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 Statistical Learning


A Note on Local Ultrametricity in Text

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Structures that are inherent to data of any type can be of import ance, and hierarchical structure is a prime example. In this work we take text corpora and assess the extent of hierarchical structure among words co nstituting the texts. By comprehensively taking context into account we seek to study hierarchical structures in the domain semantics. The data studied in Rammal et al. (1986) and Murtagh (2004) is point pattern data: observational features with their measurements on many coordinate dimensions. Data may be instead presented as time-varyin g signals and in a similar way, related to the findings of Rammal et al. (1986) and 1 Murtagh (2004), we have investigated ultrametric-related prope rties of time series or 1D signals in Murtagh (2005a).


A kernel method for canonical correlation analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Canonical correlation analysis is a technique to extract common features from a pair of multivariate data. In complex situations, however, it does not extract useful features because of its linearity. On the other hand, kernel method used in support vector machine is an efficient approach to improve such a linear method. In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of applying kernel method to canonical correlation analysis.


Penalized Likelihood Methods for Estimation of Sparse High Dimensional Directed Acyclic Graphs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are commonly used to represent causal relationships among random variables in graphical models. Applications of these models arise in the study of physical, as well as biological systems, where directed edges between nodes represent the influence of components of the system on each other. The general problem of estimating DAGs from observed data is computationally NP-hard, Moreover two directed graphs may be observationally equivalent. When the nodes exhibit a natural ordering, the problem of estimating directed graphs reduces to the problem of estimating the structure of the network. In this paper, we propose a penalized likelihood approach that directly estimates the adjacency matrix of DAGs. Both lasso and adaptive lasso penalties are considered and an efficient algorithm is proposed for estimation of high dimensional DAGs. We study variable selection consistency of the two penalties when the number of variables grows to infinity with the sample size. We show that although lasso can only consistently estimate the true network under stringent assumptions, adaptive lasso achieves this task under mild regularity conditions. The performance of the proposed methods is compared to alternative methods in simulated, as well as real, data examples.


Sparse Convolved Multiple Output Gaussian Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recently there has been an increasing interest in methods that deal with multiple outputs. This has been motivated partly by frameworks like multitask learning, multisensor networks or structured output data. From a Gaussian processes perspective, the problem reduces to specifying an appropriate covariance function that, whilst being positive semi-definite, captures the dependencies between all the data points and across all the outputs. One approach to account for non-trivial correlations between outputs employs convolution processes. Under a latent function interpretation of the convolution transform we establish dependencies between output variables. The main drawbacks of this approach are the associated computational and storage demands. In this paper we address these issues. We present different sparse approximations for dependent output Gaussian processes constructed through the convolution formalism. We exploit the conditional independencies present naturally in the model. This leads to a form of the covariance similar in spirit to the so called PITC and FITC approximations for a single output. We show experimental results with synthetic and real data, in particular, we show results in pollution prediction, school exams score prediction and gene expression data.


Data spectroscopy: Eigenspaces of convolution operators and clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper focuses on obtaining clustering information about a distribution from its i.i.d. samples. We develop theoretical results to understand and use clustering information contained in the eigenvectors of data adjacency matrices based on a radial kernel function with a sufficiently fast tail decay. In particular, we provide population analyses to gain insights into which eigenvectors should be used and when the clustering information for the distribution can be recovered from the sample. We learn that a fixed number of top eigenvectors might at the same time contain redundant clustering information and miss relevant clustering information. We use this insight to design the data spectroscopic clustering (DaSpec) algorithm that utilizes properly selected eigenvectors to determine the number of clusters automatically and to group the data accordingly. Our findings extend the intuitions underlying existing spectral techniques such as spectral clustering and Kernel Principal Components Analysis, and provide new understanding into their usability and modes of failure. Simulation studies and experiments on real-world data are conducted to show the potential of our algorithm. In particular, DaSpec is found to handle unbalanced groups and recover clusters of different shapes better than the competing methods.


