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 Statistical Learning


Automating Art Print Authentication Using Metric Learning

AAAI Conferences

An important problem in the world of art historians is determining the type of paper on which a photograph is printed.  One way to determine the paper type is to capture a highly magnified image of the paper, then to compare this image to a database of known paper images.  Traditionally, this process is carried out by a human and is generally time-intensive.  Here we propose an automated solution to this problem, using wavelet decomposition techniques from image processing, as well as metric learning from the machine learning area.  We show, on a collection of real-world images of photographic paper, that the use of machine learning techniques produces a much better solution than image processing alone.


Not So Naive Online Bayesian Spam Filter

AAAI Conferences

Spam filtering, as a key problem in electronic communication, has drawn significant attention due to increasingly huge amounts of junk email on the Internet. Content-based filtering is one reliable method in combating with spammers' changing tactics. Naive Bayes (NB) is one of the earliest content-based machine learning methods both in theory and practice in combating with spammers, which is easy to implement while can achieve considerable accuracy. In this paper, the traditional online Bayesian classifier are enhanced  by two ways. First, from theory's point of view, we devise a self-adaptive mechanism to gradually weaken the assumption of independence required by original NB in the online training process, and as a result of that our NSNB is no longer ``naive''. Second, we propose other engineering ways to make the classifier more robust and accuracy. The experiment results show that our NSNB does give state-of-the-art classification performance on online spam filtering on large benchmark data sets while it is extremely fast and takes up little memory in comparison with other statistical methods.


Online Learning of Spacecraft Simulation Models

AAAI Conferences

Spacecraft simulation is an integral part of NASA mission planning, real-time mission support, training, and systems engineering. Existing approaches that power these simulations cannot quickly react to the dynamic and complex behavior of the International Space Station (ISS). To address this problem, this paper introduces a unique and efficient method for continuously learning highly accurate models from real-time streaming sensor data, relying on an online learning approach. This approach revolutionizes NASA simulation techniques for space missions by providing models that quickly adapt to real-world feedback without human intervention. A novel regional sliding-window technique for online learning of simulation models is proposed that regionally maintains the most recent data. We also explore a knowledge fusion approach to reduce predictive error spikes when confronted with making predictions in situations that are quite different from training scenarios. We demonstrate substantial error reductions up to 74% in our experimental evaluation on the ISS Electrical Power System and discuss the early deployment of our software in the ISS Mission Control Center (MCC) for ground-based simulations.


Real-time Automatic Price Prediction for eBay Online Trading

AAAI Conferences

We develop a system for attribute-based prediction of final (online) auction pricing, focusing on the eBay laptop category. The system implements a feature-weighted k -NN algorithm, using evolutionary computation to determine feature weights, with prior trades used as training data. The resulting average prediction error is 16%.  Mostly automatic trading using the system greatly reduces the time a reseller needs to spend on trading activities, since the bulk of market research is now done automatically with the help of the learned model.  The result is a 562% increase in trading efficiency (measured as profit/hour).


An Augmented Lagrangian Approach for Sparse Principal Component Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used technique for data analysis and dimension reduction with numerous applications in science and engineering. However, the standard PCA suffers from the fact that the principal components (PCs) are usually linear combinations of all the original variables, and it is thus often difficult to interpret the PCs. To alleviate this drawback, various sparse PCA approaches were proposed in literature [15, 6, 17, 28, 8, 25, 18, 7, 16]. Despite success in achieving sparsity, some important properties enjoyed by the standard PCA are lost in these methods such as uncorrelation of PCs and orthogonality of loading vectors. Also, the total explained variance that they attempt to maximize can be too optimistic. In this paper we propose a new formulation for sparse PCA, aiming at finding sparse and nearly uncorrelated PCs with orthogonal loading vectors while explaining as much of the total variance as possible. We also develop a novel augmented Lagrangian method for solving a class of nonsmooth constrained optimization problems, which is well suited for our formulation of sparse PCA. We show that it converges to a feasible point, and moreover under some regularity assumptions, it converges to a stationary point. Additionally, we propose two nonmonotone gradient methods for solving the augmented Lagrangian subproblems, and establish their global and local convergence. Finally, we compare our sparse PCA approach with several existing methods on synthetic, random, and real data, respectively. The computational results demonstrate that the sparse PCs produced by our approach substantially outperform those by other methods in terms of total explained variance, correlation of PCs, and orthogonality of loading vectors.


