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 Bayesian Inference


On Margins and Generalisation for Voting Classifiers

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study the generalisation properties of majority voting on finite ensembles of classifiers, proving margin-based generalisation bounds via the PAC-Bayes theory. These provide state-of-the-art guarantees on a number of classification tasks. Our central results leverage the Dirichlet posteriors studied recently by Zantedeschi et al. (2021) for training voting classifiers; in contrast to that work our bounds apply to non-randomised votes via the use of margins. Our contributions add perspective to the debate on the "margins theory" proposed by Schapire et al. (1998) for the generalisation of ensemble classifiers.


Towards Accelerated Model Training via Bayesian Data Selection Zhijie Deng

Neural Information Processing Systems

Traditional solutions prioritizing easy or hard samples lack the flexibility to handle such a variety simultaneously. Recent work has proposed a more reasonable data selection principle by examining the data's impact on the model's generalization loss.




Measuring Goal-Directedness

Neural Information Processing Systems

In order to build more useful AI systems, a natural inclination is to try to make them more agentic . But while agents built from language models are touted as the next big advance [Wang et al., 2024],



Reinforced Few-Shot Acquisition Function Learning for Bayesian Optimization

Neural Information Processing Systems

Bayesian optimization (BO) conventionally relies on handcrafted acquisition functions (AFs) to sequentially determine the sample points. However, it has been widely observed in practice that the best-performing AF in terms of regret can vary significantly under different types of black-box functions. It has remained a challenge to design one AF that can attain the best performance over a wide variety of black-box functions.