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 Bayesian Inference


Semi-parametric Exponential Family PCA

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a semi-parametric latent variable model based technique for density modelling, dimensionality reduction and visualization. Unlike previous methods, we estimate the latent distribution non-parametrically which enables us to model data generated by an underlying low dimensional, multimodaldistribution. In addition, we allow the components of latent variable models to be drawn from the exponential family which makes the method suitable for special data types, for example binary or count data. Simulations on real valued, binary and count data show favorable comparisonto other related schemes both in terms of separating different populations and generalization to unseen samples.


A Probabilistic Model for Online Document Clustering with Application to Novelty Detection

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper we propose a probabilistic model for online document clustering. Weuse nonparametric Dirichlet process prior to model the growing number of clusters, and use a prior of general English language model as the base distribution to handle the generation of novel clusters. Furthermore, cluster uncertainty is modeled with a Bayesian Dirichletmultinomial distribution.We use empirical Bayes method to estimate hyperparameters based on a historical dataset. Our probabilistic model is applied to the novelty detection task in Topic Detection and Tracking (TDT) and compared with existing approaches in the literature.


Similarity and Discrimination in Classical Conditioning: A Latent Variable Account

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a probabilistic, generative account of configural learning phenomena in classical conditioning. Configural learning experiments probe how animals discriminate and generalize between patterns of simultaneously presentedstimuli (such as tones and lights) that are differentially predictive of reinforcement. Previous models of these issues have been successful more on a phenomenological than an explanatory level: they reproduce experimental findings but, lacking formal foundations, providescant basis for understanding why animals behave as they do. We present a theory that clarifies seemingly arbitrary aspects of previous modelswhile also capturing a broader set of data.


Log-concavity Results on Gaussian Process Methods for Supervised and Unsupervised Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Log-concavity is an important property in the context of optimization, Laplace approximation, and sampling; Bayesian methods based on Gaussian processpriors have become quite popular recently for classification, regression, density estimation, and point process intensity estimation. Here we prove that the predictive densities corresponding to each of these applications are log-concave, given any observed data. We also prove that the likelihood is log-concave in the hyperparameters controlling the mean function of the Gaussian prior in the density and point process intensity estimationcases, and the mean, covariance, and observation noise parameters in the classification and regression cases; this result leads to a useful parameterization of these hyperparameters, indicating a suitably large class of priors for which the corresponding maximum a posteriori problem is log-concave. Introduction Bayesian methods based on Gaussian process priors have recently become quite popular for machine learning tasks (1). These techniques have enjoyed a good deal of theoretical examination, documenting their learning-theoretic (generalization) properties (2), and developing avariety of efficient computational schemes (e.g., (3-5), and references therein).



Unsupervised Variational Bayesian Learning of Nonlinear Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper we present a framework for using multi-layer perceptron (MLP)networks in nonlinear generative models trained by variational Bayesian learning. The nonlinearity is handled by linearizing it using a Gauss-Hermite quadrature at the hidden neurons. Thisyields an accurate approximation for cases of large posterior variance.The method can be used to derive nonlinear counterparts forlinear algorithms such as factor analysis, independent component/factor analysis and state-space models. This is demonstrated witha nonlinear factor analysis experiment in which even 20 sources can be estimated from a real world speech data set.


Semi-supervised Learning with Penalized Probabilistic Clustering

Neural Information Processing Systems

While clustering is usually an unsupervised operation, there are circumstances inwhich we believe (with varying degrees of certainty) that items A and B should be assigned to the same cluster, while items A and C should not. We would like such pairwise relations to influence cluster assignments of out-of-sample data in a manner consistent with the prior knowledge expressed in the training set. Our starting point is probabilistic clusteringbased on Gaussian mixture models (GMM) of the data distribution. We express clustering preferences in the prior distribution over assignments of data points to clusters. This prior penalizes cluster assignments according to the degree with which they violate the preferences.




PAC-Bayes Learning of Conjunctions and Classification of Gene-Expression Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a "soft greedy" learning algorithm for building small conjunctions of simple threshold functions, called rays, defined on single real-valued attributes. We also propose a PAC-Bayes risk bound which is minimized for classifiers achieving a nontrivial tradeoff between sparsity (the number of rays used) and the magnitude ofthe separating margin of each ray. Finally, we test the soft greedy algorithm on four DNA micro-array data sets.