Active Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) is the problem of planning and controlling the motion of a robot to build the most accurate and complete model of the surrounding environment. Since the first foundational work in active perception appeared, more than three decades ago, this field has received increasing attention across different scientific communities. This has brought about many different approaches and formulations, and makes a review of the current trends necessary and extremely valuable for both new and experienced researchers. In this work, we survey the state-of-the-art in active SLAM and take an in-depth look at the open challenges that still require attention to meet the needs of modern applications. After providing a historical perspective, we present a unified problem formulation and review the well-established modular solution scheme, which decouples the problem into three stages that identify, select, and execute potential navigation actions. We then analyze alternative approaches, including belief-space planning and deep reinforcement learning techniques, and review related work on multi-robot coordination. The manuscript concludes with a discussion of new research directions, addressing reproducible research, active spatial perception, and practical applications, among other topics.

We present a continuous-time probabilistic approach for estimating the chirp signal and its instantaneous frequency function when the true forms of these functions are not accessible. Our model represents these functions by non-linearly cascaded Gaussian processes represented as non-linear stochastic differential equations. The posterior distribution of the functions is then estimated with stochastic filters and smoothers. We compute a (posterior) Cram\'er--Rao lower bound for the Gaussian process model, and derive a theoretical upper bound for the estimation error in the mean squared sense. The experiments show that the proposed method outperforms a number of state-of-the-art methods on a synthetic data. We also show that the method works out-of-the-box for two real-world datasets.

Modeling difficulty, time-varying model, and uncertain external inputs are the main challenges for energy management of fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles. In the paper, a fuzzy reinforcement learning-based energy management strategy for fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles is proposed to reduce fuel consumption, maintain the batteries' long-term operation, and extend the lifetime of the fuel cells system. Fuzzy Q-learning is a model-free reinforcement learning that can learn itself by interacting with the environment, so there is no need for modeling the fuel cells system. In addition, frequent startup of the fuel cells will reduce the remaining useful life of the fuel cells system. The proposed method suppresses frequent fuel cells startup by considering the penalty for the times of fuel cell startups in the reward of reinforcement learning. Moreover, applying fuzzy logic to approximate the value function in Q-Learning can solve continuous state and action space problems. Finally, a python-based training and testing platform verify the effectiveness and self-learning improvement of the proposed method under conditions of initial state change, model change and driving condition change.

The development of efficient exact and approximate algorithms for probabilistic inference is a long-standing goal of artificial intelligence research. Whereas substantial progress has been made in dealing with purely discrete or purely continuous domains, adapting the developed solutions to tackle hybrid domains, characterised by discrete and continuous variables and their relationships, is highly non-trivial. Weighted Model Integration (WMI) recently emerged as a unifying formalism for probabilistic inference in hybrid domains. Despite a considerable amount of recent work, allowing WMI algorithms to scale with the complexity of the hybrid problem is still a challenge. In this paper we highlight some substantial limitations of existing state-of-the-art solutions, and develop an algorithm that combines SMT-based enumeration, an efficient technique in formal verification, with an effective encoding of the problem structure. This allows our algorithm to avoid generating redundant models, resulting in drastic computational savings. Additionally, we show how SMT-based approaches can seamlessly deal with different integration techniques, both exact and approximate, significantly expanding the set of problems that can be tackled by WMI technology. An extensive experimental evaluation on both synthetic and real-world datasets confirms the substantial advantage of the proposed solution over existing alternatives. The application potential of this technology is further showcased on a prototypical task aimed at verifying the fairness of probabilistic programs.

Online decision making under uncertainty in partially observable domains, also known as Belief Space Planning, is a fundamental problem in robotics and Artificial Intelligence. Due to an abundance of plausible future unravelings, calculating an optimal course of action inflicts an enormous computational burden on the agent. Moreover, in many scenarios, e.g., information gathering, it is required to introduce a belief-dependent constraint. Prompted by this demand, in this paper, we consider a recently introduced probabilistic belief-dependent constrained POMDP. We present a technique to adaptively accept or discard a candidate action sequence with respect to a probabilistic belief-dependent constraint, before expanding a complete set of future observations samples and without any loss in accuracy. Moreover, using our proposed framework, we contribute an adaptive method to find a maximal feasible return (e.g., information gain) in terms of Value at Risk for the candidate action sequence with substantial acceleration. On top of that, we introduce an adaptive simplification technique for a probabilistically constrained setting. Such an approach provably returns an identical-quality solution while dramatically accelerating online decision making. Our universal framework applies to any belief-dependent constrained continuous POMDP with parametric beliefs, as well as nonparametric beliefs represented by particles. In the context of an information-theoretic constraint, our presented framework stochastically quantifies if a cumulative information gain along the planning horizon is sufficiently significant (e.g. for, information gathering, active SLAM). We apply our method to active SLAM, a highly challenging problem of high dimensional Belief Space Planning. Extensive realistic simulations corroborate the superiority of our proposed ideas.

