Optimization
Combining Gaussian processes and polynomial chaos expansions for stochastic nonlinear model predictive control
Model predictive control is an advanced control approach for multivariable systems with constraints, which is reliant on an accurate dynamic model. Most real dynamic models are however affected by uncertainties, which can lead to closed-loop performance deterioration and constraint violations. In this paper we introduce a new algorithm to explicitly consider time-invariant stochastic uncertainties in optimal control problems. The difficulty of propagating stochastic variables through nonlinear functions is dealt with by combining Gaussian processes with polynomial chaos expansions. The main novelty in this paper is to use this combination in an efficient fashion to obtain mean and variance estimates of nonlinear transformations. Using this algorithm, it is shown how to formulate both chance-constraints and a probabilistic objective for the optimal control problem. On a batch reactor case study we firstly verify the ability of the new approach to accurately approximate the probability distributions required. Secondly, a tractable stochastic nonlinear model predictive control approach is formulated with an economic objective to demonstrate the closed-loop performance of the method via Monte Carlo simulations.
A Two-stage Framework and Reinforcement Learning-based Optimization Algorithms for Complex Scheduling Problems
He, Yongming, Wu, Guohua, Chen, Yingwu, Pedrycz, Witold
There hardly exists a general solver that is efficient for scheduling problems due to their diversity and complexity. In this study, we develop a two-stage framework, in which reinforcement learning (RL) and traditional operations research (OR) algorithms are combined together to efficiently deal with complex scheduling problems. The scheduling problem is solved in two stages, including a finite Markov decision process (MDP) and a mixed-integer programming process, respectively. This offers a novel and general paradigm that combines RL with OR approaches to solving scheduling problems, which leverages the respective strengths of RL and OR: The MDP narrows down the search space of the original problem through an RL method, while the mixed-integer programming process is settled by an OR algorithm. These two stages are performed iteratively and interactively until the termination criterion has been met. Under this idea, two implementation versions of the combination methods of RL and OR are put forward. The agile Earth observation satellite scheduling problem is selected as an example to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheduling framework and methods. The convergence and generalization capability of the methods are verified by the performance of training scenarios, while the efficiency and accuracy are tested in 50 untrained scenarios. The results show that the proposed algorithms could stably and efficiently obtain satisfactory scheduling schemes for agile Earth observation satellite scheduling problems. In addition, it can be found that RL-based optimization algorithms have stronger scalability than non-learning algorithms. This work reveals the advantage of combining reinforcement learning methods with heuristic methods or mathematical programming methods for solving complex combinatorial optimization problems.
Analyzing Human Models that Adapt Online
Bajcsy, Andrea, Siththaranjan, Anand, Tomlin, Claire J., Dragan, Anca D.
Predictive human models often need to adapt their parameters online from human data. This raises previously ignored safety-related questions for robots relying on these models such as what the model could learn online and how quickly could it learn it. For instance, when will the robot have a confident estimate in a nearby human's goal? Or, what parameter initializations guarantee that the robot can learn the human's preferences in a finite number of observations? To answer such analysis questions, our key idea is to model the robot's learning algorithm as a dynamical system where the state is the current model parameter estimate and the control is the human data the robot observes. This enables us to leverage tools from reachability analysis and optimal control to compute the set of hypotheses the robot could learn in finite time, as well as the worst and best-case time it takes to learn them. We demonstrate the utility of our analysis tool in four human-robot domains, including autonomous driving and indoor navigation.
Constrained Learning with Non-Convex Losses
Chamon, Luiz F. O., Paternain, Santiago, Calvo-Fullana, Miguel, Ribeiro, Alejandro
Though learning has become a core technology of modern information processing, there is now ample evidence that it can lead to biased, unsafe, and prejudiced solutions. The need to impose requirements on learning is therefore paramount, especially as it reaches critical applications in social, industrial, and medical domains. However, the non-convexity of most modern learning problems is only exacerbated by the introduction of constraints. Whereas good unconstrained solutions can often be learned using empirical risk minimization (ERM), even obtaining a model that satisfies statistical constraints can be challenging, all the more so a good one. In this paper, we overcome this issue by learning in the empirical dual domain, where constrained statistical learning problems become unconstrained, finite dimensional, and deterministic. We analyze the generalization properties of this approach by bounding the empirical duality gap, i.e., the difference between our approximate, tractable solution and the solution of the original (non-convex)~statistical problem, and provide a practical constrained learning algorithm. These results establish a constrained counterpart of classical learning theory and enable the explicit use of constraints in learning. We illustrate this algorithm and theory in rate-constrained learning applications.
Joint Network Topology Inference via Structured Fusion Regularization
Yuan, Yanli, Soh, De Wen, Yang, Xiao, Guo, Kun, Quek, Tony Q. S.
