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 Statistical Learning


Generalization Error Bounds for Aggregation by Mirror Descent with Averaging

Neural Information Processing Systems

For this purpose, we propose a stochastic procedure, the mirror descent, which performs gradient descent in the dual space. The generated estimates are additionally averaged in a recursive fashion with specific weights. Mirror descent algorithms have been developed in different contexts and they are known to be particularly efficient in high dimensional problems. Moreover their implementation is adapted to the online setting. The main result of the paper is the upper bound on the convergence rate for the generalization error.


An Alternative Infinite Mixture Of Gaussian Process Experts

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present an infinite mixture model in which each component comprises a multivariate Gaussian distribution over an input space, and a Gaussian Process model over an output space. Our model is neatly able to deal with non-stationary covariance functions, discontinuities, multimodality and overlapping output signals. The work is similar to that by Rasmussen and Ghahramani [1]; however, we use a full generative model over input and output space rather than just a conditional model. This allows us to deal with incomplete data, to perform inference over inverse functional mappings as well as for regression, and also leads to a more powerful and consistent Bayesian specification of the effective'gating network' for the different experts.


Conditional Visual Tracking in Kernel Space

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a conditional temporal probabilistic framework for reconstructing 3Dhuman motion in monocular video based on descriptors encoding image silhouette observations. For computational efficiency we restrict visual inference to low-dimensional kernel induced nonlinear state spaces. Our methodology (kBME) combines kernel PCA-based nonlinear dimensionality reduction (kPCA) and Conditional Bayesian Mixture of Experts (BME) in order to learn complex multivalued predictors betweenobservations and model hidden states. This is necessary for accurate, inverse, visual perception inferences, where several probable, distant3D solutions exist due to noise or the uncertainty of monocular perspectiveprojection. Low-dimensional models are appropriate because many visual processes exhibit strong nonlinear correlations in both the image observations and the target, hidden state variables. The learned predictors are temporally combined within a conditional graphical modelin order to allow a principled propagation of uncertainty. We study several predictors and empirically show that the proposed algorithm positivelycompares with techniques based on regression, Kernel Dependency Estimation (KDE) or PCA alone, and gives results competitive tothose of high-dimensional mixture predictors at a fraction of their computational cost. We show that the method successfully reconstructs the complex 3D motion of humans in real monocular video sequences.


Learning Multiple Related Tasks using Latent Independent Component Analysis

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a probabilistic model based on Independent Component Analysis for learning multiple related tasks. In our model the task parameters are assumed to be generated from independent sources which account for the relatedness of the tasks. We use Laplace distributions to model hidden sources which makes it possible to identify the hidden, independent components instead of just modeling correlations. Furthermore, our model enjoys a sparsity property which makes it both parsimonious and robust. We also propose efficient algorithms for both empirical Bayes method and point estimation. Our experimental results on two multi-label text classification data sets show that the proposed approach is promising.


Learning Minimum Volume Sets

Neural Information Processing Systems

Given a probability measure P and a reference measure µ, one is often interested in the minimum µ-measure set with P-measure at least α. Minimum volume sets of this type summarize the regions of greatest probability mass of P, and are useful for detecting anomalies and constructing confidence regions. This paper addresses the problem of estimating minimum volume sets based on independent samples distributed according to P. Other than these samples, no other information is available regarding P, but the reference measure µ is assumed to be known. We introduce rules for estimating minimum volume sets that parallel the empirical risk minimization and structural risk minimization principles in classification. As in classification, we show that the performances of our estimators are controlled by the rate of uniform convergence of empirical to true probabilities over the class from which the estimator is drawn. Thus we obtain finite sample size performance bounds in terms of VC dimension and related quantities. We also demonstrate strong universal consistency and an oracle inequality. Estimators based on histograms and dyadic partitions illustrate the proposed rules.


On the Convergence of Eigenspaces in Kernel Principal Component Analysis

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper presents a non-asymptotic statistical analysis of Kernel-PCA with a focus different from the one proposed in previous work on this topic. Here instead of considering the reconstruction error of KPCA we are interested in approximation error bounds for the eigenspaces themselves. We prove an upper bound depending on the spacing between eigenvalues but not on the dimensionality of the eigenspace. As a consequence this allows to infer stability results for these estimated spaces.


A General and Efficient Multiple Kernel Learning Algorithm

Neural Information Processing Systems

While classical kernel-based learning algorithms are based on a single kernel, in practice it is often desirable to use multiple kernels. Lankriet et al. (2004) considered conic combinations of kernel matrices for classification, leading to a convex quadratically constraint quadratic program. We show that it can be rewritten as a semi-infinite linear program that can be efficiently solved by recycling the standard SVM implementations. Moreover, we generalize the formulation and our method to a larger class of problems, including regression and one-class classification. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm helps for automatic model selection, improving the interpretability of the learning result and works for hundred thousands of examples or hundreds of kernels to be combined.


Consistency of one-class SVM and related algorithms

Neural Information Processing Systems

We determine the asymptotic limit of the function computed by support vector machines (SVM) and related algorithms that minimize a regularized empirical convex loss function in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space of the Gaussian RBF kernel, in the situation where the number of examples tends to infinity, the bandwidth of the Gaussian kernel tends to 0, and the regularization parameter is held fixed.


Active Learning for Misspecified Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

Active learning is the problem in supervised learning to design the locations of training input points so that the generalization error is minimized. Existing active learning methods often assume that the model used for learning is correctly specified, i.e., the learning target function can be expressed by the model at hand. In many practical situations, however, this assumption may not be fulfilled. In this paper, we first show that the existing active learning method can be theoretically justified under slightly weaker condition: the model does not have to be correctly specified, but slightly misspecified models are also allowed. However, it turns out that the weakened condition is still restrictive in practice. To cope with this problem, we propose an alternative active learning method which can be theoretically justified for a wider class of misspecified models. Thus, the proposed method has a broader range of applications than the existing method. Numerical studies show that the proposed active learning method is robust against the misspecification of models and is thus reliable.


Sparse Gaussian Processes using Pseudo-inputs

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a new Gaussian process (GP) regression model whose covariance is parameterized by the the locations of M pseudo-input points, which we learn by a gradient based optimization.