The recently proposed tensor robust principal component analysis (TRPCA) methods based on tensor singular value decomposition (t-SVD) have achieved numerous successes in many fields. However, most of these methods are only applicable to third-order tensors, whereas the data obtained in practice are often of higher order, such as fourth-order color videos, fourth-order hyperspectral videos, and fifth-order light-field images. Additionally, in the t-SVD framework, the multi-rank of a tensor can describe more fine-grained low-rank structure in the tensor compared with the tubal rank. However, determining the multi-rank of a tensor is a much more difficult problem than determining the tubal rank. Moreover, most of the existing TRPCA methods do not explicitly model the noises except the sparse noise, which may compromise the accuracy of estimating the low-rank tensor. In this work, we propose a novel high-order TRPCA method, named as Low-Multi-rank High-order Bayesian Robust Tensor Factorization (LMH-BRTF), within the Bayesian framework. Specifically, we decompose the observed corrupted tensor into three parts, i.e., the low-rank component, the sparse component, and the noise component. By constructing a low-rank model for the low-rank component based on the order-$d$ t-SVD and introducing a proper prior for the model, LMH-BRTF can automatically determine the tensor multi-rank. Meanwhile, benefiting from the explicit modeling of both the sparse and noise components, the proposed method can leverage information from the noises more effectivly, leading to an improved performance of TRPCA. Then, an efficient variational inference algorithm is established for parameters estimation. Empirical studies on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in terms of both qualitative and quantitative results.

In this paper, we investigate the problem of deciding whether two random databases $\mathsf{X}\in\mathcal{X}^{n\times d}$ and $\mathsf{Y}\in\mathcal{Y}^{n\times d}$ are statistically dependent or not. This is formulated as a hypothesis testing problem, where under the null hypothesis, these two databases are statistically independent, while under the alternative, there exists an unknown row permutation $\sigma$, such that $\mathsf{X}$ and $\mathsf{Y}^\sigma$, a permuted version of $\mathsf{Y}$, are statistically dependent with some known joint distribution, but have the same marginal distributions as the null. We characterize the thresholds at which optimal testing is information-theoretically impossible and possible, as a function of $n$, $d$, and some spectral properties of the generative distributions of the datasets. For example, we prove that if a certain function of the eigenvalues of the likelihood function and $d$, is below a certain threshold, as $d\to\infty$, then weak detection (performing slightly better than random guessing) is statistically impossible, no matter what the value of $n$ is. This mimics the performance of an efficient test that thresholds a centered version of the log-likelihood function of the observed matrices. We also analyze the case where $d$ is fixed, for which we derive strong (vanishing error) and weak detection lower and upper bounds.

Classical federated learning (FL) enables training machine learning models without sharing data for privacy preservation, but heterogeneous data characteristic degrades the performance of the localized model. Personalized FL (PFL) addresses this by synthesizing personalized models from a global model via training on local data. Such a global model may overlook the specific information that the clients have been sampled. In this paper, we propose a novel scheme to inject personalized prior knowledge into the global model in each client, which attempts to mitigate the introduced incomplete information problem in PFL. At the heart of our proposed approach is a framework, the PFL with Bregman Divergence (pFedBreD), decoupling the personalized prior from the local objective function regularized by Bregman divergence for greater adaptability in personalized scenarios. We also relax the mirror descent (RMD) to extract the prior explicitly to provide optional strategies. Additionally, our pFedBreD is backed up by a convergence analysis. Sufficient experiments demonstrate that our method reaches the state-of-the-art performances on 5 datasets and outperforms other methods by up to 3.5% across 8 benchmarks. Extensive analyses verify the robustness and necessity of proposed designs.

We consider the problem of learning the exact skeleton of general discrete Bayesian networks from potentially corrupted data. Building on distributionally robust optimization and a regression approach, we propose to optimize the most adverse risk over a family of distributions within bounded Wasserstein distance or KL divergence to the empirical distribution. The worst-case risk accounts for the effect of outliers. The proposed approach applies for general categorical random variables without assuming faithfulness, an ordinal relationship or a specific form of conditional distribution. We present efficient algorithms and show the proposed methods are closely related to the standard regularized regression approach. Under mild assumptions, we derive non-asymptotic guarantees for successful structure learning with logarithmic sample complexities for bounded-degree graphs. Numerical study on synthetic and real datasets validates the effectiveness of our method. Code is available at https://github.com/DanielLeee/drslbn.

