Diagnosis
Advancing Community Engaged Approaches to Identifying Structural Drivers of Racial Bias in Health Diagnostic Algorithms
Kuhlberg, Jill A., Headen, Irene, Ballard, Ellis A., Martin, Donald Jr.
Much attention and concern has been raised recently about bias and the use of machine learning algorithms in healthcare, especially as it relates to perpetuating racial discrimination and health disparities. Following an initial system dynamics workshop at the Data for Black Lives II conference hosted at MIT in January of 2019, a group of conference participants interested in building capabilities to use system dynamics to understand complex societal issues convened monthly to explore issues related to racial bias in AI and implications for health disparities through qualitative and simulation modeling. In this paper we present results and insights from the modeling process and highlight the importance of centering the discussion of data and healthcare on people and their experiences with healthcare and science, and recognizing the societal context where the algorithm is operating. Collective memory of community trauma, through deaths attributed to poor healthcare, and negative experiences with healthcare are endogenous drivers of seeking treatment and experiencing effective care, which impact the availability and quality of data for algorithms. These drivers have drastically disparate initial conditions for different racial groups and point to limited impact of focusing solely on improving diagnostic algorithms for achieving better health outcomes for some groups.
A network community detection method with integration of data from multiple layers and node attributes
Reittu, Hannu, Leskelä, Lasse, Räty, Tomi
Multilayer networks are in the focus of the current complex network study. In such networks multiple types of links may exist as well as many attributes for nodes. To fully use multilayer -- and other types of complex networks in applications, the merging of various data with topological information renders a powerful analysis. First, we suggest a simple way of representing network data in a data matrix where rows correspond to the nodes, and columns correspond to the data items. The number of columns is allowed to be arbitrary, so that the data matrix can be easily expanded by adding columns. The data matrix can be chosen according to targets of the analysis, and may vary a lot from case to case. Next, we partition the rows of the data matrix into communities using a method which allows maximal compression of the data matrix. For compressing a data matrix, we suggest to extend so called regular decomposition method for non-square matrices. We illustrate our method for several types of data matrices, in particular, distance matrices, and matrices obtained by augmenting a distance matrix by a column of node degrees, or by concatenating several distances matrices corresponding to layers of a multilayer network. We illustrate our method with synthetic power-law graphs and two real networks: an Internet autonomous systems graph and a world airline graph. We compare the outputs of different community recovery methods on these graphs, and discuss how incorporating node degrees as a separate column to the data matrix leads our method to identify community structures well-aligned with tiered hierarchical structures commonly encountered in complex scale-free networks.
CaRE: Finding Root Causes of Configuration Issues in Highly-Configurable Robots
Hossen, Md Abir, Kharade, Sonam, Schmerl, Bradley, Cámara, Javier, O'Kane, Jason M., Czaplinski, Ellen C., Dzurilla, Katherine A., Garlan, David, Jamshidi, Pooyan
Robotic systems have subsystems with a combinatorially large configuration space and hundreds or thousands of possible software and hardware configuration options interacting non-trivially. The configurable parameters are set to target specific objectives, but they can cause functional faults when incorrectly configured. Finding the root cause of such faults is challenging due to the exponentially large configuration space and the dependencies between the robot's configuration settings and performance. This paper proposes CaRE -- a method for diagnosing the root cause of functional faults through the lens of causality. CaRE abstracts the causal relationships between various configuration options and the robot's performance objectives by learning a causal structure and estimating the causal effects of options on robot performance indicators. We demonstrate CaRE's efficacy by finding the root cause of the observed functional faults and validating the diagnosed root cause by conducting experiments in both physical robots (Husky and Turtlebot 3) and in simulation (Gazebo). Furthermore, we demonstrate that the causal models learned from robots in simulation (e.g., Husky in Gazebo) are transferable to physical robots across different platforms (e.g., Husky and Turtlebot 3).
