Scientists often want to learn about cause and effect from hierarchical data, collected from subunits nested inside units. Consider students in schools, cells in patients, or cities in states. In such settings, unit-level variables (e.g. each school's budget) may affect subunit-level variables (e.g. the test scores of each student in each school) and vice versa. To address causal questions with hierarchical data, we propose hierarchical causal models, which extend structural causal models and causal graphical models by adding inner plates. We develop a general graphical identification technique for hierarchical causal models that extends do-calculus. We find many situations in which hierarchical data can enable causal identification even when it would be impossible with non-hierarchical data, that is, if we had only unit-level summaries of subunit-level variables (e.g. the school's average test score, rather than each student's score). We develop estimation techniques for hierarchical causal models, using methods including hierarchical Bayesian models. We illustrate our results in simulation and via a reanalysis of the classic "eight schools" study.

Fault detection and isolation in complex systems are critical to ensure reliable and efficient operation. However, traditional fault detection methods often struggle with issues such as nonlinearity and multivariate characteristics of the time series variables. This article proposes a generative adversarial wavelet neural operator (GAWNO) as a novel unsupervised deep learning approach for fault detection and isolation of multivariate time series processes.The GAWNO combines the strengths of wavelet neural operators and generative adversarial networks (GANs) to effectively capture both the temporal distributions and the spatial dependencies among different variables of an underlying system. The approach of fault detection and isolation using GAWNO consists of two main stages. In the first stage, the GAWNO is trained on a dataset of normal operating conditions to learn the underlying data distribution. In the second stage, a reconstruction error-based threshold approach using the trained GAWNO is employed to detect and isolate faults based on the discrepancy values. We validate the proposed approach using the Tennessee Eastman Process (TEP) dataset and Avedore wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) and N2O emissions named as WWTPN2O datasets. Overall, we showcase that the idea of harnessing the power of wavelet analysis, neural operators, and generative models in a single framework to detect and isolate faults has shown promising results compared to various well-established baselines in the literature.

Decision trees [3, 4, 8, 31, 34, 40] and systems of decision rules [6, 7, 11, 14, 33, 34, 35, 36] are widely used as classifiers, knowledge representation tools, and algorithms. They are known for their interpretability in data analysis [10, 15, 23, 41]. Investigating the relationship between these two models is an important task in computer science. Converting decision trees into decision rule systems is a well-known and simple process [37, 38, 39]. This paper focuses on the inverse transformation problem, which is not trivial. The research related to this problem encompasses several directions: Two-stage construction of decision trees. This approach involves building decision rules based on input data, followed by the construction of decision trees or decision structures (which are generalizations of decision trees) using the generated rules. The benefits of this two-stage construction method are explained in [1, 2, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 42].

Thyroid cancer, the most prevalent endocrine cancer, has gained significant global attention due to its impact on public health. Extensive research efforts have been dedicated to leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) methods for the early detection of this disease, aiming to reduce its morbidity rates. However, a comprehensive understanding of the structured organization of research applications in this particular field remains elusive. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a systematic review and developed a comprehensive taxonomy of machine learning-based applications in thyroid cancer pathogenesis, diagnosis, and prognosis. Our primary objective was to facilitate the research community's ability to stay abreast of technological advancements and potentially lead the emerging trends in this field. This survey presents a coherent literature review framework for interpreting the advanced techniques used in thyroid cancer research. A total of 758 related studies were identified and scrutinized. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first review that provides an in-depth analysis of the various aspects of AI applications employed in the context of thyroid cancer. Furthermore, we highlight key challenges encountered in this domain and propose future research opportunities for those interested in studying the latest trends or exploring less-investigated aspects of thyroid cancer research. By presenting this comprehensive review and taxonomy, we contribute to the existing knowledge in the field, while providing valuable insights for researchers, clinicians, and stakeholders in advancing the understanding and management of this disease.

Leakages are a major risk in water distribution networks as they cause water loss and increase contamination risks. Leakage detection is a difficult task due to the complex dynamics of water distribution networks. In particular, small leakages are hard to detect. From a machine-learning perspective, leakages can be modeled as concept drift. Thus, a wide variety of drift detection schemes seems to be a suitable choice for detecting leakages. In this work, we explore the potential of model-loss-based and distribution-based drift detection methods to tackle leakage detection. We additionally discuss the issue of temporal dependencies in the data and propose a way to cope with it when applying distribution-based detection. We evaluate different methods systematically for leakages of different sizes and detection times. Additionally, we propose a first drift-detection-based technique for localizing leakages.

