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Estimation from Pairwise Comparisons: Sharp Minimax Bounds with Topology Dependence
Shah, Nihar B., Balakrishnan, Sivaraman, Bradley, Joseph, Parekh, Abhay, Ramchandran, Kannan, Wainwright, Martin J.
Data in the form of pairwise comparisons arises in many domains, including preference elicitation, sporting competitions, and peer grading among others. We consider parametric ordinal models for such pairwise comparison data involving a latent vector $w^* \in \mathbb{R}^d$ that represents the "qualities" of the $d$ items being compared; this class of models includes the two most widely used parametric models--the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) and the Thurstone models. Working within a standard minimax framework, we provide tight upper and lower bounds on the optimal error in estimating the quality score vector $w^*$ under this class of models. The bounds depend on the topology of the comparison graph induced by the subset of pairs being compared via its Laplacian spectrum. Thus, in settings where the subset of pairs may be chosen, our results provide principled guidelines for making this choice. Finally, we compare these error rates to those under cardinal measurement models and show that the error rates in the ordinal and cardinal settings have identical scalings apart from constant pre-factors.
Information Gathering in Networks via Active Exploration
Singla, Adish, Horvitz, Eric, Kohli, Pushmeet, White, Ryen, Krause, Andreas
How should we gather information in a network, where each node's visibility is limited to its local neighborhood? This problem arises in numerous real-world applications, such as surveying and task routing in social networks, team formation in collaborative networks and experimental design with dependency constraints. Often the informativeness of a set of nodes can be quantified via a submodular utility function. Existing approaches for submodular optimization, however, require that the set of all nodes that can be selected is known ahead of time, which is often unrealistic. In contrast, we propose a novel model where we start our exploration from an initial node, and new nodes become visible and available for selection only once one of their neighbors has been chosen. We then present a general algorithm NetExp for this problem, and provide theoretical bounds on its performance dependent on structural properties of the underlying network. We evaluate our methodology on various simulated problem instances as well as on data collected from social question answering system deployed within a large enterprise.
Distributed Evaluation of Nonmonotonic Multi-context Systems
Dao-Tran, Minh, Eiter, Thomas, Fink, Michael, Krennwallner, Thomas
Multi-context Systems (MCSs) are a formalism for systems consisting of knowledge bases (possibly heterogeneous and non-monotonic) that are interlinked via bridge rules, where the global system semantics emerges from the local semantics of the knowledge bases (also called contexts) in an equilibrium. While MCSs and related formalisms are inherently targeted for distributed set- tings, no truly distributed algorithms for their evaluation were available. We address this short- coming and present a suite of such algorithms which includes a basic algorithm DMCS, an ad- vanced version DMCSOPT that exploits topology-based optimizations, and a streaming algorithm DMCS-STREAMING that computes equilibria in packages of bounded size. The algorithms be- have quite differently in several respects, as experienced in thorough experimental evaluation of a system prototype. From the experimental results, we derive a guideline for choosing the appropriate algorithm and running mode in particular situations, determined by the parameter settings.
Maximum a Posteriori Estimation by Search in Probabilistic Programs
We introduce an approximate search algorithm for fast maximum a posteriori probability estimation in probabilistic programs, which we call Bayesian ascent Monte Carlo (BaMC). Probabilistic programs represent probabilistic models with varying number of mutually dependent finite, countable, and continuous random variables. BaMC is an anytime MAP search algorithm applicable to any combination of random variables and dependencies. We compare BaMC to other MAP estimation algorithms and show that BaMC is faster and more robust on a range of probabilistic models.
Hyperparameter Search in Machine Learning
We introduce the hyperparameter search problem in the field of machine learning and discuss its main challenges from an optimization perspective. Machine learning methods attempt to build models that capture some element of interest based on given data. Most common learning algorithms feature a set of hyperparameters that must be determined before training commences. The choice of hyperparameters can significantly affect the resulting model's performance, but determining good values can be complex; hence a disciplined, theoretically sound search strategy is essential.
Computing Convex Coverage Sets for Faster Multi-objective Coordination
Roijers, Diederik Marijn, Whiteson, Shimon, Oliehoek, Frans A.
