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 Uncertainty


A Probabilistic Approach to Single Channel Blind Signal Separation

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a new technique for achieving source separation when given only a single channel recording. The main idea is based on exploiting the inherent time structure of sound sources by learning a priori sets of basis filters in time domain that encode the sources in a statistically efficient manner. We derive a learning algorithm using a maximum likelihood approach given the observed single channel data and sets of basis filters. This inference is possible due to the prior knowledge of the basis filters and the associated coefficient densities. A flexible model for density estimation allows accurate modeling of the observation and our experimental results exhibit a high level of separation performance for mixtures of two music signals as well as the separation of two voice signals.


Bayesian Estimation of Time-Frequency Coefficients for Audio Signal Enhancement

Neural Information Processing Systems

The Bayesian paradigm provides a natural and effective means of exploit- ing prior knowledge concerning the time-frequency structure of sound signals such as speech and music--something which has often been over- looked in traditional audio signal processing approaches. Here, after con- structing a Bayesian model and prior distributions capable of taking into account the time-frequency characteristics of typical audio waveforms, we apply Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in order to sample from the resultant posterior distribution of interest. We present speech enhance- ment results which compare favourably in objective terms with standard time-varying filtering techniques (and in several cases yield superior per- formance, both objectively and subjectively); moreover, in contrast to such methods, our results are obtained without an assumption of prior knowledge of the noise power.


Bayesian Models of Inductive Generalization

Neural Information Processing Systems

We argue that human inductive generalization is best explained in a Bayesian framework, rather than by traditional models based on simi- larity computations. We go beyond previous work on Bayesian concept learning by introducing an unsupervised method for constructing flex- ible hypothesis spaces, and we propose a version of the Bayesian Oc- cam's razor that trades off priors and likelihoods to prevent under- or over-generalization in these flexible spaces. We analyze two published data sets on inductive reasoning as well as the results of a new behavioral study that we have carried out.


Dynamic Bayesian Networks with Deterministic Latent Tables

Neural Information Processing Systems

The application of latent/hidden variable Dynamic Bayesian Net- works is constrained by the complexity of marginalising over latent variables. For this reason either small latent dimensions or Gaus- sian latent conditional tables linearly dependent on past states are typically considered in order that inference is tractable. We suggest an alternative approach in which the latent variables are modelled using deterministic conditional probability tables. This specialisa- tion has the advantage of tractable inference even for highly com- plex non-linear/non-Gaussian visible conditional probability tables. This approach enables the consideration of highly complex latent dynamics whilst retaining the bene(cid:12)ts of a tractable probabilistic model.


Incremental Gaussian Processes

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we consider Tipping's relevance vector machine (RVM) [1] and formalize an incremental training strategy as a variant of the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm that we call Subspace EM (SSEM). Working with a subset of active basis functions, the sparsity of the RVM solution will ensure that the number of basis functions and thereby the computational complexity is kept low. We also introduce a mean field approach to the intractable classification model that is ex- pected to give a very good approximation to exact Bayesian inference and contains the Laplace approximation as a special case. We test the algorithms on two large data sets with O(103 (cid:0) 104) examples. The re- sults indicate that Bayesian learning of large data sets, e.g. the MNIST database is realistic.


Handling Missing Data with Variational Bayesian Learning of ICA

Neural Information Processing Systems

Missing data is common in real-world datasets and is a problem for many estimation techniques. We have developed a variational Bayesian method to perform Independent Component Analysis (ICA) on high-dimensional data containing missing entries. Missing data are handled naturally in the Bayesian framework by integrating the generative density model. Mod- eling the distributions of the independent sources with mixture of Gaus- sians allows sources to be estimated with different kurtosis and skewness. The variational Bayesian method automatically determines the dimen- sionality of the data and yields an accurate density model for the ob- served data without overfitting problems.


Boosting Density Estimation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Several authors have suggested viewing boosting as a gradient descent search for a good fit in function space. We apply gradient-based boosting methodology to the unsupervised learning problem of density estimation. We show convergence properties of the algorithm and prove that a strength of weak learnability prop- erty applies to this problem as well. We illustrate the potential of this approach through experiments with boosting Bayesian networks to learn density models.


Evidence Optimization Techniques for Estimating Stimulus-Response Functions

Neural Information Processing Systems

An essential step in understanding the function of sensory nervous sys- tems is to characterize as accurately as possible the stimulus-response function (SRF) of the neurons that relay and process sensory informa- tion. One increasingly common experimental approach is to present a rapidly varying complex stimulus to the animal while recording the re- sponses of one or more neurons, and then to directly estimate a func- tional transformation of the input that accounts for the neuronal firing. The estimation techniques usually employed, such as Wiener filtering or other correlation-based estimation of the Wiener or Volterra kernels, are equivalent to maximum likelihood estimation in a Gaussian-output-noise regression model. We explore the use of Bayesian evidence-optimization techniques to condition these estimates. We show that by learning hyper- parameters that control the smoothness and sparsity of the transfer func- tion it is possible to improve dramatically the quality of SRF estimates, as measured by their success in predicting responses to novel input.


Optimality of Reinforcement Learning Algorithms with Linear Function Approximation

Neural Information Processing Systems

There are several reinforcement learning algorithms that yield ap(cid:173) proximate solutions for the problem of policy evaluation when the value function is represented with a linear function approximator. In this paper we show that each of the solutions is optimal with respect to a specific objective function. The results presented here will be useful for comparing the algorithms in terms of the error they achieve relative to the error of the optimal approximate solution.


Approximate Inference and Protein-Folding

Neural Information Processing Systems

Side-chain prediction is an important subtask in the protein-folding problem. We show that finding a minimal energy side-chain con(cid:173) figuration is equivalent to performing inference in an undirected graphical model. The graphical model is relatively sparse yet has many cycles. We used this equivalence to assess the performance of approximate inference algorithms in a real-world setting. In cases where exact inference was possible, max-product BP al(cid:173) ways found the global minimum of the energy (except in few cases where it failed to converge), while other approximation algorithms of similar complexity did not.