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 Statistical Learning


Restart Strategy Selection using Machine Learning Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Restart strategies are an important factor in the performance of conflict-driven Davis Putnam style SAT solvers. Selecting a good restart strategy for a problem instance can enhance the performance of a solver. Inspired by recent success applying machine learning techniques to predict the runtime of SAT solvers, we present a method which uses machine learning to boost solver performance through a smart selection of the restart strategy. Based on easy to compute features, we train both a satisfiability classifier and runtime models. We use these models to choose between restart strategies. We present experimental results comparing this technique with the most commonly used restart strategies. Our results demonstrate that machine learning is effective in improving solver performance.


Empirical Bernstein Bounds and Sample Variance Penalization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We give improved constants for data dependent and variance sensitive confidence bounds, called empirical Bernstein bounds, and extend these inequalities to hold uniformly over classes of functionswhose growth function is polynomial in the sample size n. The bounds lead us to consider sample variance penalization, a novel learning method which takes into account the empirical variance of the loss function. We give conditions under which sample variance penalization is effective. In particular, we present a bound on the excess risk incurred by the method. Using this, we argue that there are situations in which the excess risk of our method is of order 1/n, while the excess risk of empirical risk minimization is of order 1/sqrt/{n}. We show some experimental results, which confirm the theory. Finally, we discuss the potential application of our results to sample compression schemes.


Inter Genre Similarity Modelling For Automatic Music Genre Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Music genre classification is an essential tool for music information retrieval systems and it has been finding critical applications in various media platforms. Two important problems of the automatic music genre classification are feature extraction and classifier design. This paper investigates inter-genre similarity modelling (IGS) to improve the performance of automatic music genre classification. Inter-genre similarity information is extracted over the mis-classified feature population. Once the inter-genre similarity is modelled, elimination of the inter-genre similarity reduces the inter-genre confusion and improves the identification rates. Inter-genre similarity modelling is further improved with iterative IGS modelling(IIGS) and score modelling for IGS elimination(SMIGS). Experimental results with promising classification improvements are provided.


Automating Art Print Authentication Using Metric Learning

AAAI Conferences

An important problem in the world of art historians is determining the type of paper on which a photograph is printed.  One way to determine the paper type is to capture a highly magnified image of the paper, then to compare this image to a database of known paper images.  Traditionally, this process is carried out by a human and is generally time-intensive.  Here we propose an automated solution to this problem, using wavelet decomposition techniques from image processing, as well as metric learning from the machine learning area.  We show, on a collection of real-world images of photographic paper, that the use of machine learning techniques produces a much better solution than image processing alone.


Not So Naive Online Bayesian Spam Filter

AAAI Conferences

Spam filtering, as a key problem in electronic communication, has drawn significant attention due to increasingly huge amounts of junk email on the Internet. Content-based filtering is one reliable method in combating with spammers' changing tactics. Naive Bayes (NB) is one of the earliest content-based machine learning methods both in theory and practice in combating with spammers, which is easy to implement while can achieve considerable accuracy. In this paper, the traditional online Bayesian classifier are enhanced  by two ways. First, from theory's point of view, we devise a self-adaptive mechanism to gradually weaken the assumption of independence required by original NB in the online training process, and as a result of that our NSNB is no longer ``naive''. Second, we propose other engineering ways to make the classifier more robust and accuracy. The experiment results show that our NSNB does give state-of-the-art classification performance on online spam filtering on large benchmark data sets while it is extremely fast and takes up little memory in comparison with other statistical methods.


Online Learning of Spacecraft Simulation Models

AAAI Conferences

Spacecraft simulation is an integral part of NASA mission planning, real-time mission support, training, and systems engineering. Existing approaches that power these simulations cannot quickly react to the dynamic and complex behavior of the International Space Station (ISS). To address this problem, this paper introduces a unique and efficient method for continuously learning highly accurate models from real-time streaming sensor data, relying on an online learning approach. This approach revolutionizes NASA simulation techniques for space missions by providing models that quickly adapt to real-world feedback without human intervention. A novel regional sliding-window technique for online learning of simulation models is proposed that regionally maintains the most recent data. We also explore a knowledge fusion approach to reduce predictive error spikes when confronted with making predictions in situations that are quite different from training scenarios. We demonstrate substantial error reductions up to 74% in our experimental evaluation on the ISS Electrical Power System and discuss the early deployment of our software in the ISS Mission Control Center (MCC) for ground-based simulations.


Real-time Automatic Price Prediction for eBay Online Trading

AAAI Conferences

We develop a system for attribute-based prediction of final (online) auction pricing, focusing on the eBay laptop category. The system implements a feature-weighted k -NN algorithm, using evolutionary computation to determine feature weights, with prior trades used as training data. The resulting average prediction error is 16%.  Mostly automatic trading using the system greatly reduces the time a reseller needs to spend on trading activities, since the bulk of market research is now done automatically with the help of the learned model.  The result is a 562% increase in trading efficiency (measured as profit/hour).


An Augmented Lagrangian Approach for Sparse Principal Component Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used technique for data analysis and dimension reduction with numerous applications in science and engineering. However, the standard PCA suffers from the fact that the principal components (PCs) are usually linear combinations of all the original variables, and it is thus often difficult to interpret the PCs. To alleviate this drawback, various sparse PCA approaches were proposed in literature [15, 6, 17, 28, 8, 25, 18, 7, 16]. Despite success in achieving sparsity, some important properties enjoyed by the standard PCA are lost in these methods such as uncorrelation of PCs and orthogonality of loading vectors. Also, the total explained variance that they attempt to maximize can be too optimistic. In this paper we propose a new formulation for sparse PCA, aiming at finding sparse and nearly uncorrelated PCs with orthogonal loading vectors while explaining as much of the total variance as possible. We also develop a novel augmented Lagrangian method for solving a class of nonsmooth constrained optimization problems, which is well suited for our formulation of sparse PCA. We show that it converges to a feasible point, and moreover under some regularity assumptions, it converges to a stationary point. Additionally, we propose two nonmonotone gradient methods for solving the augmented Lagrangian subproblems, and establish their global and local convergence. Finally, we compare our sparse PCA approach with several existing methods on synthetic, random, and real data, respectively. The computational results demonstrate that the sparse PCs produced by our approach substantially outperform those by other methods in terms of total explained variance, correlation of PCs, and orthogonality of loading vectors.


A new protein binding pocket similarity measure based on comparison of 3D atom clouds: application to ligand prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Motivation: Prediction of ligands for proteins of known 3D structure is important to understand structure-function relationship, predict molecular function, or design new drugs. Results: We explore a new approach for ligand prediction in which binding pockets are represented by atom clouds. Each target pocket is compared to an ensemble of pockets of known ligands. Pockets are aligned in 3D space with further use of convolution kernels between clouds of points. Performance of the new method for ligand prediction is compared to those of other available measures and to docking programs. We discuss two criteria to compare the quality of similarity measures: area under ROC curve (AUC) and classification based scores. We show that the latter is better suited to evaluate the methods with respect to ligand prediction. Our results on existing and new benchmarks indicate that the new method outperforms other approaches, including docking. Availability: The new method is available at http://cbio.ensmp.fr/paris/ Contact: mikhail.zaslavskiy@mines-paristech.fr


Bayesian Agglomerative Clustering with Coalescents

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a new Bayesian model for hierarchical clustering based on a prior over trees called Kingman's coalescent. We develop novel greedy and sequential Monte Carlo inferences which operate in a bottom-up agglomerative fashion. We show experimentally the superiority of our algorithms over others, and demonstrate our approach in document clustering and phylolinguistics.