In this article, we propose new algorithms for multi-objective coordination graphs (MO-CoGs). Key to the efficiency of these algorithms is that they compute a convex coverage set (CCS) instead of a Pareto coverage set (PCS). Not only is a CCS a sufficient solution set for a large class of problems, it also has important characteristics that facilitate more efficient solutions. We propose two main algorithms for computing a CCS in MO-CoGs. Convex multi-objective variable elimination (CMOVE) computes a CCS by performing a series of agent eliminations, which can be seen as solving a series of local multi-objective subproblems. Variable elimination linear support (VELS) iteratively identifies the single weight vector, w, that can lead to the maximal possible improvement on a partial CCS and calls variable elimination to solve a scalarized instance of the problem for w. VELS is faster than CMOVE for small and medium numbers of objectives and can compute an ฮต-approximate CCS in a fraction of the runtime. In addition, we propose variants of these methods that employ AND/OR tree search instead of variable elimination to achieve memory efficiency. We analyze the runtime and space complexities of these methods, prove their correctness, and compare them empirically against a naive baseline and an existing PCS method, both in terms of memory-usage and runtime. Our results show that, by focusing on the CCS, these methods achieve much better scalability in the number of agents than the current state of the art.
A Randomized Nonmonotone Block Proximal Gradient Method for a Class of Structured Nonlinear Programming
We propose a randomized nonmonotone block proximal gradient (RNBPG) method for minimizing the sum of a smooth (possibly nonconvex) function and a block-separable (possibly nonconvex nonsmooth) function. At each iteration, this method randomly picks a block according to any prescribed probability distribution and solves typically several associated proximal subproblems that usually have a closed-form solution, until a certain progress on objective value is achieved. In contrast to the usual randomized block coordinate descent method [23,20], our method has a nonmonotone flavor and uses variable stepsizes that can partially utilize the local curvature information of the smooth component of objective function. We show that any accumulation point of the solution sequence of the method is a stationary point of the problem {\it almost surely} and the method is capable of finding an approximate stationary point with high probability. We also establish a sublinear rate of convergence for the method in terms of the minimal expected squared norm of certain proximal gradients over the iterations. When the problem under consideration is convex, we show that the expected objective values generated by RNBPG converge to the optimal value of the problem. Under some assumptions, we further establish a sublinear and linear rate of convergence on the expected objective values generated by a monotone version of RNBPG. Finally, we conduct some preliminary experiments to test the performance of RNBPG on the $\ell_1$-regularized least-squares problem and a dual SVM problem in machine learning. The computational results demonstrate that our method substantially outperforms the randomized block coordinate {\it descent} method with fixed or variable stepsizes.
Position Assignment on an Enterprise Level Using Combinatorial Optimization
Kinnaird-Heether, Leonard (Ford Motor Company) | Dorman, Chris (Ford Motor Company)
We developed a tool to solve a problem of position assignment within the IT Ford College Graduate program. This position assignment tool was first developed in 2012 and has been used successfully since then. The tool has since evolved for use with several other position assignment and related tasks with other similar programs in Ford Motor Company. This paper will describe the creation of this tool and how we have applied it, focusing on the need for developing such a tool, and how the continued development of this tool will benefit its users and the company.
Resolving Over-Constrained Probabilistic Temporal Problems through Chance Constraint Relaxation
Yu, Peng (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Fang, Cheng (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Williams, Brian (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
When scheduling tasks for field-deployable systems, our solutions must be robust to the uncertainty inherent in the real world. Although human intuition is trusted to balance reward and risk, humans perform poorly in risk assessment at the scale and complexity of real world problems. In this paper, we present a decision aid system that helps human operators diagnose the source of risk and manage uncertainty in temporal problems. The core of the system is a conflict-directed relaxation algorithm, called Conflict-Directed Chance-constraint Relaxation (CDCR), which specializes in resolving over-constrained temporal problems with probabilistic durations and a chance constraint bounding the risk of failure. Given a temporal problem with uncertain duration, CDCR proposes execution strategies that operate at acceptable risk levels and pinpoints the source of risk. If no such strategy can be found that meets the chance constraint, it can help humans to repair the over-constrained problem by trading off between desirability of solution and acceptable risk levels. The decision aid has been incorporated in a mission advisory system for assisting oceanographers to schedule activities in deep-sea expeditions, and demonstrated its effectiveness in scenarios with realistic uncertainty.
A Generalization of Sleep Sets Based on Operator Sequence Redundancy
Holte, Robert C. (University of Alberta) | Alkhazraji, Yusra (University of Freiburg) | Wehrle, Martin (University of Basel)
Pruning techniques have recently been shown to speed up search algorithms by reducing the branching factor of large search spaces. One such technique is sleep sets, which were originally introduced as a pruning technique for model checking, and which have recently been investigated on a theoretical level for planning. In this paper, we propose a generalization of sleep sets and prove its correctness. While the original sleep sets were based on the commutativity of operators, generalized sleep sets are based on a more general notion of operator sequence redundancy. As a result, our approach dominates the original sleep sets variant in terms of pruning power. On a practical level, our experimental evaluation shows the potential of sleep sets and their generalizations on a large and common set of planning benchmarks.