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 Mathematical & Statistical Methods


Machine Learning with Physics Knowledge for Prediction: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This survey examines the broad suite of methods and models for combining machine learning with physics knowledge for prediction and forecast, with a focus on partial differential equations. These methods have attracted significant interest due to their potential impact on advancing scientific research and industrial practices by improving predictive models with small- or large-scale datasets and expressive predictive models with useful inductive biases. The survey has two parts. The first considers incorporating physics knowledge on an architectural level through objective functions, structured predictive models, and data augmentation. The second considers data as physics knowledge, which motivates looking at multi-task, meta, and contextual learning as an alternative approach to incorporating physics knowledge in a data-driven fashion. Finally, we also provide an industrial perspective on the application of these methods and a survey of the open-source ecosystem for physics-informed machine learning.


Kernel Density Estimators in Large Dimensions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper studies Kernel density estimation for a high-dimensional distribution $\rho(x)$. Traditional approaches have focused on the limit of large number of data points $n$ and fixed dimension $d$. We analyze instead the regime where both the number $n$ of data points $y_i$ and their dimensionality $d$ grow with a fixed ratio $\alpha=(\log n)/d$. Our study reveals three distinct statistical regimes for the kernel-based estimate of the density $\hat \rho_h^{\mathcal {D}}(x)=\frac{1}{n h^d}\sum_{i=1}^n K\left(\frac{x-y_i}{h}\right)$, depending on the bandwidth $h$: a classical regime for large bandwidth where the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) holds, which is akin to the one found in traditional approaches. Below a certain value of the bandwidth, $h_{CLT}(\alpha)$, we find that the CLT breaks down. The statistics of $\hat \rho_h^{\mathcal {D}}(x)$ for a fixed $x$ drawn from $\rho(x)$ is given by a heavy-tailed distribution (an alpha-stable distribution). In particular below a value $h_G(\alpha)$, we find that $\hat \rho_h^{\mathcal {D}}(x)$ is governed by extreme value statistics: only a few points in the database matter and give the dominant contribution to the density estimator. We provide a detailed analysis for high-dimensional multivariate Gaussian data. We show that the optimal bandwidth threshold based on Kullback-Leibler divergence lies in the new statistical regime identified in this paper. Our findings reveal limitations of classical approaches, show the relevance of these new statistical regimes, and offer new insights for Kernel density estimation in high-dimensional settings.


A Tutorial on Brownian Motion for Biostatisticians

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Brownian motion, also known as Wiener process, is one of the most important and widely studied stochastic processes in both probability theory and mathematical physics. Originally observed in the erratic movement of pollen grains suspended in water by the botanist Robert Brown, it was later rigorously formalized by Norbert Wiener in the early 20th century. Brownian motion serves as a cornerstone in the modeling of various random phenomena, ranging from financial markets to the diffusion of particles in fluids. This manuscript provides a comprehensive overview of the key concepts, properties, and applications of Brownian motion. The exploration begins with a formal definition of Brownian motion and its fundamental properties, such as stationary independent increments and the Gaussian distribution of the process.


Cycle-Configuration: A Novel Graph-theoretic Descriptor Set for Molecular Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we propose a novel family of descriptors of chemical graphs, named cycle-configuration (CC), that can be used in the standard "two-layered (2L) model" of mol-infer, a molecular inference framework based on mixed integer linear programming (MILP) and machine learning (ML). Proposed descriptors capture the notion of ortho/meta/para patterns that appear in aromatic rings, which has been impossible in the framework so far. Computational experiments show that, when the new descriptors are supplied, we can construct prediction functions of similar or better performance for all of the 27 tested chemical properties. We also provide an MILP formulation that asks for a chemical graph with desired properties under the 2L model with CC descriptors (2L+CC model). We show that a chemical graph with up to 50 non-hydrogen vertices can be inferred in a practical time.


