We present a general causal generative modelling framework for accurate estimation of high fidelity image counterfactuals with deep structural causal models. Estimation of interventional and counterfactual queries for high-dimensional structured variables, such as images, remains a challenging task. We leverage ideas from causal mediation analysis and advances in generative modelling to design new deep causal mechanisms for structured variables in causal models. Our experiments demonstrate that our proposed mechanisms are capable of accurate abduction and estimation of direct, indirect and total effects as measured by axiomatic soundness of counterfactuals.

We explore the extension of chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting to medical reasoning for the task of automatic diagnosis. Motivated by doctors' underlying reasoning process, we present Diagnostic-Reasoning CoT (DR-CoT). Empirical results demonstrate that by simply prompting large language models trained only on general text corpus with two DR-CoT exemplars, the diagnostic accuracy improves by 15% comparing to standard prompting. Moreover, the gap reaches a pronounced 18% in out-domain settings. Our findings suggest expert-knowledge reasoning in large language models can be elicited through proper promptings.

Skin diseases are among the most prevalent health issues, and accurate computer-aided diagnosis methods are of importance for both dermatologists and patients. However, most of the existing methods overlook the essential domain knowledge required for skin disease diagnosis. A novel multi-task model, namely DermImitFormer, is proposed to fill this gap by imitating dermatologists' diagnostic procedures and strategies. Through multi-task learning, the model simultaneously predicts body parts and lesion attributes in addition to the disease itself, enhancing diagnosis accuracy and improving diagnosis interpretability. The designed lesion selection module mimics dermatologists' zoom-in action, effectively highlighting the local lesion features from noisy backgrounds. Additionally, the presented cross-interaction module explicitly models the complicated diagnostic reasoning between body parts, lesion attributes, and diseases. To provide a more robust evaluation of the proposed method, a large-scale clinical image dataset of skin diseases with significantly more cases than existing datasets has been established. Extensive experiments on three different datasets consistently demonstrate the state-of-the-art recognition performance of the proposed approach.

State-of-the-art models can perform well in controlled environments, but they often struggle when presented with out-of-distribution (OOD) examples, making OOD detection a critical component of NLP systems. In this paper, we focus on highlighting the limitations of existing approaches to OOD detection in NLP. Specifically, we evaluated eight OOD detection methods that are easily integrable into existing NLP systems and require no additional OOD data or model modifications. One of our contributions is providing a well-structured research environment that allows for full reproducibility of the results. Additionally, our analysis shows that existing OOD detection methods for NLP tasks are not yet sufficiently sensitive to capture all samples characterized by various types of distributional shifts. Particularly challenging testing scenarios arise in cases of background shift and randomly shuffled word order within in domain texts. This highlights the need for future work to develop more effective OOD detection approaches for the NLP problems, and our work provides a well-defined foundation for further research in this area.

Computer programs that are used to detect essays, job applications and other work generated by artificial intelligence can discriminate against people who are non-native English speakers, researchers say. Tests on seven popular AI text detectors found that articles written by people who did not speak English as a first language were often wrongly flagged as AI-generated, a bias that could have a serious impact on students, academics and job applicants. With the rise of ChatGPT, a generative AI program that can write essays, solve problems and create computer code, many teachers now consider AI detection as a "critical countermeasure to deter a 21st-century form of cheating", the researchers say, but they warn that the 99% accuracy claimed by some detectors is "misleading at best." Alex Hern's weekly dive in to how technology is shaping our lives Scientists led by James Zou, an assistant professor of biomedical data science at Stanford University, ran 91 English essays written by non-native English speakers through seven popular GPT detectors to see how well the programs performed. More than half of the essays, which were written for a widely recognised English proficiency test known as the Test of English as a Foreign Language, or TOEFL, were flagged as AI-generated, with one program flagging 98% of the essays as composed by AI.

We prove that it is NP-hard to properly PAC learn decision trees with queries, resolving a longstanding open problem in learning theory (Bshouty 1993; Guijarro-Lavin-Raghavan 1999; Mehta-Raghavan 2002; Feldman 2016). While there has been a long line of work, dating back to (Pitt-Valiant 1988), establishing the hardness of properly learning decision trees from random examples, the more challenging setting of query learners necessitates different techniques and there were no previous lower bounds. En route to our main result, we simplify and strengthen the best known lower bounds for a different problem of Decision Tree Minimization (Zantema-Bodlaender 2000; Sieling 2003). On a technical level, we introduce the notion of hardness distillation, which we study for decision tree complexity but can be considered for any complexity measure: for a function that requires large decision trees, we give a general method for identifying a small set of inputs that is responsible for its complexity. Our technique even rules out query learners that are allowed constant error. This contrasts with existing lower bounds for the setting of random examples which only hold for inverse-polynomial error. Our result, taken together with a recent almost-polynomial time query algorithm for properly learning decision trees under the uniform distribution (Blanc-Lange-Qiao-Tan 2022), demonstrates the dramatic impact of distributional assumptions on the problem.

