Predictive maintenance is a well studied collection of techniques that aims to prolong the life of a mechanical system by using artificial intelligence and machine learning to predict the optimal time to perform maintenance. The methods allow maintainers of systems and hardware to reduce financial and time costs of upkeep. As these methods are adopted for more serious and potentially life-threatening applications, the human operators need trust the predictive system. This attracts the field of Explainable AI (XAI) to introduce explainability and interpretability into the predictive system. XAI brings methods to the field of predictive maintenance that can amplify trust in the users while maintaining well-performing systems. This survey on explainable predictive maintenance (XPM) discusses and presents the current methods of XAI as applied to predictive maintenance while following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 guidelines. We categorize the different XPM methods into groups that follow the XAI literature. Additionally, we include current challenges and a discussion on future research directions in XPM.

Selection bias is ubiquitous in real-world data, and can lead to misleading results if not dealt with properly. We introduce a conditioning operation on Structural Causal Models (SCMs) to model latent selection from a causal perspective. We show that the conditioning operation transforms an SCM with the presence of an explicit latent selection mechanism into an SCM without such selection mechanism, which partially encodes the causal semantics of the selected subpopulation according to the original SCM. Furthermore, we show that this conditioning operation preserves the simplicity, acyclicity, and linearity of SCMs, and commutes with marginalization. Thanks to these properties, combined with marginalization and intervention, the conditioning operation offers a valuable tool for conducting causal reasoning tasks within causal models where latent details have been abstracted away. We demonstrate by example how classical results of causal inference can be generalized to include selection bias and how the conditioning operation helps with modeling of real-world problems.

Medical dialogue systems have attracted growing research attention as they have the potential to provide rapid diagnoses, treatment plans, and health consultations. In medical dialogues, a proper diagnosis is crucial as it establishes the foundation for future consultations. Clinicians typically employ both intuitive and analytic reasoning to formulate a differential diagnosis. This reasoning process hypothesizes and verifies a variety of possible diseases and strives to generate a comprehensive and rigorous diagnosis. However, recent studies on medical dialogue generation have overlooked the significance of modeling a differential diagnosis, which hinders the practical application of these systems. To address the above issue, we propose a medical dialogue generation framework with the Intuitive-then-Analytic Differential Diagnosis (IADDx). Our method starts with a differential diagnosis via retrieval-based intuitive association and subsequently refines it through a graph-enhanced analytic procedure. The resulting differential diagnosis is then used to retrieve medical knowledge and guide response generation. Experimental results on two datasets validate the efficacy of our method. Besides, we demonstrate how our framework assists both clinicians and patients in understanding the diagnostic process, for instance, by producing intermediate results and graph-based diagnosis paths.

This paper presents an open-source dataset RflyMAD, a Multicopter Abnomal Dataset developed by Reliable Flight Control (Rfly) Group aiming to promote the development of research fields like fault detection and isolation (FDI) or health assessment (HA). The entire 114 GB dataset includes 11 types of faults under 6 flight statuses which are adapted from ADS-33 file to cover more occasions in which the multicopters have different mobility levels when faults occur. In the total 5629 flight cases, the fault time is up to 3283 minutes, and there are 2566 cases for software-in-the-loop (SIL) simulation, 2566 cases for hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) simulation and 497 cases for real flight. As it contains simulation data based on RflySim and real flight data, it is possible to improve the quantity while increasing the data quality. In each case, there are ULog, Telemetry log, Flight information and processed files for researchers to use and check. The RflyMAD dataset could be used as a benchmark for fault diagnosis methods and the support relationship between simulation data and real flight is verified through transfer learning methods. More methods as a baseline will be presented in the future, and RflyMAD will be updated with more data and types. In addition, the dataset and related toolkit can be accessed through https://rfly-openha.github.io/documents/4_resources/dataset.html.

This paper introduces the Trinary decision tree, an algorithm designed to improve the handling of missing data in decision tree regressors and classifiers. Unlike other approaches, the Trinary decision tree does not assume that missing values contain any information about the response. Both theoretical calculations on estimator bias and numerical illustrations using real data sets are presented to compare its performance with established algorithms in different missing data scenarios (Missing Completely at Random (MCAR), and Informative Missingness (IM)). Notably, the Trinary tree outperforms its peers in MCAR settings, especially when data is only missing out-of-sample, while lacking behind in IM settings. A hybrid model, the TrinaryMIA tree, which combines the Trinary tree and the Missing In Attributes (MIA) approach, shows robust performance in all types of missingness. Despite the potential drawback of slower training speed, the Trinary tree offers a promising and more accurate method of handling missing data in decision tree algorithms.

