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 Uncertainty


Relational VAE: A Continuous Latent Variable Model for Graph Structured Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Graph Networks (GNs) enable the fusion of prior knowledge and relational reasoning with flexible function approximations. In this work, a general GN-based model is proposed which takes full advantage of the relational modeling capabilities of GNs and extends these to probabilistic modeling with Variational Bayes (VB). To that end, we combine complementary pre-existing approaches on VB for graph data and propose an approach that relies on graph-structured latent and conditioning variables. It is demonstrated that Neural Processes can also be viewed through the lens of the proposed model. We show applications on the problem of structured probability density modeling for simulated and real wind farm monitoring data, as well as on the meta-learning of simulated Gaussian Process data. We release the source code, along with the simulated datasets.


Classical Planning in Deep Latent Space

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Current domain-independent, classical planners require symbolic models of the problem domain and instance as input, resulting in a knowledge acquisition bottleneck. Meanwhile, although deep learning has achieved significant success in many fields, the knowledge is encoded in a subsymbolic representation which is incompatible with symbolic systems such as planners. We propose Latplan, an unsupervised architecture combining deep learning and classical planning. Given only an unlabeled set of image pairs showing a subset of transitions allowed in the environment (training inputs), Latplan learns a complete propositional PDDL action model of the environment. Later, when a pair of images representing the initial and the goal states (planning inputs) is given, Latplan finds a plan to the goal state in a symbolic latent space and returns a visualized plan execution. We evaluate Latplan using image-based versions of 6 planning domains: 8-puzzle, 15-Puzzle, Blocksworld, Sokoban and Two variations of LightsOut.


Top Machine Learning Courses to Pursue

#artificialintelligence

Machine learning (ML), is the study of computer algorithms, that improve automatically through experience and by the use of data. It is seen as a part of artificial intelligence. Machine learning algorithms, build a model based on sample data, known as "training data", in order to make predictions or decisions without being explicitly programmed to do so. Machine learning algorithms are used in a wide variety of applications, such as in medicine, email filtering, speech recognition, and computer vision, where it is difficult or unfeasible to develop conventional algorithms to perform the needed tasks. In simple words, machine learning is a subset under the broad umbrella of artificial intelligence.


Topic Modeling and Latent Dirichlet Allocation(LDA) using Gensim and Sklearn : Part 1 - Analytics Vidhya

#artificialintelligence

Let's say you have a client who has a publishing house. Your client comes to you with two tasks: one he wants to categorize all the books or the research papers he receives weekly on a common theme or a topic and the other task is to encapsulate large documents into smaller bite-sized texts. Is there any technique and tool available that can do both of these two tasks? We enter the world of Topic Modeling. I'll break this article into three parts.


Probabilistic Graphical Models and Tensor Networks: A Hybrid Framework

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We investigate a correspondence between two formalisms for discrete probabilistic modeling: probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) and tensor networks (TNs), a powerful modeling framework for simulating complex quantum systems. The graphical calculus of PGMs and TNs exhibits many similarities, with discrete undirected graphical models (UGMs) being a special case of TNs. However, more general probabilistic TN models such as Born machines (BMs) employ complex-valued hidden states to produce novel forms of correlation among the probabilities. While representing a new modeling resource for capturing structure in discrete probability distributions, this behavior also renders the direct application of standard PGM tools impossible. We aim to bridge this gap by introducing a hybrid PGM-TN formalism that integrates quantum-like correlations into PGM models in a principled manner, using the physically-motivated concept of decoherence. We first prove that applying decoherence to the entirety of a BM model converts it into a discrete UGM, and conversely, that any subgraph of a discrete UGM can be represented as a decohered BM. This method allows a broad family of probabilistic TN models to be encoded as partially decohered BMs, a fact we leverage to combine the representational strengths of both model families. We experimentally verify the performance of such hybrid models in a sequential modeling task, and identify promising uses of our method within the context of existing applications of graphical models.


