Bayesian Inference
Preventing Model Collapse in Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models
Li, Ying, Lin, Zhidi, Yin, Feng, Zhang, Michael Minyi
Gaussian process latent variable models (GPLVMs) are a versatile family of unsupervised learning models, commonly used for dimensionality reduction. However, common challenges in modeling data with GPLVMs include inadequate kernel flexibility and improper selection of the projection noise, which leads to a type of model collapse characterized primarily by vague latent representations that do not reflect the underlying structure of the data. This paper addresses these issues by, first, theoretically examining the impact of the projection variance on model collapse through the lens of a linear GPLVM. Second, we address the problem of model collapse due to inadequate kernel flexibility by integrating the spectral mixture (SM) kernel and a differentiable random Fourier feature (RFF) kernel approximation, which ensures computational scalability and efficiency through off-the-shelf automatic differentiation tools for learning the kernel hyperparameters, projection variance, and latent representations within the variational inference framework. The proposed GPLVM, named advisedRFLVM, is evaluated across diverse datasets and consistently outperforms various salient competing models, including state-of-the-art variational autoencoders (VAEs) and GPLVM variants, in terms of informative latent representations and missing data imputation.
Sparse Bayesian Correntropy Learning for Robust Muscle Activity Reconstruction from Noisy Brain Recordings
Li, Yuanhao, Chen, Badong, Yoshimura, Natsue, Koike, Yasuharu, Yamashita, Okito
Sparse Bayesian learning has promoted many effective frameworks for brain activity decoding, especially for the reconstruction of muscle activity. However, existing sparse Bayesian learning mainly employs Gaussian distribution as error assumption in the reconstruction task, which is not necessarily the truth in the real-world application. On the other hand, brain recording is known to be highly noisy and contains many non-Gaussian noises, which could lead to significant performance degradation for sparse Bayesian learning method. The goal of this paper is to propose a new robust implementation for sparse Bayesian learning, so that robustness and sparseness can be realized simultaneously. Motivated by the great robustness of maximum correntropy criterion (MCC), we proposed an integration of MCC into the sparse Bayesian learning regime. To be specific, we derived the explicit error assumption inherent in the MCC and then leveraged it for the likelihood function. Meanwhile, we used the automatic relevance determination (ARD) technique for the sparse prior distribution. To fully evaluate the proposed method, a synthetic dataset and a real-world muscle activity reconstruction task with two different brain modalities were employed. Experimental results showed that our proposed sparse Bayesian correntropy learning framework improves significantly the robustness in a noisy regression task. The proposed method can realize higher correlation coefficient and lower root mean squared error in the real-world muscle activity reconstruction tasks. Sparse Bayesian correntropy learning provides a powerful tool for neural decoding which can promote the development of brain-computer interfaces.
NVINS: Robust Visual Inertial Navigation Fused with NeRF-augmented Camera Pose Regressor and Uncertainty Quantification
Han, Juyeop, Beyer, Lukas Lao, Cavalheiro, Guilherme V., Karaman, Sertac
In recent years, Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) have emerged as a powerful tool for 3D reconstruction and novel view synthesis. However, the computational cost of NeRF rendering and degradation in quality due to the presence of artifacts pose significant challenges for its application in real-time and robust robotic tasks, especially on embedded systems. This paper introduces a novel framework that integrates NeRF-derived localization information with Visual-Inertial Odometry(VIO) to provide a robust solution for robotic navigation in a real-time. By training an absolute pose regression network with augmented image data rendered from a NeRF and quantifying its uncertainty, our approach effectively counters positional drift and enhances system reliability. We also establish a mathematically sound foundation for combining visual inertial navigation with camera localization neural networks, considering uncertainty under a Bayesian framework. Experimental validation in the photorealistic simulation environment demonstrates significant improvements in accuracy compared to a conventional VIO approach.
