Ongoing standardization in Industry 4.0 supports tool vendor neutral representations of Piping and Instrumentation diagrams as well as 3D pipe routing. However, a complete digital plant model requires combining these two representations. 3D pipe routing information is essential for building any accurate first-principles process simulation model. Piping and instrumentation diagrams are the primary source for control loops. In order to automatically integrate these information sources to a unified digital plant model, it is necessary to develop algorithms for identifying corresponding elements such as tanks and pumps from piping and instrumentation diagrams and 3D CAD models. One approach is to raise these two information sources to a common level of abstraction and to match them at this level of abstraction. Graph matching is a potential technique for this purpose. This article focuses on automatic generation of the graphs as a prerequisite to graph matching. Algorithms for this purpose are proposed and validated with a case study. The paper concludes with a discussion of further research needed to reprocess the generated graphs in order to enable effective matching.

Causal induction, i.e., identifying unobservable mechanisms that lead to the observable relations among variables, has played a pivotal role in modern scientific discovery, especially in scenarios with only sparse and limited data. Humans, even young toddlers, can induce causal relationships surprisingly well in various settings despite its notorious difficulty. However, in contrast to the commonplace trait of human cognition is the lack of a diagnostic benchmark to measure causal induction for modern Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems. Therefore, in this work, we introduce the Abstract Causal REasoning (ACRE) dataset for systematic evaluation of current vision systems in causal induction. Motivated by the stream of research on causal discovery in Blicket experiments, we query a visual reasoning system with the following four types of questions in either an independent scenario or an interventional scenario: direct, indirect, screening-off, and backward-blocking, intentionally going beyond the simple strategy of inducing causal relationships by covariation. By analyzing visual reasoning architectures on this testbed, we notice that pure neural models tend towards an associative strategy under their chance-level performance, whereas neuro-symbolic combinations struggle in backward-blocking reasoning. These deficiencies call for future research in models with a more comprehensive capability of causal induction.

We present a framework for analysing agent incentives using causal influence diagrams. We establish that a well-known criterion for value of information is complete. We propose a new graphical criterion for value of control, establishing its soundness and completeness. We also introduce two new concepts for incentive analysis: response incentives indicate which changes in the environment affect an optimal decision, while instrumental control incentives establish whether an agent can influence its utility via a variable X. For both new concepts, we provide sound and complete graphical criteria. We show by example how these results can help with evaluating the safety and fairness of an AI system.

Decision makers often need to rely on imperfect Given these limitations, we study alternative mechanisms probabilistic forecasts. While average to convey confidence about individual predictions performance metrics are typically available, to decision-makers. it is difficult to assess the quality of individual forecasts and the corresponding utilities. To We consider settings where a single forecaster provides convey confidence about individual predictions predictions to many decision makers, each facing a potentially to decision-makers, we propose a compensation different decision making problem. For example, mechanism ensuring that the forecasted a personalized medicine service could predict utility matches the actually accrued whether a product is effective for thousands of individual utility. While a naive scheme to compensate patients [19, 20, 2]. If the prediction is accurate decision-makers for prediction errors can be for 70% of patients, it could be accurate for Alice exploited and might not be sustainable in the but not Bob, or vice-versa. Therefore, Alice might be long run, we propose a mechanism based on hesitant to make decisions based on the 70% average fair bets and online learning that provably accuracy. In this setting, we propose an insurance-like cannot be exploited. We demonstrate an application mechanism that 1) enables each decision maker to confidently showing how passengers could confidently make decisions as if the advertised probabilities optimize individual travel plans based were individually correct, and 2) is implementable on flight delay probabilities estimated by an by the forecaster with provably vanishing costs in the airline.

Probability trees are one of the simplest models of causal generative processes. They possess clean semantics and -- unlike causal Bayesian networks -- they can represent context-specific causal dependencies, which are necessary for e.g. causal induction. Yet, they have received little attention from the AI and ML community. Here we present concrete algorithms for causal reasoning in discrete probability trees that cover the entire causal hierarchy (association, intervention, and counterfactuals), and operate on arbitrary propositional and causal events. Our work expands the domain of causal reasoning to a very general class of discrete stochastic processes.

For cutting-edge AI researchers looking for clean semantics models to represent the context-specific causal dependencies essential for causal induction, this DeepMind's algorithm encourages you to look at good old-fashioned probability trees. The probability tree diagram is used to represent a probability space. Tree diagrams illustrate a series of independent events or conditional probabilities. The Node on the probability tree diagram represents an event, and it's probability. The root node represents a particular event where probability equals one.

Are you a cutting-edge AI researcher looking for models with clean semantics that can represent the context-specific causal dependencies necessary for causal induction? If so, maybe you should take a look at good old-fashioned probability trees. Probability trees may have been around for decades, but they have received little attention from the AI and ML community. "Probability trees are one of the simplest models of causal generative processes," explains the new DeepMind paper Algorithms for Causal Reasoning in Probability Trees, which the authors say is the first to propose concrete algorithms for causal reasoning in discrete probability trees. Humans naturally learn to reason in large part through inducing causal relationships from our observations, and we do this remarkably well, cognitive scientists say. Even when the data we perceive is sparse and limited, humans can quickly learn causal structures such as interactions between physical objects, observations of the co-occurrence frequencies between causes and effects, etc. Causal induction is also a classic problem in statistics and machine learning.

In this episode of the Data Exchange I speak with Viral Shah, co-founder and CEO, Julia Computing. Along with his Julia language co-creators, Viral was awarded the 2019 Wilkinson prize, for outstanding contributions in the field of numerical software. I first tweeted about Julia at the beginning of March 2012 after seeing Jeff Bezanson give a talk in Stanford. I've dabbled with it here and there, but have never used it for a major project. Over the past few years, Julia continued to add packages at a steady pace and the package manager is really quite impressive and solid.

Welcome back to The Mechanical post! Today in this article we will see: What is Rolling process?

In this paper we consider multiple Automated Guided Vehicles (AGVs) navigating a common workspace to fulfill various intralogistics tasks, typically formulated as the Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) problem. To keep plan execution deadlock-free, one approach is to construct an Action Dependency Graph (ADG) which encodes the ordering of AGVs as they proceed along their routes. Using this method, delayed AGVs occasionally require others to wait for them at intersections, thereby affecting the plan execution efficiency. If the workspace is shared by dynamic obstacles such as humans or third party robots, AGVs can experience large delays. A common mitigation approach is to re-solve the MAPF using the current, delayed AGV positions. However, solving the MAPF is time-consuming, making this approach inefficient, especially for large AGV teams. In this work, we present an online method to repeatedly modify a given acyclic ADG to minimize route completion times of each AGV. Our approach persistently maintains an acyclic ADG, necessary for deadlock-free plan execution. We evaluate the approach by considering simulations with random disturbances on the execution and show faster route completion times compared to the baseline ADG-based execution management approach.