Uncertainty
On sample complexity of conditional independence testing with Von Mises estimator with application to causal discovery
Jamshidi, Fateme, Ganassali, Luca, Kiyavash, Negar
Motivated by conditional independence testing, an essential step in constraint-based causal discovery algorithms, we study the nonparametric Von Mises estimator for the entropy of multivariate distributions built on a kernel density estimator. We establish an exponential concentration inequality for this estimator. We design a test for conditional independence (CI) based on our estimator, called VM-CI, which achieves optimal parametric rates under smoothness assumptions. Leveraging the exponential concentration, we prove a tight upper bound for the overall error of VM-CI. This, in turn, allows us to characterize the sample complexity of any constraint-based causal discovery algorithm that uses VM-CI for CI tests. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first sample complexity guarantee for causal discovery for continuous variables. Furthermore, we empirically show that VM-CI outperforms other popular CI tests in terms of either time or sample complexity (or both), which translates to a better performance in structure learning as well.
Learning Recurrent Models with Temporally Local Rules
Abdulsalam, Azwar, Makin, Joseph G.
Fitting generative models to sequential data typically involves two recursive computations through time, one forward and one backward. The latter could be a computation of the loss gradient (as in backpropagation through time), or an inference algorithm (as in the RTS/Kalman smoother). The backward pass in particular is computationally expensive (since it is inherently serial and cannot exploit GPUs), and difficult to map onto biological processes. Work-arounds have been proposed; here we explore a very different one: requiring the generative model to learn the joint distribution over current and previous states, rather than merely the transition probabilities. We show on toy datasets that different architectures employing this principle can learn aspects of the data typically requiring the backward pass.
A Sparse Bayesian Learning for Diagnosis of Nonstationary and Spatially Correlated Faults with Application to Multistation Assembly Systems
Sensor technology developments provide a basis for effective fault diagnosis in manufacturing systems. However, the limited number of sensors due to physical constraints or undue costs hinders the accurate diagnosis in the actual process. In addition, time-varying operational conditions that generate nonstationary process faults and the correlation information in the process require to consider for accurate fault diagnosis in the manufacturing systems. This article proposes a novel fault diagnosis method: clustering spatially correlated sparse Bayesian learning (CSSBL), and explicitly demonstrates its applicability in a multistation assembly system that is vulnerable to the above challenges. Specifically, the method is based on a practical assumption that it will likely have a few process faults (sparse). In addition, the hierarchical structure of CSSBL has several parameterized prior distributions to address the above challenges. As posterior distributions of process faults do not have closed form, this paper derives approximate posterior distributions through Variational Bayes inference. The proposed method's efficacy is provided through numerical and real-world case studies utilizing an actual autobody assembly system. The generalizability of the proposed method allows the technique to be applied in fault diagnosis in other domains, including communication and healthcare systems.
Fast Approximation of Similarity Graphs with Kernel Density Estimation
Constructing a similarity graph from a set $X$ of data points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ is the first step of many modern clustering algorithms. However, typical constructions of a similarity graph have high time complexity, and a quadratic space dependency with respect to $|X|$. We address this limitation and present a new algorithmic framework that constructs a sparse approximation of the fully connected similarity graph while preserving its cluster structure. Our presented algorithm is based on the kernel density estimation problem, and is applicable for arbitrary kernel functions. We compare our designed algorithm with the well-known implementations from the scikit-learn library and the FAISS library, and find that our method significantly outperforms the implementation from both libraries on a variety of datasets.
Normalizing flow-based deep variational Bayesian network for seismic multi-hazards and impacts estimation from InSAR imagery
Li, Xuechun, Burgi, Paula M., Ma, Wei, Noh, Hae Young, Wald, David J., Xu, Susu
Onsite disasters like earthquakes can trigger cascading hazards and impacts, such as landslides and infrastructure damage, leading to catastrophic losses; thus, rapid and accurate estimates are crucial for timely and effective post-disaster responses. Interferometric Synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) data is important in providing high-resolution onsite information for rapid hazard estimation. Most recent methods using InSAR imagery signals predict a single type of hazard and thus often suffer low accuracy due to noisy and complex signals induced by co-located hazards, impacts, and irrelevant environmental changes (e.g., vegetation changes, human activities). We introduce a novel stochastic variational inference with normalizing flows derived to jointly approximate posteriors of multiple unobserved hazards and impacts from noisy InSAR imagery.