AIOps Solutions for Incident Management: Technical Guidelines and A Comprehensive Literature Review
Remil, Youcef, Bendimerad, Anes, Mathonat, Romain, Kaytoue, Mehdi
The management of modern IT systems poses unique challenges, necessitating scalability, reliability, and efficiency in handling extensive data streams. Traditional methods, reliant on manual tasks and rule-based approaches, prove inefficient for the substantial data volumes and alerts generated by IT systems. Artificial Intelligence for Operating Systems (AIOps) has emerged as a solution, leveraging advanced analytics like machine learning and big data to enhance incident management. AIOps detects and predicts incidents, identifies root causes, and automates healing actions, improving quality and reducing operational costs. However, despite its potential, the AIOps domain is still in its early stages, decentralized across multiple sectors, and lacking standardized conventions. Research and industrial contributions are distributed without consistent frameworks for data management, target problems, implementation details, requirements, and capabilities. This study proposes an AIOps terminology and taxonomy, establishing a structured incident management procedure and providing guidelines for constructing an AIOps framework. The research also categorizes contributions based on criteria such as incident management tasks, application areas, data sources, and technical approaches. The goal is to provide a comprehensive review of technical and research aspects in AIOps for incident management, aiming to structure knowledge, identify gaps, and establish a foundation for future developments in the field.
Privacy Re-identification Attacks on Tabular GANs
Alshantti, Abdallah, Rasheed, Adil, Westad, Frank
Generative models are subject to overfitting and thus may potentially leak sensitive information from the training data. In this work. we investigate the privacy risks that can potentially arise from the use of generative adversarial networks (GANs) for creating tabular synthetic datasets. For the purpose, we analyse the effects of re-identification attacks on synthetic data, i.e., attacks which aim at selecting samples that are predicted to correspond to memorised training samples based on their proximity to the nearest synthetic records. We thus consider multiple settings where different attackers might have different access levels or knowledge of the generative model and predictive, and assess which information is potentially most useful for launching more successful re-identification attacks. In doing so we also consider the situation for which re-identification attacks are formulated as reconstruction attacks, i.e., the situation where an attacker uses evolutionary multi-objective optimisation for perturbing synthetic samples closer to the training space. The results indicate that attackers can indeed pose major privacy risks by selecting synthetic samples that are likely representative of memorised training samples. In addition, we notice that privacy threats considerably increase when the attacker either has knowledge or has black-box access to the generative models. We also find that reconstruction attacks through multi-objective optimisation even increase the risk of identifying confidential samples.
Adversarially-Robust Inference on Trees via Belief Propagation
We introduce and study the problem of posterior inference on tree-structured graphical models in the presence of a malicious adversary who can corrupt some observed nodes. In the well-studied broadcasting on trees model, corresponding to the ferromagnetic Ising model on a $d$-regular tree with zero external field, when a natural signal-to-noise ratio exceeds one (the celebrated Kesten-Stigum threshold), the posterior distribution of the root given the leaves is bounded away from $\mathrm{Ber}(1/2)$, and carries nontrivial information about the sign of the root. This posterior distribution can be computed exactly via dynamic programming, also known as belief propagation. We first confirm a folklore belief that a malicious adversary who can corrupt an inverse-polynomial fraction of the leaves of their choosing makes this inference impossible. Our main result is that accurate posterior inference about the root vertex given the leaves is possible when the adversary is constrained to make corruptions at a $\rho$-fraction of randomly-chosen leaf vertices, so long as the signal-to-noise ratio exceeds $O(\log d)$ and $\rho \leq c \varepsilon$ for some universal $c > 0$. Since inference becomes information-theoretically impossible when $\rho \gg \varepsilon$, this amounts to an information-theoretically optimal fraction of corruptions, up to a constant multiplicative factor. Furthermore, we show that the canonical belief propagation algorithm performs this inference.
