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 Rule-Based Reasoning


Learning Symbolic Rules for Reasoning in Quasi-Natural Language

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Symbolic reasoning, rule-based symbol manipulation, is a hallmark of human intelligence. However, rule-based systems have had limited success competing with learning-based systems outside formalized domains such as automated theorem proving. We hypothesize that this is due to the manual construction of rules in past attempts. In this work, we ask how we can build a rule-based system that can reason with natural language input but without the manual construction of rules. We propose MetaQNL, a "Quasi-Natural" language that can express both formal logic and natural language sentences, and MetaInduce, a learning algorithm that induces MetaQNL rules from training data consisting of questions and answers, with or without intermediate reasoning steps. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on multiple reasoning benchmarks; it learns compact models with much less data and produces not only answers but also checkable proofs. Further, experiments on a real-world morphological analysis benchmark show that it is possible for our method to handle noise and ambiguity. Code will be released at https://github.com/princeton-vl/MetaQNL.


A Software Tool for Evaluating Unmanned Autonomous Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The North Carolina Agriculture and Technical State University (NC A&T) in collaboration with Georgia Tech Research Institute (GTRI) has developed methodologies for creating simulation-based technology tools that are capable of inferring the perceptions and behavioral states of autonomous systems. These methodologies have the potential to provide the Test and Evaluation (T&E) community at the Department of Defense (DoD) with a greater insight into the internal processes of these systems. The methodologies use only external observations and do not require complete knowledge of the internal processing of and/or any modifications to the system under test. This paper presents an example of one such simulation-based technology tool, named as the Data-Driven Intelligent Prediction Tool (DIPT). DIPT was developed for testing a multi-platform Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) system capable of conducting collaborative search missions. DIPT's Graphical User Interface (GUI) enables the testers to view the aircraft's current operating state, predicts its current target-detection status, and provides reasoning for exhibiting a particular behavior along with an explanation of assigning a particular task to it.


A Hybrid Approach for an Interpretable and Explainable Intrusion Detection System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cybersecurity has been a concern for quite a while now. In the latest years, cyberattacks have been increasing in size and complexity, fueled by significant advances in technology. Nowadays, there is an unavoidable necessity of protecting systems and data crucial for business continuity. Hence, many intrusion detection systems have been created in an attempt to mitigate these threats and contribute to a timelier detection. This work proposes an interpretable and explainable hybrid intrusion detection system, which makes use of artificial intelligence methods to achieve better and more long-lasting security. The system combines experts' written rules and dynamic knowledge continuously generated by a decision tree algorithm as new shreds of evidence emerge from network activity.


Neural Class Expression Synthesis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Class expression learning is a branch of explainable supervised machine learning of increasing importance. Most existing approaches for class expression learning in description logics are search algorithms or hard-rule-based. In particular, approaches based on refinement operators suffer from scalability issues as they rely on heuristic functions to explore a large search space for each learning problem. We propose a new family of approaches, which we dub synthesis approaches. Instances of this family compute class expressions directly from the examples provided. Consequently, they are not subject to the runtime limitations of search-based approaches nor the lack of flexibility of hard-rule-based approaches. We study three instances of this novel family of approaches that use lightweight neural network architectures to synthesize class expressions from sets of positive examples. The results of their evaluation on four benchmark datasets suggest that they can effectively synthesize high-quality class expressions with respect to the input examples in under a second on average. Moreover, a comparison with the state-of-the-art approaches CELOE and ELTL suggests that we achieve significantly better F-measures on large ontologies. For reproducibility purposes, we provide our implementation as well as pre-trained models in the public GitHub repository at https://github.com/ConceptLengthLearner/NCES


How Predictive AI will Change Cybersecurity in 2021

#artificialintelligence

AI-enhanced cybersecurity is a must in 2021 and beyond. Clearly, the industry agrees -- you'll find an endless list of AI security platforms in the marketplace. What do vendors really mean when they use the term "artificial intelligence?" AI can be a fluid term, and sometimes mean different things to different people, and although marketing teams at cyber companies are using this ambiguity to their advantage, too often when it comes to the actual implementation and use of these platforms, the technology and promise falls short of AI in it's true scientific sense. Some artificial intelligence is and will be groundbreaking for the cybersecurity industry.


