The usual setting for learning the structure and parameters of a graphical model assumes the availability of independent samples produced from the corresponding multivariate probability distribution. However, for many models the mixing time of the respective Markov chain can be very large and i.i.d. samples may not be obtained. We study the problem of reconstructing binary graphical models from correlated samples produced by a dynamical process, which is natural in many applications. We analyze the sample complexity of two estimators that are based on the interaction screening objective and the conditional likelihood loss. We observe that for samples coming from a dynamical process far from equilibrium, the sample complexity reduces exponentially compared to a dynamical process that mixes quickly.

Model-free or learning-based control, in particular, reinforcement learning (RL), is expected to be applied for complex robotic tasks. Traditional RL requires a policy to be optimized is state-dependent, that means, the policy is a kind of feedback (FB) controllers. Due to the necessity of correct state observation in such a FB controller, it is sensitive to sensing failures. To alleviate this drawback of the FB controllers, feedback error learning integrates one of them with a feedforward (FF) controller. RL can be improved by dealing with the FB/FF policies, but to the best of our knowledge, a methodology for learning them in a unified manner has not been developed. In this paper, we propose a new optimization problem for optimizing both the FB/FF policies simultaneously. Inspired by control as inference, the optimization problem considers minimization/maximization of divergences between trajectory, predicted by the composed policy and a stochastic dynamics model, and optimal/non-optimal trajectories. By approximating the stochastic dynamics model using variational method, we naturally derive a regularization between the FB/FF policies. In numerical simulations and a robot experiment, we verified that the proposed method can stably optimize the composed policy even with the different learning law from the traditional RL. In addition, we demonstrated that the FF policy is robust to the sensing failures and can hold the optimal motion. Attached video is also uploaded on youtube: https://youtu.be/zLL4uXIRmrE

The growing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution grids raises various reliability issues due to DER's uncertain and complex behaviors. With a large-scale DER penetration in distribution grids, traditional outage detection methods, which rely on customers report and smart meters' last gasp signals, will have poor performance, because the renewable generators and storages and the mesh structure in urban distribution grids can continue supplying power after line outages. To address these challenges, we propose a data-driven outage monitoring approach based on the stochastic time series analysis with a theoretical guarantee. Specifically, we prove via power flow analysis that the dependency of time-series voltage measurements exhibits significant statistical changes after line outages. This makes the theory on optimal change-point detection suitable to identify line outages. However, existing change point detection methods require post-outage voltage distribution, which is unknown in distribution systems. Therefore, we design a maximum likelihood estimator to directly learn the distribution parameters from voltage data. We prove that the estimated parameters-based detection also achieves the optimal performance, making it extremely useful for fast distribution grid outage identifications. Furthermore, since smart meters have been widely installed in distribution grids and advanced infrastructure (e.g., PMU) has not widely been available, our approach only requires voltage magnitude for quick outage identification. Simulation results show highly accurate outage identification in eight distribution grids with 14 configurations with and without DERs using smart meter data.

How to combine uncertain information from different sources has been a hot topic for years. However, with respect to ordinal quantum evidences contained in information, there is no any referable work which is able to provide a solution to this kind of problem. Besides, the method to dispel uncertainty of quantum information is still an open issue. Therefore, in this paper, a specially designed method is designed to provide an excellent method which improves the combination of ordinal quantum evidences reasonably and reduce the effects brought by uncertainty contained in quantum information simultaneously. Besides, some actual applications are provided to verify the correctness and validity of the proposed method.

--Fabrication process variations can significantly influence the performance and yield of nano-scale electronic and photonic circuits. Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in quantifying the impact of process variations, but they suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Recently, low-rank tensor methods have been developed to mitigate this issue, but two fundamental challenges remain open: how to automatically determine the tensor rank and how to adaptively pick the informative simulation samples. This paper proposes a novel tensor regression method to address these two challenges. The resulting optimization problem can be efficiently solved via an alternating minimization solver . We also propose a two-stage adaptive sampling method to reduce the simulation cost. Our method considers both exploration and exploitation via the estimated V oronoi cell volume and nonlinearity measurement respectively. The proposed model is verified with synthetic and some realistic circuit benchmarks, on which our method can well capture the uncertainty caused by 19 to 100 random variables with only 100 to 600 simulation samples. Fabrication process variations (e.g., surface roughness of interconnects and photonic waveguide, and random doping effects of transistors) have been a major concern in nano-scale chip design. They can can significantly influence chip performance and decrease product yield [2]. Monte Carlo (MC) is one of the most popular methods o quantify the chip performance under uncertainty, but it requires a huge amount of computational cost [3]. Instead, stochastic spectral methods based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) [4] offer efficient solutions for fast uncertainty quantification by approximating a real uncertain circuit variable as a linear combination of some stochastic basis functions [5-7].

