We present a state-of-the-art neural approach to the unsupervised reconstruction of ancient word forms. Previous work in this domain used expectation-maximization to predict simple phonological changes between ancient word forms and their cognates in modern languages. We extend this work with neural models that can capture more complicated phonological and morphological changes. At the same time, we preserve the inductive biases from classical methods by building monotonic alignment constraints into the model and deliberately underfitting during the maximization step. We evaluate our performance on the task of reconstructing Latin from a dataset of cognates across five Romance languages, achieving a notable reduction in edit distance from the target word forms compared to previous methods.

Active learning has been studied extensively as a method for efficient data collection. Among the many approaches in literature, Expected Error Reduction (EER) (Roy and McCallum) has been shown to be an effective method for active learning: select the candidate sample that, in expectation, maximally decreases the error on an unlabeled set. However, EER requires the model to be retrained for every candidate sample and thus has not been widely used for modern deep neural networks due to this large computational cost. In this paper we reformulate EER under the lens of Bayesian active learning and derive a computationally efficient version that can use any Bayesian parameter sampling method (such as arXiv:1506.02142). We then compare the empirical performance of our method using Monte Carlo dropout for parameter sampling against state of the art methods in the deep active learning literature. Experiments are performed on four standard benchmark datasets and three WILDS datasets (arXiv:2012.07421). The results indicate that our method outperforms all other methods except one in the data shift scenario: a model dependent, non-information theoretic method that requires an order of magnitude higher computational cost (arXiv:1906.03671).

Machine Learning involves algorithms that learn from patterns of data and then apply it to decision making. Deep Learning, on the other hand, is able to learn through processing data on its own and is quite similar to the human brain where it identifies something, analyse it, and makes a decision.

In a computer-aided engineering design optimization problem that involves notoriously complex and time-consuming simulator, the prevalent approach is to replace these simulations with a data-driven surrogate that approximates the simulator's behavior at a much cheaper cost. The main challenge in creating an inexpensive data-driven surrogate is the generation of a sheer number of data using these computationally expensive numerical simulations. In such cases, Active Learning (AL) methods have been used that attempt to learn an input--output behavior while labeling the fewest samples possible. The current trend in AL for a regression problem is dominated by the Bayesian framework that needs training an ensemble of learning models that makes surrogate training computationally tedious if the underlying learning model is Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). However, DNNs have an excellent capability to learn highly nonlinear and complex relationships even for a very high dimensional problem. To leverage the excellent learning capability of deep networks along with avoiding the computational complexity of the Bayesian paradigm, in this work we propose a simple and scalable approach for active learning that works in a student-teacher manner to train a surrogate model. By using this proposed approach, we are able to achieve the same level of surrogate accuracy as the other baselines like DBAL and Monte Carlo sampling with up to 40 % fewer samples. We empirically evaluated this method on multiple use cases including three different engineering design domains:finite element analysis, computational fluid dynamics, and propeller design.

Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have been successfully used in various nuclear engineering applications, such as predicting reactor physics parameters within reasonable time and with a high level of accuracy. Despite this success, they cannot provide information about the model prediction uncertainties, making it difficult to assess ANN prediction credibility, especially in extrapolated domains. In this study, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are used to predict the assembly axial neutron flux profiles in the SAFARI-1 research reactor, with quantified uncertainties in the ANN predictions and extrapolation to cycles not used in the training process. The training dataset consists of copper-wire activation measurements, the axial measurement locations and the measured control bank positions obtained from the reactor's historical cycles. Uncertainty Quantification of the regular DNN models' predictions is performed using Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD) and Bayesian Neural Networks solved by Variational Inference (BNN VI). The regular DNNs, DNNs solved with MCD and BNN VI results agree very well among each other as well as with the new measured dataset not used in the training process, thus indicating good prediction and generalization capability. The uncertainty bands produced by MCD and BNN VI agree very well, and in general, they can fully envelop the noisy measurement data points. The developed ANNs are useful in supporting the experimental measurements campaign and neutronics code Verification and Validation (V&V).