Interpretable and Fair Boolean Rule Sets via Column Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper considers the learning of Boolean rules in either disjunctive normal form (DNF, OR-of-ANDs, equivalent to decision rule sets) or conjunctive normal form (CNF, AND-of-ORs) as an interpretable model for classification. An integer program is formulated to optimally trade classification accuracy for rule simplicity. We also consider the fairness setting and extend the formulation to include explicit constraints on two different measures of classification parity: equality of opportunity and equalized odds. Column generation (CG) is used to efficiently search over an exponential number of candidate clauses (conjunctions or disjunctions) without the need for heuristic rule mining. This approach also bounds the gap between the selected rule set and the best possible rule set on the training data. To handle large datasets, we propose an approximate CG algorithm using randomization. Compared to three recently proposed alternatives, the CG algorithm dominates the accuracy-simplicity trade-off in 8 out of 16 datasets. When maximized for accuracy, CG is competitive with rule learners designed for this purpose, sometimes finding significantly simpler solutions that are no less accurate. Compared to other fair and interpretable classifiers, our method is able to find rule sets that meet stricter notions of fairness with a modest trade-off in accuracy.


The Possibilistic Horn Non-Clausal Knowledge Bases

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Possibilistic logic is the most popular approach to represent and reason with uncertain and partially inconsistent knowledge. Regarding normal forms, the encoding of real-world problems does usually not result in a clausal formula and although a possibility nonclausal formula is theoretically equivalent to some possibilistic clausal formula [26, 22], approaches needing clausal form transformations are practically infeasible or have experimentally shown to be highly inefficient as discussed below. Two kinds of clausal form transformation are known: (1) one is based on the repetitive application of the distributive laws to the input non-clausal formula until a logically equivalent clausal formula is obtained; and (2) the other transformation, Tsetin-transformation [59], is based on recursively substituting sub-formulas in the input non-clausal formula by fresh literals until obtaining an equi-satisfiable, but not equivalent, clausal formula.


Public Policymaking for International Agricultural Trade using Association Rules and Ensemble Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

International economics has a long history of improving our understanding of factors causing trade, and the consequences of free flow of goods and services across countries. The recent shocks to the free trade regime, especially trade disputes among major economies, as well as black swan events, such as trade wars and pandemics, raise the need for improved predictions to inform policy decisions. AI methods are allowing economists to solve such prediction problems in new ways. In this manuscript, we present novel methods that predict and associate food and agricultural commodities traded internationally. Association Rules (AR) analysis has been deployed successfully for economic scenarios at the consumer or store level, such as for market basket analysis. In our work however, we present analysis of imports and exports associations and their effects on commodity trade flows. Moreover, Ensemble Machine Learning methods are developed to provide improved agricultural trade predictions, outlier events' implications, and quantitative pointers to policy makers.


A Survey on AI Assurance

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms are increasingly providing decision making and operational support across multiple domains. AI includes a wide library of algorithms for different problems. One important notion for the adoption of AI algorithms into operational decision process is the concept of assurance. The literature on assurance, unfortunately, conceals its outcomes within a tangled landscape of conflicting approaches, driven by contradicting motivations, assumptions, and intuitions. Accordingly, albeit a rising and novel area, this manuscript provides a systematic review of research works that are relevant to AI assurance, between years 1985 - 2021, and aims to provide a structured alternative to the landscape. A new AI assurance definition is adopted and presented and assurance methods are contrasted and tabulated. Additionally, a ten-metric scoring system is developed and introduced to evaluate and compare existing methods. Lastly, in this manuscript, we provide foundational insights, discussions, future directions, a roadmap, and applicable recommendations for the development and deployment of AI assurance.


Explainable AI for Psychological Profiling from Digital Footprints: A Case Study of Big Five Personality Predictions from Spending Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Every step we take in the digital world leaves behind a record of our behavior; a digital footprint. Research has suggested that algorithms can translate these digital footprints into accurate estimates of psychological characteristics, including personality traits, mental health or intelligence. The mechanisms by which AI generates these insights, however, often remain opaque. In this paper, we show how Explainable AI (XAI) can help domain experts and data subjects validate, question, and improve models that classify psychological traits from digital footprints. We elaborate on two popular XAI methods (rule extraction and counterfactual explanations) in the context of Big Five personality predictions (traits and facets) from financial transactions data (N = 6,408). First, we demonstrate how global rule extraction sheds light on the spending patterns identified by the model as most predictive for personality, and discuss how these rules can be used to explain, validate, and improve the model. Second, we implement local rule extraction to show that individuals are assigned to personality classes because of their unique financial behavior, and that there exists a positive link between the model's prediction confidence and the number of features that contributed to the prediction. Our experiments highlight the importance of both global and local XAI methods. By better understanding how predictive models work in general as well as how they derive an outcome for a particular person, XAI promotes accountability in a world in which AI impacts the lives of billions of people around the world.