Uncertainty
The Interpreter Understands Your Meaning: End-to-end Spoken Language Understanding Aided by Speech Translation
End-to-end spoken language understanding (SLU) remains elusive even with current large pretrained language models on text and speech, especially in multilingual cases. Machine translation has been established as a powerful pretraining objective on text as it enables the model to capture high-level semantics of the input utterance and associations between different languages, which is desired for speech models that work on lower-level acoustic frames. Motivated particularly by the task of cross-lingual SLU, we demonstrate that the task of speech translation (ST) is a good means of pretraining speech models for end-to-end SLU on both intra- and cross-lingual scenarios. By introducing ST, our models reach higher performance over baselines on monolingual and multilingual intent classification as well as spoken question answering using SLURP, MINDS-14, and NMSQA benchmarks. To verify the effectiveness of our methods, we also create new benchmark datasets from both synthetic and real sources, for speech summarization and low-resource/zero-shot transfer from English to French or Spanish. We further show the value of preserving knowledge for the ST pretraining task for better downstream performance, possibly using Bayesian transfer regularizers.
Removing Structured Noise with Diffusion Models
Stevens, Tristan S. W., van Gorp, Hans, Meral, Faik C., Shin, Junseob, Yu, Jason, Robert, Jean-Luc, van Sloun, Ruud J. G.
Solving ill-posed inverse problems requires careful formulation of prior beliefs over the signals of interest and an accurate description of their manifestation into noisy measurements. Handcrafted signal priors based on e.g. sparsity are increasingly replaced by data-driven deep generative models, and several groups have recently shown that state-of-the-art score-based diffusion models yield particularly strong performance and flexibility. In this paper, we show that the powerful paradigm of posterior sampling with diffusion models can be extended to include rich, structured, noise models. To that end, we propose a joint conditional reverse diffusion process with learned scores for the noise and signal-generating distribution. We demonstrate strong performance gains across various inverse problems with structured noise, outperforming competitive baselines that use normalizing flows and adversarial networks. This opens up new opportunities and relevant practical applications of diffusion modeling for inverse problems in the context of non-Gaussian measurement models.
Efficient Online Learning with Offline Datasets for Infinite Horizon MDPs: A Bayesian Approach
Tang, Dengwang, Jain, Rahul, Hao, Botao, Wen, Zheng
In this paper, we study the problem of efficient online reinforcement learning in the infinite horizon setting when there is an offline dataset to start with. We assume that the offline dataset is generated by an expert but with unknown level of competence, i.e., it is not perfect and not necessarily using the optimal policy. We show that if the learning agent models the behavioral policy (parameterized by a competence parameter) used by the expert, it can do substantially better in terms of minimizing cumulative regret, than if it doesn't do that. We establish an upper bound on regret of the exact informed PSRL algorithm that scales as $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$. This requires a novel prior-dependent regret analysis of Bayesian online learning algorithms for the infinite horizon setting. We then propose an approximate Informed RLSVI algorithm that we can interpret as performing imitation learning with the offline dataset, and then performing online learning.
Learning to Sample Better
Albergo, Michael S., Vanden-Eijnden, Eric
These lecture notes provide an introduction to recent advances in generative modeling methods based on the dynamical transportation of measures, by means of which samples from a simple base measure are mapped to samples from a target measure of interest. Special emphasis is put on the applications of these methods to Monte-Carlo (MC) sampling techniques, such as importance sampling and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) schemes. In this context, it is shown how the maps can be learned variationally using data generated by MC sampling, and how they can in turn be used to improve such sampling in a positive feedback loop.
Federated Learning with Nonvacuous Generalisation Bounds
Jobic, Pierre, Haddouche, Maxime, Guedj, Benjamin
We introduce a novel strategy to train randomised predictors in federated learning, where each node of the network aims at preserving its privacy by releasing a local predictor but keeping secret its training dataset with respect to the other nodes. We then build a global randomised predictor which inherits the properties of the local private predictors in the sense of a PAC-Bayesian generalisation bound. We consider the synchronous case where all nodes share the same training objective (derived from a generalisation bound), and the asynchronous case where each node may have its own personalised training objective. We show through a series of numerical experiments that our approach achieves a comparable predictive performance to that of the batch approach where all datasets are shared across nodes. Moreover the predictors are supported by numerically nonvacuous generalisation bounds while preserving privacy for each node. We explicitly compute the increment on predictive performance and generalisation bounds between batch and federated settings, highlighting the price to pay to preserve privacy.
Mixed Variational Flows for Discrete Variables
Diluvi, Gian Carlo, Bloem-Reddy, Benjamin, Campbell, Trevor
Variational flows allow practitioners to learn complex continuous distributions, but approximating discrete distributions remains a challenge. Current methodologies typically embed the discrete target in a continuous space - usually via continuous relaxation or dequantization - and then apply a continuous flow. These approaches involve a surrogate target that may not capture the original discrete target, might have biased or unstable gradients, and can create a difficult optimization problem. In this work, we develop a variational flow family for discrete distributions without any continuous embedding. First, we develop a measure-preserving and discrete (MAD) invertible map that leaves the discrete target invariant, and then create a mixed variational flow (MAD Mix) based on that map. Our family provides access to i.i.d. sampling and density evaluation with virtually no tuning effort. We also develop an extension to MAD Mix that handles joint discrete and continuous models. Our experiments suggest that MAD Mix produces more reliable approximations than continuous-embedding flows while being significantly faster to train.