Efficient Fraud Detection Using Deep Boosting Decision Trees
Xu, Biao, Wang, Yao, Liao, Xiuwu, Wang, Kaidong
Fraud detection is to identify, monitor, and prevent potentially fraudulent activities from complex data. The recent development and success in AI, especially machine learning, provides a new data-driven way to deal with fraud. From a methodological point of view, machine learning based fraud detection can be divided into two categories, i.e., conventional methods (decision tree, tree boosting methods...) and deep learning, both of which have significant limitations in terms of the lack of representation learning ability for the former and interpretability for the latter. Furthermore, due to the rarity of detected fraud cases, the associated data is usually imbalanced, which seriously degrades the performance of classification algorithms. In this paper, we propose deep boosting decision trees (DBDT), a novel approach for fraud detection based on gradient boosting and neural networks. In order to combine the advantages of both conventional methods and deep learning, we first construct soft decision tree (SDT), a decision tree structured model with neural networks as its nodes, and then ensemble SDTs using the idea of gradient boosting. In this way we embed neural networks into gradient boosting to improve its representation learning capability and meanwhile maintain the interpretability. Furthermore, aiming at the rarity of detected fraud cases, in the model training phase we propose a compositional AUC maximization approach to deal with data imbalances at algorithm level. Extensive experiments on several real-life fraud detection datasets show that DBDT can significantly improve the performance and meanwhile maintain good interpretability.
A hybrid feature learning approach based on convolutional kernels for ATM fault prediction using event-log data
Vargas, Víctor Manuel, Rosati, Riccardo, Hervás-Martínez, César, Mancini, Adriano, Romeo, Luca, Gutiérrez, Pedro Antonio
Predictive Maintenance (PdM) methods aim to facilitate the scheduling of maintenance work before equipment failure. In this context, detecting early faults in automated teller machines (ATMs) has become increasingly important since these machines are susceptible to various types of unpredictable failures. ATMs track execution status by generating massive event-log data that collect system messages unrelated to the failure event. Predicting machine failure based on event logs poses additional challenges, mainly in extracting features that might represent sequences of events indicating impending failures. Accordingly, feature learning approaches are currently being used in PdM, where informative features are learned automatically from minimally processed sensor data. However, a gap remains to be seen on how these approaches can be exploited for deriving relevant features from event-log-based data. To fill this gap, we present a predictive model based on a convolutional kernel (MiniROCKET and HYDRA) to extract features from the original event-log data and a linear classifier to classify the sample based on the learned features. The proposed methodology is applied to a significant real-world collected dataset. Experimental results demonstrated how one of the proposed convolutional kernels (i.e. HYDRA) exhibited the best classification performance (accuracy of 0.759 and AUC of 0.693). In addition, statistical analysis revealed that the HYDRA and MiniROCKET models significantly overcome one of the established state-of-the-art approaches in time series classification (InceptionTime), and three non-temporal ML methods from the literature. The predictive model was integrated into a container-based decision support system to support operators in the timely maintenance of ATMs.
Optimal Decision Trees For Interpretable Clustering with Constraints (Extended Version)
Shati, Pouya, Cohen, Eldan, McIlraith, Sheila
Constrained clustering is a semi-supervised task that employs a limited amount of labelled data, formulated as constraints, to incorporate domain-specific knowledge and to significantly improve clustering accuracy. Previous work has considered exact optimization formulations that can guarantee optimal clustering while satisfying all constraints, however these approaches lack interpretability. Recently, decision-trees have been used to produce inherently interpretable clustering solutions, however existing approaches do not support clustering constraints and do not provide strong theoretical guarantees on solution quality. In this work, we present a novel SAT-based framework for interpretable clustering that supports clustering constraints and that also provides strong theoretical guarantees on solution quality. We also present new insight into the trade-off between interpretability and satisfaction of such user-provided constraints. Our framework is the first approach for interpretable and constrained clustering. Experiments with a range of real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that our approach can produce high-quality and interpretable constrained clustering solutions.
Differentiating Viral and Bacterial Infections: A Machine Learning Model Based on Routine Blood Test Values
Gunčar, Gregor, Kukar, Matjaž, Smole, Tim, Moškon, Sašo, Vovko, Tomaž, Podnar, Simon, Černelč, Peter, Brvar, Miran, Notar, Mateja, Köster, Manca, Jelenc, Marjeta Tušek, Notar, Marko
In this study, a Virus vs. Bacteria machine learning model was developed to discern between these infection types using 16 routine blood test results, C-reactive protein levels, biological sex, and age. With a dataset of 44,120 cases from a single medical center, the Virus vs. Bacteria model demonstrated remarkable accuracy of 82.2%, a Brier score of 0.129, and an area under the ROC curve of 0.91, surpassing the performance of traditional CRP decision rule models. The model demonstrates substantially improved accuracy within the CRP range of 10-40 mg/L, an interval in which CRP alone offers limited diagnostic value for distinguishing between bacterial and viral infections. These findings underscore the importance of considering multiple blood parameters for diagnostic decision-making and suggest that the Virus vs. Bacteria model could contribute to the creation of innovative diagnostic tools. Such tools would harness machine learning and relevant biomarkers to support enhanced clinical decision-making in managing infections.