Bayesian Networks may be appealing for clinical decision-making due to their inclusion of causal knowledge, but their practical adoption remains limited as a result of their inability to deal with unstructured data. While neural networks do not have this limitation, they are not interpretable and are inherently unable to deal with causal structure in the input space. Our goal is to build neural networks that combine the advantages of both approaches. Motivated by the perspective to inject causal knowledge while training such neural networks, this work presents initial steps in that direction. We demonstrate how a neural network can be trained to output conditional probabilities, providing approximately the same functionality as a Bayesian Network. Additionally, we propose two training strategies that allow encoding the independence relations inferred from a given causal structure into the neural network.

In any computer vision task involving color images, a necessary step is classifying pixels according to color and segmenting the respective areas. However, the development of methods able to successfully complete this task has proven challenging, mainly due to the gap between human color perception, linguistic color terms, and digital representation. In this paper, we propose a novel method combining geometric analysis of color theory, fuzzy color spaces, and multi-label systems for the automatic classification of pixels according to 12 standard color categories (Green, Yellow, Light Orange, Deep Orange, Red, Pink, Purple, Ultramarine, Blue, Teal, Brown, and Neutral). Moreover, we present a robust, unsupervised, unbiased strategy for color naming based on statistics and color theory. ABANICCO was tested against the state of the art in color classification and with the standarized ISCC-NBS color system, providing accurate classification and a standard, easily understandable alternative for hue naming recognizable by humans and machines. We expect this solution to become the base to successfully tackle a myriad of problems in all fields of computer vision, such as region characterization, histopathology analysis, fire detection, product quality prediction, object description, and hyperspectral imaging.

Direct Loss Minimization (DLM) has been proposed as a pseudo-Bayesian method motivated as regularized loss minimization. Compared to variational inference, it replaces the loss term in the evidence lower bound (ELBO) with the predictive log loss, which is the same loss function used in evaluation. A number of theoretical and empirical results in prior work suggest that DLM can significantly improve over ELBO optimization for some models. However, as we point out in this paper, this is not the case for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). The paper explores the practical performance of DLM for BNN, the reasons for its failure and its relationship to optimizing the ELBO, uncovering some interesting facts about both algorithms.

Often the data that a model needs to be trained on is distributed among multiple computing agents and it cannot be accrued in a single server location because of logistical constraints such as memory, efficient data sharing means, or confidentiality requirements due to sensitive nature of the data. However, the need arises to train the same model with the entire distributed data. Isolated training individually by the agents with their local data may lead to overfitted models as the training data is limited. Besides, training such isolated models on different agents is redundant as more parameter updates have to be performed by the isolated models to reach a certain level of accuracy as compared to what can be achieved by sharing information. Distributed learning aims to leverage the full distributed data by a coordinated training among all the agents where the agents are allowed to share partial information (usually the learned model parameters or their gradients) without sharing any raw data.

Discussions on causal relations in real life often consider variables for which the definition of causality is unclear since the notion of interventions on the respective variables is obscure. Asking 'what qualifies an action for being an intervention on the variable X' raises the question whether the action impacted all other variables only through X or directly, which implicitly refers to a causal model. To avoid this known circularity, we instead suggest a notion of 'phenomenological causality' whose basic concept is a set of elementary actions. Then the causal structure is defined such that elementary actions change only the causal mechanism at one node (e.g. one of the causal conditionals in the Markov factorization). This way, the Principle of Independent Mechanisms becomes the defining property of causal structure in domains where causality is a more abstract phenomenon rather than being an objective fact relying on hard-wired causal links between tangible objects. We describe this phenomenological approach to causality for toy and hypothetical real-world examples and argue that it is consistent with the causal Markov condition when the system under consideration interacts with other variables that control the elementary actions.