A wide spectrum of design and decision problems, including parameter tuning, A/B testing and drug design, intrinsically are instances of black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful tool that models and optimizes such expensive "black-box" functions. However, at the beginning of optimization, vanilla Bayesian optimization methods often suffer from slow convergence issue due to inaccurate modeling based on few trials. To address this issue, researchers in the BO community propose to incorporate the spirit of transfer learning to accelerate optimization process, which could borrow strength from the past tasks (source tasks) to accelerate the current optimization problem (target task). This survey paper first summarizes transfer learning methods for Bayesian optimization from four perspectives: initial points design, search space design, surrogate model, and acquisition function. Then it highlights its methodological aspects and technical details for each approach. Finally, it showcases a wide range of applications and proposes promising future directions.

In this work, we advocate for the importance of singular learning theory (SLT) as it pertains to the theory and practice of variational inference in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). To begin, using SLT, we lay to rest some of the confusion surrounding discrepancies between downstream predictive performance measured via e.g., the test log predictive density, and the variational objective. Next, we use the SLT-corrected asymptotic form for singular posterior distributions to inform the design of the variational family itself. Specifically, we build upon the idealized variational family introduced in \citet{bhattacharya_evidence_2020} which is theoretically appealing but practically intractable. Our proposal takes shape as a normalizing flow where the base distribution is a carefully-initialized generalized gamma. We conduct experiments comparing this to the canonical Gaussian base distribution and show improvements in terms of variational free energy and variational generalization error.

Kernel mean embeddings, a widely used technique in machine learning, map probability distributions to elements of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). For supervised learning problems, where input-output pairs are observed, the conditional distribution of outputs given the inputs is a key object. The input dependent conditional distribution of an output can be encoded with an RKHS valued function, the conditional kernel mean map. In this paper we present a new recursive algorithm to estimate the conditional kernel mean map in a Hilbert space valued $L_2$ space, that is in a Bochner space. We prove the weak and strong $L_2$ consistency of our recursive estimator under mild conditions. The idea is to generalize Stone's theorem for Hilbert space valued regression in a locally compact Polish space. We present new insights about conditional kernel mean embeddings and give strong asymptotic bounds regarding the convergence of the proposed recursive method. Finally, the results are demonstrated on three application domains: for inputs coming from Euclidean spaces, Riemannian manifolds and locally compact subsets of function spaces.

Electronic health records (EHR) often contain sensitive medical information about individual patients, posing significant limitations to sharing or releasing EHR data for downstream learning and inferential tasks. We use normalizing flows (NF), a family of deep generative models, to estimate the probability density of a dataset with differential privacy (DP) guarantees, from which privacy-preserving synthetic data are generated. We apply the technique to an EHR dataset containing patients with pulmonary hypertension. We assess the learning and inferential utility of the synthetic data by comparing the accuracy in the prediction of the hypertension status and variational posterior distribution of the parameters of a physics-based model. In addition, we use a simulated dataset from a nonlinear model to compare the results from variational inference (VI) based on privacy-preserving synthetic data, and privacy-preserving VI obtained from directly privatizing NFs for VI with DP guarantees given the original non-private dataset. The results suggest that synthetic data generated through differentially private density estimation with NF can yield good utility at a reasonable privacy cost. We also show that VI obtained from differentially private NF based on the free energy bound loss may produce variational approximations with significantly altered correlation structure, and loss formulations based on alternative dissimilarity metrics between two distributions might provide improved results.

Gaussian processes (GPs) are an attractive class of machine learning models because of their simplicity and flexibility as building blocks of more complex Bayesian models. Meanwhile, graph neural networks (GNNs) emerged recently as a promising class of models for graph-structured data in semi-supervised learning and beyond. Their competitive performance is often attributed to a proper capturing of the graph inductive bias. In this work, we introduce this inductive bias into GPs to improve their predictive performance for graph-structured data. We show that a prominent example of GNNs, the graph convolutional network, is equivalent to some GP when its layers are infinitely wide; and we analyze the kernel universality and the limiting behavior in depth. We further present a programmable procedure to compose covariance kernels inspired by this equivalence and derive example kernels corresponding to several interesting members of the GNN family. We also propose a computationally efficient approximation of the covariance matrix for scalable posterior inference with large-scale data. We demonstrate that these graph-based kernels lead to competitive classification and regression performance, as well as advantages in computation time, compared with the respective GNNs.