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 Uncertainty


Adapting to game trees in zero-sum imperfect information games

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Imperfect information games (IIG) are games in which each player only partially observes the current game state. We study how to learn $\epsilon$-optimal strategies in a zero-sum IIG through self-play with trajectory feedback. We give a problem-independent lower bound $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(H(A_{\mathcal{X}}+B_{\mathcal{Y}})/\epsilon^2)$ on the required number of realizations to learn these strategies with high probability, where $H$ is the length of the game, $A_{\mathcal{X}}$ and $B_{\mathcal{Y}}$ are the total number of actions for the two players. We also propose two Follow the Regularized leader (FTRL) algorithms for this setting: Balanced FTRL which matches this lower bound, but requires the knowledge of the information set structure beforehand to define the regularization; and Adaptive FTRL which needs $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(H^2(A_{\mathcal{X}}+B_{\mathcal{Y}})/\epsilon^2)$ realizations without this requirement by progressively adapting the regularization to the observations.


Understanding the Distillation Process from Deep Generative Models to Tractable Probabilistic Circuits

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Probabilistic Circuits (PCs) are a general and unified computational framework for tractable probabilistic models that support efficient computation of various inference tasks (e.g., computing marginal probabilities). Towards enabling such reasoning capabilities in complex real-world tasks, Liu et al. (2022) propose to distill knowledge (through latent variable assignments) from less tractable but more expressive deep generative models. However, it is still unclear what factors make this distillation work well. In this paper, we theoretically and empirically discover that the performance of a PC can exceed that of its teacher model. Therefore, instead of performing distillation from the most expressive deep generative model, we study what properties the teacher model and the PC should have in order to achieve good distillation performance. This leads to a generic algorithmic improvement as well as other data-type-specific ones over the existing latent variable distillation pipeline. Empirically, we outperform SoTA TPMs by a large margin on challenging image modeling benchmarks. In particular, on ImageNet32, PCs achieve 4.06 bits-per-dimension, which is only 0.34 behind variational diffusion models (Kingma et al., 2021).


Fuzzy Knowledge Distillation from High-Order TSK to Low-Order TSK

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

High-order Takagi-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) fuzzy classifiers possess powerful classification performance yet have fewer fuzzy rules, but always be impaired by its exponential growth training time and poorer interpretability owing to High-order polynomial used in consequent part of fuzzy rule, while Low-order TSK fuzzy classifiers run quickly with high interpretability, however they usually require more fuzzy rules and perform relatively not very well. Address this issue, a novel TSK fuzzy classifier embeded with knowledge distillation in deep learning called HTSK-LLM-DKD is proposed in this study. HTSK-LLM-DKD achieves the following distinctive characteristics: 1) It takes High-order TSK classifier as teacher model and Low-order TSK fuzzy classifier as student model, and leverages the proposed LLM-DKD (Least Learning Machine based Decoupling Knowledge Distillation) to distill the fuzzy dark knowledge from High-order TSK fuzzy classifier to Low-order TSK fuzzy classifier, which resulting in Low-order TSK fuzzy classifier endowed with enhanced performance surpassing or at least comparable to High-order TSK classifier, as well as high interpretability; specifically 2) The Negative Euclidean distance between the output of teacher model and each class is employed to obtain the teacher logits, and then it compute teacher/student soft labels by the softmax function with distillating temperature parameter; 3) By reformulating the Kullback-Leibler divergence, it decouples fuzzy dark knowledge into target class knowledge and non-target class knowledge, and transfers them to student model. The advantages of HTSK-LLM-DKD are verified on the benchmarking UCI datasets and a real dataset Cleveland heart disease, in terms of classification performance and model interpretability.


Bayesian Decision Trees via Tractable Priors and Probabilistic Context-Free Grammars

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Decision Trees are some of the most popular machine learning models today due to their out-of-the-box performance and interpretability. Often, Decision Trees models are constructed greedily in a top-down fashion via heuristic search criteria, such as Gini impurity or entropy. However, trees constructed in this manner are sensitive to minor fluctuations in training data and are prone to overfitting. In contrast, Bayesian approaches to tree construction formulate the selection process as a posterior inference problem; such approaches are more stable and provide greater theoretical guarantees. However, generating Bayesian Decision Trees usually requires sampling from complex, multimodal posterior distributions. Current Markov Chain Monte Carlo-based approaches for sampling Bayesian Decision Trees are prone to mode collapse and long mixing times, which makes them impractical. In this paper, we propose a new criterion for training Bayesian Decision Trees. Our criterion gives rise to BCART-PCFG, which can efficiently sample decision trees from a posterior distribution across trees given the data and find the maximum a posteriori (MAP) tree. Learning the posterior and training the sampler can be done in time that is polynomial in the dataset size. Once the posterior has been learned, trees can be sampled efficiently (linearly in the number of nodes). At the core of our method is a reduction of sampling the posterior to sampling a derivation from a probabilistic context-free grammar. We find that trees sampled via BCART-PCFG perform comparable to or better than greedily-constructed Decision Trees in classification accuracy on several datasets. Additionally, the trees sampled via BCART-PCFG are significantly smaller -- sometimes by as much as 20x.