Joint network topology inference represents a canonical problem of jointly learning multiple graph Laplacian matrices from heterogeneous graph signals. In such a problem, a widely employed assumption is that of a simple common component shared among multiple networks. However, in practice, a more intricate topological pattern, comprising simultaneously of sparse, homogeneity and heterogeneity components, would exhibit in multiple networks. In this paper, we propose a general graph estimator based on a novel structured fusion regularization that enables us to jointly learn multiple graph Laplacian matrices with such complex topological patterns, and enjoys both high computational efficiency and rigorous theoretical guarantee. Moreover, in the proposed regularization term, the topological pattern among networks is characterized by a Gram matrix, endowing our graph estimator with the ability of flexible modelling different types of topological patterns by different choices of the Gram matrix. Computationally, the regularization term, coupling the parameters together, makes the formulated optimization problem intractable and thus, we develop a computationally-scalable algorithm based on the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) to solve it efficiently. Theoretically, we provide a theoretical analysis of the proposed graph estimator, which establishes a non-asymptotic bound of the estimation error under the high-dimensional setting and reflects the effect of several key factors on the convergence rate of our algorithm. Finally, the superior performance of the proposed method is illustrated through simulated and real data examples.
A Survey on Physarum Polycephalum Intelligent Foraging Behaviour and Bio-Inspired Applications
Awad, Abubakr, Pang, Wei, Lusseau, David, Coghill, George M.
Bio-inspired computing focuses on extracting computational models for problem solving from in-depth understanding of behaviour and mechanisms of biological systems. In recent years, cellular computational models based on the structure and the processes of living cells, such as bacterial colonies [43] and viral models [23] have become an important line of research in bio-inspired computing. Physarum-computing, as an example of cellular computing model, has attracted the attention of many researchers [84]. Physarum polycephalum (Physarum for short) is an example of plasmodial slime moulds that are classified as a fungus "Myxomycetes" [21]. In recent years, research on Physarum-inspired computing has become more popular since Nakagaki et al. (2000) performed their well-known experiments showing that Physarum was able to find the shortest route through a maze [57]. Recent research has confirmed the ability of Physarum-inspired algorithms to solve a wide range of problems [103, 78]. Physarum can be modelled as a reaction-diffusion system (cytoplasmic liquid) encapsulated in an elastic growing membrane of actin-myosin cytoskeleton [2].
Recursion, Backtracking and Dynamic Programming in Python
This course is about the fundamental concepts of algorithmic problems focusing on recursion, backtracking, dynamic programming and divide and conquer approaches. As far as I am concerned, these techniques are very important nowadays, algorithms can be used (and have several applications) in several fields from software engineering to investment banking or R&D. In each section we will talk about the theoretical background for all of these algorithms then we are going to implement these problems together from scratch in Python. Thanks for joining the course, let's get started!
Portfolio Management using Python -- Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio optimization is the process of choosing the best portfolio among the set of all portfolios. The naive way is to select a group of random allocations and figure out which one has the best Sharpe Ratio. This is known as the Monte Carlo Simulation where randomly a weight is assigned to each security in the portfolio and then the mean daily return and standard deviation of daily return is calculated. This helps in calculating the Sharpe Ratio for randomly selected allocations. But the naive way is time taking so an optimization algorithm is used which works on the concept of the minimizer.
On the Evolvability of Monotone Conjunctions with an Evolutionary Mutation Mechanism
Valiant (2009) introduced a framework for a quantitative approach to evolution, called evolvability. The idea is, roughly, that there is an ideal behavior in every environment and the feedback that the various organisms receive during evolution indicates how close their behavior is to ideal. Ultimately, evolvability aims at modeling and explaining mechanisms that allow near-optimal behavior of organisms while exploiting realistic computational resources. Due to a result by Feldman (2008), evolvability is equivalent to learning in the correlational statistical query (CSQ) model (Bshouty & Feldman, 2002). Thus, evolvability algorithms correspond to a special type of local search learning algorithms that fall under the umbrella of the probably approximately correct (PAC) model of learning (Valiant, 1984).
SCRIB: Set-classifier with Class-specific Risk Bounds for Blackbox Models
Lin, Zhen, Xiao, Cao, Glass, Lucas, Westover, M. Brandon, Sun, Jimeng
Despite deep learning (DL) success in classification problems, DL classifiers do not provide a sound mechanism to decide when to refrain from predicting. Recent works tried to control the overall prediction risk with classification with rejection options. However, existing works overlook the different significance of different classes. We introduce Set-classifier with Class-specific RIsk Bounds (SCRIB) to tackle this problem, assigning multiple labels to each example. Given the output of a black-box model on the validation set, SCRIB constructs a set-classifier that controls the class-specific prediction risks with a theoretical guarantee. The key idea is to reject when the set classifier returns more than one label. We validated SCRIB on several medical applications, including sleep staging on electroencephalogram (EEG) data, X-ray COVID image classification, and atrial fibrillation detection based on electrocardiogram (ECG) data. SCRIB obtained desirable class-specific risks, which are 35\%-88\% closer to the target risks than baseline methods.