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 Statistical Learning



Geometry of Early Stopping in Linear Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

A theory of early stopping as applied to linear models is presented. The backpropagation learning algorithm is modeled as gradient descent in continuous time. Given a training set and a validation set, all weight vectors found by early stopping must lie on a certain quadricsurface, usually an ellipsoid. Given a training set and a candidate early stopping weight vector, all validation sets have least-squares weights lying on a certain plane. This latter fact can be exploited to estimate the probability of stopping at any given point along the trajectory from the initial weight vector to the leastsquares weightsderived from the training set, and to estimate the probability that training goes on indefinitely. The prospects for extending this theory to nonlinear models are discussed.


Learning the Structure of Similarity

Neural Information Processing Systems

The additive clustering (ADCL US) model (Shepard & Arabie, 1979) treats the similarity of two stimuli as a weighted additive measure of their common features. Inspired by recent work in unsupervised learning with multiple cause models, we propose anew, statistically well-motivated algorithm for discovering the structure of natural stimulus classes using the ADCLUS model, which promises substantial gainsin conceptual simplicity, practical efficiency, and solution quality over earlier efforts.


Gradient and Hamiltonian Dynamics Applied to Learning in Neural Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

James W. Howse Chaouki T. Abdallah Gregory L. Heileman Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of New Mexico Albuquerque, NM 87131 Abstract The process of machine learning can be considered in two stages: model selection and parameter estimation. In this paper a technique is presented for constructing dynamical systems with desired qualitative properties. The approach is based on the fact that an n-dimensional nonlinear dynamical system can be decomposed into one gradient and (n - 1) Hamiltonian systems. Thus,the model selection stage consists of choosing the gradient and Hamiltonian portions appropriately so that a certain behavior is obtainable. To estimate the parameters, a stably convergent learning rule is presented.


Constructive Algorithms for Hierarchical Mixtures of Experts

Neural Information Processing Systems

By applying a likelihood splitting criteria to each expert in the HME we "grow" the tree adaptively during training. Secondly,by considering only the most probable path through the tree we may "prune" branches away, either temporarily, or permanently ifthey become redundant. We demonstrate results for the growing and path pruning algorithms which show significant speed ups and more efficient use of parameters over the standard fixed structure in discriminating between two interlocking spirals and classifying 8-bit parity patterns. INTRODUCTION The HME (Jordan & Jacobs 1994) is a tree structured network whose terminal nodes are simple function approximators in the case of regression or classifiers in the case of classification. The outputs of the terminal nodes or experts are recursively combined upwards towards the root node, to form the overall output of the network, by "gates" which are situated at the non-terminal nodes.


The Gamma MLP for Speech Phoneme Recognition

Neural Information Processing Systems

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Queensland St. Lucia Qld 4072 Australia Abstract We define a Gamma multi-layer perceptron (MLP) as an MLP with the usual synaptic weights replaced by gamma filters (as proposed byde Vries and Principe (de Vries and Principe, 1992)) and associated gain terms throughout all layers. We derive gradient descent update equations and apply the model to the recognition of speech phonemes. We find that both the inclusion of gamma filters in all layers, and the inclusion of synaptic gains, improves the performance of the Gamma MLP. We compare the Gamma MLP with TDNN, Back-Tsoi FIR MLP, and Back-Tsoi I1R MLP architectures, and a local approximation scheme. We find that the Gamma MLP results in an substantial reduction in error rates. 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 THE GAMMA FILTER Infinite Impulse Response (I1R) filters have a significant advantage over Finite Impulse Response(FIR) filters in signal processing: the length of the impulse response is uncoupled from the number of filter parameters.


Estimating the Bayes Risk from Sample Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this setting, each pattern, represented as an n-dimensional feature vector, is associated with a discrete pattern class, or state of nature (Duda and Hart, 1973). Using available information, (e.g., a statistically representative set of labeled feature vectors


Memory-based Stochastic Optimization

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper we introduce new algorithms for optimizing noisy plants in which each experiment is very expensive. The algorithms build a global nonlinear model of the expected output at the same time as using Bayesian linear regression analysis of locally weighted polynomial models. The local model answers queries about confidence, noise,gradient and Hessians, and use them to make automated decisions similar to those made by a practitioner of Response Surface Methodology. The global and local models are combined naturally as a locally weighted regression. We examine the question ofwhether the global model can really help optimization, and we extend it to the case of time-varying functions. We compare the new algorithms with a highly tuned higher-order stochastic optimization algorithmon randomly-generated functions and a simulated manufacturing task. We note significant improvements in total regret, time to converge, and final solution quality. 1 INTRODUCTION In a stochastic optimization problem, noisy samples are taken from a plant. A sample consists of a chosen control u (a vector ofreal numbers) and a noisy observed response y.


Prediction of Beta Sheets in Proteins

Neural Information Processing Systems

Most current methods for prediction of protein secondary structure use a small window of the protein sequence to predict the structure of the central amino acid. We describe a new method for prediction of the non-local structure called,8-sheet, which consists of two or more,8-strands that are connected by hydrogen bonds. Since,8-strands are often widely separated in the protein chain, a network with two windows is introduced. After training on a set of proteins the network predicts the sheets well, but there are many false positives. Byusing a global energy function the,8-sheet prediction is combined with a local prediction of the three secondary structures a-helix,,8-strand and coil.


Beating a Defender in Robotic Soccer: Memory-Based Learning of a Continuous Function

Neural Information Processing Systems

Our research works towards this broad goal from a Machine Learning perspective. We are particularly interested in investigating how an intelligent agentcan choose an action in an adversarial environment. We assume that the agent has a specific goal to achieve. We conduct this investigation in a framework whereteams of agents compete in a game of robotic soccer. The real system of model cars remotely controlled from off-board computers is under development.