This paper shows a novel fuzzy approximate reasoning method based on the least common multiple (LCM). I ts fundamental idea is to obtain a new fuzzy reasoning result by the extended distance measure based on LCM between the antecedent fuzzy set and the consequent one in discrete SISO fuzzy system. T he proposed metho d is called LCM one. And then this paper analyzes its some properties, i.e., the reductive property, information loss occurred in reasoning process, and the convergence of fuzzy control. Theoretical and experimental research results highlight that proposed method meaningfully improve the reductive property and information loss and controllability than the previous fuzzy reasoning methods.

As Machine Learning technologies become increasingly used in contexts that affect citizens, companies as well as researchers need to be confident that their application of these methods will not have unexpected social implications, such as bias towards gender, ethnicity, and/or people with disabilities. There is significant literature on approaches to mitigate bias and promote fairness, yet the area is complex and hard to penetrate for newcomers to the domain. This article seeks to provide an overview of the different schools of thought and approaches to mitigating (social) biases and increase fairness in the Machine Learning literature. It organises approaches into the widely accepted framework of pre-processing, in-processing, and post-processing methods, subcategorizing into a further 11 method areas. Although much of the literature emphasizes binary classification, a discussion of fairness in regression, recommender systems, unsupervised learning, and natural language processing is also provided along with a selection of currently available open source libraries. The article concludes by summarising open challenges articulated as four dilemmas for fairness research.

In this paper, we propose the multivariate quantile Bayesian structural time series (MQB-STS) model for the joint quantile time series forecast, which is the first such model for correlated multivariate time series to the author's best knowledge. The MQBSTS model also enables quantile based feature selection in its regression component where each time series has its own pool of contemporaneous external time series predictors, which is the first time that a fully data-driven quantile feature selection technique applicable to time series data to the author's best knowledge. Different from most machine learning algorithms, the MQBSTS model has very few hyper-parameters to tune, requires small datasets to train, converges fast, and is executable on ordinary personal computers. Extensive examinations on simulated data and empirical data confirmed that the MQBSTS model has superior performance in feature selection, parameter estimation, and forecast.

We define deep kernel processes in which positive definite Gram matrices are progressively transformed by nonlinear kernel functions and by sampling from (inverse) Wishart distributions. Remarkably, we find that deep Gaussian processes (DGPs), Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), infinite BNNs, and infinite BNNs with bottlenecks can all be written as deep kernel processes. For DGPs the equivalence arises because the Gram matrix formed by the inner product of features is Wishart distributed, and as we show, standard isotropic kernels can be written entirely in terms of this Gram matrix -- we do not need knowledge of the underlying features. We define a tractable deep kernel process, the deep inverse Wishart process, and give a doubly-stochastic inducing-point variational inference scheme that operates on the Gram matrices, not on the features, as in DGPs. We show that the deep inverse Wishart process gives superior performance to DGPs and infinite BNNs on standard fully-connected baselines.

This paper introduces Distributed Stein Variational Gradient Descent (DSVGD), a non-parametric generalized Bayesian inference framework for federated learning. DSVGD maintains a number of non-random and interacting particles at a central server to represent the current iterate of the model global posterior. The particles are iteratively downloaded and updated by one of the agents with the end goal of minimizing the global free energy. By varying the number of particles, DSVGD enables a flexible trade-off between per-iteration communication load and number of communication rounds. DSVGD is shown to compare favorably to benchmark frequentist and Bayesian federated learning strategies, also scheduling a single device per iteration, in terms of accuracy and scalability with respect to the number of agents, while also providing well-calibrated, and hence trustworthy, predictions.

We derive the optimal approximate posterior over the top-layer weights in a Bayesian neural network for regression, and show that it exhibits strong dependencies on the lower-layer weights. We adapt this result to develop a correlated approximate posterior over the weights at all layers in a Bayesian neural network. We extend this approach to deep Gaussian processes, unifying inference in the two model classes. Our approximate posterior uses learned "global" inducing points, which are defined only at the input layer and propagated through the network to obtain inducing inputs at subsequent layers. By contrast, standard, "local", inducing point methods from the deep Gaussian process literature optimize a separate set of inducing inputs at every layer, and thus do not model correlations across layers. Our method gives state-of-the-art performance for a variational Bayesian method, without data augmentation or tempering, on CIFAR-10 of $86.7\%$.