A new protein binding pocket similarity measure based on comparison of 3D atom clouds: application to ligand prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Motivation: Prediction of ligands for proteins of known 3D structure is important to understand structure-function relationship, predict molecular function, or design new drugs. Results: We explore a new approach for ligand prediction in which binding pockets are represented by atom clouds. Each target pocket is compared to an ensemble of pockets of known ligands. Pockets are aligned in 3D space with further use of convolution kernels between clouds of points. Performance of the new method for ligand prediction is compared to those of other available measures and to docking programs. We discuss two criteria to compare the quality of similarity measures: area under ROC curve (AUC) and classification based scores. We show that the latter is better suited to evaluate the methods with respect to ligand prediction. Our results on existing and new benchmarks indicate that the new method outperforms other approaches, including docking. Availability: The new method is available at http://cbio.ensmp.fr/paris/ Contact: mikhail.zaslavskiy@mines-paristech.fr


Bayesian Agglomerative Clustering with Coalescents

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a new Bayesian model for hierarchical clustering based on a prior over trees called Kingman's coalescent. We develop novel greedy and sequential Monte Carlo inferences which operate in a bottom-up agglomerative fashion. We show experimentally the superiority of our algorithms over others, and demonstrate our approach in document clustering and phylolinguistics.


Multiple Hypothesis Testing in Pattern Discovery

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The problem of multiple hypothesis testing arises when there are more than one hypothesis to be tested simultaneously for statistical significance. This is a very common situation in many data mining applications. For instance, assessing simultaneously the significance of all frequent itemsets of a single dataset entails a host of hypothesis, one for each itemset. A multiple hypothesis testing method is needed to control the number of false positives (Type I error). Our contribution in this paper is to extend the multiple hypothesis framework to be used with a generic data mining algorithm. We provide a method that provably controls the family-wise error rate (FWER, the probability of at least one false positive) in the strong sense. We evaluate the performance of our solution on both real and generated data. The results show that our method controls the FWER while maintaining the power of the test.


Explicit probabilistic models for databases and networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent work in data mining and related areas has highlighted the importance of the statistical assessment of data mining results. Crucial to this endeavour is the choice of a non-trivial null model for the data, to which the found patterns can be contrasted. The most influential null models proposed so far are defined in terms of invariants of the null distribution. Such null models can be used by computation intensive randomization approaches in estimating the statistical significance of data mining results. Here, we introduce a methodology to construct non-trivial probabilistic models based on the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) principle. We show how MaxEnt models allow for the natural incorporation of prior information. Furthermore, they satisfy a number of desirable properties of previously introduced randomization approaches. Lastly, they also have the benefit that they can be represented explicitly. We argue that our approach can be used for a variety of data types. However, for concreteness, we have chosen to demonstrate it in particular for databases and networks.


High Dimensional Nonlinear Learning using Local Coordinate Coding

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper introduces a new method for semi-supervised learning on high dimensional nonlinear manifolds, which includes a phase of unsupervised basis learning and a phase of supervised function learning. The learned bases provide a set of anchor points to form a local coordinate system, such that each data point $x$ on the manifold can be locally approximated by a linear combination of its nearby anchor points, with the linear weights offering a local-coordinate coding of $x$. We show that a high dimensional nonlinear function can be approximated by a global linear function with respect to this coding scheme, and the approximation quality is ensured by the locality of such coding. The method turns a difficult nonlinear learning problem into a simple global linear learning problem, which overcomes some drawbacks of traditional local learning methods. The work also gives a theoretical justification to the empirical success of some biologically-inspired models using sparse coding of sensory data, since a local coding scheme must be sufficiently sparse. However, sparsity does not always satisfy locality conditions, and can thus possibly lead to suboptimal results. The properties and performances of the method are empirically verified on synthetic data, handwritten digit classification, and object recognition tasks.