Recently many algorithms were devised for reinforcement learning (RL) with function approximation. While they have clear algorithmic distinctions, they also have many implementation differences that are algorithm-agnostic and sometimes subtle. Such mixing of algorithmic novelty and implementation craftsmanship makes rigorous analyses of the sources of performance improvements difficult. In this work, we focus on a series of inference-based actor-critic algorithms -- MPO, AWR, and SAC -- to decouple their algorithmic innovations and implementation decisions. We present unified derivations through a single control-as-inference objective, where we can categorize each algorithm as based on either Expectation-Maximization (EM) or direct Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence minimization and treat the rest of specifications as implementation details. We performed extensive ablation studies, and identified substantial performance drops whenever implementation details are mismatched for algorithmic choices. These results show which implementation details are co-adapted and co-evolved with algorithms, and which are transferable across algorithms: as examples, we identified that tanh policy and network sizes are highly adapted to algorithmic types, while layer normalization and ELU are critical for MPO's performances but also transfer to noticeable gains in SAC. We hope our work can inspire future work to further demystify sources of performance improvements across multiple algorithms and allow researchers to build on one another's both algorithmic and implementational innovations.

These subprocesses are interrelated, with mapping considered to be the pivotal process (Gentner, 1983). Mapping may play a role in retrieval, as mapping a target analog to multiple potential source analogs stored in memory can help identify one or more that seems promising; and the correspondences computed by mapping support subsequent inference and schema induction. Thus, because of its centrality to analogical reasoning, the present paper focuses on the process of mapping between two analogs. We also consider the possible role that mapping may play in analog retrieval. Computational Approaches to Analogy Computational models of analogy have been developed in both artificial intelligence (AI) and cognitive science over more than half a century (for a recent review and critical analysis, see Mitchell, 2021). These models differ in many ways, both in terms of basic assumptions about the constraints that define a "good" analogy for humans, and in the detailed algorithms that accomplish analogical reasoning. For our present purposes, two broad approaches can be distinguished. The first approach, which can be termed representation matching, combines mental representations of structured knowledge about each analog with a matching process that computes some form of relational similarity, yielding a set of correspondences between the elements of the two analogs. The structured knowledge about an analog is typically assumed to approximate the content of propositions expressed in predicate calculus; e.g., the instantiated relation "hammer hits nail" might be coded as hit (hammer, nail).

Recently, there are unprecedented data growth originating from different online platforms which contribute to big data in terms of volume, velocity, variety and veracity (4Vs). Given this nature of big data which is unstructured, performing analytics to extract meaningful information is currently a great challenge to big data analytics. Collecting and analyzing unstructured textual data allows decision makers to study the escalation of comments/posts on our social media platforms. Hence, there is need for automatic big data analysis to overcome the noise and the non-reliability of these unstructured dataset from the digital media platforms. However, current machine learning algorithms used are performance driven focusing on the classification/prediction accuracy based on known properties learned from the training samples. With the learning task in a large dataset, most machine learning models are known to require high computational cost which eventually leads to computational complexity. In this work, two supervised machine learning algorithms are combined with text mining techniques to produce a hybrid model which consists of Na\"ive Bayes and support vector machines (SVM). This is to increase the efficiency and accuracy of the results obtained and also to reduce the computational cost and complexity. The system also provides an open platform where a group of persons with a common interest can share their comments/messages and these comments classified automatically as legal or illegal. This improves the quality of conversation among users. The hybrid model was developed using WEKA tools and Java programming language. The result shows that the hybrid model gave 96.76% accuracy as against the 61.45% and 69.21% of the Na\"ive Bayes and SVM models respectively.

A dozen papers have considered the concept of negation of probability distributions (pd) introduced by Yager. Usually, such negations are generated point-by-point by functions defined on a set of probability values and called here negators. Recently it was shown that Yager's negator plays a crucial role in the definition of pd-independent linear negators: any linear negator is a function of Yager's negator. Here, we prove that the sequence of multiple negations of pd generated by a linear negator converges to the uniform distribution with maximal entropy. We show that any pd-independent negator is non-involutive, and any nontrivial linear negator is strictly contracting. Finally, we introduce an involutive negator in the class of pddependent negators that generates an involutive negation of probability distributions. Keywords: Probability distribution, contracting negation, involutive negation 1. Introduction The concept of the negation of a probability distribution (pd) was introduced by Yager [1].

Structural health monitoring (SHM) systems use the non-destructive testing principle for damage identification. As part of SHM, the propagation of ultrasonic guided waves (UGWs) is tracked and analyzed for the changes in the associated wave pattern. These changes help identify the location of a structural damage, if any. We advance existing research by accounting for uncertainty in the material and geometric properties of a structure. The physics model used in this study comprises of a monolithically coupled system of acoustic and elastic wave equations, known as the wave propagation in fluid-solid and their interface (WpFSI) problem. As the UGWs propagate in the solid, fluid, and their interface, the wave signal displacement measurements are contrasted against the benchmark pattern. For the numerical solution, we develop an efficient algorithm that successfully addresses the inherent complexity of solving the multiphysics problem under uncertainty. We present a procedure that uses Gaussian process regression and convolutional neural network for predicting the UGW propagation in a solid-fluid and their interface under uncertainty. First, a set of training images for different realizations of the uncertain parameters of the inclusion inside the structure is generated using a monolithically-coupled system of acoustic and elastic wave equations. Next, Gaussian processes trained with these images are used for predicting the propagated wave with convolutional neural networks for further enhancement to produce high-quality images of the wave patterns for new realizations of the uncertainty. The results indicate that the proposed approach provides an accurate prediction for the WpFSI problem in the presence of uncertainty.