Randomized Transport Plans via Hierarchical Fully Probabilistic Design

arXiv.org Machine Learning

An optimal randomized strategy for design of balanced, normalized mass transport plans is developed. It replaces -- but specializes to -- the deterministic, regularized optimal transport (OT) strategy, which yields only a certainty-equivalent plan. The incompletely specified -- and therefore uncertain -- transport plan is acknowledged to be a random process. Therefore, hierarchical fully probabilistic design (HFPD) is adopted, yielding an optimal hyperprior supported on the set of possible transport plans, and consistent with prior mean constraints on the marginals of the uncertain plan. This Bayesian resetting of the design problem for transport plans -- which we call HFPD-OT -- confers new opportunities. These include (i) a strategy for the generation of a random sample of joint transport plans; (ii) randomized marginal contracts for individual source-target pairs; and (iii) consistent measures of uncertainty in the plan and its contracts. An application in algorithmic fairness is outlined, where HFPD-OT enables the recruitment of a more diverse subset of contracts -- than is possible in classical OT -- into the delivery of an expected plan. Also, it permits fairness proxies to be endowed with uncertainty quantifiers.


A Family of Distributions of Random Subsets for Controlling Positive and Negative Dependence

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Positive and negative dependence are fundamental concepts that characterize the attractive and repulsive behavior of random subsets. Although some probabilistic models are known to exhibit positive or negative dependence, it is challenging to seamlessly bridge them with a practicable probabilistic model. In this study, we introduce a new family of distributions, named the discrete kernel point process (DKPP), which includes determinantal point processes and parts of Boltzmann machines. We also develop some computational methods for probabilistic operations and inference with DKPPs, such as calculating marginal and conditional probabilities and learning the parameters. Our numerical experiments demonstrate the controllability of positive and negative dependence and the effectiveness of the computational methods for DKPPs.


Convergence rates of stochastic gradient method with independent sequences of step-size and momentum weight

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In large-scale learning algorithms, the momentum term is usually included in the stochastic sub-gradient method to improve the learning speed because it can navigate ravines efficiently to reach a local minimum. However, step-size and momentum weight hyper-parameters must be appropriately tuned to optimize convergence. We thus analyze the convergence rate using stochastic programming with Polyak's acceleration of two commonly used step-size learning rates: ``diminishing-to-zero" and ``constant-and-drop" (where the sequence is divided into stages and a constant step-size is applied at each stage) under strongly convex functions over a compact convex set with bounded sub-gradients. For the former, we show that the convergence rate can be written as a product of exponential in step-size and polynomial in momentum weight. Our analysis justifies the convergence of using the default momentum weight setting and the diminishing-to-zero step-size sequence in large-scale machine learning software. For the latter, we present the condition for the momentum weight sequence to converge at each stage.


Multiple Greedy Quasi-Newton Methods for Saddle Point Problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces the Multiple Greedy Quasi-Newton (MGSR1-SP) method, a novel approach to solving strongly-convex-strongly-concave (SCSC) saddle point problems. Our method enhances the approximation of the squared indefinite Hessian matrix inherent in these problems, significantly improving both stability and efficiency through iterative greedy updates. We provide a thorough theoretical analysis of MGSR1-SP, demonstrating its linear-quadratic convergence rate. Numerical experiments conducted on AUC maximization and adversarial debiasing problems, compared with state-of-the-art algorithms, underscore our method's enhanced convergence rate. These results affirm the potential of MGSR1-SP to improve performance across a broad spectrum of machine learning applications where efficient and accurate Hessian approximations are crucial.


Nonparametric independence tests in high-dimensional settings, with applications to the genetics of complex disease

arXiv.org Machine Learning

[PhD thesis of FCP.] Nowadays, genetics studies large amounts of very diverse variables. Mathematical statistics has evolved in parallel to its applications, with much recent interest high-dimensional settings. In the genetics of human common disease, a number of relevant problems can be formulated as tests of independence. We show how defining adequate premetric structures on the support spaces of the genetic data allows for novel approaches to such testing. This yields a solid theoretical framework, which reflects the underlying biology, and allows for computationally-efficient implementations. For each problem, we provide mathematical results, simulations and the application to real data.


Data-Driven Optimal Feedback Laws via Kernel Mean Embeddings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper proposes a fully data-driven approach for optimal control of nonlinear control-affine systems represented by a stochastic diffusion. The focus is on the scenario where both the nonlinear dynamics and stage cost functions are unknown, while only control penalty function and constraints are provided. Leveraging the theory of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, we introduce novel kernel mean embeddings (KMEs) to identify the Markov transition operators associated with controlled diffusion processes. The KME learning approach seamlessly integrates with modern convex operator-theoretic Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman recursions. Thus, unlike traditional dynamic programming methods, our approach exploits the ``kernel trick'' to break the curse of dimensionality. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method through numerical examples, highlighting its ability to solve a large class of nonlinear optimal control problems.