Neural Tensor Networks (NTNs), which are structured to encode the degree of relationship among pairs of entities, are used in Logic Tensor Networks (LTNs) to facilitate Statistical Relational Learning (SRL) in first-order logic. In this paper, we propose Randomly Weighted Tensor Networks (RWTNs), which incorporate randomly drawn, untrained tensors into an NTN encoder network with a trained decoder network. We show that RWTNs meet or surpass the performance of traditionally trained LTNs for Semantic Image Interpretation (SII) tasks that have been used as a representative example of how LTNs utilize reasoning over first-order logic to exceed the performance of solely data-driven methods. We demonstrate that RWTNs outperform LTNs for the detection of the relevant part-of relations between objects, and we show that RWTNs can achieve similar performance as LTNs for object classification while using fewer parameters for learning. Furthermore, we demonstrate that because the randomized weights do not depend on the data, several decoder networks can share a single NTN, giving RWTNs a unique economy of spatial scale for simultaneous classification tasks.

In Bayesian optimization, accounting for the importance of the output relative to the input is a crucial yet challenging exercise, as it can considerably improve the final result but often involves inaccurate and cumbersome entropy estimations. We approach the problem from the perspective of importance-sampling theory, and advocate the use of the likelihood ratio to guide the search algorithm towards regions of the input space where the objective function to be minimized assumes abnormally small values. The likelihood ratio acts as a sampling weight and can be computed at each iteration without severely deteriorating the overall efficiency of the algorithm. In particular, it can be approximated in a way that makes the approach tractable in high dimensions. The "likelihood-weighted" acquisition functions introduced in this work are found to outperform their unweighted counterparts in a number of applications.

This paper briefly analyzes the advantages and problems of AI mainstream technology and puts forward: To achieve stronger Artificial Intelligence, the end-to-end function calculation must be changed and adopt the technology system centered on scene fitting. It also discusses the concrete scheme named Dynamic Cognitive Network model (DC Net). Discussions : The knowledge and data in the comprehensive domain are uniformly represented by using the rich connection heterogeneous Dynamic Cognitive Network constructed by conceptualized elements; A network structure of two dimensions and multi layers is designed to achieve unified implementation of AI core processing such as combination and generalization; This paper analyzes the implementation differences of computer systems in different scenes, such as open domain, closed domain, significant probability and non-significant probability, and points out that the implementation in open domain and significant probability scene is the key of AI, and a cognitive probability model combining bidirectional conditional probability, probability passing and superposition, probability col-lapse is designed; An omnidirectional network matching-growth algorithm system driven by target and probability is designed to realize the integration of parsing, generating, reasoning, querying, learning and so on; The principle of cognitive network optimization is proposed, and the basic framework of Cognitive Network Learning algorithm (CNL) is designed that structure learning is the primary method and parameter learning is the auxiliary. The logical similarity of implementation between DC Net model and human intelligence is analyzed in this paper.

Leveraging well-established MCMC strategies, we propose MCMC-interactive variational inference (MIVI) to not only estimate the posterior in a time constrained manner, but also facilitate the design of MCMC transitions. Constructing a variational distribution followed by a short Markov chain that has parameters to learn, MIVI takes advantage of the complementary properties of variational inference and MCMC to encourage mutual improvement. On one hand, with the variational distribution locating high posterior density regions, the Markov chain is optimized within the variational inference framework to efficiently target the posterior despite a small number of transitions. On the other hand, the optimized Markov chain with considerable flexibility guides the variational distribution towards the posterior and alleviates its underestimation of uncertainty. Furthermore, we prove the optimized Markov chain in MIVI admits extrapolation, which means its marginal distribution gets closer to the true posterior as the chain grows. Therefore, the Markov chain can be used separately as an efficient MCMC scheme. Experiments show that MIVI not only accurately and efficiently approximates the posteriors but also facilitates designs of stochastic gradient MCMC and Gibbs sampling transitions.