Neurosymbolic AI for Reasoning on Graph Structures: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neurosymbolic AI is an increasingly active area of research which aims to combine symbolic reasoning methods with deep learning to generate models with both high predictive performance and some degree of human-level comprehensibility. As knowledge graphs are becoming a popular way to represent heterogeneous and multi-relational data, methods for reasoning on graph structures have attempted to follow this neurosymbolic paradigm. Traditionally, such approaches have utilized either rule-based inference or generated representative numerical embeddings from which patterns could be extracted. However, several recent studies have attempted to bridge this dichotomy in ways that facilitate interpretability, maintain performance, and integrate expert knowledge. Within this article, we survey a breadth of methods that perform neurosymbolic reasoning tasks on graph structures. To better compare the various methods, we propose a novel taxonomy by which we can classify them. Specifically, we propose three major categories: (1) logically-informed embedding approaches, (2) embedding approaches with logical constraints, and (3) rule-learning approaches. Alongside the taxonomy, we provide a tabular overview of the approaches and links to their source code, if available, for more direct comparison. Finally, we discuss the applications on which these methods were primarily used and propose several prospective directions toward which this new field of research could evolve.


Joint Probability Trees

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Joint probability distributions offer a wide range of highpotential applications in engineering, science, and technology (Chater et al., 2006; Griffiths et al., 2008; Knill & Pouget, 2004). Besides families of continuous distributions, introducing strong independence assumptions that must be probabilistic graphical models (PGMs), such as Bayesian known prior to learning and may turn out to be too great networks and Markov random fields (Koller & Friedman, simplifications of a model to be of practical use (Besag, 2009), are the de-facto standard in probabilistic knowledge 1975; Jain, 2012). As a simple example, consider a probability representation. They provide graph-based languages to space X, Y, C of two numeric variables, X and Y, model dependencies and independencies of variables, and and one symbolic variable C, dom(C) = {Red, Blue} as local joint or conditional distributions that quantify the statistical illustrated in Figures 1a and 1b. Let the symbolic values Red dependencies. However, the practical applicability of and Blue demaracate two clusters that are approximately PGMs suffers from the representational and computational normally distributed.


Parameters for > 300 million Gaia stars: Bayesian inference vs. machine learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Gaia Data Release 3 (DR3), published in June 2022, delivers a diverse set of astrometric, photometric, and spectroscopic measurements for more than a billion stars. The wealth and complexity of the data makes traditional approaches for estimating stellar parameters for the full Gaia dataset almost prohibitive. We have explored different supervised learning methods for extracting basic stellar parameters as well as distances and line-of-sight extinctions, given spectro-photo-astrometric data (including also the new Gaia XP spectra). For training we use an enhanced high-quality dataset compiled from Gaia DR3 and ground-based spectroscopic survey data covering the whole sky and all Galactic components. We show that even with a simple neural-network architecture or tree-based algorithm (and in the absence of Gaia XP spectra), we succeed in predicting competitive results (compared to Bayesian isochrone fitting) down to faint magnitudes. We will present a new Gaia DR3 stellar-parameter catalogue obtained using the currently best-performing machine-learning algorithm for tabular data, XGBoost, in the near future.


Isotopic envelope identification by analysis of the spatial distribution of components in MALDI-MSI data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One of the significant steps in the process leading to the identification of proteins is mass spectrometry, which allows for obtaining information about the structure of proteins. Removing isotope peaks from the mass spectrum is vital and it is done in a process called deisotoping. There are different algorithms for deisotoping, but they have their limitations, they are dedicated to different methods of mass spectrometry. Data from experiments performed with the MALDI-ToF technique are characterized by high dimensionality. This paper presents a method for identifying isotope envelopes in MALDI-ToF molecular imaging data based on the Mamdani-Assilan fuzzy system and spatial maps of the molecular distribution of peaks included in the isotopic envelope. Several image texture measures were used to evaluate spatial molecular distribution maps. The algorithm was tested on eight datasets obtained from the MALDI-ToF experiment on samples from the National Institute of Oncology in Gliwice from patients with cancer of the head and neck region. The data were subjected to pre-processing and feature extraction. The results were collected and compared with three existing deisotoping algorithms. The analysis of the obtained results showed that the method for identifying isotopic envelopes proposed in this paper enables the detection of overlapping envelopes by using the approach oriented to study peak pairs. Moreover, the proposed algorithm enables the analysis of large data sets.


DiffuSeq: Sequence to Sequence Text Generation with Diffusion Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, diffusion models have emerged as a new paradigm for generative models. Despite the success in domains using continuous signals such as vision and audio, adapting diffusion models to natural language is under-explored due to the discrete nature of texts, especially for conditional generation. We tackle this challenge by proposing DiffuSeq: a diffusion model designed for sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) text generation tasks. Upon extensive evaluation over a wide range of Seq2Seq tasks, we find DiffuSeq achieving comparable or even better performance than six established baselines, including a state-of-the-art model that is based on pre-trained language models. Apart from quality, an intriguing property of DiffuSeq is its high diversity during generation, which is desired in many Seq2Seq tasks. We further include a theoretical analysis revealing the connection between DiffuSeq and autoregressive/non-autoregressive models. Bringing together theoretical analysis and empirical evidence, we demonstrate the great potential of diffusion models in complex conditional language generation tasks. Code is available at \url{https://github.com/Shark-NLP/DiffuSeq}


Focus-Driven Contrastive Learniang for Medical Question Summarization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Automatic medical question summarization can significantly help the system to understand consumer health questions and retrieve correct answers. The Seq2Seq model based on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) has been applied in this task, which faces two general problems: the model can not capture well question focus and and the traditional MLE strategy lacks the ability to understand sentence-level semantics. To alleviate these problems, we propose a novel question focus-driven contrastive learning framework (QFCL). Specially, we propose an easy and effective approach to generate hard negative samples based on the question focus, and exploit contrastive learning at both encoder and decoder to obtain better sentence level representations. On three medical benchmark datasets, our proposed model achieves new state-of-the-art results, and obtains a performance gain of 5.33, 12.85 and 3.81 points over the baseline BART model on three datasets respectively. Further human judgement and detailed analysis prove that our QFCL model learns better sentence representations with the ability to distinguish different sentence meanings, and generates high-quality summaries by capturing question focus.