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 Statistical Learning


Dealing with Concept Drift and Class Imbalance in Multi-Label Stream Classification

AAAI Conferences

Data streams containing objects that are (or can be) associated with more than one label at the same time are ubiquitous. In spite of its important applications, classification of streaming multi-label data is largely unexplored. Existing approaches try to tackle the problem by transferring traditional single-label stream classification practices to the multi-label domain. Nevertheless, they fail to consider some of the unique properties of the problem such as within and between class imbalance and multiple concept drift. To deal with these challenges, this paper proposes a novel multi-label stream classification approach that employs two windows for each label, one for positive and one for negative examples. Instance-sharing is exploited for space efficiency, while a time-efficient instantiation based on the k-Nearest Neighbor algorithm is also proposed. Finally, a batch-incremental thresholding technique is proposed to further deal with the class imbalance problem. Results of an empirical comparison against two other methods on three real world datasets are in favor of the proposed approach.


Bayesian Policy Search with Policy Priors

AAAI Conferences

We consider the problem of learning to act in partially observable, continuous-state-and-action worlds where we have abstract prior knowledge about the structure of the optimal policy in the form of a distribution over policies. Using ideas from planning-as-inference reductions and Bayesian unsupervised learning, we cast Markov Chain Monte Carlo as a stochastic, hill-climbing policy search algorithm. Importantly, this algorithm's search bias is directly tied to the prior and its MCMC proposal kernels, which means we can draw on the full Bayesian toolbox to express the search bias, including nonparametric priors and structured, recursive processes like grammars over action sequences. Furthermore, we can reason about uncertainty in the search bias itself by constructing a hierarchical prior and reasoning about latent variables that determine the abstract structure of the policy. This yields an adaptive search algorithm---our algorithm learns to learn a structured policy efficiently. We show how inference over the latent variables in these policy priors enables intra- and intertask transfer of abstract knowledge. We demonstrate the flexibility of this approach by learning meta search biases, by constructing a nonparametric finite state controller to model memory, by discovering motor primitives using a simple grammar over primitive actions, and by combining all three.


Local and Structural Consistency for Multi-Manifold Clustering

AAAI Conferences

Data sets containing multi-manifold structures are ubiquitous in real-world tasks, and effective grouping of such data is an important yet challenging problem. Though there were many studies on this problem, it is not clear on how to design principled methods for the grouping of multiple hybrid manifolds. In this paper, we show that spectral methods are potentially helpful for hybridmanifold clustering when the neighborhood graph is constructed to connect the neighboring samples from the same manifold. However, traditional algorithms which identify neighbors according to Euclidean distance will easily connect samples belonging to different manifolds. To handle this drawback, we propose a new criterion, i.e., local and structural consistency criterion, which considers the neighboring information as well as the structural information implied by the samples. Based on this criterion, we develop a simple yet effective algorithm, named Local and Structural Consistency (LSC), for clustering with multiple hybrid manifolds. Experiments show that LSC achieves promising performance.


Fast Nonnegative Matrix Tri-Factorization for Large-Scale Data Co-Clustering

AAAI Conferences

NonnegativeMatrix Factorization (NMF) based coclustering methods have attracted increasing attention in recent years because of their mathematical elegance and encouraging empirical results. However, the algorithms to solve NMF problems usually involve intensive matrix multiplications, which make them computationally inefficient. In this paper, instead of constraining the factor matrices of NMF to be nonnegative as existing methods, we propose a novel Fast Nonnegative Matrix Trifactorization (FNMTF) approach to constrain them to be cluster indicator matrices, a special type of nonnegative matrices. As a result, the optimization problem of our approach can be decoupled, which results in much smaller size subproblems requiring much less matrix multiplications, such that our approach works well for large-scale input data. Moreover, the resulted factor matrices can directly assign cluster labels to data points and features due to the nature of indicator matrices. In addition, through exploiting the manifold structures in both data and feature spaces, we further introduce the Locality Preserved FNMTF (LP-FNMTF) approach, by which the clustering performance is improved. The promising results in extensive experimental evaluations validate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.


Jointly Learning Data-Dependent Label and Locality-Preserving Projections

AAAI Conferences

This paper describes a novel framework to jointly learn data-dependent label and locality-preserving projections. Given a set of data instances from multiple classes, the proposed approach can automatically learn which classes are more similar to each other, and construct discriminative features using both labeled and unlabeled data to map similar classes to similar locations in a lower dimensional space. In contrast to linear discriminant analysis (LDA) and its variants, which can only return c-1 features for a problem with c classes, the proposed approach can generate d features, where d is bounded only by the number of the input features. We describe and evaluate the new approach both theoretically and experimentally, and compare its performance with other state of the art methods.


