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 Statistical Learning


Does Bad News Go Away Faster?

AAAI Conferences

We study the relationship between content and temporal dynamics of information on Twitter, focusing on the persistence of information. We compare two extreme temporal patterns in the decay rate of URLs embedded in tweets, defining a prediction task to distinguish between URLs that fade rapidly following their peak of popularity and those that fade more slowly. Our experiments show a strong association between the content and the temporal dynamics of information: given unigram features extracted from corresponding HTML webpages, a linear SVM classifier can predict the temporal pattern of URLs with high accuracy. We further explore the content of URLs in the two temporal classes using various textual analysis techniques (via LIWC and trend detection). We find that the rapidly-fading information contains significantly more words related to negative emotion, actions, and more complicated cognitive processes, whereas the persistent information contains more words related to positive emotion, leisure, and lifestyle.


Exploiting Semantic Annotations for Clustering Geographic Areas and Users in Location-based Social Networks

AAAI Conferences

Location-Based Social Networks (LBSN) present so far the most vivid realization of the convergence of the physical and virtual social planes. In this work we propose a novel approach on modeling human activity and geographical areas by means of place categories. We apply a spectral clustering algorithm on areas and users of two metropolitan cities on a dataset sourced from the most vibrant LBSN, Foursquare. Our methodology allows the identification of user communities that visit similar categories of places and the comparison of urban neighborhoods within and across cities. We demonstrate how semantic information attached to places could be plausibly used as a modeling interface for applications such as recommender systems and digital tourist guides.


Seven Months with the Devils: A Long-Term Study of Content Polluters on Twitter

AAAI Conferences

The rise in popularity of social networking sites such as Twitter and Facebook has been paralleled by the rise of unwanted, disruptive entities on these networks- โ€” including spammers, malware disseminators, and other content polluters. Inspired by sociologists working to ensure the success of commons and criminologists focused on deterring vandalism and preventing crime, we present the first long-term study of social honeypots for tempting, profiling, and filtering content polluters in social media. Concretely, we report on our experiences via a seven-month deployment of 60 honeypots on Twitter that resulted in the harvesting of 36,000 candidate content polluters. As part of our study, we (1) examine the harvested Twitter users, including an analysis of link payloads, user behavior over time, and followers/following network dynamics and (2) evaluate a wide range of features to investigate the effectiveness of automatic content polluter identification.


Analyzing Political Trends in the Blogosphere

AAAI Conferences

In the last years, the blogosphere has become a vital part of the web, covering a variety of different points of view and opinions on political and event-related topics such as immigration, election campaigns, or economic developments. Tracking the public opinion is usually done by conducting surveys resulting in significant costs both for interviewers and persons consulted. In this paper, we propose a method for extracting political trends in the blogosphere.To this end, we apply sentiment and time series analysis techniques in combination with aggregation methods on blog data to estimate the temporal development of opinions on politicians.


Reconstruction of Threaded Conversations in Online Discussion Forums

AAAI Conferences

Online discussion boards, or Internet forums, are a signi๏ฌcant part of the Internet. People use Internet forums to post questions, provide advice and participate in discussions. These online conversations are represented as threads, and the conversation trees within these threads are important in understanding the behaviour of online users. Unfortunately, the reply structures of these threads are generally not publicly accessible or not maintained. Hence, in this paper, we introduce an ef๏ฌcient and simple approach to reconstruct the reply structure in threaded conversations. We contrast its accuracy against three baseline algorithms, and show that our algorithm can accurately recreate the in and out degree distributions of forum reply graphs built from the reconstructed reply structures.


Find Me the Right Content! Diversity-Based Sampling of Social Media Spaces for Topic-Centric Search

AAAI Conferences

Social media and networking websites, such as Twitter and Facebook, generate large quantities of information and have become mechanisms for real-time content dissipation to users. An important question that arises is: how do we sample such social media information spaces in order to deliver relevant content on a topic to end users? Notice that these large-scale information spaces are inherently diverse, featuring a wide array of attributes such as location, recency, degree of diffusion effects in the network and so on. Naturally, for the end user, different levels of diversity in social media content can significantly impact the information consumption experience: low diversity can provide focused content that may be simpler to understand, while high diversity can increase breadth in the exposure to multiple opinions and perspectives. Hence to address our research question, we turn to diversity as a core concept in our proposed sampling methodology. Here we are motivated by ideas in the "compressive sensing" literature and utilize the notion of sparsity in social media information to represent such large spaces via a small number of basis components. Thereafter we use a greedy iterative clustering technique on this transformed space to construct samples matching a desired level of diversity. Based on Twitter Firehose data, we demonstrate quantitatively that our method is robust, and performs better than other baseline techniques over a variety of trending topics. In a user study, we further show that users find samples generated by our method to be more interesting and subjectively engaging compared to techniques inspired by state-of-the-art systems, with improvements in the range of 15--45%.


Automatically Identifying Groups Based on Content and Collective Behavioral Patterns of Group Members

AAAI Conferences

For example, on Live Journal1, there are a number of categories, gaming, for The explosion of popularity in social media, such as internet example, that one can categorize themselves and their forums, weblogs (blogs), wikis, etc., in the past decade blogs. While a number of those that self select that category has created a new opportunity to measure public opinion, may interact, there is no explicit requirement to do so. If attitude, and social structures (Agichtein et al. 2008, one is interested in marketing to a gaming crowd, for instance, Qualman 2010). A very common social structure investigated knowing all persons interested in gaming would be is online communities, or groups. There are a number useful, even if they do not interact directly with one another.


Creating Conversations: An Automated Dialog System

AAAI Conferences

Online news sites often include a comments section where readers are allowed to leave their thoughts. These comments often contain interesting and insightful conversations between readers about the news article. However the richness of these conversations is often lost among other meaningless comments, and moreover all comments are found at the bottom of the web page. In this article, we discuss how our system inserts reader conversations into the news article to create a multimedia presentation called Shout Out. Shout Out features two virtual news anchors: one anchor reads the news and when appropriate the anchor pauses to have a conversation about the news with another anchor. This current iteration of Shout Out combines natural language techniques and reader conversations to create an engaging system.


Political Polarization on Twitter

AAAI Conferences

In this study we investigate how social media shape the networked public sphere and facilitate communication between communities with different political orientations. We examine two networks of political communication on Twitter, comprised of more than 250,000 tweets from the six weeks leading up to the 2010 U.S. congressional midterm elections. Using a combination of network clustering algorithms and manually-annotated data we demonstrate that the network of political retweets exhibits a highly segregated partisan structure, with extremely limited connectivity between left- and right-leaning users. Surprisingly this is not the case for the user-to-user mention network, which is dominated by a single politically heterogeneous cluster of users in which ideologically-opposed individuals interact at a much higher rate compared to the network of retweets. To explain the distinct topologies of the retweet and mention networks we conjecture that politically motivated individuals provoke interaction by injecting partisan content into information streams whose primary audience consists of ideologically-opposed users. We conclude with statistical evidence in support of this hypothesis.


Beyond Trending Topics: Real-World Event Identification on Twitter

AAAI Conferences

User-contributed messages on social media sites such as Twitter have emerged aspowerful, real-time means of information sharing on the Web. These short messages tend to reflect a variety of events in real time, making Twitter particularly well suited as a source of real-time event content. In this paper, we explore approaches for analyzing the stream of Twitter messages to distinguish between messages about real-world events andnon-event messages. Our approach relies on a rich family of aggregatestatistics of topically similar message clusters. Large-scale experiments over millions of Twitter messages show the effectiveness of our approach for surfacing real-world event content on Twitter.