the intractable distribution by minimizing this divergence. In this paper we propose a meta-learning algorithm to learn the divergence metric suited for the task of interest, automating the design of VI methods. In addition, we learn the initialization of the variational parameters without additional cost when our method is deployed in the few-shot learning scenarios. We demonstrate our approach outperforms standard VI on Gaussian mixture distribution approximation, Bayesian neural network regression, image generation with variational autoencoders and recommender systems with a partial variational autoencoder.

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges for standard Markov order detection methods and demand modelling techniques that explicitly account for the graph constraint. Adopting a multi-order modelling framework for paths, we develop a Bayesian learning technique that (i) more reliably detects the correct Markov order compared to a competing method based on the likelihood ratio test, (ii) requires considerably less data compared to methods using AIC or BIC, and (iii) is robust against partial knowledge of the underlying constraints. We further show that a recently published method that uses a likelihood ratio test has a tendency to overfit the true Markov order of paths, which is not the case for our Bayesian technique. Our method is important for data scientists analyzing patterns in categorical sequence data that are subject to (partially) known constraints, e.g. sequences with forbidden words, mobility trajectories and click stream data, or sequence data in bioinformatics. Addressing the key challenge of model selection, our work is further relevant for the growing body of research that emphasizes the need for higher-order models in network analysis.

A simple yet effective architectural design of radial basis function neural networks (RBFNN) makes them amongst the most popular conventional neural networks. The current generation of radial basis function neural network is equipped with multiple kernels which provide significant performance benefits compared to the previous generation using only a single kernel. In existing multi-kernel RBF algorithms, multi-kernel is formed by the convex combination of the base/primary kernels. In this paper, we propose a novel multi-kernel RBFNN in which every base kernel has its own (local) weight. This novel flexibility in the network provides better performance such as faster convergence rate, better local minima and resilience against stucking in poor local minima. These performance gains are achieved at a competitive computational complexity compared to the contemporary multi-kernel RBF algorithms. The proposed algorithm is thoroughly analysed for performance gain using mathematical and graphical illustrations and also evaluated on three different types of problems namely: (i) pattern classification, (ii) system identification and (iii) function approximation. Empirical results clearly show the superiority of the proposed algorithm compared to the existing state-of-the-art multi-kernel approaches.

As described in [1][2], time series data includes many kinds of real experimental data taken from various domains such as finance, medicine, scientific research (e.g., global warming, speech analysis, earthquakes), etc. Time series forecasting has many real applications in various areas such as forecasting of business (e.g., sales, stock), weather, decease, and others [2]. Statistical modeling and inference (e.g., ARIMA model) [1][2] is one of the popular methods for time series analysis and forecasting. The philosophy of Bayesian inference is to consider probability as a measure of believability in an event [3][4][5] and use Bayes' theorem to update the probability as more evidence or information becomes available, while the philosophy of frequentist inference considers probability as the long-run frequency of events [3]. Generally speaking, we can use the Frequentist inference only when a large number of data samples are available.

While supporting the execution of business processes, information systems record event logs. Conformance checking relies on these logs to analyze whether the recorded behavior of a process conforms to the behavior of a normative specification. A key assumption of existing conformance checking techniques, however, is that all events are associated with timestamps that allow to infer a total order of events per process instance. Unfortunately, this assumption is often violated in practice. Due to synchronization issues, manual event recordings, or data corruption, events are only partially ordered. In this paper, we put forward the problem of partial order resolution of event logs to close this gap. It refers to the construction of a probability distribution over all possible total orders of events of an instance. To cope with the order uncertainty in real-world data, we present several estimators for this task, incorporating different notions of behavioral abstraction. Moreover, to reduce the runtime of conformance checking based on partial order resolution, we introduce an approximation method that comes with a bounded error in terms of accuracy. Our experiments with real-world and synthetic data reveal that our approach improves accuracy over the state-of-the-art considerably.