Belief Revision
Deep Learning-Based Goal Recognition in Open-Ended Digital Games
Min, Wookhee (North Carolina State University) | Ha, Eun Young (North Carolina State University) | Rowe, Jonathan (North Carolina State University) | Mott, Bradford (North Carolina State University) | Lester, James (North Carolina State University)
While many open-ended digital games feature non-linear storylines and multiple solution paths, it is challenging for game developers to create effective game experiences in these settings due to the freedom given to the player. To address these challenges, goal recognition, a computational player-modeling task, has been investigated to enable digital games to dynamically predict players’ goals. This paper presents a goal recognition framework based on stacked denoising autoencoders, a variant of deep learning. The learned goal recognition models, which are trained from a corpus of player interactions, not only offer improved performance, but also offer the substantial advantage of eliminating the need for labor-intensive feature engineering. An evaluation demonstrates that the deep learning-based goal recognition framework significantly outperforms the previous state-of-the-art goal recognition approach based on Markov logic networks.
Belief revision by examples
When integrating information coming from different sources, a distinction is made between revision [13, 5, 14, 28, 6] (new information more reliable than old) and merging [22, 4, 18] (same reliability). More generally, priorities or weights are assigned to the sources to indicate their reliability [26, 27, 30, 7]. Measures and aggregation functions allow for fine-grained policies of integration [16, 11, 18]. Families of operators are then defined, all depending in a way or another from the relative reliability of the sources. The two basic cases of non-iterated revision and merging result from giving priority to the new information or the same to all pieces of information to be incorporated, respectively. The strenght of information sources has been studied in the field of cognitive psychology, where it was determined to depend on the order in which the information is given [32], on the size of the group generating it [25] and other social factors [31]. The first time merging is done, the relative reliability of the pieces of information to be integrated cannot come other than from sources external to the merging process. However, subsequent mergings may then take advantage from the previous results.
Belief Tracking for Planning with Sensing: Width, Complexity and Approximations
We consider the problem of belief tracking in a planning setting where states are valuations over a set of variables that are partially observable, and beliefs stand for the sets of states that are possible. While the problem is intractable in the worst case, it has been recently shown that in deterministic conformant and contingent problems, belief tracking is exponential in a width parameter that is often bounded and small. In this work, we extend these results in two ways. First, we introduce a width notion that applies to non-deterministic problems as well, develop a factored belief tracking algorithm that is exponential in the problem width, and show how it applies to existing benchmarks. Second, we introduce a meaningful, powerful, and sound approximation scheme, beam tracking, that is exponential in a smaller parameter, the problem causal width, and has much broader applicability. We illustrate the value of this algorithm over large instances of problems such as Battleship, Minesweeper, and Wumpus, where it yields state-of-the-art performance in real-time.
Modular Belief Updates and Confusion about Measures of Certainty in Artificial Intelligence Research
Horvitz, Eric J., Heckerman, David
Over the last decade, there has been growing interest in the use or measures or change in belief for reasoning with uncertainty in artificial intelligence research. An important characteristic of several methodologies that reason with changes in belief or belief updates, is a property that we term modularity. We call updates that satisfy this property modular updates. Whereas probabilistic measures of belief update - which satisfy the modularity property were first discovered in the nineteenth century, knowledge and discussion of these quantities remains obscure in artificial intelligence research. We define modular updates and discuss their inappropriate use in two influential expert systems.
Defining Relative Likelihood in Partially-Ordered Preferential Structures
Starting with a likelihood or preference order on worlds, we extend it to a likelihood ordering on sets of worlds in a natural way, and examine the resulting logic. Lewis (1973) earlier considered such a notion of relative likelihood in the context of studying counterfactuals, but he assumed a total preference order on worlds. Complications arise when examining partial orders that are not present for total orders. There are subtleties involving the exact approach to lifting the order on worlds to an order on sets of worlds. In addition, the axiomatization of the logic of relative likelihood in the case of partial orders gives insight into the connection between relative likelihood and default reasoning.