With the increasing operating frequencies and clock speeds in processors, interconnects affect both the reliability and performance of entire electronic systems. Fault detection and diagnosis of the interconnects are crucial for prognostics and health management (PHM) of electronics. However, traditional approaches using electrical signals as prognostic factors often face challenges in distinguishing defect root causes, necessitating additional destructive evaluations, and are prone to noise interference, leading to potential false alarms. To address these limitations, this paper introduces a novel approach for non-destructive detection and diagnosis of defects in Cu interconnects, offering early detection, enhanced diagnostic accuracy, and noise resilience. Our approach uniquely analyzes both the root cause and severity of interconnect defects by leveraging graph patterns of reflection coefficient, a technique distinct from traditional time series signal analysis. We experimentally demonstrate that the graph patterns possess the capability for fault diagnosis and serve as effective input data for learning algorithms. Additionally, we introduce a novel severity rating ensemble learning (SREL) approach, which significantly enhances diagnostic accuracy and noise robustness. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms conventional machine learning methods and multi-class convolutional neural networks (CNN), achieving a maximum accuracy of 99.3%, especially under elevated noise levels.

This paper presents a comprehensive investigation into developing a fault detection and classification system for real-world IIoT applications. The study addresses challenges in data collection, annotation, algorithm development, and deployment. Using a real-world IIoT system, three phases of data collection simulate 11 predefined fault categories. We propose SMTCNN for fault detection and category classification in IIoT, evaluating its performance on real-world data. SMTCNN achieves superior specificity (3.5%) and shows significant improvements in precision, recall, and F1 measures compared to existing techniques.

Although Alzheimer's disease (AD) cannot be reversed or cured, timely diagnosis can significantly reduce the burden of treatment and care. Current research on AD diagnosis models usually regards the diagnosis task as a typical classification task with two primary assumptions: 1) All target categories are known a priori; 2) The diagnostic strategy for each patient is consistent, that is, the number and type of model input data for each patient are the same. However, real-world clinical settings are open, with complexity and uncertainty in terms of both subjects and the resources of the medical institutions. This means that diagnostic models may encounter unseen disease categories and need to dynamically develop diagnostic strategies based on the subject's specific circumstances and available medical resources. Thus, the AD diagnosis task is tangled and coupled with the diagnosis strategy formulation. To promote the application of diagnostic systems in real-world clinical settings, we propose OpenClinicalAI for direct AD diagnosis in complex and uncertain clinical settings. This is the first powerful end-to-end model to dynamically formulate diagnostic strategies and provide diagnostic results based on the subject's conditions and available medical resources. OpenClinicalAI combines reciprocally coupled deep multiaction reinforcement learning (DMARL) for diagnostic strategy formulation and multicenter meta-learning (MCML) for open-set recognition. The experimental results show that OpenClinicalAI achieves better performance and fewer clinical examinations than the state-of-the-art model. Our method provides an opportunity to embed the AD diagnostic system into the current health care system to cooperate with clinicians to improve current health care.

Fault diagnosis of rolling bearings is of great significance for post-maintenance in rotating machinery, but it is a challenging work to diagnose faults efficiently with a few samples. Additionally, faults commonly occur with randomness and fuzziness due to the complexity of the external environment and the structure of rolling bearings, hindering effective mining of fault characteristics and eventually restricting accuracy of fault diagnosis. To overcome these problems, stochastic configuration network (SCN) based cloud ensemble learning, called SCN-CEL, is developed in this work. Concretely, a cloud feature extraction method is first developed by using a backward cloud generator of normal cloud model to mine the uncertainty of fault information. Then, a cloud sampling method, which generates enough cloud droplets using bidirectional cloud generator, is proposed to extend the cloud feature samples. Finally, an ensemble model with SCNs is developed to comprehensively characterize the uncertainty of fault information and advance the generalization performance of fault diagnosis machine. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method indeed performs favorably for distinguishing fault categories of rolling bearings in the few shot scenarios.