Dimension reduction and variable selection in case control studies via regularized likelihood optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Dimension reduction and variable selection are performed routinely in case-control studies, but the literature on the theoretical aspects of the resulting estimates is scarce. We bring our contribution to this literature by studying estimators obtained via L1 penalized likelihood optimization. We show that the optimizers of the L1 penalized retrospective likelihood coincide with the optimizers of the L1 penalized prospective likelihood. This extends the results of Prentice and Pyke (1979), obtained for non-regularized likelihoods. We establish both the sup-norm consistency of the odds ratio, after model selection, and the consistency of subset selection of our estimators. The novelty of our theoretical results consists in the study of these properties under the case-control sampling scheme. Our results hold for selection performed over a large collection of candidate variables, with cardinality allowed to depend and be greater than the sample size. We complement our theoretical results with a novel approach of determining data driven tuning parameters, based on the bisection method. The resulting procedure offers significant computational savings when compared with grid search based methods. All our numerical experiments support strongly our theoretical findings.


Likelihood-based semi-supervised model selection with applications to speech processing

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In conventional supervised pattern recognition tasks, model selection is typically accomplished by minimizing the classification error rate on a set of so-called development data, subject to ground-truth labeling by human experts or some other means. In the context of speech processing systems and other large-scale practical applications, however, such labeled development data are typically costly and difficult to obtain. This article proposes an alternative semi-supervised framework for likelihood-based model selection that leverages unlabeled data by using trained classifiers representing each model to automatically generate putative labels. The errors that result from this automatic labeling are shown to be amenable to results from robust statistics, which in turn provide for minimax-optimal censored likelihood ratio tests that recover the nonparametric sign test as a limiting case. This approach is then validated experimentally using a state-of-the-art automatic speech recognition system to select between candidate word pronunciations using unlabeled speech data that only potentially contain instances of the words under test. Results provide supporting evidence for the utility of this approach, and suggest that it may also find use in other applications of machine learning.


High-dimensional additive modeling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a new sparsity-smoothness penalty for high-dimensional generalized additive models. The combination of sparsity and smoothness is crucial for mathematical theory as well as performance for finite-sample data. We present a computationally efficient algorithm, with provable numerical convergence properties, for optimizing the penalized likelihood. Furthermore, we provide oracle results which yield asymptotic optimality of our estimator for high dimensional but sparse additive models. Finally, an adaptive version of our sparsity-smoothness penalized approach yields large additional performance gains.


Feature-Weighted Linear Stacking

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Ensemble methods, such as stacking, are designed to boost predictive accuracy by blending the predictions of multiple machine learning models. Recent work has shown that the use of meta-features, additional inputs describing each example in a dataset, can boost the performance of ensemble methods, but the greatest reported gains have come from nonlinear procedures requiring significant tuning and training time. Here, we present a linear technique, Feature-Weighted Linear Stacking (FWLS), that incorporates meta-features for improved accuracy while retaining the well-known virtues of linear regression regarding speed, stability, and interpretability. FWLS combines model predictions linearly using coefficients that are themselves linear functions of meta-features. This technique was a key facet of the solution of the second place team in the recently concluded Netflix Prize competition. Significant increases in accuracy over standard linear stacking are demonstrated on the Netflix Prize collaborative filtering dataset.


MiPPS: A Generative Model for Multi-Manifold Clustering

AAAI Conferences

We propose a generative model for high dimensional data consisting of intrinsically low dimensional clusters that are noisily sampled. The proposed model is a mixture of probabilistic principal surfaces (MiPPS) optimized using expectation maximization. We use a Bayesian prior on the model parameters to maximize the corresponding marginal likelihood. We also show empirically that this optimization can be biased towards a good local optimum by using our prior intuition to guide the initialization phase The proposed unsupervised algorithm naturally handles cases where the data lies on multiple connected components of a single manifold and where the component manifolds intersect. In addition to clustering, we learn a functional model for the underlying structure of each component cluster as a parameterized hyper-surface in ambient noise.This model is used to learn a global embedding that we use for visualization of the entire dataset. We demonstrate the performance of MiPPS in separating and visualizing land cover types in a hyperspectral dataset.