Existing approaches for generating human-aware agent behaviors have considered different measures of interpretability in isolation. Further, these measures have been studied under differing assumptions, thus precluding the possibility of designing a single framework that captures these measures under the same assumptions. In this paper, we present a unifying Bayesian framework that models a human observer's evolving beliefs about an agent and thereby define the problem of Generalized Human-Aware Planning. We will show that the definitions of interpretability measures like explicability, legibility and predictability from the prior literature fall out as special cases of our general framework. Through this framework, we also bring a previously ignored fact to light that the human-robot interactions are in effect open-world problems, particularly as a result of modeling the human's beliefs over the agent. Since the human may not only hold beliefs unknown to the agent but may also form new hypotheses about the agent when presented with novel or unexpected behaviors.

Reliability of machine learning (ML) systems is crucial in safety-critical applications such as healthcare, and uncertainty estimation is a widely researched method to highlight the confidence of ML systems in deployment. Sequential and parallel ensemble techniques have shown improved performance of ML systems in multi-modal settings by leveraging the feature sets together. We propose an uncertainty-aware boosting technique for multi-modal ensembling in order to focus on the data points with higher associated uncertainty estimates, rather than the ones with higher loss values. We evaluate this method on healthcare tasks related to Dementia and Parkinson's disease which involve real-world multi-modal speech and text data, wherein our method shows an improved performance. Additional analysis suggests that introducing uncertainty-awareness into the boosted ensembles decreases the overall entropy of the system, making it more robust to heteroscedasticity in the data, as well as better calibrating each of the modalities along with high quality prediction intervals. We open-source our entire codebase at https://github.com/usarawgi911/Uncertainty-aware-boosting

Conditioning is crucial in applied science when inference involving time series is involved. Belief calculus is an effective way of handling such inference in the presence of epistemic uncertainty -- unfortunately, different approaches to conditioning in the belief function framework have been proposed in the past, leaving the matter somewhat unsettled. Inspired by the geometric approach to uncertainty, in this paper we propose an approach to the conditioning of belief functions based on geometrically projecting them onto the simplex associated with the conditioning event in the space of all belief functions. We show here that such a geometric approach to conditioning often produces simple results with straightforward interpretations in terms of degrees of belief. This raises the question of whether classical approaches, such as for instance Dempster's conditioning, can also be reduced to some form of distance minimisation in a suitable space. The study of families of combination rules generated by (geometric) conditioning rules appears to be the natural prosecution of the presented research.

Since the depletion of fossil fuels, the world has started to rely heavily on renewable sources of energy. With every passing year, our dependency on the renewable sources of energy is increasing exponentially. As a result, complex and hybrid generation systems are being designed and developed to meet the energy demands and ensure energy security in a country. The continual improvement in the technology and an effort towards the provision of uninterrupted power to the end-users is strongly dependent on an effective and fault resilient Operation and Maintenance (O&M) system. Ingenious algorithms and techniques are hence been introduced aiming to minimize equipment and plant downtime. Efforts are being made to develop robust Prognostic Maintenance systems that can identify the faults before they occur. To this aim, complex Data Analytics and Machine Learning (ML) techniques are being used to increase the overall efficiency of these prognostic maintenance systems. This paper provides an overview of the predictive/prognostic maintenance frameworks reported in the literature. We pay a particular focus to the approaches, challenges including data-related issues, such as the availability and quality of the data and data auditing, feature engineering, interpretability, and security issues. Being a key aspect of ML-based solutions, we also discuss some of the commonly used publicly available datasets in the domain. The paper also identifies key future research directions. We believe such detailed analysis will provide a baseline for future research in the domain.

Randomized algorithms have propelled advances in artificial intelligence and represent a foundational research area in advancing AI for Science. Future advancements in DOE Office of Science priority areas such as climate science, astrophysics, fusion, advanced materials, combustion, and quantum computing all require randomized algorithms for surmounting challenges of complexity, robustness, and scalability. This report summarizes the outcomes of that workshop, "Randomized Algorithms for Scientific Computing (RASC)," held virtually across four days in December 2020 and January 2021.