A Review of Prospects and Opportunities in Disassembly with Human-Robot Collaboration
Lee, Meng-Lun, Liang, Xiao, Hu, Boyi, Onel, Gulcan, Behdad, Sara, Zheng, Minghui
Product disassembly plays a crucial role in the recycling, remanufacturing, and reuse of end-of-use (EoU) products. However, the current manual disassembly process is inefficient due to the complexity and variation of EoU products. While fully automating disassembly is not economically viable given the intricate nature of the task, there is potential in using human-robot collaboration (HRC) to enhance disassembly operations. HRC combines the flexibility and problem-solving abilities of humans with the precise repetition and handling of unsafe tasks by robots. Nevertheless, numerous challenges persist in technology, human workers, and remanufacturing work, that require comprehensive multidisciplinary research to bridge critical gaps. These challenges have motivated the authors to provide a detailed discussion on the opportunities and obstacles associated with introducing HRC to disassembly. In this regard, the authors have conducted a thorough review of the recent progress in HRC disassembly and present the insights gained from this analysis from three distinct perspectives: technology, workers, and work.
Tree Search in DAG Space with Model-based Reinforcement Learning for Causal Discovery
Darvariu, Victor-Alexandru, Hailes, Stephen, Musolesi, Mirco
Identifying causal structure is central to many fields ranging from strategic decision-making to biology and economics. In this work, we propose a model-based reinforcement learning method for causal discovery based on tree search, which builds directed acyclic graphs incrementally. We also formalize and prove the correctness of an efficient algorithm for excluding edges that would introduce cycles, which enables deeper discrete search and sampling in DAG space. We evaluate our approach on two real-world tasks, achieving substantially better performance than the state-of-the-art model-free method and greedy search, constituting a promising advancement for combinatorial methods.
Elastic Decision Transformer
Wu, Yueh-Hua, Wang, Xiaolong, Hamaya, Masashi
This paper introduces Elastic Decision Transformer (EDT), a significant advancement over the existing Decision Transformer (DT) and its variants. Although DT purports to generate an optimal trajectory, empirical evidence suggests it struggles with trajectory stitching, a process involving the generation of an optimal or near-optimal trajectory from the best parts of a set of sub-optimal trajectories. The proposed EDT differentiates itself by facilitating trajectory stitching during action inference at test time, achieved by adjusting the history length maintained in DT. Further, the EDT optimizes the trajectory by retaining a longer history when the previous trajectory is optimal and a shorter one when it is sub-optimal, enabling it to "stitch" with a more optimal trajectory. Extensive experimentation demonstrates EDT's ability to bridge the performance gap between DT-based and Q Learning-based approaches. In particular, the EDT outperforms Q Learning-based methods in a multi-task regime on the D4RL locomotion benchmark and Atari games. Videos are available at: https://kristery.github.io/edt/.
Selected aspects of complex, hypercomplex and fuzzy neural networks
Niemczynowicz, Agnieszka, Kycia, Radosław A., Jaworski, Maciej, Siemaszko, Artur, Calabuig, Jose M., García-Raffi, Lluis M., Schneider, Baruch, Berseghyan, Diana, Perfiljeva, Irina, Novak, Vilem, Artiemjew, Piotr
This short report reviews the current state of the research and methodology on theoretical and practical aspects of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). It was prepared to gather state-of-the-art knowledge needed to construct complex, hypercomplex and fuzzy neural networks. The report reflects the individual interests of the authors and, by now means, cannot be treated as a comprehensive review of the ANN discipline. Considering the fast development of this field, it is currently impossible to do a detailed review of a considerable number of pages. The report is an outcome of the Project 'The Strategic Research Partnership for the mathematical aspects of complex, hypercomplex and fuzzy neural networks' meeting at the University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, Poland, organized in September 2022.
Compositional Deep Probabilistic Models of DNA Encoded Libraries
Chen, Benson, Sultan, Mohammad M., Karaletsos, Theofanis
DNA-Encoded Library (DEL) has proven to be a powerful tool that utilizes combinatorially constructed small molecules to facilitate highly-efficient screening assays. These selection experiments, involving multiple stages of washing, elution, and identification of potent binders via unique DNA barcodes, often generate complex data. This complexity can potentially mask the underlying signals, necessitating the application of computational tools such as machine learning to uncover valuable insights. We introduce a compositional deep probabilistic model of DEL data, DEL-Compose, which decomposes molecular representations into their mono-synthon, di-synthon, and tri-synthon building blocks and capitalizes on the inherent hierarchical structure of these molecules by modeling latent reactions between embedded synthons. Additionally, we investigate methods to improve the observation models for DEL count data such as integrating covariate factors to more effectively account for data noise. Across two popular public benchmark datasets (CA-IX and HRP), our model demonstrates strong performance compared to count baselines, enriches the correct pharmacophores, and offers valuable insights via its intrinsic interpretable structure, thereby providing a robust tool for the analysis of DEL data.