Mathematical & Statistical Methods
Logistic-beta processes for modeling dependent random probabilities with beta marginals
Lee, Changwoo J., Zito, Alessandro, Sang, Huiyan, Dunson, David B.
The beta distribution serves as a canonical tool for modeling probabilities and is extensively used in statistics and machine learning, especially in the field of Bayesian nonparametrics. Despite its widespread use, there is limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for modeling dependent random probabilities. We propose a novel stochastic process called the logistic-beta process, whose logistic transformation yields a stochastic process with common beta marginals. Similar to the Gaussian process, the logistic-beta process can model dependence on both discrete and continuous domains, such as space or time, and has a highly flexible dependence structure through correlation kernels. Moreover, its normal variance-mean mixture representation leads to highly effective posterior inference algorithms. The flexibility and computational benefits of logistic-beta processes are demonstrated through nonparametric binary regression simulation studies. Furthermore, we apply the logistic-beta process in modeling dependent Dirichlet processes, and illustrate its application and benefits through Bayesian density regression problems in a toxicology study.
Quantum Speedup for Spectral Approximation of Kronecker Products
Gao, Yeqi, Song, Zhao, Zhang, Ruizhe
Given its widespread application in machine learning and optimization, the Kronecker product emerges as a pivotal linear algebra operator. However, its computational demands render it an expensive operation, leading to heightened costs in spectral approximation of it through traditional computation algorithms. Existing classical methods for spectral approximation exhibit a linear dependency on the matrix dimension denoted by $n$, considering matrices of size $A_1 \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$ and $A_2 \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$. Our work introduces an innovative approach to efficiently address the spectral approximation of the Kronecker product $A_1 \otimes A_2$ using quantum methods. By treating matrices as quantum states, our proposed method significantly reduces the time complexity of spectral approximation to $O_{d,\epsilon}(\sqrt{n})$.
Safe Guaranteed Exploration for Non-linear Systems
Prajapat, Manish, Köhler, Johannes, Turchetta, Matteo, Krause, Andreas, Zeilinger, Melanie N.
Safely exploring environments with a-priori unknown constraints is a fundamental challenge that restricts the autonomy of robots. While safety is paramount, guarantees on sufficient exploration are also crucial for ensuring autonomous task completion. To address these challenges, we propose a novel safe guaranteed exploration framework using optimal control, which achieves first-of-its-kind results: guaranteed exploration for non-linear systems with finite time sample complexity bounds, while being provably safe with arbitrarily high probability. The framework is general and applicable to many real-world scenarios with complex non-linear dynamics and unknown domains. Based on this framework we propose an efficient algorithm, SageMPC, SAfe Guaranteed Exploration using Model Predictive Control. SageMPC improves efficiency by incorporating three techniques: i) exploiting a Lipschitz bound, ii) goal-directed exploration, and iii) receding horizon style re-planning, all while maintaining the desired sample complexity, safety and exploration guarantees of the framework. Lastly, we demonstrate safe efficient exploration in challenging unknown environments using SageMPC with a car model.
Machine Learning Augmented Branch and Bound for Mixed Integer Linear Programming
Scavuzzo, Lara, Aardal, Karen, Lodi, Andrea, Yorke-Smith, Neil
Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) is a pillar of mathematical optimization that offers a powerful modeling language for a wide range of applications. During the past decades, enormous algorithmic progress has been made in solving MILPs, and many commercial and academic software packages exist. Nevertheless, the availability of data, both from problem instances and from solvers, and the desire to solve new problems and larger (real-life) instances, trigger the need for continuing algorithmic development. MILP solvers use branch and bound as their main component. In recent years, there has been an explosive development in the use of machine learning algorithms for enhancing all main tasks involved in the branch-and-bound algorithm, such as primal heuristics, branching, cutting planes, node selection and solver configuration decisions. This paper presents a survey of such approaches, addressing the vision of integration of machine learning and mathematical optimization as complementary technologies, and how this integration can benefit MILP solving. In particular, we give detailed attention to machine learning algorithms that automatically optimize some metric of branch-and-bound efficiency. We also address how to represent MILPs in the context of applying learning algorithms, MILP benchmarks and software.
Continuous Multidimensional Scaling
Trosset, Michael W., Priebe, Carey E.
Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is the act of embedding proximity information about a set of $n$ objects in $d$-dimensional Euclidean space. As originally conceived by the psychometric community, MDS was concerned with embedding a fixed set of proximities associated with a fixed set of objects. Modern concerns, e.g., that arise in developing asymptotic theories for statistical inference on random graphs, more typically involve studying the limiting behavior of a sequence of proximities associated with an increasing set of objects. Standard results from the theory of point-to-set maps imply that, if $n$ is fixed and a sequence of proximities converges, then the limit of the embedded structures is the embedded structure of the limiting proximities. But what if $n$ increases? It then becomes necessary to reformulate MDS so that the entire sequence of embedding problems can be viewed as a sequence of optimization problems in a fixed space. We present such a reformulation and derive some consequences.