Federated contrastive learning models for prostate cancer diagnosis and Gleason grading
Kong, Fei, Xiang, Jinxi, Wang, Xiyue, Wang, Xinran, Yue, Meng, Zhang, Jun, Yang, Sen, Zhao, Junhan, Han, Xiao, Dong, Yuhan, Liu, Yueping
The application effect of artificial intelligence (AI) in the field of medical imaging is remarkable. Robust AI model training requires large datasets, but data collection faces communication, ethics, and privacy protection constraints. Fortunately, federated learning can solve the above problems by coordinating multiple clients to train the model without sharing the original data. In this study, we design a federated contrastive learning framework (FCL) for large-scale pathology images and the heterogeneity challenges. It enhances the model's generalization ability by maximizing the attention consistency between the local client and server models. To alleviate the privacy leakage problem when transferring parameters and verify the robustness of FCL, we use differential privacy to further protect the model by adding noise. We evaluate the effectiveness of FCL on the cancer diagnosis task and Gleason grading task on 19,635 prostate cancer WSIs from multiple clients. In the diagnosis task, the average AUC of 7 clients is 95% when the categories are relatively balanced, and our FCL achieves 97%. In the Gleason grading task, the average Kappa of 6 clients is 0.74, and the Kappa of FCL reaches 0.84. Furthermore, we also validate the robustness of the model on external datasets(one public dataset and two private datasets). In addition, to better explain the classification effect of the model, we show whether the model focuses on the lesion area by drawing a heatmap. Finally, FCL brings a robust, accurate, low-cost AI training model to biomedical research, effectively protecting medical data privacy.
Analysis of Numerical Integration in RNN-Based Residuals for Fault Diagnosis of Dynamic Systems
Mohammadi, Arman, Westny, Theodor, Jung, Daniel, Krysander, Mattias
Data-driven modeling and machine learning are widely used to model the behavior of dynamic systems. One application is the residual evaluation of technical systems where model predictions are compared with measurement data to create residuals for fault diagnosis applications. While recurrent neural network models have been shown capable of modeling complex non-linear dynamic systems, they are limited to fixed steps discrete-time simulation. Modeling using neural ordinary differential equations, however, make it possible to evaluate the state variables at specific times, compute gradients when training the model and use standard numerical solvers to explicitly model the underlying dynamic of the time-series data. Here, the effect of solver selection on the performance of neural ordinary differential equation residuals during training and evaluation is investigated. The paper includes a case study of a heavy-duty truck's after-treatment system to highlight the potential of these techniques for improving fault diagnosis performance.
Detecting Concept Drift for the reliability prediction of Software Defects using Instance Interpretation
Chitsazian, Zeynab, Kashi, Saeed Sedighian, Nikanjam, Amin
In the context of Just-In-Time Software Defect Prediction (JIT-SDP), Concept drift (CD) can occur due to changes in the software development process, the complexity of the software, or changes in user behavior that may affect the stability of the JIT-SDP model over time. Additionally, the challenge of class imbalance in JIT-SDP data poses a potential risk to the accuracy of CD detection methods if rebalancing is implemented. This issue has not been explored to the best of our knowledge. Furthermore, methods to check the stability of JIT-SDP models over time by considering labeled evaluation data have been proposed. However, it should be noted that future data labels may not always be available promptly. We aim to develop a reliable JIT-SDP model using CD point detection directly by identifying changes in the interpretation of unlabeled simplified and resampled data. To evaluate our approach, we first obtained baseline methods based on model performance monitoring to identify CD points on labeled data. We then compared the output of the proposed methods with baseline methods based on performance monitoring of threshold-dependent and threshold-independent criteria using well-known performance measures in CD detection methods, such as accuracy, MDR, MTD, MTFA, and MTR. We also utilize the Friedman statistical test to assess the effectiveness of our approach. As a result, our proposed methods show higher compatibility with baseline methods based on threshold-independent criteria when applied to rebalanced data, and with baseline methods based on threshold-dependent criteria when applied to simple data.