Condition monitoring plays a significant role in the safety and reliability of modern industrial systems. Artificial intelligence (AI) approaches are gaining attention from academia and industry as a growing subject in industrial applications and as a powerful way of identifying faults. This paper provides an overview of intelligent condition monitoring and fault detection and diagnosis methods for industrial plants with a focus on the open-source benchmark Tennessee Eastman Process (TEP). In this survey, the most popular and state-of-the-art deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) algorithms for industrial plant condition monitoring, fault detection, and diagnosis are summarized and the advantages and disadvantages of each algorithm are studied. Challenges like imbalanced data, unlabelled samples and how deep learning models can handle them are also covered. Finally, a comparison of the accuracies and specifications of different algorithms utilizing the Tennessee Eastman Process (TEP) is conducted. This research will be beneficial for both researchers who are new to the field and experts, as it covers the literature on condition monitoring and state-of-the-art methods alongside the challenges and possible solutions to them.

The rising popularity of artificial intelligence in healthcare is highlighting the problem that a computational model achieving super-human clinical performance at its training sites may perform substantially worse at new sites. In this perspective, we present common sources for this failure to transport, which we divide into sources under the control of the experimenter and sources inherent to the clinical data-generating process. Of the inherent sources we look a little deeper into site-specific clinical practices that can affect the data distribution, and propose a potential solution intended to isolate the imprint of those practices on the data from the patterns of disease cause and effect that are the usual target of probabilistic clinical models.

Intelligent equipment fault diagnosis based on Federated Transfer Learning (FTL) attracts considerable attention from both academia and industry. It allows real-world industrial agents with limited samples to construct a fault diagnosis model without jeopardizing their raw data privacy. Existing approaches, however, can neither address the intense sample heterogeneity caused by different working conditions of practical agents, nor the extreme fault label scarcity, even zero, of newly deployed equipment. To address these issues, we present FedLED, the first unsupervised vertical FTL equipment fault diagnosis method, where knowledge of the unlabeled target domain is further exploited for effective unsupervised model transfer. Results of extensive experiments using data of real equipment monitoring demonstrate that FedLED obviously outperforms SOTA approaches in terms of both diagnosis accuracy (up to 4.13 times) and generality. We expect our work to inspire further study on label-free equipment fault diagnosis systematically enhanced by target domain knowledge.

In the field of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM), recent years have witnessed a significant surge in the application of machine learning (ML). Despite this growth, the field grapples with a lack of unified guidelines and systematic approaches for effectively implementing these ML techniques and comprehensive analysis regarding industrial open-source data across varied scenarios. To address these gaps, this paper provides a comprehensive review of machine learning approaches for diagnostics and prognostics of industrial systems using open-source datasets from PHM Data Challenge Competitions held between 2018 and 2023 by PHM Society and IEEE Reliability Society and summarizes a unified ML framework. This review systematically categorizes and scrutinizes the problems, challenges, methodologies, and advancements demonstrated in these competitions, highlighting the evolving role of both conventional machine learning and deep learning in tackling complex industrial tasks related to detection, diagnosis, assessment, and prognosis. Moreover, this paper delves into the common challenges in PHM data challenge competitions by emphasizing both data-related and model-related issues and summarizes the solutions that have been employed to address these challenges. Finally, we identify key themes and potential directions for future research, providing opportunities and prospects for ML further development in PHM.

In pool-based active learning, the learner is given an unlabeled data set and aims to efficiently learn the unknown hypothesis by querying the labels of the data points. This can be formulated as the classical Optimal Decision Tree (ODT) problem: Given a set of tests, a set of hypotheses, and an outcome for each pair of test and hypothesis, our objective is to find a low-cost testing procedure (i.e., decision tree) that identifies the true hypothesis. This optimization problem has been extensively studied under the assumption that each test generates a deterministic outcome. However, in numerous applications, for example, clinical trials, the outcomes may be uncertain, which renders the ideas from the deterministic setting invalid. In this work, we study a fundamental variant of the ODT problem in which some test outcomes are noisy, even in the more general case where the noise is persistent, i.e., repeating a test gives the same noisy output. Our approximation algorithms provide guarantees that are nearly best possible and hold for the general case of a large number of noisy outcomes per test or per hypothesis where the performance degrades continuously with this number. We numerically evaluated our algorithms for identifying toxic chemicals and learning linear classifiers, and observed that our algorithms have costs very close to the information-theoretic minimum.