Categorization is a significant task in decision-making, which is a key part of human behavior. An interference effect is caused by categorization in some cases, which breaks the total probability principle. A negation quantum model (NQ model) is developed in this article to predict the interference. Taking the advantage of negation to bring more information in the distribution from a different perspective, the proposed model is a combination of the negation of a probability distribution and the quantum decision model. Information of the phase contained in quantum probability and the special calculation method to it can easily represented the interference effect. The results of the proposed NQ model is closely to the real experiment data and has less error than the existed models.

We present an approach for continual learning (CL) that is based on fully probabilistic (or generative) models of machine learning. In contrast to, e.g., GANs that are "generative" in the sense that they can generate samples, fully probabilistic models aim at modeling the data distribution directly. Consequently, they provide functionalities that are highly relevant for continual learning, such as density estimation (outlier detection) and sample generation. As a concrete realization of generative continual learning, we propose Gaussian Mixture Replay (GMR). GMR is a pseudo-rehearsal approach using a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) instance for both generator and classifier functionalities. Relying on the MNIST, FashionMNIST and Devanagari benchmarks, we first demonstrate unsupervised task boundary detection by GMM density estimation, which we also use to reject untypical generated samples. In addition, we show that GMR is capable of class-conditional sampling in the way of a cGAN. Lastly, we verify that GMR, despite its simple structure, achieves state-of-the-art performance on common class-incremental learning problems at very competitive time and memory complexity.

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well explored for classical Bayesian Statistics, it appears useful to develop a corresponding method for complex Machine Learning problems. Given their underlying Bayesian framework and their widespread popularity, Gaussian Processes are a good candidate to tackle this task. We therefore extend the idea of Mixture models for Gaussian Process regression in order to work with multiple prior beliefs at once - both a analytical regression formula and a Sparse Variational approach are considered. In addition, we consider the usage of our approach to additionally account for the problem of prior misspecification in functional regression problems.

Network Intrusion Detection Systems (NIDSs) are an increasingly important tool for the prevention and mitigation of cyber attacks. A number of labelled synthetic datasets generated have been generated and made publicly available by researchers, and they have become the benchmarks via which new ML-based NIDS classifiers are being evaluated. Recently published results show excellent classification performance with these datasets, increasingly approaching 100 percent performance across key evaluation metrics such as accuracy, F1 score, etc. Unfortunately, we have not yet seen these excellent academic research results translated into practical NIDS systems with such near-perfect performance. This motivated our research presented in this paper, where we analyse the statistical properties of the benign traffic in three of the more recent and relevant NIDS datasets, (CIC, UNSW, ...). As a comparison, we consider two datasets obtained from real-world production networks, one from a university network and one from a medium size Internet Service Provider (ISP). Our results show that the two real-world datasets are quite similar among themselves in regards to most of the considered statistical features. Equally, the three synthetic datasets are also relatively similar within their group. However, and most importantly, our results show a distinct difference of most of the considered statistical features between the three synthetic datasets and the two real-world datasets. Since ML relies on the basic assumption of training and test datasets being sampled from the same distribution, this raises the question of how well the performance results of ML-classifiers trained on the considered synthetic datasets can translate and generalise to real-world networks. We believe this is an interesting and relevant question which provides motivation for further research in this space.

Topic models have been successfully used for analyzing text documents. However, with existing topic models, many documents are required for training. In this paper, we propose a neural network-based few-shot learning method that can learn a topic model from just a few documents. The neural networks in our model take a small number of documents as inputs, and output topic model priors. The proposed method trains the neural networks such that the expected test likelihood is improved when topic model parameters are estimated by maximizing the posterior probability using the priors based on the EM algorithm. Since each step in the EM algorithm is differentiable, the proposed method can backpropagate the loss through the EM algorithm to train the neural networks. The expected test likelihood is maximized by a stochastic gradient descent method using a set of multiple text corpora with an episodic training framework. In our experiments, we demonstrate that the proposed method achieves better perplexity than existing methods using three real-world text document sets.