Simply changing the potential function allows one to create new algorithms related to AdaBoost. However, these new algorithms are generally not known to have the formal boosting property. This paper examines the question of which potential functions lead to new algorithms that are boosters. The two main results are general sets of conditions on the potential; one set implies that the resulting algorithm is a booster, while the other implies that the algorithm is not. These conditions are applied to previously studied potential functions, such as those used by LogitBoost and Doom II.

Stochastic meta-descent (SMD) is a new technique for online adaptation of local learning rates in arbitrary twice-differentiable systems. Like matrix momentum it uses full second-order information while retaining O(n) computational complexity by exploiting the efficient computation of Hessian-vector products. Here we apply SMD to independent component analysis, and employ the resulting algorithm for the blind separation of time-varying mixtures. By matching individual learning rates to the rate of change in each source signal's mixture coefficients, our technique is capable of simultaneously tracking sources that move at very different, a priori unknown speeds.

Effective methods of capacity control via uniform convergence bounds for function expansions have been largely limited to Support Vector machines, where good bounds are obtainable by the entropy number approach. We extend these methods to systems with expansions in terms of arbitrary (parametrized) basis functions and a wide range of regularization methods covering the whole range of general linear additive models. This is achieved by a data dependent analysis of the eigenvalues of the corresponding design matrix.

The speech waveform can be modelled as a piecewise-stationary linear stochastic state space system, and its parameters can be estimated using an expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm. One problem is the initialisation of the EM algorithm. Standard initialisation schemes can lead to poor formant trajectories. But these trajectories however are important for vowel intelligibility. The aim of this paper is to investigate the suitability of subspace identification methods to initialise EM. The paper compares the subspace state space system identification (4SID) method with the EM algorithm. The 4SID and EM methods are similar in that they both estimate a state sequence (but using Kalman ters fil and Kalman smoothers respectively), and then estimate parameters (but using least-squares and maximum likelihood respectively).

One of the open questions that remains is how to set the'tunable' parameters of an SVM algorithm: While methods for choosing the width of the kernel function and the noise parameter C (which controls how closely the training data are fitted) have been proposed [4, 5] (see also, very recently, [6]), the effect of the overall shape of the kernel function remains imperfectly understood [1]. Error bars (class probabilities) for SVM predictions - important for safety-critical applications, for example - are also difficult to obtain. In this paper I suggest that a probabilistic interpretation of SVMs could be used to tackle these problems. It shows that the SVM kernel defines a prior over functions on the input space, avoiding the need to think in terms of high-dimensional feature spaces. It also allows one to define quantities such as the evidence (likelihood) for a set of hyperparameters (C, kernel amplitude Ko etc). I give a simple approximation to the evidence which can then be maximized to set such hyperparameters. The evidence is sensitive to the values of C and Ko individually, in contrast to properties (such as cross-validation error) of the deterministic solution, which only depends on the product CKo. It can thfrefore be used to assign an unambiguous value to C, from which error bars can be derived.

We describe a new incremental algorithm for training linear threshold functions: the Relaxed Online Maximum Margin Algorithm, or ROMMA. ROMMA can be viewed as an approximation to the algorithm that repeatedly chooses the hyperplane that classifies previously seen examples correctly with the maximum margin. It is known that such a maximum-margin hypothesis can be computed by minimizing the length of the weight vector subject to a number of linear constraints. ROMMA works by maintaining a relatively simple relaxation of these constraints that can be efficiently updated. We prove a mistake bound for ROMMA that is the same as that proved for the perceptron algorithm. Our analysis implies that the more computationally intensive maximum-margin algorithm also satisfies this mistake bound; this is the first worst-case performance guarantee for this algorithm. We describe some experiments using ROMMA and a variant that updates its hypothesis more aggressively as batch algorithms to recognize handwritten digits. The computational complexity and simplicity of these algorithms is similar to that of perceptron algorithm, but their generalization is much better. We describe a sense in which the performance of ROMMA converges to that of SVM in the limit if bias isn't considered.

The first two methods are related to mean field ideas known in Statistical Physics. The third approach is based on Bayesian online approach which was motivated by recent results in the Statistical Mechanics of Neural Networks. We present simulation results showing: 1. that the mean field Bayesian evidence may be used for hyperparameter tuning and 2. that the online approach may achieve a low training error fast. 1 Introduction Gaussian processes provide promising nonparametric Bayesian approaches to regression and classification [2, 1].

Although one can derive the Gaussian noise assumption based on a maximum entropy approach, the main reason for this assumption is practicability: under the Gaussian noise assumption the maximum likelihood parameter estimate can simply be found by minimization of the squared error. Despite its common use it is far from clear that the Gaussian noise assumption is a good choice for many practical problems. A reasonable approach therefore would be a noise distribution which contains the Gaussian as a special case but which has a tunable parameter that allows for more flexible distributions.

Ever since Pearl's probability propagation algorithm in graphs with cycles was shown to produce excellent results for error-correcting decoding a few years ago, we have been curious about whether local probability propagation could be used successfully for machine learning. One of the simplest adaptive models is the factor analyzer, which is a two-layer network that models bottom layer sensory inputs as a linear combination of top layer factors plus independent Gaussian sensor noise. We show that local probability propagation in the factor analyzer network usually takes just a few iterations to perform accurate inference, even in networks with 320 sensors and 80 factors. We derive an expression for the algorithm's fixed point and show that this fixed point matches the exact solution in a variety of networks, even when the fixed point is unstable. We also show that this method can be used successfully to perform inference for approximate EM and we give results on an online face recognition task. 1 Factor analysis A simple way to encode input patterns is to suppose that each input can be wellapproximated by a linear combination of component vectors, where the amplitudes of the vectors are modulated to match the input. For a given training set, the most appropriate set of component vectors will depend on how we expect the modulation levels to behave and how we measure the distance between the input and its approximation.

Unsupervised learning algorithms are designed to extract structure from data samples. Reliable and robust inference requires a guarantee that extracted structures are typical for the data source, Le., similar structures have to be inferred from a second sample set of the same data source. The overfitting phenomenon in maximum entropy based annealing algorithms is exemplarily studied for a class of histogram clustering models. Bernstein's inequality for large deviations is used to determine the maximally achievable approximation quality parameterized by a minimal temperature. Monte Carlo simulations support the proposed model selection criterion by finite temperature annealing.