Bayesian Exploration of Pre-trained Models for Low-shot Image Classification
Miao, Yibo, Lei, Yu, Zhou, Feng, Deng, Zhijie
Low-shot image classification is a fundamental task in computer vision, and the emergence of large-scale vision-language models such as CLIP has greatly advanced the forefront of research in this field. However, most existing CLIP-based methods lack the flexibility to effectively incorporate other pre-trained models that encompass knowledge distinct from CLIP. To bridge the gap, this work proposes a simple and effective probabilistic model ensemble framework based on Gaussian processes, which have previously demonstrated remarkable efficacy in processing small data. We achieve the integration of prior knowledge by specifying the mean function with CLIP and the kernel function with an ensemble of deep kernels built upon various pre-trained models. By regressing the classification label directly, our framework enables analytical inference, straightforward uncertainty quantification, and principled hyper-parameter tuning. Through extensive experiments on standard benchmarks, we demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms competitive ensemble baselines regarding predictive performance. Additionally, we assess the robustness of our method and the quality of the yielded uncertainty estimates on out-of-distribution datasets. We also illustrate that our method, despite relying on label regression, still enjoys superior model calibration compared to most deterministic baselines.
CONCERT: Covariate-Elaborated Robust Local Information Transfer with Conditional Spike-and-Slab Prior
Zhang, Ruqian, Zhang, Yijiao, Qu, Annie, Zhu, Zhongyi, Shen, Juan
The popularity of transfer learning stems from the fact that it can borrow information from useful auxiliary datasets. Existing statistical transfer learning methods usually adopt a global similarity measure between the source data and the target data, which may lead to inefficiency when only local information is shared. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian transfer learning method named "CONCERT" to allow robust local information transfer for high-dimensional data analysis. A novel conditional spike-and-slab prior is introduced in the joint distribution of target and source parameters for information transfer. By incorporating covariate-specific priors, we can characterize the local similarities and make the sources work collaboratively to help improve the performance on the target. Distinguished from existing work, CONCERT is a one-step procedure, which achieves variable selection and information transfer simultaneously. Variable selection consistency is established for our CONCERT. To make our algorithm scalable, we adopt the variational Bayes framework to facilitate implementation. Extensive experiments and a genetic data analysis demonstrate the validity and the advantage of CONCERT over existing cutting-edge transfer learning methods. We also extend our CONCERT to the logistical models with numerical studies showing its superiority over other methods.
Convolutional Bayesian Filtering
Cao, Wenhan, Liu, Shiqi, Liu, Chang, He, Zeyu, Yau, Stephen S. -T., Li, Shengbo Eben
Bayesian filtering serves as the mainstream framework of state estimation in dynamic systems. Its standard version utilizes total probability rule and Bayes' law alternatively, where how to define and compute conditional probability is critical to state distribution inference. Previously, the conditional probability is assumed to be exactly known, which represents a measure of the occurrence probability of one event, given the second event. In this paper, we find that by adding an additional event that stipulates an inequality condition, we can transform the conditional probability into a special integration that is analogous to convolution. Based on this transformation, we show that both transition probability and output probability can be generalized to convolutional forms, resulting in a more general filtering framework that we call convolutional Bayesian filtering. This new framework encompasses standard Bayesian filtering as a special case when the distance metric of the inequality condition is selected as Dirac delta function. It also allows for a more nuanced consideration of model mismatch by choosing different types of inequality conditions. For instance, when the distance metric is defined in a distributional sense, the transition probability and output probability can be approximated by simply rescaling them into fractional powers. Under this framework, a robust version of Kalman filter can be constructed by only altering the noise covariance matrix, while maintaining the conjugate nature of Gaussian distributions. Finally, we exemplify the effectiveness of our approach by reshaping classic filtering algorithms into convolutional versions, including Kalman filter, extended Kalman filter, unscented Kalman filter and particle filter.
A Survey of Machine Learning Techniques for Improving Global Navigation Satellite Systems
Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS)-based positioning plays a crucial role in various applications, including navigation, transportation, logistics, mapping, and emergency services. Traditional GNSS positioning methods are model-based and they utilize satellite geometry and the known properties of satellite signals. However, model-based methods have limitations in challenging environments and often lack adaptability to uncertain noise models. This paper highlights recent advances in Machine Learning (ML) and its potential to address these limitations. It covers a broad range of ML methods, including supervised learning, unsupervised learning, deep learning, and hybrid approaches. The survey provides insights into positioning applications related to GNSS such as signal analysis, anomaly detection, multi-sensor integration, prediction, and accuracy enhancement using ML. It discusses the strengths, limitations, and challenges of current ML-based approaches for GNSS positioning, providing a comprehensive overview of the field.