Early-exit neural networks (EENNs) facilitate adaptive inference by producing predictions at multiple stages of the forward pass. In safety-critical applications, these predictions are only meaningful when complemented with reliable uncertainty estimates. Yet, due to their sequential structure, an EENN's uncertainty estimates should also be consistent: labels that are deemed improbable at one exit should not reappear within the confidence interval / set of later exits. We show that standard uncertainty quantification techniques, like Bayesian methods or conformal prediction, can lead to inconsistency across exits. We address this problem by applying anytime-valid confidence sequences (AVCSs) to the exits of EENNs. By design, AVCSs maintain consistency across exits. We examine the theoretical and practical challenges of applying AVCSs to EENNs and empirically validate our approach on both regression and classification tasks.

A classic inferential statistical problem is the goodness-of-fit (GOF) test. Such a test can be challenging when the hypothesized parametric model has an intractable likelihood and its distributional form is not available. Bayesian methods for GOF can be appealing due to their ability to incorporate expert knowledge through prior distributions. However, standard Bayesian methods for this test often require strong distributional assumptions on the data and their relevant parameters. To address this issue, we propose a semi-Bayesian nonparametric (semi-BNP) procedure in the context of the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) measure that can be applied to the GOF test. Our method introduces a novel Bayesian estimator for the MMD, enabling the development of a measure-based hypothesis test for intractable models. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate that our proposed test outperforms frequentist MMD-based methods by achieving a lower false rejection and acceptance rate of the null hypothesis. Furthermore, we showcase the versatility of our approach by embedding the proposed estimator within a generative adversarial network (GAN) framework. It facilitates a robust BNP learning approach as another significant application of our method. With our BNP procedure, this new GAN approach can enhance sample diversity and improve inferential accuracy compared to traditional techniques.

This work introduces Dirichlet Active Learning (DiAL), a Bayesian-inspired approach to the design of active learning algorithms. Our framework models feature-conditional class probabilities as a Dirichlet random field and lends observational strength between similar features in order to calibrate the random field. This random field can then be utilized in learning tasks: in particular, we can use current estimates of mean and variance to conduct classification and active learning in the context where labeled data is scarce. We demonstrate the applicability of this model to low-label rate graph learning by constructing ``propagation operators'' based upon the graph Laplacian, and offer computational studies demonstrating the method's competitiveness with the state of the art. Finally, we provide rigorous guarantees regarding the ability of this approach to ensure both exploration and exploitation, expressed respectively in terms of cluster exploration and increased attention to decision boundaries.

Audience expansion is a methodology developed by ad-serving platforms to help advertisers find the best-matched audiences for their ads without looking into audience specifics. The rationale is that if you advertise to people who are similar to ones who already like the product or service you want to sell, chances are the conversion rate will be high. By leveraging this methodology advertisers can effortlessly reach their ideal leads by simply uploading a list of reference individuals, also known as a seed audience, to the platform. Then, the platform expands this seed to an audience of the desired size, typically resulting in a significant reduction in customer acquisition costs compared to other targeting strategies. From a machine learning perspective, a sound strategy for expanding a seed audience is by framing the problem as a binary classification task [Qu et al., 2014, Shen et al., 2015, Liu et al., 2016, Ma et al., 2016b,a]. Essentially, this involves creating a two-class labeled training set, consisting of seed users and non-seed users, and then training a probabilistic classifier, e.g., Logistic Regression [Jiang et al., 2019], to distinguish between the two classes. But instead of generating class predictions, the goal is to estimate the conditional probability that a given user belongs to the positive class. This probability is used to prioritize users for the expanded audience.

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this inconsistency. We present the first tractable inference algorithm for PDGs with discrete variables, making the asymptotic complexity of PDG inference similar that of the graphical models they generalize. The key components are: (1) the observation that, in many cases, the distribution a PDG specifies can be formulated as a convex optimization problem (with exponential cone constraints), (2) a construction that allows us to express these problems compactly for PDGs of boundeed treewidth, (3) contributions to the theory of PDGs that justify the construction, and (4) an appeal to interior point methods that can solve such problems in polynomial time. We verify the correctness and complexity of our approach, and provide an implementation of it. We then evaluate our implementation, and demonstrate that it outperforms baseline approaches. Our code is available at http://github.com/orichardson/pdg-infer-uai.

In this paper, we address the limitations of the common data annotation and training methods for objective single-label classification tasks. Typically, when annotating such tasks annotators are only asked to provide a single label for each sample and annotator disagreement is discarded when a final hard label is decided through majority voting. We challenge this traditional approach, acknowledging that determining the appropriate label can be difficult due to the ambiguity and lack of context in the data samples. Rather than discarding the information from such ambiguous annotations, our soft label method makes use of them for training. Our findings indicate that additional annotator information, such as confidence, secondary label and disagreement, can be used to effectively generate soft labels. Training classifiers with these soft labels then leads to improved performance and calibration on the hard label test set.