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 Statistical Learning


Optimal construction of k-nearest neighbor graphs for identifying noisy clusters

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study clustering algorithms based on neighborhood graphs on a random sample of data points. The question we ask is how such a graph should be constructed in order to obtain optimal clustering results. Which type of neighborhood graph should one choose, mutual k-nearest neighbor or symmetric k-nearest neighbor? What is the optimal parameter k? In our setting, clusters are defined as connected components of the t-level set of the underlying probability distribution. Clusters are said to be identified in the neighborhood graph if connected components in the graph correspond to the true underlying clusters. Using techniques from random geometric graph theory, we prove bounds on the probability that clusters are identified successfully, both in a noise-free and in a noisy setting. Those bounds lead to several conclusions. First, k has to be chosen surprisingly high (rather of the order n than of the order log n) to maximize the probability of cluster identification. Secondly, the major difference between the mutual and the symmetric k-nearest neighbor graph occurs when one attempts to detect the most significant cluster only.


Multi-Way, Multi-View Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We extend multi-way, multivariate ANOVA-type analysis to cases where one covariate is the view, with features of each view coming from different, high-dimensional domains. The different views are assumed to be connected by having paired samples; this is a common setup in recent bioinformatics experiments, of which we analyze metabolite profiles in different conditions (disease vs. control and treatment vs. untreated) in different tissues (views). We introduce a multi-way latent variable model for this new task, by extending the generative model of Bayesian canonical correlation analysis (CCA) both to take multi-way covariate information into account as population priors, and by reducing the dimensionality by an integrated factor analysis that assumes the metabolites to come in correlated groups.


Composite Binary Losses

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determine a symmetric loss in full from half of one of its partial losses, introduce an intrinsic parametrisation of composite binary losses and give a complete characterisation of the relationship between proper losses and ``classification calibrated'' losses. We also consider the question of the ``best'' surrogate binary loss. We introduce a precise notion of ``best'' and show there exist situations where two convex surrogate losses are incommensurable. We provide a complete explicit characterisation of the convexity of composite binary losses in terms of the link function and the weight function associated with the proper loss which make up the composite loss. This characterisation suggests new ways of ``surrogate tuning''. Finally, in an appendix we present some new algorithm-independent results on the relationship between properness, convexity and robustness to misclassification noise for binary losses and show that all convex proper losses are non-robust to misclassification noise.


New Generalization Bounds for Learning Kernels

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents several novel generalization bounds for the problem of learning kernels based on the analysis of the Rademacher complexity of the corresponding hypothesis sets. Our bound for learning kernels with a convex combination of p base kernels has only a log(p) dependency on the number of kernels, p, which is considerably more favorable than the previous best bound given for the same problem. We also give a novel bound for learning with a linear combination of p base kernels with an L_2 regularization whose dependency on p is only in p^{1/4}.


Condition Number Analysis of Kernel-based Density Ratio Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The ratio of two probability densities can be used for solving various machine learning tasks such as covariate shift adaptation (importance sampling), outlier detection (likelihood-ratio test), and feature selection (mutual information). Recently, several methods of directly estimating the density ratio have been developed, e.g., kernel mean matching, maximum likelihood density ratio estimation, and least-squares density ratio fitting. In this paper, we consider a kernelized variant of the least-squares method and investigate its theoretical properties from the viewpoint of the condition number using smoothed analysis techniques--the condition number of the Hessian matrix determines the convergence rate of optimization and the numerical stability. We show that the kernel least-squares method has a smaller condition number than a version of kernel mean matching and other M-estimators, implying that the kernel least-squares method has preferable numerical properties. We further give an alternative formulation of the kernel least-squares estimator which is shown to possess an even smaller condition number. We show that numerical studies meet our theoretical analysis.


Under-determined reverberant audio source separation using a full-rank spatial covariance model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This article addresses the modeling of reverberant recording environments in the context of under-determined convolutive blind source separation. We model the contribution of each source to all mixture channels in the time-frequency domain as a zero-mean Gaussian random variable whose covariance encodes the spatial characteristics of the source. We then consider four specific covariance models, including a full-rank unconstrained model. We derive a family of iterative expectationmaximization (EM) algorithms to estimate the parameters of each model and propose suitable procedures to initialize the parameters and to align the order of the estimated sources across all frequency bins based on their estimated directions of arrival (DOA). Experimental results over reverberant synthetic mixtures and live recordings of speech data show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.


Learning an Interactive Segmentation System

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many successful applications of computer vision to image or video manipulation are interactive by nature. However, parameters of such systems are often trained neglecting the user. Traditionally, interactive systems have been treated in the same manner as their fully automatic counterparts. Their performance is evaluated by computing the accuracy of their solutions under some fixed set of user interactions. This paper proposes a new evaluation and learning method which brings the user in the loop. It is based on the use of an active robot user - a simulated model of a human user. We show how this approach can be used to evaluate and learn parameters of state-of-the-art interactive segmentation systems. We also show how simulated user models can be integrated into the popular max-margin method for parameter learning and propose an algorithm to solve the resulting optimisation problem.


A Model-Based Approach to Predicting Predator-Prey & Friend-Foe Relationships in Ant Colonies

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Understanding predator-prey relationships among insects is a challenging task in the domain of insect-colony research. This is due to several factors involved, such as determining whether a particular behavior is the result of a predator-prey interaction, a friend-foe interaction or another kind of interaction. In this paper, we analyze a series of predator-prey and friend-foe interactions in two colonies of carpenter ants to better understand and predict such behavior. Using the data gathered, we have also come up with a preliminary model for predicting such behavior under the specific conditions the experiment was conducted in. In this paper, we present the results of our data analysis as well as an overview of the processes involved.


Modeling sparse connectivity between underlying brain sources for EEG/MEG

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a novel technique to assess functional brain connectivity in EEG/MEG signals. Our method, called Sparsely-Connected Sources Analysis (SCSA), can overcome the problem of volume conduction by modeling neural data innovatively with the following ingredients: (a) the EEG is assumed to be a linear mixture of correlated sources following a multivariate autoregressive (MVAR) model, (b) the demixing is estimated jointly with the source MVAR parameters, (c) overfitting is avoided by using the Group Lasso penalty. This approach allows to extract the appropriate level cross-talk between the extracted sources and in this manner we obtain a sparse data-driven model of functional connectivity. We demonstrate the usefulness of SCSA with simulated data, and compare to a number of existing algorithms with excellent results.


Closing the Learning-Planning Loop with Predictive State Representations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A central problem in artificial intelligence is that of planning to maximize future reward under uncertainty in a partially observable environment. In this paper we propose and demonstrate a novel algorithm which accurately learns a model of such an environment directly from sequences of action-observation pairs. We then close the loop from observations to actions by planning in the learned model and recovering a policy which is near-optimal in the original environment. Specifically, we present an efficient and statistically consistent spectral algorithm for learning the parameters of a Predictive State Representation (PSR). We demonstrate the algorithm by learning a model of a simulated high-dimensional, vision-based mobile robot planning task, and then perform approximate point-based planning in the learned PSR. Analysis of our results shows that the algorithm learns a state space which efficiently captures the essential features of the environment. This representation allows accurate prediction with a small number of parameters, and enables successful and efficient planning.