Heterogeneous Domain Adaptation using Manifold Alignment

AAAI Conferences

We propose a manifold alignment based approach for heterogeneous domain adaptation. A key aspect of this approach is to construct mappings to link different feature spaces in order to transfer knowledge across domains. The new approach can reuse labeled data from multiple source domains in a target domain even in the case when the input domains do not share any common features or instances. As a pre-processing step, our approach can also be combined with existing domain adaptation approaches to learn a common feature space for all input domains. This paper extends existing manifold alignment approaches by making use of labels rather than correspondences to align the manifolds. This extension significantly broadens the application scope of manifold alignment, since the correspondence relationship required by existing alignment approaches is hard to obtain in many applications.


Utility-Based Fraud Detection

AAAI Conferences

Fraud detection is a key activity with serious socio-economical impact. Inspection activities associated with this task are usually constrained by limited available resources. Data analysis methods can provide help in the task of deciding where to allocate these limited resources in order to optimise the outcome of the inspection activities. This paper presents a multi-strategy learning method to address the question of which cases to inspect first. The proposed methodology is based on the utility theory and provides a ranking ordered by decreasing expected outcome of inspecting the candidate cases. This outcome is a function not only of the probability of the case being fraudulent but also of the inspection costs and expected payoff if the case is confirmed as a fraud. The proposed methodology is general and can be useful on fraud detection activities with limited inspection resources. We experimentally evaluate our proposal on both an artificial domain and on a real world task.


Angular Decomposition

AAAI Conferences

Dimensionality reduction plays a vital role in pattern recognition. However, for normalized vector data, existing methods do not utilize the fact that the data is normalized. In this paper, we propose to employ an Angular Decomposition of the normalized vector data which corresponds to embedding them on a unit surface. On graph data for similarity/kernel matrices with constant diagonal elements, we propose the Angular Decomposition of the similarity matrices which corresponds to embedding objects on a unit sphere. In these angular embeddings, the Euclidean distance is equivalent to the cosine similarity. Thus data structures best described in the cosine similarity and data structures best captured by the Euclidean distance can both be effectively detected in our angular embedding. We provide the theoretical analysis, derive the computational algorithm, and evaluate the angular embedding on several datasets. Experiments on data clustering demonstrate that our method can provide a more discriminative subspace.


Active Surveying: A Probabilistic Approach for Identifying Key Opinion Leaders

AAAI Conferences

Opinion leaders play an important role in influencing people’s beliefs, actions and behaviors. Although a number of methods have been proposed for identifying influentials using secondary sources of information, the use of primary sources, such as surveys, is still favored in many domains. In this work we present a new surveying method which combines secondary data with partial knowledge from primary sources to guide the information gathering process. We apply our proposed active surveying method to the problem of identifying key opinion leaders in the medical field, and show how we are able to accurately identify the opinion leaders while minimizing the amount of primary data required, which results in significant cost reduction in data acquisition without sacrificing its integrity.


Classification of Emerging Extreme Event Tracks in Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Physical Systems Using Dynamic Network Structures: Application to Hurricane Track Prediction

AAAI Conferences

Understanding extreme events, such as hurricanes or forest fires, is of paramount importance because of their adverse impacts on human beings. Such events often propagate in space and time. Predicting-even a few days in advance-what locations will get affected by the event tracks could benefit our society in many ways. Arguably, simulations from “first principles,” where underlying physics-based models are described by a system of equations, provide least reliable predictions for variables characterizing the dynamics of these extreme events. Data-driven model building has been recently emerging as a complementary approach that could learn the relationships between historically observed or simulated multiple, spatio-temporal ancillary variables and the dynamic behavior of extreme events of interest. While promising, the methodology for predictive learning from such complex data is still in its infancy. In this paper, we propose a dynamic networks-based methodology for in-advance prediction of the dynamic tracks of emerging extreme events. By associating a network model of the system with the known tracks, our method is capable of learning the recurrent network motifs that could be used as discriminatory signatures for the event's behavioral class. When applied to classifying the behavior of the hurricane tracks at their early formation stages in Western Africa region, our method is able to predict whether hurricane tracks will hit the land of the North Atlantic region at least 10-15 days lead lag time in advance with more than 90% accuracy using 10-fold cross-validation. To the best of our knowledge, no comparable methodology exists for solving this problem using data-driven models.