Tactile sensing has recently been used in robotics for object identification, grasping, and material recognition. Most material recognition approaches use vibration information from a tactile exploration, typically above one second long, to identify the material. This work proposes a tactile multi-modal (vibration and thermal) material identification approach based on recursive Bayesian estimation. Through the frequency response of the vibration induced by the material and thermal features, like an estimate of the thermal power loss of the finger, we show that it is possible to identify materials in less than half a second. Moreover, a comparison between the use of vibration only and multi-modal identification shows that both recognition time and classification errors are reduced by adding thermal information.

3D object reconstruction is important for semantic scene understanding. It is challenging to reconstruct detailed 3D shapes from monocular images directly due to a lack of depth information, occlusion and noise. Most current methods generate deterministic object models without any awareness of the uncertainty of the reconstruction. We tackle this problem by leveraging a neural object representation which learns an object shape distribution from large dataset of 3d object models and maps it into a latent space. We propose a method to model uncertainty as part of the representation and define an uncertainty-aware encoder which generates latent codes with uncertainty directly from individual input images. Further, we propose a method to propagate the uncertainty in the latent code to SDF values and generate a 3d object mesh with local uncertainty for each mesh component. Finally, we propose an incremental fusion method under a Bayesian framework to fuse the latent codes from multi-view observations. We evaluate the system in both synthetic and real datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of uncertainty-based fusion to improve 3D object reconstruction accuracy.

In spatial statistics and machine learning, the kernel matrix plays a pivotal role in prediction, classification, and maximum likelihood estimation. A thorough examination reveals that for large sample sizes, the kernel matrix becomes ill-conditioned, provided the sampling locations are fairly evenly distributed. This condition poses significant challenges to numerical algorithms used in prediction and estimation computations and necessitates an approximation to prediction and the Gaussian likelihood. A review of current methodologies for managing large spatial data indicates that some fail to address this ill-conditioning problem. Such ill-conditioning often results in low-rank approximations of the stochastic processes. This paper introduces various optimality criteria and provides solutions for each.

In biomedical applications it is often necessary to estimate a physiological response to a treatment consisting of multiple components, and learn the separate effects of the components in addition to the joint effect. Here, we extend existing probabilistic nonparametric approaches to explicitly address this problem. We also develop a new convolution-based model for composite treatment-response curves that is more biologically interpretable. We validate our models by estimating the impact of carbohydrate and fat in meals on blood glucose. By differentiating treatment components, incorporating their dosages, and sharing statistical information across patients via a hierarchical multi-output Gaussian process, our method improves prediction accuracy over existing approaches, and allows us to interpret the different effects of carbohydrates and fat on the overall glucose response.

Like many optimizers, Bayesian optimization often falls short of gaining user trust due to opacity. While attempts have been made to develop human-centric optimizers, they typically assume user knowledge is well-specified and error-free, employing users mainly as supervisors of the optimization process. We relax these assumptions and propose a more balanced human-AI partnership with our Collaborative and Explainable Bayesian Optimization (CoExBO) framework. Instead of explicitly requiring a user to provide a knowledge model, CoExBO employs preference learning to seamlessly integrate human insights into the optimization, resulting in algorithmic suggestions that resonate with user preference. CoExBO explains its candidate selection every iteration to foster trust, empowering users with a clearer grasp of the optimization. Furthermore, CoExBO offers a no-harm guarantee, allowing users to make mistakes; even with extreme adversarial interventions, the algorithm converges asymptotically to a vanilla Bayesian optimization. We validate CoExBO's efficacy through human-AI teaming experiments in lithium-ion battery design, highlighting substantial improvements over conventional methods.

The aim of this paper is to make clear and precise the relationship between the Rubin causal model (RCM) and structural causal model (SCM) frameworks for causal inference. Adopting a neutral logical perspective, and drawing on previous work, we show what is required for an RCM to be representable by an SCM. A key result then shows that every RCM--including those that violate algebraic principles implied by the SCM framework-- emerges as an abstraction of some representable RCM. Finally, we illustrate the power of this conciliatory perspective by pinpointing an important role for SCM principles in classic applications of RCMs; conversely, we offer a characterization of the algebraic constraints implied by a graph, helping to substantiate further comparisons between the two frameworks. Toward the end of the twentieth century several frameworks arose for formalizing and analyzing problems of causal inference.

We present an exact Bayesian inference method for discrete statistical models, which can find exact solutions to a large class of discrete inference problems, even with infinite support and continuous priors. To express such models, we introduce a probabilistic programming language that supports discrete and continuous sampling, discrete observations, affine functions, (stochastic) branching, and conditioning on discrete events. Our key tool is probability generating functions: they provide a compact closed-form representation of distributions that are definable by programs, thus enabling the exact computation of posterior probabilities, expectation, variance, and higher moments. Our inference method is provably correct and fully automated in a tool called Genfer, which uses automatic differentiation (specifically, Taylor polynomials), but does not require computer algebra. Our experiments show that Genfer is often faster than the existing exact inference tools PSI, Dice, and Prodigy. On a range of real-world inference problems that none of these exact tools can solve, Genfer's performance is competitive with approximate Monte Carlo methods, while avoiding approximation errors.

Reconstructing a continuous surface from an unoritented 3D point cloud is a fundamental task in 3D shape processing. In recent years, several methods have been proposed to address this problem using implicit neural representations (INRs). In this study, we propose a method to optimize INRs using energy-based models (EBMs). By employing the absolute value of the coordinate-based neural networks as the energy function, the INR can be optimized through the estimation of the point cloud distribution by the EBM. In addition, appropriate parameter settings of the EBM enable the model to consider the magnitude of point cloud noise. Our experiments confirmed that the proposed method is more robust against point cloud noise than conventional surface reconstruction methods.

We propose a straightforward solution for detecting scarce topics in unbalanced short-text datasets. Our approach, named CWUTM (Topic model based on co-occurrence word networks for unbalanced short text datasets), Our approach addresses the challenge of sparse and unbalanced short text topics by mitigating the effects of incidental word co-occurrence. This allows our model to prioritize the identification of scarce topics (Low-frequency topics). Unlike previous methods, CWUTM leverages co-occurrence word networks to capture the topic distribution of each word, and we enhanced the sensitivity in identifying scarce topics by redefining the calculation of node activity and normalizing the representation of both scarce and abundant topics to some extent. Moreover, CWUTM adopts Gibbs sampling, similar to LDA, making it easily adaptable to various application scenarios. Our extensive experimental validation on unbalanced short-text datasets demonstrates the superiority of CWUTM compared to baseline approaches in discovering scarce topics. According to the experimental results the proposed model is effective in early and accurate detection of emerging topics or unexpected events on social platforms.

Electrical load forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making for power systems, including unit commitment and economic dispatch. The integration of renewable energy sources and the occurrence of external events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, have rapidly increased uncertainties in load forecasting. The uncertainties in load forecasting can be divided into two types: epistemic uncertainty and aleatoric uncertainty. Separating these types of uncertainties can help decision-makers better understand where and to what extent the uncertainty is, thereby enhancing their confidence in the following decision-making. This paper proposes a diffusion-based Seq2Seq structure to estimate epistemic uncertainty and employs the robust additive Cauchy distribution to estimate aleatoric uncertainty. Our method not only ensures the accuracy of load forecasting but also demonstrates the ability to separate the two types of uncertainties and be applicable to different levels of loads. The relevant code can be found at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/DiffLoad-4714/}.