At the heart of medicine lies the physician-patient dialogue, where skillful history-taking paves the way for accurate diagnosis, effective management, and enduring trust. Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems capable of diagnostic dialogue could increase accessibility, consistency, and quality of care. However, approximating clinicians' expertise is an outstanding grand challenge. Here, we introduce AMIE (Articulate Medical Intelligence Explorer), a Large Language Model (LLM) based AI system optimized for diagnostic dialogue. AMIE uses a novel self-play based simulated environment with automated feedback mechanisms for scaling learning across diverse disease conditions, specialties, and contexts. We designed a framework for evaluating clinically-meaningful axes of performance including history-taking, diagnostic accuracy, management reasoning, communication skills, and empathy. We compared AMIE's performance to that of primary care physicians (PCPs) in a randomized, double-blind crossover study of text-based consultations with validated patient actors in the style of an Objective Structured Clinical Examination (OSCE). The study included 149 case scenarios from clinical providers in Canada, the UK, and India, 20 PCPs for comparison with AMIE, and evaluations by specialist physicians and patient actors. AMIE demonstrated greater diagnostic accuracy and superior performance on 28 of 32 axes according to specialist physicians and 24 of 26 axes according to patient actors. Our research has several limitations and should be interpreted with appropriate caution. Clinicians were limited to unfamiliar synchronous text-chat which permits large-scale LLM-patient interactions but is not representative of usual clinical practice. While further research is required before AMIE could be translated to real-world settings, the results represent a milestone towards conversational diagnostic AI.

Scientists often want to learn about cause and effect from hierarchical data, collected from subunits nested inside units. Consider students in schools, cells in patients, or cities in states. In such settings, unit-level variables (e.g. each school's budget) may affect subunit-level variables (e.g. the test scores of each student in each school) and vice versa. To address causal questions with hierarchical data, we propose hierarchical causal models, which extend structural causal models and causal graphical models by adding inner plates. We develop a general graphical identification technique for hierarchical causal models that extends do-calculus. We find many situations in which hierarchical data can enable causal identification even when it would be impossible with non-hierarchical data, that is, if we had only unit-level summaries of subunit-level variables (e.g. the school's average test score, rather than each student's score). We develop estimation techniques for hierarchical causal models, using methods including hierarchical Bayesian models. We illustrate our results in simulation and via a reanalysis of the classic "eight schools" study.

Fault detection and isolation in complex systems are critical to ensure reliable and efficient operation. However, traditional fault detection methods often struggle with issues such as nonlinearity and multivariate characteristics of the time series variables. This article proposes a generative adversarial wavelet neural operator (GAWNO) as a novel unsupervised deep learning approach for fault detection and isolation of multivariate time series processes.The GAWNO combines the strengths of wavelet neural operators and generative adversarial networks (GANs) to effectively capture both the temporal distributions and the spatial dependencies among different variables of an underlying system. The approach of fault detection and isolation using GAWNO consists of two main stages. In the first stage, the GAWNO is trained on a dataset of normal operating conditions to learn the underlying data distribution. In the second stage, a reconstruction error-based threshold approach using the trained GAWNO is employed to detect and isolate faults based on the discrepancy values. We validate the proposed approach using the Tennessee Eastman Process (TEP) dataset and Avedore wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) and N2O emissions named as WWTPN2O datasets. Overall, we showcase that the idea of harnessing the power of wavelet analysis, neural operators, and generative models in a single framework to detect and isolate faults has shown promising results compared to various well-established baselines in the literature.

Decision trees [3, 4, 8, 31, 34, 40] and systems of decision rules [6, 7, 11, 14, 33, 34, 35, 36] are widely used as classifiers, knowledge representation tools, and algorithms. They are known for their interpretability in data analysis [10, 15, 23, 41]. Investigating the relationship between these two models is an important task in computer science. Converting decision trees into decision rule systems is a well-known and simple process [37, 38, 39]. This paper focuses on the inverse transformation problem, which is not trivial. The research related to this problem encompasses several directions: Two-stage construction of decision trees. This approach involves building decision rules based on input data, followed by the construction of decision trees or decision structures (which are generalizations of decision trees) using the generated rules. The benefits of this two-stage construction method are explained in [1, 2, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 42].

Thyroid cancer, the most prevalent endocrine cancer, has gained significant global attention due to its impact on public health. Extensive research efforts have been dedicated to leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) methods for the early detection of this disease, aiming to reduce its morbidity rates. However, a comprehensive understanding of the structured organization of research applications in this particular field remains elusive. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a systematic review and developed a comprehensive taxonomy of machine learning-based applications in thyroid cancer pathogenesis, diagnosis, and prognosis. Our primary objective was to facilitate the research community's ability to stay abreast of technological advancements and potentially lead the emerging trends in this field. This survey presents a coherent literature review framework for interpreting the advanced techniques used in thyroid cancer research. A total of 758 related studies were identified and scrutinized. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first review that provides an in-depth analysis of the various aspects of AI applications employed in the context of thyroid cancer. Furthermore, we highlight key challenges encountered in this domain and propose future research opportunities for those interested in studying the latest trends or exploring less-investigated aspects of thyroid cancer research. By presenting this comprehensive review and taxonomy, we contribute to the existing knowledge in the field, while providing valuable insights for researchers, clinicians, and stakeholders in advancing the understanding and management of this disease.