Curriculum reinforcement learning for quantum architecture search under hardware errors
Patel, Yash J., Kundu, Akash, Ostaszewski, Mateusz, Bonet-Monroig, Xavier, Dunjko, Vedran, Danaci, Onur
The key challenge in the noisy intermediate-scale quantum era is finding useful circuits compatible with current device limitations. Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) offer a potential solution by fixing the circuit architecture and optimizing individual gate parameters in an external loop. However, parameter optimization can become intractable, and the overall performance of the algorithm depends heavily on the initially chosen circuit architecture. Several quantum architecture search (QAS) algorithms have been developed to design useful circuit architectures automatically. In the case of parameter optimization alone, noise effects have been observed to dramatically influence the performance of the optimizer and final outcomes, which is a key line of study. However, the effects of noise on the architecture search, which could be just as critical, are poorly understood. This work addresses this gap by introducing a curriculum-based reinforcement learning QAS (CRLQAS) algorithm designed to tackle challenges in realistic VQA deployment. The algorithm incorporates (i) a 3D architecture encoding and restrictions on environment dynamics to explore the search space of possible circuits efficiently, (ii) an episode halting scheme to steer the agent to find shorter circuits, and (iii) a novel variant of simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation as an optimizer for faster convergence. To facilitate studies, we developed an optimized simulator for our algorithm, significantly improving computational efficiency in simulating noisy quantum circuits by employing the Pauli-transfer matrix formalism in the Pauli-Liouville basis. Numerical experiments focusing on quantum chemistry tasks demonstrate that CRLQAS outperforms existing QAS algorithms across several metrics in both noiseless and noisy environments.
Variational Flow Models: Flowing in Your Style
Do, Kien, Kieu, Duc, Nguyen, Toan, Nguyen, Dang, Le, Hung, Nguyen, Dung, Nguyen, Thin
We introduce a variational inference interpretation for models of "posterior flows" - generalizations of "probability flows" to a broader class of stochastic processes not necessarily diffusion processes. We coin the resulting models as "Variational Flow Models". Additionally, we propose a systematic training-free method to transform the posterior flow of a "linear" stochastic process characterized by the equation Xt = at * X0 + st * X1 into a straight constant-speed (SC) flow, reminiscent of Rectified Flow. This transformation facilitates fast sampling along the original posterior flow without training a new model of the SC flow. The flexibility of our approach allows us to extend our transformation to inter-convert two posterior flows from distinct "linear" stochastic processes. Moreover, we can easily integrate high-order numerical solvers into the transformed SC flow, further enhancing sampling accuracy and efficiency. Rigorous theoretical analysis and extensive experimental results substantiate the advantages of our framework.
Incremental Quasi-Newton Methods with Faster Superlinear Convergence Rates
Liu, Zhuanghua, Luo, Luo, Low, Bryan Kian Hsiang
We consider the finite-sum optimization problem, where each component function is strongly convex and has Lipschitz continuous gradient and Hessian. The recently proposed incremental quasi-Newton method is based on BFGS update and achieves a local superlinear convergence rate that is dependent on the condition number of the problem. This paper proposes a more efficient quasi-Newton method by incorporating the symmetric rank-1 update into the incremental framework, which results in the condition-number-free local superlinear convergence rate. Furthermore, we can boost our method by applying the block update on the Hessian approximation, which leads to an even faster local convergence rate. The numerical experiments show the proposed methods significantly outperform the baseline methods.
Individualized Policy Evaluation and Learning under Clustered Network Interference
While there now exists a large literature on policy evaluation and learning, much of prior work assumes that the treatment assignment of one unit does not affect the outcome of another unit. Unfortunately, ignoring interference may lead to biased policy evaluation and ineffective learned policies. For example, treating influential individuals who have many friends can generate positive spillover effects, thereby improving the overall performance of an individualized treatment rule (ITR). We consider the problem of evaluating and learning an optimal ITR under clustered network interference (also known as partial interference) where clusters of units are sampled from a population and units may influence one another within each cluster. Unlike previous methods that impose strong restrictions on spillover effects, the proposed methodology only assumes a semiparametric structural model where each unit's outcome is an additive function of individual treatments within the cluster. Under this model, we propose an estimator that can be used to evaluate the empirical performance of an ITR. We show that this estimator is substantially more efficient than the standard inverse probability weighting estimator, which does not impose any assumption about spillover effects. We derive the finite-sample regret bound for a learned ITR, showing that the use of our efficient evaluation estimator leads to the improved performance of learned policies. Finally, we conduct simulation and empirical studies to illustrate the advantages of the proposed methodology.
Conditioning non-linear and infinite-dimensional diffusion processes
Baker, Elizabeth Louise, Yang, Gefan, Severinsen, Michael L., Hipsley, Christy Anna, Sommer, Stefan
Generative diffusion models and many stochastic models in science and engineering naturally live in infinite dimensions before discretisation. To incorporate observed data for statistical and learning tasks, one needs to condition on observations. While recent work has treated conditioning linear processes in infinite dimensions, conditioning non-linear processes in infinite dimensions has not been explored. This paper conditions function valued stochastic processes without prior discretisation. To do so, we use an infinite-dimensional version of Girsanov's theorem to condition a function-valued stochastic process, leading to a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for the conditioned process involving the score. We apply this technique to do time series analysis for shapes of organisms in evolutionary biology, where we discretise via the Fourier basis and then learn the coefficients of the score function with score matching methods.