Deep Salience: Visual Salience Modeling via Deep Belief Propagation
Jiang, Richard (The University of Sheffield) | Crookes, Danny (Queen’s University Belfast)
Visual salience is an intriguing phenomenon observed in biological neural systems. Numerous attempts have been made to model visual salience mathematically using various feature contrasts, either locally or globally. However, these algorithmic models tend to ignore the problem’s biological solutions, in which visual salience appears to arise during the propagation of visual stimuli along the visual cortex. In this paper, inspired by the conjecture that salience arises from deep propagation along the visual cortex, we present a Deep Salience model where a multi-layer model based on successive Markov random fields (sMRF) is proposed to analyze the input image successively through its deep belief propagation. As a result, the foreground object can be automatically separated from the background in a fully unsupervised way. Experimental evaluation on the benchmark dataset validated that our Deep Salience model can consistently outperform many state-of-the-art salience models, yielding the higher rates in the precision-recall tests and attaining the better scores in F-measure and mean-square error tests.
Contraction and Revision over DL-Lite TBoxes
Zhuang, Zhiqiang (Griffith University) | Wang, Zhe (Griffith University) | Wang, Kewen (Griffith University) | Qi, Guilin (Southeast University)
Two essential tasks in managing Description Logic (DL) ontologies are eliminating problematic axioms and incorporating newly formed axioms. Such elimination and incorporation are formalised as the operations of contraction and revision in belief change.In this paper, we deal with contraction and revision for the DL-Lite family through a model-theoretic approach.Standard DL semantics yields infinite numbers of models for DL-Lite TBoxes, thus it is not practical to develop algorithms for contraction and revision that involve DL models. The key to our approach is the introduction of an alternative semantics called type semantics which is more succinct than DL semantics. More importantly, with a finite signature, type semantics always yields finite humber of models.We then define model-based contraction and revision for DL-Lite TBoxesunder type semantics and provide representation theorems for them.Finally, the succinctness of type semantics allows us to develop tractable algorithms for both operations.
A New Rational Algorithm for View Updating in Relational Databases
Delhibabu, Radhakrishnan, Behrend, Andreas
The dynamics of belief and knowledge is one of the major components of any autonomous system that should be able to incorporate new pieces of information. In order to apply the rationality result of belief dynamics theory to various practical problems, it should be generalized in two respects: first it should allow a certain part of belief to be declared as immutable; and second, the belief state need not be deductively closed. Such a generalization of belief dynamics, referred to as base dynamics, is presented in this paper, along with the concept of a generalized revision algorithm for knowledge bases (Horn or Horn logic with stratified negation). We show that knowledge base dynamics has an interesting connection with kernel change via hitting set and abduction. In this paper, we show how techniques from disjunctive logic programming can be used for efficient (deductive) database updates. The key idea is to transform the given database together with the update request into a disjunctive (datalog) logic program and apply disjunctive techniques (such as minimal model reasoning) to solve the original update problem. The approach extends and integrates standard techniques for efficient query answering and integrity checking. The generation of a hitting set is carried out through a hyper tableaux calculus and magic set that is focused on the goal of minimality. Keyword: AGM, Belief Revision, Knowledge Base Dynamics, Kernel Change, Abduction, Hyber Tableaux, Magic Set, View update, Update Propagation.
Minimal Change in AGM Revision for Non-Classical Logics
Ribeiro, Marcio Moretto (University of São Paulo) | Wassermann, Renata (University of São Paulo)
In this paper, we address the problem of applying AGM-style belief revision to non-classical logics. We discuss the idea of minimal change in revision and show that for non-classical logics, some sort of minimality postulate has to be explicitly introduced. We also present two constructions for revision which satisfy the AGM postulates and prove the representation theorems including minimality postulates.
Belief Revision in the Propositional Closure of a Qualitative Algebra
Dufour-Lussier, Valmi (Université de Lorraine) | Hermann, Alice (Université de Lorraine) | Ber, Florence Le (École Nationale du Génie de l'Eau et de l'Environnement de Strasbourg) | Lieber, Jean (Université de Lorraine)
Belief revision is an operation that aims at modifying old beliefs so that they become consistent with new ones. The issue of belief revision has been studied in various formalisms, in particular, in qualitative algebras (QAs) in which the result is a disjunction of belief bases that is not necessarily representable in a QA. This motivates the study of belief revision in formalisms extending QAs, namely, their propositional closures: in such a closure, the result of belief revision belongs to the formalism. Moreover, this makes it possible to define a contraction operator thanks to the Harper identity. Belief revision in the propositional closure of QAs is studied, an algorithm for a family of revision operators is designed, and an open-source implementation is made freely available on the web.