Bayesian Inference
Similarity and Discrimination in Classical Conditioning: A Latent Variable Account
Courville, Aaron C., Daw, Nathaniel D., Touretzky, David S.
We propose a probabilistic, generative account of configural learning phenomena in classical conditioning. Configural learning experiments probe how animals discriminate and generalize between patterns of simultaneously presentedstimuli (such as tones and lights) that are differentially predictive of reinforcement. Previous models of these issues have been successful more on a phenomenological than an explanatory level: they reproduce experimental findings but, lacking formal foundations, providescant basis for understanding why animals behave as they do. We present a theory that clarifies seemingly arbitrary aspects of previous modelswhile also capturing a broader set of data.
Log-concavity Results on Gaussian Process Methods for Supervised and Unsupervised Learning
Log-concavity is an important property in the context of optimization, Laplace approximation, and sampling; Bayesian methods based on Gaussian processpriors have become quite popular recently for classification, regression, density estimation, and point process intensity estimation. Here we prove that the predictive densities corresponding to each of these applications are log-concave, given any observed data. We also prove that the likelihood is log-concave in the hyperparameters controlling the mean function of the Gaussian prior in the density and point process intensity estimationcases, and the mean, covariance, and observation noise parameters in the classification and regression cases; this result leads to a useful parameterization of these hyperparameters, indicating a suitably large class of priors for which the corresponding maximum a posteriori problem is log-concave. Introduction Bayesian methods based on Gaussian process priors have recently become quite popular for machine learning tasks (1). These techniques have enjoyed a good deal of theoretical examination, documenting their learning-theoretic (generalization) properties (2), and developing avariety of efficient computational schemes (e.g., (3-5), and references therein).
Unsupervised Variational Bayesian Learning of Nonlinear Models
Honkela, Antti, Valpola, Harri
In this paper we present a framework for using multi-layer perceptron (MLP)networks in nonlinear generative models trained by variational Bayesian learning. The nonlinearity is handled by linearizing it using a Gauss-Hermite quadrature at the hidden neurons. Thisyields an accurate approximation for cases of large posterior variance.The method can be used to derive nonlinear counterparts forlinear algorithms such as factor analysis, independent component/factor analysis and state-space models. This is demonstrated witha nonlinear factor analysis experiment in which even 20 sources can be estimated from a real world speech data set.
Semi-supervised Learning with Penalized Probabilistic Clustering
While clustering is usually an unsupervised operation, there are circumstances inwhich we believe (with varying degrees of certainty) that items A and B should be assigned to the same cluster, while items A and C should not. We would like such pairwise relations to influence cluster assignments of out-of-sample data in a manner consistent with the prior knowledge expressed in the training set. Our starting point is probabilistic clusteringbased on Gaussian mixture models (GMM) of the data distribution. We express clustering preferences in the prior distribution over assignments of data points to clusters. This prior penalizes cluster assignments according to the degree with which they violate the preferences.
PAC-Bayes Learning of Conjunctions and Classification of Gene-Expression Data
We propose a "soft greedy" learning algorithm for building small conjunctions of simple threshold functions, called rays, defined on single real-valued attributes. We also propose a PAC-Bayes risk bound which is minimized for classifiers achieving a nontrivial tradeoff between sparsity (the number of rays used) and the magnitude ofthe separating margin of each ray. Finally, we test the soft greedy algorithm on four DNA micro-array data sets.
Probabilistic Computation in Spiking Populations
Zemel, Richard S., Natarajan, Rama, Dayan, Peter, Huys, Quentin J.
As animals interact with their environments, they must constantly update estimates about their states. Bayesian models combine prior probabilities, adynamical model and sensory evidence to update estimates optimally. Thesemodels are consistent with the results of many diverse psychophysical studies. However, little is known about the neural representation andmanipulation of such Bayesian information, particularly in populations of spiking neurons. We consider this issue, suggesting a model based on standard neural architecture and activations. We illustrate theapproach on a simple random walk example, and apply it to a sensorimotor integration task that provides a particularly compelling example of dynamic probabilistic computation. Bayesian models have been used to explain a gamut of experimental results in tasks which require estimates to be derived from multiple sensory cues.
Sharing Clusters among Related Groups: Hierarchical Dirichlet Processes
Teh, Yee W., Jordan, Michael I., Beal, Matthew J., Blei, David M.
We propose the hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP), a nonparametric Bayesian model for clustering problems involving multiple groups of data. Each group of data is modeled with a mixture, with the number of components being open-ended and inferred automatically by the model. Further, components can be shared across groups, allowing dependencies across groups to be modeled effectively as well as conferring generalization tonew groups. Such grouped clustering problems occur often in practice, e.g. in the problem of topic discovery in document corpora. We report experimental results on three text corpora showing the effective and superior performance of the HDP over previous models.