Bi-fidelity Variational Auto-encoder for Uncertainty Quantification
Cheng, Nuojin, Malik, Osman Asif, De, Subhayan, Becker, Stephen, Doostan, Alireza
Quantifying the uncertainty of quantities of interest (QoIs) from physical systems is a primary objective in model validation. However, achieving this goal entails balancing the need for computational efficiency with the requirement for numerical accuracy. To address this trade-off, we propose a novel bi-fidelity formulation of variational auto-encoders (BF-VAE) designed to estimate the uncertainty associated with a QoI from low-fidelity (LF) and high-fidelity (HF) samples of the QoI. This model allows for the approximation of the statistics of the HF QoI by leveraging information derived from its LF counterpart. Specifically, we design a bi-fidelity auto-regressive model in the latent space that is integrated within the VAE's probabilistic encoder-decoder structure. An effective algorithm is proposed to maximize the variational lower bound of the HF log-likelihood in the presence of limited HF data, resulting in the synthesis of HF realizations with a reduced computational cost. Additionally, we introduce the concept of the bi-fidelity information bottleneck (BF-IB) to provide an information-theoretic interpretation of the proposed BF-VAE model. Our numerical results demonstrate that BF-VAE leads to considerably improved accuracy, as compared to a VAE trained using only HF data, when limited HF data is available.
Restricted Tweedie Stochastic Block Models
Jian, Jie, Zhu, Mu, Sang, Peijun
The stochastic block model (SBM) is a widely used framework for community detection in networks, where the network structure is typically represented by an adjacency matrix. However, conventional SBMs are not directly applicable to an adjacency matrix that consists of non-negative zero-inflated continuous edge weights. To model the international trading network, where edge weights represent trading values between countries, we propose an innovative SBM based on a restricted Tweedie distribution. Additionally, we incorporate nodal information, such as the geographical distance between countries, and account for its dynamic effect on edge weights. Notably, we show that given a sufficiently large number of nodes, estimating this covariate effect becomes independent of community labels of each node when computing the maximum likelihood estimator of parameters in our model. This result enables the development of an efficient two-step algorithm that separates the estimation of covariate effects from other parameters. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method through extensive simulation studies and an application to real-world international trading data.
Exact nonlinear state estimation
The majority of data assimilation (DA) methods in the geosciences are based on Gaussian assumptions. While these assumptions facilitate efficient algorithms, they cause analysis biases and subsequent forecast degradations. Non-parametric, particle-based DA algorithms have superior accuracy, but their application to high-dimensional models still poses operational challenges. Drawing inspiration from recent advances in the field of generative artificial intelligence (AI), this article introduces a new nonlinear estimation theory which attempts to bridge the existing gap in DA methodology. Specifically, a Conjugate Transform Filter (CTF) is derived and shown to generalize the celebrated Kalman filter to arbitrarily non-Gaussian distributions. The new filter has several desirable properties, such as its ability to preserve statistical relationships in the prior state and convergence to highly accurate observations. An ensemble approximation of the new theory (ECTF) is also presented and validated using idealized statistical experiments that feature bounded quantities with non-Gaussian distributions, a prevalent challenge in Earth system models. Results from these experiments indicate that the greatest benefits from ECTF occur when observation errors are small relative to the forecast uncertainty and when state variables exhibit strong nonlinear dependencies. Ultimately, the new filtering theory offers exciting avenues for improving conventional DA algorithms through their principled integration with AI techniques.
A Machine Learning-based Algorithm for Automated Detection of Frequency-based Events in Recorded Time Series of Sensor Data
Medghalchi, Bahareh, Vogel, Andreas
Automated event detection has emerged as one of the fundamental practices to monitor the behavior of technical systems by means of sensor data. In the automotive industry, these methods are in high demand for tracing events in time series data. For assessing the active vehicle safety systems, a diverse range of driving scenarios is conducted. These scenarios involve the recording of the vehicle's behavior using external sensors, enabling the evaluation of operational performance. In such setting, automated detection methods not only accelerate but also standardize and objectify the evaluation by avoiding subjective, human-based appraisals in the data inspection. This work proposes a novel event detection method that allows to identify frequency-based events in time series data. To this aim, the time series data is mapped to representations in the time-frequency domain, known as scalograms. After filtering scalograms to enhance relevant parts of the signal, an object detection model is trained to detect the desired event objects in the scalograms. For the analysis of unseen time series data, events can be detected in their scalograms with the trained object detection model and are thereafter mapped back to the time series data to mark the corresponding time interval. The algorithm, evaluated on unseen datasets, achieves a precision rate of 0.97 in event detection, providing sharp time interval boundaries whose accurate indication by human visual inspection is challenging. Incorporating this method into the vehicle development process enhances the accuracy and reliability of event detection, which holds major importance for rapid testing analysis.