The Physics of Energy-Based Models

#artificialintelligence

The interactive version of this post can be found here. Since Medium does not support Javascript and equations written in Latex, we recommend to check out our interactive post as well. When we think of Peter, his positive nature and his can-do attitude inevitably come to mind. He had an ability to inspire and carry the people around him, convincing them that almost everything is possible. Back in 2018 he came up with the idea for an interactive blog post on the subject of Energy Based Models and pitched it to us. It was almost impossible to resist his enthusiastic manner and of course we embarked on this adventure with him. Equipped with our knowledge in physics and machine learning and hardly any clue about Javascript, we started our journey. After a lot of hard work, we were finally able to complete this project. We are overjoyed with the final result and we wish he could see it.


Fast Bayesian Variable Selection in Binomial and Negative Binomial Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been hampered by computational challenges, especially in difficult regimes with a large number of covariates or non-conjugate likelihoods. Generalized linear models for count data, which are prevalent in biology, ecology, economics, and beyond, represent an important special case. Here we introduce an efficient MCMC scheme for variable selection in binomial and negative binomial regression that exploits Tempered Gibbs Sampling (Zanella and Roberts, 2019) and that includes logistic regression as a special case. In experiments we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, including on cancer data with seventeen thousand covariates.


High-dimensional separability for one- and few-shot learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This work is driven by a practical question, corrections of Artificial Intelligence (AI) errors. Systematic re-training of a large AI system is hardly possible. To solve this problem, special external devices, correctors, are developed. They should provide quick and non-iterative system fix without modification of a legacy AI system. A common universal part of the AI corrector is a classifier that should separate undesired and erroneous behavior from normal operation. Training of such classifiers is a grand challenge at the heart of the one- and few-shot learning methods. Effectiveness of one- and few-short methods is based on either significant dimensionality reductions or the blessing of dimensionality effects. Stochastic separability is a blessing of dimensionality phenomenon that allows one-and few-shot error correction: in high-dimensional datasets under broad assumptions each point can be separated from the rest of the set by simple and robust linear discriminant. The hierarchical structure of data universe is introduced where each data cluster has a granular internal structure, etc. New stochastic separation theorems for the data distributions with fine-grained structure are formulated and proved. Separation theorems in infinite-dimensional limits are proven under assumptions of compact embedding of patterns into data space. New multi-correctors of AI systems are presented and illustrated with examples of predicting errors and learning new classes of objects by a deep convolutional neural network.


Capturing the temporal constraints of gradual patterns

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Gradual pattern mining allows for extraction of attribute correlations through gradual rules such as: "the more X, the more Y". Such correlations are useful in identifying and isolating relationships among the attributes that may not be obvious through quick scans on a data set. For instance, a researcher may apply gradual pattern mining to determine which attributes of a data set exhibit unfamiliar correlations in order to isolate them for deeper exploration or analysis. In this work, we propose an ant colony optimization technique which uses a popular probabilistic approach that mimics the behavior biological ants as they search for the shortest path to find food in order to solve combinatorial problems. In our second contribution, we extend an existing gradual pattern mining technique to allow for extraction of gradual patterns together with an approximated temporal lag between the affected gradual item sets. Such a pattern is referred to as a fuzzy-temporal gradual pattern and it may take the form: "the more X, the more Y, almost 3 months later". In our third contribution, we propose a data crossing model that allows for integration of mostly gradual pattern mining algorithm implementations into a Cloud platform. This contribution is motivated by the proliferation of IoT applications in almost every area of our society and this comes with provision of large-scale time-series data from different sources.


Score-Based Change Detection for Gradient-Based Learning Machines

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The widespread use of machine learning algorithms calls for automatic change detection algorithms to monitor their behavior over time. As a machine learning algorithm learns from a continuous, possibly evolving, stream of data, it is desirable and often critical to supplement it with a companion change detection algorithm to facilitate its monitoring and control. We present a generic score-based change detection method that can detect a change in any number of components of a machine learning model trained via empirical risk minimization. This proposed statistical hypothesis test can be readily implemented for such models designed within a differentiable programming framework. We establish the consistency of the hypothesis test and show how to calibrate it to achieve a prescribed false alarm rate. We illustrate the versatility of the approach on synthetic and real data.